Economy on 04.11.2022...

last trading day of the week with a special ⤵️

To the special there is later still a separate contribution. Today stand out for me above all the weekly closing, this yet very volatile week. We had a lot of mixed numbers:

In this article you will find all the figures from yesterday https://app.getquin.com/activity/OEUDxXrlWr?lang=de&utm_source=sharing

and the FED meeting. In the next week are then mainly rather the numbers of European companies. Today, I still have the figures from Vonovia. They interest me very much.

Which figures are still missing for you, on which you still look in the near future?

Economic data

08:00

• DE: New orders September seasonally adjusted PROGNOSIS: -0.5% yoy previous: -2.4% yoy
  

08:45

• FR: Industrial Production September PROGNOSE: -0.7% yoy previous: +2.4% yoy

09:30

• DE: Governing Council member Nagel, speech at G7 CeBaDi Diversity, Equality and Inclusion Summit 2022

09:45

• IT: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing October

PROGNOSIS: 48.4 previously: 48.8

09:50

• FR: Purchasing managers' index/PMI non-manufacturing (2nd release) October PROGNOSIS: 51.3 1st release: 51.3 previous: 52.9

09:55

• DE: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing industry (2nd release) October PROGNOSIS: 44.9 1st release: 44.9 previously: 45.0

10:00

• EU: Purchasing Managers' Index/PMI non-manufacturing Eurozone (2nd release) October PROGNOSIS: 48.2 1st release: 48.2 previously: 48.8 Purchasing managers' index, total PROGNOSIS: 47.1 1st release: 47.1 previously: 48.1
• DE: Expert Council for Climate Issues, PK on the publication of the biennial report on the state of climate policy in Germany

10:15

• ES: ECB Vice President De Guindos, speech at conference of Naturgy Foundation and IESE Business School

10:30

• EE: ECB President Lagarde, speech at conference of the Estonian Central Bank

11:00

• EU: Producer Prices September Eurozone PROGNOSIS: +1.6% yoy/+42.1% yoy previous: +5.0% yoy/+43.3% yoy

11:30

• DE: Government-PK, Berlin

13:30

• UK: ECB Banking Supervisor Enria, Speech at Cumberland Lodge Financial Services Summit
• US: Labor Market Data October Employment ex Agriculture PROGNOSIS: +205,000 yoy previous: +263,000 yoy Unemployment rate PROGNOSIS: 3.5% previous: 3.5% Average hourly earnings PROGNOSIS: +0.3 yoy/+4.7% yoy previous: +0.3 yoy/+5.0% yoy

15:00

• US: Fed Boston President Collins. (2022 FOMC voting member), speech at Brookings Institution

Untimed:

• CN: Chancellor Scholz, talks with President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang as part of China trip (to Nov. 5), Beijing
• DE: G7, final meeting of foreign ministers (from Nov. 3), Münster
• EU: Rating reviews for:

France (Fitch), Ireland (Moody's)

Norway (Moody's)

Quarterly figures / Corporate dates Europe

06:30 Societe Generale quarterly figures

07:00 Vonovia 9 Months Results

07:30 Gea Group | Krones | Erste Group Bank

07:30 Andritz quarterly figures

07:40 Telefonica quarterly figures

08:00 RTL Group Sales 3Q

08:30 Amadeus IT Group 9 months results

No time stated: Intesa Sanpaolo SpA

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Economy on 24.05.2023...

The market is currently under tension ⤵️

As Friday and Monday won, so yesterday almost everything clotted again! Of course, this is not 100% true and is different for everyone. Depending on the weighting of the corresponding sectors in the portfolio. But you can clearly see how much under tension, the current stock market is. If one goes only after the fundamental data of the companies and their quarterly figures, we would not be where we are today. It is already again very much future music eingepreist. Which is of course normal on the stock market, because the stock market always trades the future. But how much of it will really happen and when?

• Interest rate hikes are now history?
• Are we already expecting the first interest rate cuts?

One sees again and again how risk capital is pulled out of the market, but which alternatives are there really? It flows back again and again and we will probably still be in this ping pong for a while.

Let's take a look at the S&P 500:

• $AAPL Apple 7.41% weighting and YTD +32.98%
• $MSFT Microsoft 6.74% weighting with YTD +33.83
• $GOOGL Alphabet
  4.0% weighting with YTD +41.04%
• $AMZN Amazon 2.95% Weighting with YTD + 37.30%
• $NVDA Nvidia 2.19% weighting with YTD +113.53%

The performance of the $IUSA
S&P500 is currently +8.9% in 2023 (as of yesterday pre-market). Nvidia will still publish the quarterly figures today and we will also be able to look behind the company fundamentally! But you can already see strongly how the big tech companies, the market just pull. A setback in this sector, so could really hurt. On Instagram, I have made the days a survey among Nvidia investors, and the majority has taken profits before the numbers or plans it now after the numbers. At least partial sales were at the top of the list. It remains exciting! If you continue to have some capital lying, you can be quite relaxed and diligently buy in case of setbacks!

The ECB (Council member Villeroy de Galhau) has said yesterday in an interview that the interest rate increases stop in the summer at the latest. This has of course companies like $VNA
Vonovia pleased, which was then around 6% in plus. But others also did well yesterday against the market. Tech and large US stocks down a bit and the good anti-cyclicals up a bit. I'm curious to see how it goes this week. What do you think and do you change anything in your investment?

$SIX2
Sixt is trading EX-dividend today and today numbers at. $S92
SMA Solar. There I am very curious. Am there unfortunately, much too early got out!

What is still so today:

08:00

• UK: Consumer Prices April Consumer Prices PROGNOSIS: +0.8% yoy/ +8.2% yoy previously: +0.8% yoy/+10.1% yoy Core consumer prices PROGNOSIS: +0.7% yoy/ +6.1% yoy previously: +0.9% yoy/ +6.2% yoy

10:00

• DE: ifo Business Climate Index May PROGNOSE: 93.0 previous: 93.6 Business situation PROGNOSE: 94.5 previous: 95.0 Business expectations PROGNOSE: 91.9 previous: 92.2

15:00

• BE: Business Climate Index May PROGNOSE: -8.8 points previous: -7.8 points

16:30

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from the government's Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Untimed:

• EU: Commission, presentation of an "investment strategy for retail investors," including proposals on commission-based advice and information requirements

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Krones 1.75 EUR

Nemetschek 0.45 EUR

PSI Software 0.40 EUR

Sixt St. 6.11 EUR

Sixt Vz. 6.13 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

05:00 Lenovo annual results

13:00 Analog Devices Quarterly Results

18:00 Amazon AGM

22:20 Nvidia quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:30 CTS Eventim quarterly figures

10:00 Lanxess | New Work | SMA Solar

10:00 Uniper | Zalando AGM

11:00 Puma | Adva | Teamviewer AGM

Without time information: Cropenergies | Einhell Quarterly figures

Image from the post is from Instagram from Cashcocktail's post. This was not generated by me. Click here to go to the post https://www.instagram.com/p/CslsQkNMFu8/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

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11/16/2022 Economy...

I vote against the short question posts✅⤵️

It's a big topic here right now, after all, and I can totally relate. These short question posts are absolutely taking over. When these come from new investors, I think that's completely fine. But if these come from larger accounts and it is always the same only with a different name, then that is too much in the long run and the content is dull here. Problem I see but in it, as long as these posts have 30 comments and 20 likes, there will always be these and the qualitatively important contributions, go completely under. Have it yesterday already written. Uses gladly also times the blocking function. Even if you do not want to see these morning posts from me.

There I have understanding for. I will delete my monthly Q&A, also from the content.

The market starts today somewhat more restrained, than the other days. Whether it was because we had 2 good days and here also times a few profits are taken off the table, or the incident from Poland yesterday, we will see these days now. I am curious. Let's start times purely in the trading day:

Economic data

08:00

• UK: Consumer Prices October PROGNOSIS: +1.8% yoy/+10.9% yoy previous: +0.5% yoy/+10.1% yoy

09:00

• DE: German Retail Association (HDE), Retail Congress Germany (until 17.11.)Berlin

10:00

• DE: LBBW Research, PG on Capital Market Outlook
• DE: ECB, Publication of the Financial Stability Report

10:50

• EU: ECB, allotment of 8-day dollar tender

11:30

• DE: Auction result for 15-year 1.0% federal bond increase of 1.5 billion euros
• DE: Government-PK

14:30

• US: Retail sales October PROGNOSIS: +1.2% yoy previous: 0.0% yoy Retail sales ex motor vehicles PROGNOSIS: +0.6% yoy previous: +0.1% yoy
• US: Import and export prices October Import prices PROGNOSE: -0.4% yoy previous: -1.2% yoy

15:15

• US: Industrial production and capacity utilization October Industrial production PROGNOSE: +0.1% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy Capacity utilization PROGNOSE: 80.4% previous: 80.3

16:00

• IT: ECB Director Panetta, speech at ABI's Executive Committee Meeting
• US: Inventories September PROGNOSE: +0.5% yoy previous: +0.8% yoy

16:30

• US: Crude oil inventories data (week) of the government Energy Information Administration (EIA)
  PROGNOSIS: +0.8% yoy

18:00

• DE: ECB President Lagarde, speech on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the Frankfurt European School

20:35

• US: Fed Governor Waller (FOMC voting member), Speech on Economic Outlook at 59th Annual Economic Forecast Luncheon, Phoenix.

Untimed:

• UN: German Chancellor Scholz, concludes trip to Vietnam, Singapore and G20 summit in Bali
• DE: Berlin Constitutional Court, ruling on possible rerun of House of Representatives elections
• ID: G20, closing summit of heads of state and government (since 11/15), Bali
• DE: G7, meeting of interior ministers (until Nov. 18), Eltville
• EC: World Climate Conference COP27 (until Nov. 18), Sharm El-Sheikh

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

22:05 Cisco Systems quarterly figures

22:20 Nvidia quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Grand City Properties | Siemens Energy

07:30 Compleo | Dermapharm | Exasol | Alstom

13:30 Curevac Quarterly Figures

22:05 Morphosys quarterly figures

No time stated: Zurich Insurance Group Investor Day | Rheinmetall closing Capital Markets Day

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5,000 followers on getquin...

...for this getquin and I would like to bedanken⤵️

Below you will find a special with cool goodies

My start on getquin was anything but good. I didn't understand the platform, didn't understand the community here and didn't really know what to do with it.but just as getquin has evolved, so have I. I quickly realized that you don't need content here like you do on Instagram. I quickly realized that you don't need content here like you do on Instagram. I have now met so many people here, who bring so high-quality content of their own free will, so deep into companies, that it puts me far in the shade. That makes this very qualitative (of course there are one or two outliers that you have to ignore) community. Here I am also just a part of a community, no more and no less value. I just needed my time.

Then I started to order myself better.

I would like Habicht on both platforms always the same post, that is for me simply not my claim. Therefore I have tested something around and at least, something for the start found, how I can bring my part here. Have there even more things planned, which I will then bring after the quarterly season.

Thanks for the daily great news, which motivate me very much. Even though these morning posts don't look that elaborate, you still are. Just like summarizing the numbers. You spend a lot of time on it. So I'm very happy that it fits for you as well. Now I can continue to build on it...

It also remains so that I will not post any advertising or contests here....

Except today. With getquin together, we had decided to make the special on Instagram, because I had a clear rule for me here, no sweepstakes and no advertising. that's why there is a post on Instagram today, where you can win AirPods Pro 2. So feel free to check it out.

But when I prepared the post, doubts came to me. It bothered me personally, that a completely different community, should benefit from the fact that you are so great here. That's why I decided to waive my one rule this time and told getquin that I would like to raffle off a 50€ Amazon voucher. David from getquin liked that so much that he also added a merch package, which we want to raffle off here in the next week. I hope you forgive me for that, but I think it's just fair.

Of course I can't run some random tool here which draws lots. So we do it as follows:

It will be among all comments in my morning post today:

https://app.getquin.com/activity/qYdltjWpYI?lang=de&utm_source=sharing

1x 50€ Amazon voucher

1x merch package from getquin

raffled. It must be a single comment and not a reply to another comment. There will be 2 winners. To make it fair, I will have one pick my wife and one pick my kids. They don't know you, nor do they know who is behind this. I will then comment under your comment that you have won and what, and will write you my business mail address with purely, to which you then please turn, because of address, size or even the voucher.

I will run the contest until Wednesday (09.11.2022), I think that there is then as so no more reaction to this post. You do not have to follow me for this. That's up to you, every comment counts (but of course everyone may comment only once, duplicate will not be evaluated or I delete this on the day of the draw still all out).

I look forward to a growing community, many great contributions and analysis

from you and say also again in the name of getquin @Kundenservice
@getquin thank you. Also like to look on Instagram again and take part in the sweepstakes for the Apple AirPods Pro 2.

In this sense, I wish everyone a nice start to the weekend.

Best regards from the Baltic coast.

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Economy on 26.04.2023...

40 is the new 30. Big tech delivers ab⤵️

Yes today is the day...40 is now upon us. It's no different than 39. If you think about it, a share of $KO
Coca-Cola on 26.04.1983 in about 1,17$ and of $ABT
Abbott 1.32, a lot has happened since then. Unfortunately, my parents didn't have it as easy investing in stocks back then as we do now, 40 years later. Even my wife and I, have for years, run junior securities accounts for both children. Both are also being raised knowing they own stocks and are learning daily from dad what that means.

Big tech delivers very well yesterday. $MSFT
Microsoft and $GOOG
Alphabet have presented and delivered their numbers. Outlook for both good and Alphabet with further share buyback program. $V
Visa also delivers surprisingly good figures. Since I would have expected after Sven results of AMEX with something less. But everything seems to run smoothly and the outlook looks good. Also $PEP
PepsiCo The flood of numbers will continue today and tomorrow and also takes in the next week still no halt. Tomorrow I have my 4th wedding anniversary and probably won't post.

I continue to wonder if everyone is delivering on the numbers like the big ones have, why are we still and constantly talking about a recession. Why should the FED now lower interest rates so quickly, as it was already expected by her again and priced in the market. Can well imagine that here the next few weeks will be looked at again more closely. I think that we should not fire the ammunition so quickly again. Could of course also be that the market, exactly that, had priced in the last 2 days. We will see!

Let's take a look at the day today, am also curious whether it was again only a short twitch in cryptos or continues. Unfortunately, my savings plans are always triggered on Wednesdays. Maybe I need to change that sometime.

Economic data

08:00

• DE: GfK consumer climate indicator May PROGNOSIS: -27.8 points previously: -29.5 points
• DE: Destatis, Labor Costs in EU Comparison 2022

08:45

• FR: Consumer confidence April PROGNOSIS: 82 previously: 81

11:00

• DE: Federal Government, Cabinet Meeting, Berlin

14:15

• DE: Federal Minister of Economics Habeck, Pk to present the new economic forecast of the Federal Government, Berlin

14:30

• US: New orders for durable goods March PROGNOSIS: +0.5% yoy previous: -1.0% yoy

16:30

• US: Crude oil inventory data (week) from the government-owned Energy Information Administration (EIA)

ex-dividend of individual stocks

First Sensor AG 0.47 EUR

ING Groep 0.389 EUR

L'Oreal 6.00 EUR

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

01:30 SK Hynix quarterly figures

13:30 Boeing quarterly figures

22:05 Ebay | Mattel | Align Technology

22:30 Meta Platforms Quarterly Figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Varta Annual Results | Roche

07:00 Safran Sales 1Q

07:30 Danone | Orange | KPN NV quarterly figures

07:30 Unibail-Rodamco | Symrise Trading Update 1Q

07:30 Beiersdorf Sales 1Q

08:00 MTU Aero | Puma | GSK plc

08:00 Standard Chartered Quarterly Figures

08:00 CRH plc Trading Update

08:20 Iberdrola quarterly figures

10:30 Hochtief AGM

15:00 RTL Group AGM + Annual Report

17:40 Michelin Sales 1Q

18:00 Flatexdegiro quarterly figures

19:00 Deutsche Börse quarterly figures

No time stated: TAG Immobilien Capital Markets Day

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#pepsico

Economy on 15.11.2023...

Market still in the year-end rally? Do you have experience with short positions? ⤵️

Yesterday evening, we received the news that Mr. Burry had closed his short positions on the S&P500 and NASDAQ worth "$1.6 trillion" ( for the morning grouches here, I left the $1.6 trillion in English and quoted it from the CBNC image),has closed. He did this with "only" a 40% loss. Of course, you immediately read a lot of malice and insults on the net.

Personally, I think that selling positions at a loss is the most difficult thing to learn on the stock market. All you hear from many new investors is: "As soon as my position is back to 0, I'll sell it"! They don't dare to take the loss. They see this as failure. When playing poker (yes, I come from this scene, and I made a living from it for many years), I quickly learned that in the long run, you make the most money with "folds". You simply maneuver yourself into "stupid" hands too often and burn money. That adds up to a lot of money in the long run.

It's similar on the stock market. With sensible money management, you can get rid of losing positions in good time or keep a better eye on them and not let them run against you for no reason! It is therefore important to review your positions from time to time and, if necessary, accept losses. With M. Burry, of course, everyone is always happy to take a loss, as he is betting against us all.

Have you had any experience with short positions? Have you already bet on falling prices?

Please always be careful, especially if you do this with leverage certificates. Not all of us have the opportunity to go short directly on the share with our broker.

What actually happens there? You borrow the share and then sell it immediately. Now you hope that this share will continue to fall and then at some point you buy it back at a lower price and can then give it back. You then make a profit. But of course you still pay some fees for borrowing the shares. With many brokers, these are also covered again and again at the end of the trading day. So you can only go short intraday and the profit or loss at the end of the day is always there. So please take a close look and be careful. It is best to focus on the rising market. There are always plenty of opportunities there and it is easier for "beginners" to analyze.

The market currently looks very positive and seems to want to show its "good" side again at the end of the year. A lot of capital is flowing in again. Yesterday, some capital also flowed back into the stock market from the risky crypto market. But even in the crypto market, things still look good on a weekly basis. Above all $SOL
Solana has made considerable gains here. But also the $BTC
BTC and $ETH
ETH, have also performed very well. When the approvals for the crypto ETFs finally come, the party could start. The next BTC halving is also scheduled for 2024. It remains exciting!

Let's take a look at the entire trading day today. Above all, the figures from $ENR Siemens Energy. What will happen here now that the aid has been approved?

Economic data

08:00

• UK: Consumer prices October Consumer prices PROGNOSE: +0.1% yoy/+4.7% yoy previous: +0.5% yoy/+6.7% yoy Core consumer prices PROGNOSE: +0.4% yoy/+5.8% yoy previous: +0.5% yoy/+6.1% yoy

11:00

• EU: Trade Balance September | Industrial Production September Eurozone FORECAST: -0.8% yoy/-6.4% yoy previously: +0.6% yoy/-5.1% yoy

14:30

• US: Retail Sales October FORECAST: -0.2% yoy previous: +0.7% yoy Retail Sales ex Motor Vehicles FORECAST: 0.0% yoy previous: +0.6% yoy
• US: Empire State Manufacturing Index November FORECAST: -3.0 previous: -4.6
• US: Producer Prices October PROGNOSE: +0.1% yoy previous: +0.5% yoy Core rate (excluding food and energy) PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.3% yoy

15:30

• US: Fed Governor Barr (FOMC voting member) testifies at House Financial Services Committee hearing

16:00

• US: Inventories September PROGNOSE: +0.4% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy
  

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

22:05 Cisco Systems quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates Europe

07:00 Siemens Energy | Grand City Properties

07:30 Infineon | Alstom | Dermapharm | SFC Energy

08:00 Cherry | Leifheit Quarterly figures

08:30 Siemens Energy PK

11:00 Siemens Energy Analyst Conference

14:00 Renault Capital Markets Day

22:00 Morphosys quarterly figures

Without time information: Evotec Capital Markets Day | Vitesco Presentation of the takeover offer by Schaeffler

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#cisco

Economy on 24.08.2023...

Nvidia explodes after the numbers! More on the numbers here ⤵️

Nvidia's numbers were probably expected by most this week. Many have sold before the numbers, because the share has already risen sharply before and others again, hold the share and go with the hype.

Let's take a look at the numbers first before we go further into Nvidia:

Nvidia second-quarter earnings per share of $2.70 beat analyst estimates of $2.07. Revenue of $13.51 billion beat expectations of $11.13 billion.

Nvidia revenue data centers $10.32 billion; revenue games $2.49 billion; revenue car $253 million.

Nvidia they third quarter revenue at $16 billion.

Nvidia is buying back $25 billion worth of its own stock and holding its dividend steady.

Nvidia expects third quarter gross margin of 72-73 percent.

Nvidia revenue year-over-year: data center +171 percent, gaming +22 percent, professional visualization -24 percent, automotive +15 percent.

The CEO himself says, "A new computing era has started," and the numbers prove him right. Is this hype or can the fundamentals be backed up? Neither one, nor the other. In this case, the future is simply being traded. One assumes further increases and believes that this growth will be maintained. It is a bet on the digital future, in which Nvidia is and should remain a big player! If all this comes true, one will also receive fundamental figures in the future, but if a competitor or something else negative comes out of nowhere, then this can also turn very quickly. The downside risk is enormous, but so is the upside opportunity. There are some analysts who see Nvidia at $800. Now we are just at 500$, so there would still be a lot of meat to the top. But if we consider that we were just at 130$ at the beginning of the year, this is already an amazing story. In the last 3 months alone, more than 100% was added.

Yesterday came then also many Finfluenzer out of their holes and have sold Nvidia, today will surely come just as many out of the holes and brag that they have not sold and have always known. This confuses many investors. Got there yesterday some news from people who are now angry that they have sold before. This is a point that I can not understand. Please never think result-oriented. If a thing has happened, you can always say, oh I would have, but was clear..... I see it differently. The sale yesterday, or even days before, I can understand completely. fundamentally seen and if you look at the current market, I can understand that you have taken a few profits here. Whether partial sales or just completely out.

Do not be triggered by the fact that some will now brag about the profits. Yesterday at a live call on the numbers, every 3rd comment from some people was: "Now I'm rich", "Which color should I order the Lambo". And that's just because a stock went up 8% more. This is just very stupid, but triggers these people who have sold before, for their own reasons (hope that these are not influenced by Finfluenzern, but do it from their own decision). If you always go about it this way, the stock market will break you. Always stick to your strategy and don't let the bragging of others dissuade you from it. If you only take the information you had at the time of the decision, you have done everything right, what happens afterwards, you can not influence. Your strategy determines which risk you take and which you do not. If selling was the best solution for you, to take profits and to take pressure out, then you are doing the right thing for you. There will certainly be many other situations in your years on the stock market where things go differently, the stock falls and you are happy.

The Story $NVDA Nvidia is probably far from over ....

Let's take a look at today's trading day:

I'll add it in a moment due to time constraints!

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Snapchat -/ advertising shares now buyable?

Good day to you, stockbrokers,

on Thursday evening, Snapchat (WKN: A2DLMS) opened its books and lost 27% of its share price in after-hours trading. This now raises the question of whether, on the one hand, Snapchat is now buyable, or, on the other hand, whether shares in the advertising market are now buyable.

For what reasons did Snapchat stock fall? [Facts and Earnings]

First, let's look at the analysts' expected earnings and the actual ones.

Forecast: EPS [-$0.24] Revenue [1.12B]

Actual: EPS [$0.08] Revenue [1.13B]

EBITDA: 73 million -> 3x higher than expected.

Purely from these two key figures, one wonders for what reasons the Snapchat share has fallen and how the earnings were?

On the one hand, we have an 11% year-over-year decline in revenue per user in Q3 2022.

In addition, however, to see a higher revenue due to the growth of "Average Daily Active User", which is +19% globally. (Growth due to the Asian market +34%).

This also shows a change in the operating margin, which was -17% in Q3 2021 and -39% in Q3 2022.

Let's then come to the main points of the share price losses, which became clear in the quarterly figures!

What does a shareholder not like at all? 🥁🥁🥁

When companies are not transparent!

Snapchat has not published a real outlook, which is the main driver of the crash, as bad things were thus priced in.

In the fourth quarter, Snapchat might not generate any revenue growth according to the outlook, which is highly problematic as a growth company.

In the same course, there is such a restructuring of the company by also laying off 20% of the staff, which additionally represent times with less growth.

In addition, Snapchat has announced a share buyback program in the amount of $500 million, which is highly rare as a growth stock, and is considered questionable by the market.

Thus, we have a growth company, with no growth, which is not trying to restore their previous growth. Since 2017, Snapchat has had double-digit growth and now, the first year with single-digit and then still quarterly forecasts with 0% growth, as well as an increase in net debt to 350 million euros (400% increase)!

Snapchat has had the beginning of the third quarter numbers in the advertising market and from these numbers it is again apparent that it is small and mid cap companies that are cutting their advertising budgets first and this is having a direct impact on the advertising industry => "We are seeing our advertising partners across many industries cut their marketing budgets, especially given the headwinds of the operating environment, inflationary cost pressures and the rising cost of capital." (Investor Letter)

Peer Group - Companies and Their Performance (Thursday - After Hours)📉

Pinterest -7 %

The Trade Desk -5 %

Meta -4 %

Alphabet -2 %

Twitter -1 %

...

Reasons why Snapchat has shown little growth lately:

Reasons for the growth can be read in part from the points above, but briefly summarized again here.

💨Apple privacy update 2021: Leads to less advertising revenue (Meta, Alphabet.. Are also feeling this change very strongly as 99% of revenue is generated from advertising revenue).

💨 Economic slowdown -> recession? Stagflation? -> China change the date of GDP (recession?)

💨 Interest rates and high inflation are a challenge for unprofitable companies

💨 Strong competition (Meta/Tiktok)

Finally, I have a question for you:

Are you buying current companies in the advertising market or are you waiting as there are exciting earnings coming next week in the advertising market, for example from Meta and Alphabet.

Sources:

https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2022/q3/Snap-Inc.-Q3-2022-Earnings-Slides-(10.20.2022).pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/20/snap-earnings-q3-2022.html

https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2022/q3/Snap-Inc.-Q3-2022-Investor-Letter-(10.20.2022).pdf

#stocks
#etf
#dividends
#crypto
#newsroom
#communityfeedback
#earnings
#longshort
#learn
#alternative
#aktien
#dividende
#earnings

Quarterly figures from 27.10.2022...

Amazon, Apple 📉🔥💥, T-Mobile US , Intel 📈❤️⤵️

In the post earlier today, yes some numbers were announced:

https://app.getquin.com/activity/PkJeFBqydK?lang=de&utm_source=sharing

Let gladly again a Like there, would be very pleased, as the morning posts also a lot of effort. I currently plan these also further expand with links, etc. But I still need some time for that. But now to the numbers from today:

$INTC
Intel:

Beats analyst estimates of $0.34 in the third quarter with EPS of $0.59. Revenue of $15.3 billion below expectations of $15.43 billion. Intel with downside guidance for the fourth quarter. Sees EPS of $0.20 (consensus $0.68) and revenue of $14-15 billion (consensus $16.43 billion).

$AMZN
Amazon:

Beats analyst estimates of $0.22 in the third quarter with EPS of $0.28. Revenue of $127.1 billion below expectations of $127.76 billion. Amazon with downside guidance for the fourth quarter. Sees revenue of $140-148 billion (consensus $155.37 billion).

$AAPL
Apple:

Apple fourth quarter earnings per share of $1.29 beat analyst estimates of $1.26. Revenue of $90.1 billion beat expectations of $88.76 billion. Apple iPhone sales in fourth quarter at $42.6 billion (consensus estimate $43.4 billion, prior year $38.9 billion). Apple Mac revenue in the fourth quarter at $11.5 billion (consensus estimate $9.4 billion, prior year $9.2 billion). Apple wearables revenue in the fourth quarter at $9.7 billion (consensus estimate 9.0 billion, previous year 8.8 billion). Apple iPad revenue in the fourth quarter at $7.2 billion (consensus estimate $7.8 billion, prior year $8.3 billion). Apple service revenue in the fourth quarter at $19.2 billion (consensus estimate $20.4 billion, prior year $18.3 billion).

$TMUS
T-Mobile US:

Beat analyst estimates of $0.39 in third quarter with earnings per share of $0.40. Revenue of $19.48 billion below expectations of $20.02 billion.

$S92
SMA Solar:

Raises earnings forecast for current year and now expects Ebitda of 60-75 million euros ahead of 10-60 million previously.

Reasons for the forecast increase are the continued high order intake and a gradually improving supply of electronic components. In addition, a special effect in the lower double-digit million euro range from a real estate sale had a positive impact on earnings in the third quarter. (Had just sold at 62€)

$WDC
Western Digital:

Missed analyst estimates of $0.41 in the first quarter with earnings per share of $0.20. Revenue of $3.74 billion exceeded expectations of $3.64 billion.

$MA
MasterCard:

Third-quarter earnings per share of $2.68 beat analyst estimates of $2.57. Revenue of $5.8 billion exceeded expectations of $5.65 billion.

$TTE
TotalEnergies SE:

Missed analyst estimates of $3.99 in the third quarter with earnings per share of $3.83. Revenue of $64.92 billion below expectations of $79.43 billion.

$TROW
T. Rowe Price Group Inc:

Third-quarter earnings per share of $1.86 beat analyst estimates of $1.85. Revenue of $1.59 billion exceeded expectations of $1.55 billion.

$MO
Altria Group Inc:

Missed analyst estimates of $1.30 in the third quarter with earnings per share of $1.28. Revenue of $6.55 billion exceeded expectations of $5.6 billion.

$CMCSA
Comcast Corp. Class A:

Third-quarter earnings per share of $0.96 beat analyst estimates of $0.90. Revenue of $29.85 billion exceeded expectations of $29.75 billion.

$MCD
McDonald's Corp:

Surpassed analyst estimates of $2.59 in third-quarter earnings per share of $2.68. Revenue of $5.87 billion exceeded expectations of $5.72 billion.

$SWK
Stanley Black & Decker Inc:

Third-quarter earnings per share of $0.76 beat analyst estimates of $0.72. Revenue of $4.1 billion exceeded expectations of $4 billion.

$CAT
Caterpillar Inc:

Beats analyst estimates of $3.17 in the third quarter with earnings per share of $3.95. Revenue of $15 billion beats expectations of $14.15 billion.

$MRK
Merck & Co. Inc:

Beats analyst estimates of $1.75 in the third quarter with earnings per share of $1.85. Revenue of $15 billion beats expectations of $14.07 billion. Merck & Co raises outlook to 2022 and sees revenue at $58.5 billion to $59.0 billion (previously: $57.5 billion to $58.5 billion) and adjusted earnings per share at $7.32 to $7.37 (previously: $7.25 to $7.35).

$LIN
Linde:

Reports Q3 sales of $8.8 billion (PY: $7.68 billion, analyst forecast: $8.34 billion), operating profit of $1.6 billion (PY: $1.3 billion) and adjusted net profit of $1.55 billion (PY: $1.42 billion, forecast: $1.47 billion). In the 2022 outlook, Linde expects adjusted earnings per share of $11.93 to $12.03 (previous: $11.73 to $11.93).

$BEI
Beiersdorf:

Posts Q1-3 sales of €6.7 billion (organic +11.1%), Consumer business segment sales growth to €5.4 billion (organic +11.7%), organic growth across all brands: NIVEA +10.8%, Derma +25.3%, La Prairie +5.5%, Healthcare +12.8%; the tesa business segment achieved sales of €1.3 billion, organic +8.3%. Beiersdorf expects organic sales growth for tesa of between 7% and 9% for the full year 2022. The operating EBIT margin of the current business excluding special items is expected to be only slightly below the previous year, despite high raw material and transport costs.

$KU2
KUKA:

Achieves Q1-3 order intake of €3.68 billion (PY: €2.69 billion), sales of €2.76 billion (PY: €2.35 billion), Ebit of €80.9 million (PY: €45.5 million), Ebitda of €174.3 million (PY: €137.2 million) and profit after tax of €66.7 million (PY: €29.8 million). KUKA is adjusting its guidance for the financial year 2022. Orders received will exceed €3.9 billion (more than 10% above the previous year's figure). Sales will be above €3.6 billion (more than 10% above the previous year's figure). The EBIT margin guidance is substantiated and will be around 3.0%.

$ULVR
Unilever:

Raises its sales guidance again. Organic growth of more than 8% is now expected for the full year (previously: 4.5 to 6.5%).

$MTX
MTU:

Reports Q3 revenues of €1.349 billion (PY: €1.004 billion, analyst forecast: €1.315 billion), Ebit (adjusted) of €158 million (PY: €117 million, forecast: €153 million), Ebit margin of 11.7% (PY: 11.7%, forecast: 11.6%) and net profit (adjusted) of €113 million (PY: €85 million, forecast: €111 million). In its outlook for 2022, the company now expects revenue of €5.4 to €5.5 billion (forecast: €5.282 billion) and an increase in EBIT (adjusted) in the low 30 percent range.

$HFG
HelloFresh:

Achieves Q3 revenues of €1.86 billion (PY: €1.42 billion, analyst forecast: €1.8 billion), Ebitda (adjusted) of €71.8 million (PY: €79.8 million, analyst forecast: €75.6 million) and Ebitda margin (adjusted) of 3.9% (PY: 5.6%). The number of active customers was reported at 7.51 million (previous year: 6.94 million, forecast: 7.5 million), the number of orders at 29.03 million (previous year: 27.59 million).

$NEM
Nemetschek:

Achieves Q3 revenues of €202.8 million (PY: €169.3 million, analyst forecast: €199 million), Ebitda of €62.9 million (PY: €54.4 million, forecast: €62 million), Ebitda margin of 31.0% (PY: 32.1%, forecast: 31.1%) and net profit of €38.8 million (PY: €34.2 million, forecast: €36.4 million). Outlook for 2022 confirmed.

$KGX
KION:

Achieves revenue of €8.24 million in 1Q to 3Q. Quarter: revenue of €8.24 billion (PY: €7.5 billion, analyst forecast: €8.1 billion), order backlog of €7.7 billion (end of 2021: €6.66 billion), EBIT margin of 2.6% (PY: 9.2%, forecast: 2.3%), Ebit (adjusted) of €210.6 million (PY: €691.1 million, forecast: €189 million) and net profit of €66.9 million (PY: €430.8 million, forecast: €35 million). Kion intends to withdraw completely from Russian business. Outlook confirmed.

$LHA
Lufthansa:

Reports Q3 revenue of €10.06 billion (PY: €5.20 billion, preliminary: €10.1 billion), Ebit (adjusted) of €1.132 billion (PY: €251 million), adjusted free cash flow of €410 billion (PY: €43 million, preliminary: €400 million) and net profit of €809 million (PY: -72 million). In the outlook, the company sees itself on track to achieve medium-term targets for 2024.

$SOW
Software AG:

Posts Q3 revenue of €221.4 million (PY: €198 million, analyst forecast: €225 million), Ebita margin of 16.6% (PY: 16.8%, forecast: 13.9%), Ebita (adjusted, organic) of €35.3 million (PY: €33.3 million, forecast: €31.3 million) and net loss of €10.8 million (PY: €16.3 million). Outlook for 2022 confirmed.

$WCH
Wacker Chemie:

Achieves Q3 sales of €2.13 billion (€1.66 billion, analyst forecast: €2.13 billion), Ebitda of €457 million (PY: €449.6 million, forecast: €499.3 million) and net profit of €258.9 million (PY: €264.5 million, forecast: €291.1 million). In its outlook for 2022, the company now expects Ebitda in the range of €2.1 to €2.3 billion (previous: €1.8 to €2.3 billion) and revenues unchanged in the range of €8.0 to €8.5 billion.

$AIXA
Aixtron:

Achieves Q3 revenues of €88.9 million (PY: €130.8 million, analyst forecast: €127.7 million), order intake of €142.8 million (PY: €114.2 million), EBIT of €16.2 million (PY: €36.2 million, forecast: €30.8 million) and net income of €19.1 million (PY: €31.4 million). In the outlook for 2022, Aixtron raises its order intake guidance from €540 to €600 million (previously: €520 to €580 million).

#amazon
#intel
#tmobile
#unilever
#lufthansa
#hellofresh
#linde
#quartalszahlen
#news
#newsroom
#aktien
#aktientipps
#community
#communityfeedback
#lernen

Economy on 02.02.2023...

The day after the interest rate decision, what now?⤵️

The FED did not actually surprise yesterday. 25 basis points were priced in and also delivered. Also that is not yet the end, was probably clear to everyone. Bit of pressure is taken out and until May still expected with 2 increases, so that the 5% are reached. But what then? I am curious. The FED must also stop in time, before we slide into recession, if it can prevent that at all.

Meta also delivered figures yesterday. I reported on that in this post:

https://app.getquin.com/activity/mEVsalGQkW?lang=de&utm_source=sharing

For me, even after a 20% jump in one day, Meta continues not to be an investment that interests me personally, but seems to be generating a lot of attention. What's up today:

Economic data

08:00

• DE: Trade balance December Trade balance seasonally adjusted PROGNOSE: +7.8 bn euro previous: +10.8 bn euro Exports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -3.5% yoy previous: -0.3% yoy Imports (real, seasonally adjusted) PROGNOSE: -2.5% yoy previous: -3.3% yoy

10:00

• DE: VDMA, Machinery and Plant Manufacturing Incoming Orders December

13:00

• UK: BoE, Outcome and Minutes of the Monetary Policy Council Meeting and Monetary Policy Report Bank Rate PROGNOSIS: 4.00% previously: 3.50%

14:15

• EU: ECB, Result of the Council Meeting Main refinancing rate PROGNOSE: 3.00% previously: 2.50% Deposit rate PROGNOSE: 2.50% previously: 2.00%

14:30

• US: Initial jobless claims (week) PROGNOSIS: 195,000 previously: 186,000
• US: Productivity ex Agriculture (1st release) 4Q annualized PROGNOSIS: +2.5% yoy 3Q: +0.8% yoy Unit labor costs PROGNOSIS: +1.5% yoy 3Q: +2.4% yoy
• DE: Chancellor Scholz, statement with Biontech CEO Sahin after company visit to Marburg

14:45

• EU: ECB, PK after Council meeting

16:00

• US: Industrial new orders December PROGNOSIS: +2.0% yoy previous: -1.8% yoy

19:30

• FR: ECB President Lagarde, speech at Franco-German Business Awards ceremony.

Untimed:

• SE/FI: German Economics Minister Habeck, bilateral talks with his counterparts on economic, energy and trade policy issues (until Feb. 3)

Quarterly figures / Company dates USA / Asia

07:00 Sony quarterly figures

12:30 Honeywell | Merck & Co

12:30 Intercontinental Exchange quarterly figures

22:05 Amazon | Qualcomm | Alphabet | Starbucks

22:10 Ford | Apple quarterly figures

Quarterly Figures / Company Dates Europe

06:50 Nordea Bank | Banco Santander

07:00 Deutsche Bank | DWS Group

07:00 Siemens Healthineers | Siltronic | OMV

07:00 ABB | Roche | NG Groep | Julius Baer

07:30 Infineon Quarterly Figures

08:00 Shell | BT Group Quarterly Figures

08:00 Anglo American Production Report 4Q

14:00 Ferrari Annual Results

#apple
#ford
#shell
#amazon
#starbucks
#alphabet
#qualcomm
#siemens
#ferrari
#infineon
#sony
#roche
#quartalszahlen
#zinsen
#zinsentwicklung
#zinserhöhung
#fed
#powell
#inflation
#rezession
#börse
#boerse
#aktien
#wirtschaft
#meta
#nachrichten
#täglich
#news
#newsroom
#community
#communityfeedback