8Mês·

The little value pearl would like to be picked up from the children's paradise 👩‍👧‍👦

Hello my dears,

Lately I have noticed that the comments under my company presentations have become fewer and fewer.

That's why I analyzed the last comments again.


The criticism here was:

  • The share has already run too hot
  • The margins are too low, or the company is not profitable


That's why I looked in the value area today, which is rather unusual for me. And that's why I found almost no company. Which fulfills my other criteria.

But when I looked again, a company from a growth sector caught my eye.


When I looked at the earnings estimates, I came up with a earnings growth of almost +40 % next year, and almost 62 % in 2028 , Akamai stood out.


Margins should also fall this time, with an EBIT margin which is almost 30 % is at almost 30 %.

(@All-in-or-nothing ??)


My favorite momentum seems to be slowly emerging.

Chart-technically shortly before the breakout.

(@TomTurboInvest ??)


Software stocks took a beating last year. This trend does not seem to have passed Akamai by.

Which I think is good, because we are getting a stock from a future and growth sector at a great valuation.


In my opinion, Akamai was unjustly punished. Of course there was a decline in net income in 2024, but that should be water under the bridge by now. Where is the famous investor's view of the future here?


In my opinion, AI should not harm the company, rather the opposite, and play into its cards.


My dears, so let's not just talk about AI, but simply ask them:


📈 Short answer

Yes, Cyberattacks will increase significantly due to AI - and this is not just a guess, but has been confirmed by several independent security studies.


🔥 Why AI is increasing cyberattacks

1 AI makes attacks faster, cheaper and more precise

  • AI enables automated scanning of vulnerabilities on a gigantic scale - 36,000 attack probes per second have been measured.
  • Attackers can use AI to identify attack surfaces in seconds, compromise systems and expand access.

2. phishing & social engineering are being perfected

  • AI generates deceptively real emails, voices (vishing) and deepfakes.
  • Google warns of a "tectonic shift": AI-supported deepfakes and fake IT employees will increase massively in 2026.
  • Phishing now accounts for around 75% of all attacks - and rising sharply

3 AI-based attacks are exploding statistically

  • AI-driven cyber attacks have increased by 72 % in 2025.
  • 87% of companies now report AI-based incidents.

4. state actors use AI aggressively

  • According to Google, Europe will be increasingly targeted by state attacks in 2026 - AI-supported, highly automated and strategic.

5 Professional cybercrime is on the rise

  • The number of successful attacks in Europe has tripled since 2020 tripled since.


🧭 Conclusion

Yes - cyberattacks will not only increase due to AI, they will change qualitatively. Attacks will be:

  • faster
  • more scalable
  • harder to detect
  • more focused on people instead of just systems

For companies, this means AI is becoming a central risk and defense factor at the same time.


Thank you dear AI for your quick response.


(@EpsEra my dear, didn't you also deal with this topic the other day and what do you think of akamai $AKAM (+0,23%) ??)


My friends,

today I'll start the company presentation with the valuation and the chart.


Have fun exploring Akamai $AKAM (+0,23%)

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The key figure with the highest stability for the Akamai Technologies share is the operating cash flow, which is used below for the valuation. The KCV (price/cash flow ratio) calculated from this ratio is 8.91, which is 2.93 points below the historical average of 11.84 for the last 10 years. From this perspective, the Akamai Technologies share appears to be favorably valued to be favorably valued. (Stock Finder)


The fair value of the Akamai Technologies share is calculated over the 10-year valuation period selected above. The average KCV in this case is 11.84.

Multiplied by the operating cash flow per share of USD 10.88 over the last 4 quarters, this results in a fair value of USD 128.84 for the Akamai Technologies share. The current share price of USD 95.08 is 26.2% below this fair value, which corresponds to an undervaluation of the share.

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Akamai - Cybersecurity specialist benefits from increasing corporate spending on security solutions and in the area of cloud infrastructure solutions!

Business driver: Akamai (AKAM) specializes in cloud services in the field of cybersecurity, among other things, and should benefit from increasing spending by many corporate customers who want to protect themselves against threats from hacker attacks and malware. Through the Akamai Connected Cloud, the company offers its customers integrated one-stop-shop solutions that bundle cloud computing, edge computing and comprehensive security solutions on a central platform. In the past Q3, EPS of USD 1.86 (+16.98%) was impressive.


Reasons for Akamai

  • Akamai Cloud
  • Akamai Security
  • Global Infrastructure



Akamai Cloud

Build low-latency, AI-driven applications with our affordable, open-source cloud.

  • Inference Cloud

Akamai offers a reliable, globally distributed cloud built for the AI era. It brings GPU-based computing closer to users and data, accelerating growth, strengthening competitiveness and controlling costs.


Features

  • Dedicated GPUs
  • Traffic management
  • Serverless functions
  • Customizable AI security
  • Creation and management of agents and applications
  • Distributed data
  • Uniform observability
  • Data pipelines
  • Object storage


Use cases

Run AI wherever it adds value. Enabling faster responses, smarter automation and effective real-time experiences in every use case.


Agentic AI and assistants

Faster and more accurate responses thanks to edge inference and adaptive security.

Customer experience and chatbots

Provide seamless AI conversations on a global scale without frustrating latency for users.

Personalization and recommendation

Enable real-time personalized interactions with your LLMs and custom models

Engines for automation and decision making

Support high-frequency, business-critical inference that keeps financial technology, healthcare and e-commerce running in real time.


Resources

  • Akamai Inference Cloud transforms AI with NVIDIA - from the core to the edge

Provides globally scalable, secure and low-latency AI inference to power the coming wave of agentic and physical AI.

  • It's the edge that matters

Read why Akamai built Inference Cloud to serve the agentic internet.

Akamai Inference Cloud is purpose-built for AI inference. Unlike traditional cloud providers or GPU hosting services, Akamai delivers compute, networking and security solutions at the edge to enable enterprises to operationalize AI inference and deploy intelligent, autonomous agents on a global scale. The platform integrates advanced threat protection, model-based defenses and AI-native traffic control to protect inference endpoints and secure the entire AI interaction layer. "Akamai Inference Cloud customers benefit from performance, cost efficiency and purpose-built capabilities that turn AI investments into real business results.


Akamai Security

Secure your applications and networks with real-time intelligence and adaptive AI.


Our global infrastructure

Bring AI experiences closer to your users with the most widely distributed cloud platform and edge network.


Solutions


Cloud computing

  • media
  • Software as a Service
  • Gaming


security

  • Protection against ransomware
  • Cybersecurity compliance
  • Application and API protection
  • DNS provisioning and security
  • Zero Trust
  • DDoS protection
  • Protection against bots and misuse
  • Identity, credential and access management


Content delivery providers

  • Application and API performance
  • Media delivery
  • Edge Computing



Industry-specific solutions

  • Retail, travel and hospitality
  • Media and entertainment industry
  • Financial services
  • Healthcare and life sciences
  • Public sector
  • Gaming
  • Service providers



🌐 Overview: Who are Akamai's partners?

Akamai works worldwide with over 200 partners divided into technology partners and channel partners. According to Partnerbase, the network comprises:

  • 205 partners in total
  • 114 technology partners
  • 91 channel partners
  • Salesforce is the largest partner


Akamai is trusted worldwide by:

  • All top 10 video streaming services
  • All top 10 video game companies
  • All top 10 brokerage firms
  • All of the top 10 banking companies
  • 9 of the top 10 retail companies
  • 9 of the top 10 software companies
  • 8 of the top ten telecommunications providers
  • 8 of the top 10 healthcare providers
  • 8 of the ten largest automotive companies
  • 8 of the 10 largest pharmaceutical companies
  • 7 of the top 10 fintech companies
  • 7 of the ten largest healthcare payers
  • All 6 US military branches
  • 14 out of 15 US federal civilian cabinet agencies



Honors

Recognized as an analyst

With a 99% Recommendation Readiness Score based on 133 reviews in July 2025, it received the nomination for the sixth consecutive year.

Akamai was the only provider to receive this award in the Voice of the Customer report.


Product awards


The Global Infosec Awards are presented by Cyber Defense Magazine to recognize excellence in the cyber security sector.

Recognizes outstanding design, engineering and innovation in developer technology and tools.

Measures the protection of web firewall firewalls (Akamai achieved a 0% false alarm rate on more than 1,360 different attacks tested)

Recognizes vendors at RSA who are introducing new tools that leverage AI to support security operations and protect networks, email and cloud environments.

The API Awards 2025 are the definitive awards for the API and microservices industry.


Awards of the company


This award is given to organizations that demonstrate outstanding leadership and is based entirely on anonymous employee reviews submitted on Glassdoor.

The National Academy of Television Arts & Sciences honors visionary Akamai co-founder and CEO Dr. Tom Leighton with a Technology & Engineering Emmy® Lifetime Achievement Award.



January 21, 2026

Deutsche Telekom Security erweitert Cybersicherheitsangebote mit Akamai

January 15, 2026

Akamai Technologies hält am Donnerstag, den 19. Februar, um 16:30 Uhr ET eine Investorenkonferenz für das vierte Quartal und das gesamte Jahr 2025 ab

Dec. 17, 2025

Akamai und Visa schließen sich zusammen, um die nächste Ära des Agentenhandels zu sichern

December 03, 2025

Akamai Cloud erreicht den FedRAMP High Ready Status und fördert sichere Cloud-Lösungen für Bundesbehörden

December 02, 2025

Akamai beschleunigt die API-Monetarisierung für AccuWeather® mit neuer Zuplo API Gateway Partnerschaft

Dec. 01, 2025

Akamai Technologies kündigt die Übernahme des Function-as-a-Service-Unternehmens Fermyon bekannt

Nov. 04, 2025

Akamai Research: KI-Bots bedrohen das Fundament webbasierter Geschäftsmodelle

October 28, 2025

Akamai Inference Cloud transformiert KI von Core zu Edge mit NVIDIA

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IR Supplemental PDF – Feb. '25


Company history

Akamai's beginnings lie in a challenge posed by World Wide Web inventor Tim Berners-Lee at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in early 1995. The father of the Web foresaw the overload that would soon become very familiar to Internet users and challenged his colleagues at MIT to invent a fundamentally new and better way to deliver Internet content. What he perhaps didn't foresee was that posing the problem in an academic setting would ultimately lead to a commercial service that revolutionized the Internet.

MIT Professor of Applied Mathematics Tom Leighton, who had an office down the hall from Dr. Berners-Lee, was intrigued by the challenge. Dr. Leighton, a renowned expert in parallel algorithms and architecture, headed the Algorithms Group at MIT's Laboratory for Computer Science. Dr. Leighton recognized that a solution to web congestion could be found in applied mathematics and algorithms and assembled a team of researchers to tackle the problem.

After earning his bachelor's degrees in computer science and mathematics at the Technion, Danny Lewin came to MIT in the fall of 1996 to work with Dr. Leighton. Shortly thereafter, Mr. Lewin began to make rapid and important progress on several techniques to improve Internet performance. Together with the team, Dr. Leighton and Mr. Lewin developed the mathematical algorithms necessary to intelligently route and replicate content across a large network of distributed servers - a technology that would ultimately solve the increasingly frustrating problem for Internet users.

Building a company

In 1997, Dr. Leighton and Mr. Lewin began exploring the potential commercial use of their technology. Together with Preetish Nijhawan (a student at MIT's Sloan School), they entered the prestigious annual MIT $50K Entrepreneurship Competition in September of that year. Over the course of the 9-month competition, the $50K team grew significantly, and their business plan was selected as one of six finalists out of 100 entries. This distinction signaled that Internet content delivery had serious market potential, and on August 20, 1998, Dr. Leighton and Mr. Lewin accepted Akamai, with Jonathan Seelig (a student at the Sloan School) and Randall Kaplan joining the founding team. Akamai obtained an exclusive license to certain intellectual property from MIT, and development work began in the fall of 1998. Most of the company's early employees were students who had worked on the project at MIT.

In late 1998 and early 1999, experienced Internet business people joined the team. Best known is Paul Sagan, former president of Time Inc. New Media, a founder of the cable modem Road Runner and co-founder of NY 1 News, became Chief Operating Officer and eventually President of Akamai (later CEO from 2005 to 2013). George Conrades, former Chairman and CEO of BBN Corp. and Senior Vice President of U.S. Operations at IBM, took the helm as Akamai's first Chairman and CEO in April 1999.

Launch of the commercial service

The company grew rapidly, delivering its first live traffic (a pixel buried deep in the Disney site) in February 1999. In March, Akamai gained significant market presence when it facilitated the release of March Madness for ESPN and a Star Wars trailer for Entertainment Tonight, both of which saw historically high user demand. Akamai launched the commercial service in April 1999 and announced that one of the world's most visited Web companies, Yahoo! was a founding customer.

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USD in millions

Estimates

Year Revenue Change

2024 3.991 4,7 %

2025 4.191 5 %

2026 4.417 5,4 %

2027 4.716 6,78 %

Year EBIT Change

2024 1.167 2,79 %

2025 1.249 6,99 %

2026 1.884 4,34 %

2027 2.053 8,96 %

Year Net result Change

2024 504,9 -7,8 %

2025 665,8 13,42 %

2026 706,6 6,13 %

2027 987,7 39,78 %

2028 * 61,80 %

(*Source Onvista)

Year Net debt CAPEX Leverage ratio

2024 525 685,3 0,31x

2025 3.087 801,5 1,71x

2026 2.695 823,9 1,43x

2027 2.230 887,3 1,09x

Year Free cash flow change

2024 833,9 34,85 %

2025 806,5 -3,29 %

2026 901,7 11,82 %

2027 1.027 13,9 %

Year EBIT margin ROE

2024 29,25 % 21,01 %

2025 29,8 % 21,62 %

2026 29,02 % 20,72 %

2027 29,47 % 19,9 %

Year Earnings per share Change

2024 3,27 -7,1 %

2025 3,404 4,08 %

2026 3,716 9,17 %

2027 4,85 30,52 %

Number of shares (in thousands) 143,865

Date of publication 20.02.2025

Market value 13,679

Year P/E ratio PEG

2024 29,3x -4,13

2025 27.9x 6.83x

2026 25.6x 2.79x

2027 19.6x 0.6x

2028 13.15x 1.23x


Sector comparison Earnings growth

Company P/E ratio 2027 2028

Akamai 25.6x +23.61 % +61.80 %

Palo Alto 91.69x +17.85 % +16.93 %

Crowdstrike 1,140.19x +196 % +78 %

Fortinet 30.69x +11 % -27.09 %

SENTINEL One -11.9x +36.82% +17.73%

(not yet profitable, benefits from takeover rumors)

Cloudflare

Zscaler

Cyber Ark

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57 Comentários

Many thanks for the great presentation. It seems to be interesting. I think your articles are great and I read them all to the end. Such great added value for everyone in the community. I hope I can give something back 😀
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@Panda0404
Thank you my dear
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I always read through your posts too and say thank you in the form of a like. Thank you for your contributions 😇
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@DerBro
Thank you, that makes me very happy
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Are you interested in why there are fewer and fewer reactions? I can only say it from my point of view: I'm not used to listening to other people's conversations. And as soon as people get pissed off in posts or a question is directed at them, I automatically scroll on to the next post. It's a bit like "eavesdropping on others" for me. It might be a strange way of me, but I can live with it. Nevertheless, I really like your posts, which I was able to read to the end. ❤️
#nohate
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@Olli68
Thank you. You mean pissed off by me?
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Thanks for the analysis. I find it very difficult to pick out the software companies with the greatest potential from all those that have fallen.
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@Multibagger
I see less of a threat to the cyber security sector. How do you like the share chart?
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@Tenbagger2024 I'm not the right person to talk to about that.
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@Multibagger
Can you say something about $AGI
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@Tenbagger2024 I find other stocks more interesting from a short-term opportunity perspective. Some of them are also the ones you included in your analyses. But in my ETF, for example, they are the second-largest position.
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@Multibagger
$ASM is also not uninteresting
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Another beautiful performance. My dear, I don't think anything was "criticized" in your last performances. I'm sure they were just tips and hints to become even better 😉.
I have to say that I've never heard of it before. Cybersecurity is and will be a big topic in the coming years/decades.
I am not yet invested in this sector and have put the stock in my WL. 👍🏼
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@TradingHase
Of course, you are already invested in the sector to which cybersecurity belongs. You are also already invested in companies whose business includes cybersecurity. ✅✅

Greetings
🥪
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@Stullen-Portfolio You're right, Sealsq also deals with this topic. $MSFT I didn't include Sealsq & Co. because it's not the main division 😉
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@TradingHase
...and you are already involved in Broadcom, Cisco, Crowdstrike, Palo Alto etc. as well. ✌️

Greetings
🥪
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@Stullen-Portfolio How so? You mean through the ETF or? 😂
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@TradingHase
Quite right ✅

And lo and behold, without you even realizing it, you are already quite intensively involved in this topic ✌️

Greetings
🥪
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I'm one of your silent readers, your posts are always great (but I usually forget to like them, sry)
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I find the article very exciting. Maybe it's really worth a second look on my part!

Super detailed and I'm always happy to read these posts... ☺️
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Many thanks for your detailed analysis. Definitely going on the watchlist! :)
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A very labor-intensive analysis, thank you for that
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@AxelS
Thank you my dear.
Yes, it really is always a lot of work
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Hi, thank you so much for your analysis! 👍
I'm actually looking in the cybersecurity sector, but so far I really can't make up my mind. Either the valuation isn't right for me or the profit growth is too slow. What I like about this company is that the profit growth is actually accelerating instead of slowing down.
Would you mind telling me what your favorite in the sector is? Or is it $AKAM? 😊
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@Klein-Anleger
Good question. I'm already invested in Palo Alto. $YSN could perhaps also be looked at again
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Thanks for the introduction. Once again: never heard of it.😅👍🏻

Not uninteresting in terms of margins. The question here is whether or not you can establish yourself sustainably in the cloud sector. Growth expectations stand or fall on this. I like debt less.
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@All-in-or-nothing
My dear, I had also noticed indebtedness. That's why I added the debt wheel. It doesn't look so wild anymore. And if you compare it with the free cash flow, I think it's okay too. Capex has also doubled, I think. Of course, investing in AI and Nvidia technology also has its price. Only those who don't invest in AI will probably lose out in the long term.
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@Tenbagger2024 I'm absolutely with you. I'm actually a little undecided as to what I should think of it overall. The switch to cloud security etc. in particular, where there is already a lot of competition, worries me here. What speaks in its favor is the good customer base.
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@All-in-or-nothing
I think so too. And the latest news indicates that more customers are being added.
I don't know if you've looked at the history of the company. There are no fools in the management. And the awards are also impressive. What do you think of the chart, in my opinion it looks like a breakout
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@Tenbagger2024 Logo, read story.👍🏻 Definitely solid management with corresponding expertise. The switch in the core business can definitely work out. Chart looks quite interesting in any case, could well break out to the upside.
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@All-in-or-nothing
Because the valuation should slowly attract investors.
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@Tenbagger2024 Just a software share. Extremely punished and spurned in the entire sector. Can be interesting in any case. I'm currently out of this stock myself, as I'm already quite heavily exposed to software in general and to cybersecurity at $FTNT and $CRWD.🤷🏼‍♂️
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@All-in-or-nothing
I am also already with Palo Alto. But I think you can also have two players in this sector
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@All-in-or-nothing
I just came to see you today about the margins. Because you are our margin king 🙈😂. But it's also right to pay attention to good margins
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@Tenbagger2024 I have, so I'm currently holding back. But I think $AKAM could be quite exciting. 👍🏻
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@Tenbagger2024 haha, well, margin king.😅😂 But yes, I do have a soft spot for it somehow.🤷🏼‍♂️ If I have 2 almost identical companies to choose from, the one with the better overall margin profile definitely wins. It's rare that I completely ignore this in my core investments. Despite the official setback in the recent past, one of my favorite stocks is $ANET.🙋🏼‍♂️ FCF margin of about 50%! I love it 😂
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Ver todas as 4 restantes respostas
Always great. There's always plenty of material.
I'm also critical of software and cybersecurity at the moment. I sold my ETF Cybersecurity and now only hold $PANW
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@trade_samurai_721
It is difficult to predict. Which software will survive in the future
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8Mês
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@Iwamoto Thank you my dear, I hope the AI only writes good things. I've seen that you're busy investing again
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@Tenbagger2024 are you coming back to simpson's portfolio?
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8Mês
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@Iwamoto Fortunately
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8Mês
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@Mi-t-chel Thank you dear, I have added the profit growth under sector comparison, Palo Alto is worse in terms of growth, Crowdstrike is better, but has just become profitable again, so we should not overestimate it. Triple-digit earnings growth is nothing unusual. From a growth/valuation perspective, I think Akamai is a good value with potential. Although I am also invested in Palo Alto
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@Mi-t-chel not yet profitable, there were rumors of a takeover by Palo Alto
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8Mês
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@Mi-t-chel
Got my figures from Market Screener
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@Mi-t-chel
Good question. However, OnVista also reports high profit growth
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@Mi-t-chel
Earnings are in February. The forecasts will be revised then anyway
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8Mês
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@Mi-t-chel
No, I do an analysis every day. I can do that for free
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