Economy on 02.02.2023...

The day after the interest rate decision, what now?⤵️

The FED did not actually surprise yesterday. 25 basis points were priced in and also delivered. Also that is not yet the end, was probably clear to everyone. Bit of pressure is taken out and until May still expected with 2 increases, so that the 5% are reached. But what then? I am curious. The FED must also stop in time, before we slide into recession, if it can prevent that at all.

Meta also delivered figures yesterday. I reported on that in this post:

https://app.getquin.com/activity/mEVsalGQkW?lang=de&utm_source=sharing

For me, even after a 20% jump in one day, Meta continues not to be an investment that interests me personally, but seems to be generating a lot of attention. What's up today:

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Trade balance December Trade balance seasonally adjusted PROGNOSE: +7.8 bn euro previous: +10.8 bn euro Exports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -3.5% yoy previous: -0.3% yoy Imports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -2.5% yoy previous: -3.3% yoy

10:00

• DE: VDMA, Machinery and Plant Manufacturing Incoming Orders December

13:00

• UK: BoE, Outcome and Minutes of the Monetary Policy Council Meeting and Monetary Policy Report Bank Rate PROGNOSIS: 4.00% previously: 3.50%

14:15

• EU: ECB, Result of the Council Meeting Main refinancing rate PROGNOSE: 3.00% previously: 2.50% Deposit rate PROGNOSE: 2.50% previously: 2.00%

14:30

• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 195,000 previously: 186,000
• US: Productivity ex Agriculture (1st release) 4Q annualized PROGNOSIS: +2.5% yoy 3Q: +0.8% yoy Unit labor costs PROGNOSIS: +1.5% yoy 3Q: +2.4% yoy
• DE: Chancellor Scholz, statement with Biontech CEO Sahin after company visit to Marburg

14:45

• EU: ECB, PK after Council meeting

16:00

• US: Industrial new orders December PROGNOSIS: +2.0% yoy previous: -1.8% yoy

19:30

• FR: ECB President Lagarde, speech at Franco-German Business Awards ceremony.

Untimed:

• SE/FI: German Economics Minister Habeck, bilateral talks with his counterparts on economic, energy and trade policy issues (until Feb. 3)

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

07:00 Sony quarterly figures

12:30 Honeywell | Merck & Co

12:30 Intercontinental Exchange quarterly figures

22:05 Amazon | Qualcomm | Alphabet | Starbucks

22:10 Ford | Apple quarterly figures

Quarterly Figures / Company Dates Europe

06:50 Nordea Bank | Banco Santander

07:00 Deutsche Bank | DWS Group

07:00 Siemens Healthineers | Siltronic | OMV

07:00 ABB | Roche | NG Groep | Julius Baer

07:30 Infineon Quarterly Figures

08:00 Shell | BT Group Quarterly Figures

08:00 Anglo American Production Report 4Q

14:00 Ferrari Annual Results

#apple
#ford
#shell
#amazon
#starbucks
#alphabet
#qualcomm
#siemens
#ferrari
#infineon
#sony
#roche
#quartalszahlen
#zinsen
#zinsentwicklung
#zinserhöhung
#fed
#powell
#inflation
#rezession
#börse
#boerse
#aktien
#wirtschaft
#meta
#nachrichten
#täglich
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback

Economy on 03.05.2023...

SBUX and AMD deliver today FED interest rate decision ⤵️

After hours yesterday came the numbers from $SBUX
Starbucks and $AMD. Both delivered well and beat forecasts. The outlook for the rest of the year also looks promising. Both are after-hours but fell over 1%. Here there were

there was probably some profit taking and the market was very weak yesterday anyway.

Until yesterday, the market probably assumed that there would be no increase. Yesterday were then according to survey of 96.8%, assumed that there is a 0.25% increase and to 3.2% that there is no increase or even 0.25% is lowered. Today at 20:00 it is then announced. But much more important is what will then be told in the press conference at 20:30 by Powell. What is the FED planning after May, what will happen next. Interest rate step planned or was it now really first of all the last? How does the market dadrauf react and what is now really expected. One can only guess. Tonight we are smarter.

What do you expect?

Also today there are again exciting quarterly figures from Qualcomm, Airbus, Lufthansa, Teamviewer and so on. What else is going on:

Stock market holiday in China and Japan

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Online bookings of overnight stays in vacation apartments and vacation homes 2022

11:00

• EU: Labor market data March Eurozone unemployment rate PROGNOSED: 6.6% previously: 6.6%

14:15

• US: ADP Labor Market Report April Private Sector Employment PROGNOSIS: +133,000 jobs previously: +145,000 jobs

15:45

• US: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Service (2nd release) April PROGNOSED: 53.7 1st release: 53.7 previously: 52.6

16:00

• US: ISM non-manufacturing index April PROGNOSIS: 51.8 points previously: 51.2 points

20:00

• US: Fed, outcome of FOMC meeting Fed funds target rate PROGNOSIS: 5.00% to 5.25% previously: 4.75% to 5.00%

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Pfeifer Vacuum 0.11 EUR

Anheuser-Busch InBev 0.75 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

15:00 Kraft Heinz quarterly figures

22:00 Qualcomm quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Lufthansa | Deutsche Post | Teamviewer

07:00 BNP Paribas | Unicredit | Klöckner & Co

07:00 Signify quarterly figures

07:30 Auto1 | Bike24 Quarterly Figures

08:00 Porsche AG | Lloyds Banking

08:00 Flutter Entertainment plc, Trading Update 1Q

08:00 Stellantis Sales 1Q

09:30 Aston Martin quarterly figures

10:00 ENBW | Fuchs Petrolub

10:00 Mercedes-Benz Group AGM

10:30 Hapag-Lloyd AGM

11:00 Hannover Re AGM

17:45 Airbus | Enel SpA Quarterly figures

22:00 Morphosys Quarterly Figures

22:05 Qiagen quarterly figures

No time stated: Vantage Towers AG, end of the tender period for the takeover offer of the Oak consortium (consisting of Vodafone and the investors GIP and KKR)

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#fed
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#urlaub
#instagram
#zinserhöhung
#zinsschritt
#airbus
#lufthansa
#teamviewer
#qualcomm

Economy on 04.05.2023...

FED as expected, SBUX 📉, Apple delivers figures ⤵️

As expected, the FED delivers the 25 basis points and the market had long since priced in. Short peak high, immediately down again and back on the road! So the big surprise, as expected failed to materialize. Let's see how the market reacts in the next few days so. This week was so far, despite the quarterly figures, not sooo exciting. I continue to feel safe with cash and continue to build it. There are already some exciting courses, where you could strike, but I look at it this week still a bit.

At $SBUX
Starbucks there was some profit taking. The stock had hit an ATH the week before and after the good numbers, people were expecting a guidance increase. Since this did not come, there was some profit taking. Share has fallen yesterday over 9%!

Today then still follows the ECB with your new interest rate decision. Also $AAPL
Apple delivers today still figures. am curious how the share will react in this market environment. Also many EU values now begin to report the figures. Remain for the time being further on the sidelines and let everything run. Only my crypto savings plans BTC and ETH, continue to run weekly. Are you already in a buying mood or are you also still holding back?

Stock market holiday Japan

Economic data

08:00

• DE: March trade balance seasonally adjusted trade balance PROGNOSE: +19.0 bn euro previous: +16.0 bn euro Exports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -0.9% yoy previous: +4.0% yoy Imports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -0.5% yoy previous: +4.6% yoy

09:45

• IT: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing April PROGNOSIS: 56.5 previous: 55.7

09:50

• FR: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Non-Manufacturing (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 56.3 1st release: 56.3 previous: 53.9

09:55

• DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing industry (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 55.7 1st release: 55.7 previous: 53.7 Purchasing managers' index, total (2nd release) PROGNOSIS: 53.9 1st release: 53.9 previous: 52.6

10:00

• EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing Eurozone (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 56.6 1st release: 56.6 previous: 55.0 Purchasing managers' index, total (2nd release) PROGNOSIS: 54.4 1st release: 54.4 previous: 53.7

10:30

• UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Non-Manufacturing (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 54.9 1st release: 54.9 previously: 52.9
  

11:00

• EU: Producer prices March Eurozone PROGNOSIS: -1.8% yoy/+ 6.1% yoy previously: -0.5% yoy/+13.2% yoy

14:15

• EU: ECB, outcome of Council meeting Main refinancing rate PROGNOSIS: 3.75% previously: 3.50% Deposit rate PROGNOSIS: 3.25% previously: 3.00%

14:30

• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 236,000 previously: 230,000
• US: Trade Balance March PROGNOSIS: -63.1 billion USD previously: -70.54 billion USD
• US: Productivity ex agriculture (1st release) 1Q PROGNOSE: +1.9% yoy 4Q: +3.0% yoy
  

14:45

• EU: ECB, PK after Council meeting

Without time information

• DE: New passenger car registrations, April

ex-dividend individual stocks

Mercedes-Benz 5.20 EUR

Hannover Re 6.00 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

12:30 Intercontinental Exchange Group

13:00 Conocophillips quarterly figures

22:00 Booking Holdings

22:00 Expedia Group

22:00 American International Group

22:30 Apple quarterly figures

Untimed:

Lyft | Hyatt | Stanley Black & Decker

BorgWarner Quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

06:45 Basler | Equinor ASA Quarterly Figures

07:00 Fraport | Rational | Vonovia | Zalando

07:00 Kontron | Arcelormittal | Capgemini

07:00 Anheuser-Busch | Swiss Re

07:10 Elmos Semiconductor Quarterly Figures

07:30 BMW | Volkswagen | Henkel | Hugo Boss

07:30 Infineon | Rheinmetall | Scout24

07:30 Befesa Earnings 1Q

07:30 Novo Nordisk | Cliq Digital | Deutz | Uniper

07:55 PVA TePla Quarterly Figures

08:00 Shell | RTL Group | New Work | Washtec

08:00 A.P. Moeller-Maersk Quarterly Figures

10:00 Allianz | Deutsche Post| RWE AGM

10:00 Qiagen PK on 1Q results

10:30 Talanx AGM

14:00 Ferrari quarterly figures

18:00 Freenet quarterly figures

No time stated: Equinor | Telenor quarterly figures

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#fed
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#urlaub
#instagram
#zinserhöhung
#zinsschritt
#apple
#infineon
#rheinmetall
#rational
#vonovia
#bookingholdings

Quarterly figures on 01.02.2023...

Figures interest and yield... today everything there

Today there was the FED interest rate decision and the FED increases, as expected by 25 basis points. In addition, the Fed says that further increases are necessary, but the pressure is taken out a bit, so you could count on 2 more increases until May, then they have reached their 5% and then it could possibly be over. I am curious...but now first of all the quarterly figures from today!

$META
Meta Platforms:

Missed analyst estimates of $2.26 in the fourth quarter with earnings per share of $1.76. Revenue of $32.17 billion above expectations of $31.53 billion. Meta expands buybacks by $40 billion.

$TMUS
T-Mobile US Inc:

fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.18 beat analyst estimates of $1.07; Ebitda (adjusted) of $6.83 billion exceeded analyst estimates of $6.71 billion; revenue of $20.27 billion below expectations of $20.7 billion; in outlook for 2023, T-Mobile US expects Ebitda (adjusted) of $28.7 billion to $29.2 billion (analyst forecast: $29.3 billion), free cash flow of $13.1 billion to $13.6 billion (forecast: $13.6 billion), and capex of $9.4 billion to $9.7 billion (forecast: $10.3 billion).

$NOVN
Novartis:

Posts Q4 sales of $12.8 billion (analyst forecast: $13 billion), core EBIT of $4.03 billion (forecast: $3.8 billion) and core net income of $3.25 billion (forecast: $3 billion). In the 2023 outlook, sales are expected to grow in the low to mid-single digits; operating income is expected to grow in the mid-single digits. Sandoz spin-off still on track for second-half 2023, but shareholders are still expected to enjoy a higher dividend for the past year. This is to rise to 3.20 Swiss francs from 3.10 francs in 2021.

$NOVO B
Novo Nordisk:

Net income rose to 13.59 billion kroner from 10.89 billion kroner, thanks to strong demand for diabetes and obesity drugs, the company said. It beat the consensus forecast of 13.08 billion kroner by analysts surveyed by FactSet. Sales also exceeded analysts' expectations (47.26 billion kronor), growing 25 percent to 48.09 billion kronor. While revenue from drugs to treat diabetes and obesity rose sharply in some cases, insulin sales fell 12 percent. Novo Nordisk expects 2023 sales growth and operating profit growth in a range of 13 to 19 percent in local currencies. Nominal sales growth is expected to be about 4 percentage points below comparable growth, and reported operating profit growth about 5 percentage points below. Novo Nordisk proposed a final dividend of 8.15 kroner, which would bring the total dividend for 2022 to 12.40 kroner (previous year: 10.40).

#meta
#novonordisk
#novartis
#tmobileus
#inflation
#zinswende
#zinserhöhung
#powell
#fed

#quartalszahlen
#aktien
#boerse
#börse
#dividende
#dividenden
#news
#newsroom
#nachrichten
#investieren
#zinsen

Economy on 22.06.2023...

Bitcoin takes off again, inflation in the UK remains high. Yesterday setbacks on the stock exchanges... ⤵️

Moin, I have a little less time than usual right now, because things are really happening again at my job. A massive number of ships are being built again. What has been postponed for the last few years, everyone now wants at once. Of course, this poses great challenges for the industry. But it's fun.

The stock market is currently a little less buoyant and lacks impetus. The interest rate decisions don't move much anymore and nobody really wants to hear the word inflation. If you are also positioned in the IT sector, then you have certainly brought in the last few weeks a good return.

But yesterday came the inflation data from the UK. These were far higher than expected. So here too, just like the ECB, interest rates will probably be raised further, to an estimated 5.25%. Signs therefore, that we are still far from over the hill. Also in the U.S., it is only a pause. So there will be further increases!

The stock exchange has corrected then yesterday also times a piece far. DAX has tested the mark of 16,000 points again. This could also be held over the trade, but was then broken through this morning. We are curious about the stock market start today. Also the DOWJ has given up the 34,000 points for the time being and the NASDAQ has left the 15,000 points behind again. It is a healthy reaction and is simply part of the stock market. Because at the stock exchange the adding works somewhat differently. Here is not 2+2=4 but rather 2+1-2+3=4. Setbacks are part of the business and always ensure that there are nice buying prices. Do not buy by FOMO purely in the hype and let you infect. There are always nice points to buy and even in a rally, there are other cheap stocks that you can bag in the times.

Bitcoin is currently shooting up and has now made the $30,000 again. The reason for this is that Blackrock wants to set up an "ETF" for cryptos and has applied for this. Other providers have expressed interest in this and will also apply for this. The only question is whether this will not end in disappointment. After all, Blackrock is not the first to try this. Also the depository Coinbase, could perhaps become a problem. In any case, the current buyers will have to wait quite a while for this decision. My coins continue to be stored on the ledger and are ey held long term.

Hong Kong and China Stock Market Holiday

Economic data

08:45

• FR: Business Climate Index June PROGNOSIS: 99 previously: 99

09:30

• CH: Swiss National Bank (SNB), Result of the Monetary Policy Council meeting Key interest rate PROGNOSED: 1.75% previously: 1.50%

13:00

• UK: BoE, outcome and minutes of Monetary Policy Council meeting Bank Rate PROGNOSE: 4.75% previously: 4.50%

14:30

• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 256,000 previously: 262,000
• US: Current account balance 1Q PROGNOSIS: -217.1 bn USD previous: -206.81 bn USD

16:00

• EU: Consumer Confidence Index Eurozone (flash estimate) June PROGNOSIS: -17.0 previous: -17.4
• US: Index of Leading Indicators May PROGNOSE: -0.7% yoy previous: -0.6% yoy
• US: Existing home sales May PROGNOSE: -0.7% yoy previous: -3.4% yoy

ex-dividend individual stocks

Ökoworld 2.22 EUR

Schulte-Schlagbaum 12.00 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

20:00 Nvidia AGM

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

10:00 GFT Technologies | Scout24 | Qiagen AGM

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#dividende
#dividenden
#schulden
#usa
#rezession
#usmarkt
#adobe
#powell
#zinsen
#zinserhöhung

Economy on 02.05.2023...

Hello May. Starbucks today, FED tomorrow ⤵️

Last week's detoxing was once again very fulfilling for me. So little I had the phone since 2019, no longer in the hand. One is just also always in the compulsion to post, otherwise Instagram and Google punishes that always very HARD. My range is thereby also very decreased. The great thing about my own development is that I now do not care. I no longer let myself be forced and feel so much freer. It's also a lot more fun. So the new week can start.

This week will be full of exciting quarterly figures, like today from $SBUX
Starbucks, $UBER and $AMD , especially by the decision of the FED and ECB. The FED delivers its decision on Wednesday at 20 clock and at 20:30 clock then comes the PK. This I find much more important. The Forecast of the increase is yes at 0.25% (25 basis points), but also the possibility that the rate hike is already suspended, exists. But even if there is an increase, it will be exciting whether it will be the last or whether more are planned. The market currently expects rather that it is the last increase. If there is an increase in the PK it is discussed differently at the end, then everything could slide again neatly. Everything remains exciting and Tomorrow 20:30 we will be smarter. Just one day later, then comes the ECB behind. I will be in the post tomorrow morning, on both again in more detail.

Now we look first of all, what the first working day of the week (for me the first, after long Zangsurlaub) so brings:

Stock market holiday China

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Retail sales March, seasonally adjusted real PROGNOSIS: +0.4% yoy previous: -1.3% yoy

09:45

• IT: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing April PROGNOSIS: 49.0 previously: 51.1

09:50

• FR: Purchasing managers' index/PMI manufacturing (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 45.5 1st release: 45.5 previous: 47.3

09:55

• DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI manufacturing industry (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 44.0 1st release: 44.0 previous: 44.7
  

10:00

• EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing Eurozone (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 45.5 1st release: 45.5 previous: 47.3
  
• EU: ECB, Money Supply M3 and Lending March PROGNOSIS: +2.4% yoy previously: +2.9% yoy
• EU: ECB, Quarterly Report on Lending 1Q

10:30

• UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) April PROGNOSIS: 46.6 1st release: 46.6 previously: 47.9

11:00

• EU: Consumer Prices Eurozone (preliminary estimate) April Eurozone PROGNOSIS: +0.7% yoy/+7.0% yoy previous: +0.9% yoy/+6.9% yoy Core rate PROGNOSIS: +1.1% yoy/+5.7% yoy previous: +1.3% yoy/+5.7% yoy
  
• IT: Consumer prices (preliminary) April PROGNOSIS: +0.4% yoy/+7.2% yoy previous: -0.3% yoy/+7.7% yoy

16:00

• US: Industrial new orders March PROGNOSIS: +1.2% yoy previous: -0.7% yoy

22:30

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from private American Petroleum Institute (API).

Without time

• US: Fed, start of two-day FOMC meeting
• US: Passenger car sales April

ex-dividend individual stocks

Atoss Software AG 2.83 EUR

Bayer AG 2.40 EUR

Hella GmbH + Co. KGaA 2.88 EUR

Merck KGaA 2.20 EUR

Nürnberger Beteil. AG 3.50 EUR

Kering 9.50 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

12:45 Pfizer quarterly figures

13:00 Dupont | Marriott International Quarterly Figures

14:00 Uber quarterly figures

22:05 Starbucks quarterly figures

22:15 AMD | Ford quarterly figures

No time stated: Edison International | Cummins quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

04:30 Logitech quarterly figures

05:00 HSBC quarterly figures

06:45 Shop Apotheke quarterly figures

07:00 Stabilus | AMS-Osram Quarterly Figures

07:00 DSM NV Trading Update 1Q

08:00 BP Quarterly Figures

08:15 Traton Quarterly Figures

10:00 Pfeiffer Vacuum HV

No time stated: Imerys Quarterly Figures

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#fed
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#urlaub
#instagram
#google
#starbucks
#amd
#uber
#zinserhöhung
#zinsschritt

Economy on 15.06.2023...

Day after the interest rate decision is like any other day. There have been no surprises. Today the ECB... ⤵️

Interest rate pause occurred as expected. But actually, it didn't surprise anyone either. Yesterday morning it was still 73% for the pause and 27% for an increase. In the lauge of the day it was then already 95% to 5%. But if you followed the events a little bit, it was actually 100% to 0%. Because if you followed the news a little bit in the last weeks, it was no surprise anymore. In my daily detailed daily appointments, appear yes again and again dates, where members of the FED, speeches hold. These run then in detail over the ticker. I am one of the crazy, which really always read through everything (if the time is there). There was evident that several members have already demanded in advance the interest rate pause, but also said that it goes on afterwards.

All that is new since yesterday, is that one targets the 5.6%. What then still 1-2 increases this year means. But the market (Dow Jones and also the crypto market) has once again done as if it were a surprise, and has reacted to it "slightly".

Currently, one drives very well with a broadly diversified portfolio. I am very curious how the trading day will feel today. Have today unfortunately little time and therefore I keep me now also a little shorter.

Today then still follows the ECB.

Let's look at today's trading day

Economic data

04:00

• CN: Industrial Production | Retail Sales May

08:30

• DE: Economic Forecast of DIW - German Institute for Economic Research

09:30

• DE: Economic forecast of the IfW - Institute for the World Economy

11:00

• DE: Economic Forecast of RWI - Rhenish-Westphalian Institute for Economic Research

14:15

• EU: ECB, outcome of Council meeting Main refinancing rate PROGNOSIS: 4.00% previously: 3.75% Deposit rate PROGNOSIS: 3.50% previously: 3.25%

14:30

• US: Retail sales May PROGNOSE: -0.2% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy Retail sales ex motor vehicles PROGNOSE: 0.0% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy
• US: Empire State Manufacturing Index June PROGNOSIS: -16.0 previous: -31.8
• US: Import and export prices May Import prices PROGNOSE: -0.5% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy
• US: Philadelphia Fed Index June PROGNOSIS: -14.8 previously: -10.4
• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 245,000 previously: 261,000

14:45

• EU: ECB, PK after Council meeting and staff projection for growth and inflation in the euro zone

15:15

• US: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization May Industrial Production PROGNOSIS: 0.0% yoy previously: +0.5% yoy Capacity utilization PROGNOSIS: 79.6% previously: 79.7%

16:00

• US: Inventories April PROGNOSE: +0.2% yoy previous: -0.1% yoy

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Cancom 1.00 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

22:05 Adobe quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:30 Hugo Boss AG, Investor Day (8 a.m. PK)

08:00 Hennes & Mauritz Sales 2Q

10:00 Aumann | Brenntag | Deutsche Wohnen

10:00 DWS | Hamburger Hafen AGM

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
#börse
#aktien
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback
#nachrichten
#täglich
#investieren
#wirtschaft
#politik
#inflation
#fed
#rezession
#mitverstandzumkapital
#krypto
#kryptowährung
#bitcoin
#ethereum
#solana
#zinsen
#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#dividende
#dividenden
#schulden
#usa
#rezession
#usmarkt
#adobe
#powell
#zinsen
#zinserhöhung

It economy 03.07.2023...

First half of the year is over and the forecasts for July look consistently bullish ⤵️

Today we start the 2nd half of the stock market in 2023. Looking back at the 1st half of the year, we can see the following, among other things:

NASDAQ - since the beginning of the year: +37,49% increased

DAX40 - since beginning of the year: +10,53% increased

DowJones - since beginning of the year: +2,3% increased

S&P500 - since beginning of the year: +14,26% increased

MSCI World (IWDA) - same time: 12,29% increased

My portfolio - same time: +11,30% increased

This shows me that my change in the portfolio unfortunately not yet so much fruit. But I still have half a year time. However, if I would include my other crypto investments, except BTC and ETH, here, then I would have beaten even the NASDAQ. However, I do not include these, as it is a separate project for me. Since I currently put a lot of time into this project, it may also be that I have missed some things here.

A clear story is for example, that I $S92
SMA Solar, much too early sold. At a little over 20 € bagged and sold at just over 60. I have estimated the difficulties, more long-term. Now we stand at 110€. But not every decision that one makes for himself and at the time also for Sinnvoll finds, is a good decision. What is important is that you do not think about it afterwards, when you know the result, but also think about what knowledge you had about the situation at the time of the decision. I would still call the SMA situation a mistake, because this reallocation would not have been necessary and the investment was actually longer thought. Here I have deviated from my strategy, so to speak. This has now cost me quite a bit in terms of returns.

What mistakes did you make in the first half of the year?

Will I do anything differently in the second half of the year? No, I don't actually plan to do that. Maybe I will become a little more active again. I didn't buy anything at all in June because I didn't like the market environment. It still doesn't. I don't feel comfortable at all in phases of exaggeration. At least not in phases where it rises. When it falls massively and everyone howls, then I feel comfortable and of course very happy to buy. Then at least I know what to do. In the second half of the year I will focus more on my strategy and see what I can get out of it. 2-3 bad purchases less and for it again some "short term" stories more. The risk may be a little higher.

But let's see how the new half-year starts economically:

On Tuesday there is then no trade in the U.S. because of Independence Day

Monday: Stock exchange dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Abbreviated trading US bond market (until 8 p.m. CEST), US stock market NYSE / Nasdaq (both until 7 p.m. CEST)

Economic data

08:30

• CH: Consumer Prices June PROGNOSIS: +0.1% yoy/+1.8% yoy previous: +0.3% yoy/+2.2% yoy

09:45

• IT: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing June PROGNOSIS: 45.3 previous: 45.9

09:50

• FR: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) June PROGNOSIS: 45.5 1st release: 45.5 previous: 45.7

09:55

• DE: Purchasing managers' index/PMI manufacturing (2nd release) June PROGNOSIS: 41.0 1st release: 41.0 previous: 43.2

10:00

• EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing Eurozone (2nd release) June PROGNOSIS: 43.6 1st release: 43.6 previously: 44.8

10:30

• UK: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) June PROGNOSIS: 1st release: 46.2 previously: 47.1

15:45

• US: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI Manufacturing (2nd release) June PROGNOSIS: 48.5 1st release: 46.3 previously: 48.4

16:00

• US: Construction spending May PROGNOSIS: +0.4% yoy previous : +1.2% yoy
• US: ISM manufacturing index June PROGNOSIS: 47.1 points previously: 46.9 points

ex-dividend individual stocks

Porsche Automobil Hold. 2.56 EUR

Prosiebensat.1 0.05 EUR

Datron 0.20 EUR

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#dax
#inflation
#dividende
#dividenden
#schulden
#usa
#rezession
#usmarkt
#powell
#zinsen
#zinserhöhung
#smasolar

Economy on 05.05.2023...

Into the WE with good numbers from Apple, right? ⤵️

Yes, the numbers from $AAPL
Apple, did exceed expectations, but they were also quite low. Apple's revenue is down 3% year-over-year and will also end 2023 with a decline from 2022. But again I say, for me the tech industry comparisons to 2021/2021 are very limp. In some cases, it was not possible to deliver, raw materials were not available or had to pay significantly more for them, and suppliers had the same problems. What really started in 2022 and only became apparent later is continuing and is now more and more visible in the figures.

Apple sales in the second quarter: iPhone 51.33 billion, Mac 7.17 billion, iPad 6.67 billion, Services 20.91 billion, Products 73.93 billion, Greater China 17.81 billion.

Apple also launches a $90 billion share buyback program and raises dividend by 4.3%. Apple could afford to do much more, but in my opinion it is doing it right. Small steps and invest more in growth (which of course is becoming increasingly difficult). It remains exciting!

Further interesting were yesterday $SHOP
Shopifywhich rose over 25%, $DDOG
Datadog with +15% and there were also some disappointments like $PARA
Paramount, $PTON
Peloton, $BKNG
Booking Holdings, $VNA
Vonovia and so on. So not everything is shining at the moment. Vonovia continues to record heavy losses and is now selling 5 projects for just under € 560 million. Rising interest rates and declining sales, continue to create strong here, even if the demand for housing continues to be strong and rents are still rising slightly on average. I will use the Kriese to expand my position still something. I have now also added to Paypal again at the level. Technically, I like the chart currently very much and next week, we know more about the fundamental side! What do you currently have so on the screen, or which dip have you bought or plan to buy it?

What is today (figures from MüRück interest me very much) to the weekend still so:

Stock market holiday in Denmark, Japan and South Korea

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Incoming orders March seasonally adjusted PROGNOSIS: -2.0% yoy previous: +4.8% yoy
• DE: Sales in the service sector February

08:30

• CH: Consumer Prices April PROGNOSIS: +0.2% yoy/+2.8% yoy previous: +0.2% yoy/+2.9% yoy
  

08:45

• FR: Industrial Production PROGNOSE: -0.5% yoy previous: +1.2% yoy

10:00

• EU: ECB, Publication of the Results of the Business Survey
• EU: ECB, publication of the results of the Survey of Professional Forcasters

11:00

• EU: Retail Sales March Eurozone PROGNOSIS: 0.0% yoy previous: -0.8% yoy

14:30

• US: Labor market data April employment ex agriculture PROGNOSE: +180,000 yoy previous: +236,000 yoy Unemployment rate PROGNOSE: 3.6% previous: 3.5% Average hourly earnings PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy/+4.2% yoy previous: +0.3% yoy/+4.2% yoy

21:00

• US: Consumer Credit March

Without time data

• EU: Rating review for Sweden (S&P);

EFSF (Fitch); ESM (Fitch); Norway (Moody's);

Romania (Moody's); Switzerland (Fitch);

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Allianz 11.40 EUR

Alstria Office 0.06 EUR

Deutsche Post 1.85 EUR

RWE 0.90 EUR

Softing 0.10 EUR

Talanx 2.00 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

12:30 Cigna Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures / Company Dates Europe

07:00 Krones | Clariant Quarterly Figures

07:15 Air France-KLM Quarterly Figures

07:30 Adidas | Gea Group | SGL Carbon Quarterly Figures

08:00 International Consolidated Airlines Quarterly Figures

09:00 Audi AG Quarterly Figures

10:00 Munich Re | Drägerwerk | Knorr-Bremse

10:00 Siltronic AGM

10:00 Vantage Towers AG, ao AGM with vote on control and profit transfer agreement with major shareholder Oak Holdings (joint venture of Vodafone, GIP and KKR)

13:00 Intesa Sanpaolo quarterly figures

#quartalszahlen
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#news
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#täglich
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#wirtschaft
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#fed
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#fed
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#bitcoin
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#ezb
#dax
#inflation
#urlaub
#instagram
#zinserhöhung
#zinsschritt
#apple
#vonovia
#bookingholdings
#munichre
#shopify
#datedog

Economy on 29.06.2023...

Penultimate day in the first half of 2023.

If we look back at the first half of the year, then some points stand out there, which one remembers immediately. Interest rate hikes , interest rate pause and sharp price increases at Nvidia and Co. There was of course also the other side. Paypal, Vonovia, Siemens Energy and Co. Here it went a little differently.

For me it was clear when I set myself up at the end of 2022, for 2023, that it will be a difficult and very mixed year. I think that I will continue to have a hard time this year. But there is still some time. therefore I will now in the next time, the first half-year in 2023, more exactly examine and if necessary my strategy something adapt. But with it we start of course only after the vacation season :)

It begins then also already soon, the next quarterly season. I suspect, however, that this will not have much impact, and we will continue to linger in the sideways phase with ups and downs. Companies like SMA Solar, have already announced, that was probably better than expected, but even that, is already priced in and we will then see profit taking rather than further unexpected increases. You know, the stock market always trades the future. Means that such known events, then rather already included in the price.

I think, however, that there will still be one or the other surprise in 2023. The

Art will be only to climb in time on the boat or even to know on which one must climb to experience a great vacation. Many considerations, will be perhaps already for 2024. There I will definitely invest a little more in the crypto sector and bet on a renewed bull run. But until then, is still some time and it could still change a lot.

Long-term investments continue to run and profits are always reallocated to them. To increase cash flow and capital.

Let's look at the penultimate trading day in June:

Singapore Stock Exchange Holiday

Economic data

07:30

• DE: Consumer Prices North Rhine-Westphalia June

09:00

• ES: HICP and Consumer Prices June (preliminary) HICP PROGNOSIS: +1.6% yoy previous: +2.9% yoyj

10:00

• DE: Consumer Prices Bavaria | Brandenburg | Hesse June

11:00

• EU: Economic Sentiment Index June Economic Sentiment Eurozone PROGNOSIS: 96.0 previous: 96.5 Industrial confidence Eurozone PROGNOSIS: -5.6 previous: -5.2 Consumer confidence Eurozone PROGNOSIS: -16.1 previous: -16.1 previous: -17.4
• EU: Business Climate Index Eurozone June

14:00

• DE: Consumer Prices (preliminary) June PROGNOSE: +0.2% yoy/+6.3% yoy previous: -0.1% yoy/+6.1% yoy HICP PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy/+6.7% yoy previous: -0.2% yoy/+6.3% yoy

14:30

• US: GDP (3rd release) 1Q annualized PROGNOSIS: +1.4% yoy 2nd release: +1.3% yoy 4th quarter: +2.6% yoy GDP deflator PROGNOSIS: +4.2% yoy 2nd release: +4.2% yoy 4th quarter: +3.9% yoy
• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 264,000 previous: 264,000

ex-dividend individual stocks

Dr.Ing.h.c. F.Porsche 1.01 EUR

GK Software 0.04 EUR

Nabaltec 0.28 EUR

SGT German Private Equity 0.02 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

22:00 Nike quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

08:00 Hennes & Mauritz Quarterly Figures

10:00 R. Stahl | MLP | Pirelli AGM

15:00 Sanofi Investor Day

#quartalszahlen
#boerse
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#news
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#communityfeedback
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#fed
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#rezession
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#adobe
#powell
#zinsen
#zinserhöhung