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Quantum computing—the next big investment trend after AI?

I've been looking into quantum computing for some time now and wonder if this might be one of the more interesting technological developments to emerge over the next five to ten years.


Companies like IBM $IBM (+1,24%) , Google $GOOGL (-0,68%), IonQ $IONQ (+1,66%) and Quantinuum $QNT (+3,01%) are investing heavily in the development of powerful quantum computers. Much of this is still in the research phase and a long way off, but the potential applications are enormous.


What I find particularly exciting isn’t just the question of who will ultimately build the best quantum computer. I’m also interested in the companies that could profit from the necessary infrastructure. For example, Keysight $KEYS (+1,9%) with its measurement and control technology.


Another area is quantum security. If today’s encryption methods eventually need to be replaced by quantum-secure technologies, companies like NXP $NXPI (+0,57%) , Infineon $IFX (-2,67%) or Thales $HO (+1,02%) could benefit. And possibly much sooner than quantum computers are deployed commercially on a large scale.


That’s why I’m currently looking at the WisdomTree Quantum Computing UCITS ETF $WQTM (+0,17%)
(IE000W8WMSL2) and am considering building a small long-term position.


Of course, I’m aware that a lot of future potential is already priced into this sector. Many of the specialized companies are barely making any money so far or are posting heavy losses.


On the other hand, I wonder if we aren’t actually at the very beginning of a development that could have a completely different economic significance in ten years.


I’d be interested to hear your thoughts on this.


Is quantum computing already an investment theme for you, or is it still too much hype?


Do you tend to focus on individual companies, their suppliers, or a broadly diversified ETF?


And most importantly: Which companies do you think could actually make money from this in the long term?

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11 Comentários

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I believe that fund providers often launch these ETFs primarily for marketing reasons—to jump on existing trends and rake in our money. In many cases, products didn’t hit the market until the hype had already peaked. What I mean is: Unfortunately, we won’t find “the next big thing” in ETFs.
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@risk_minister_211 Since AI will have wiped us all out in 10 years anyway, there won't be a "Big Next Thing" anymore 😜
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@Raketentoni I don't think so. No sooner is everything reduced to rubble and ashes than the crypto circus is celebrating its big comeback as the technological future of humanity. 🫣
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You shouldn't forget about Europe's " $IQMX " project, which aims to achieve independence.
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@Raketentoni You can read more about it on Multibagger, which has, of course, been invested there for quite some time. :-)
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@Multibagger So you were involved from the very beginning! I find this exciting from a technological standpoint, especially with regard to Europe’s technological sovereignty: developing our own quantum hardware, chip design, and manufacturing instead of long-term dependence on U.S. suppliers. When it comes to the Q3 earnings report on November 5, I’m particularly interested in system shipments, order intake, and cash burn. The key question will be whether the technological lead can also be scaled economically.
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@Jeong Take a look here—I featured the stock back then:

Check out this post on getquin. https://getqu.in/qNc9lV/
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@Jeong It's definitely super exciting, but as with all quantum stocks, you need patience and have to be able to handle volatility.
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We must be careful not to overestimate the potential of quantum technology. The TAM is more limited here than in other sectors, and there are essentially only three use cases: 1) Molecular and materials simulation (medicines, batteries, superconductors) 2. Optimization problems (logistics, route planning, supply chains) 3. Cryptography

And the most important point is actually what quantum computing won’t replace—it won’t replace Windows, smartphones, or gaming PCs. Quantum computers are more like specialized machines for specialized problems with limited use cases.
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@Dirty30 I'm not that deeply involved in it, but the cybersecurity sector is a huge market that's set to grow significantly in the long term.

And, of course, research could gain more momentum. It's conceivable that something similar to what's happening with AI agents could happen here—that in the long run, you could profit from increased productivity.
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@Aktien4Million Cybersecurity is indeed one of the sectors with the greatest long-term potential. These companies are valued accordingly.
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