You also have to adapt to today's world...

The oil market is facing a potential surplus, as both the USA and China are increasing their production and demand is falling short of expectations. Analysts warn that an oversupply could put further pressure on prices, especially if China's economy does not recover as hoped. The dynamic could present OPEC+ with new challenges to maintain market stability.

You can find more information in the article on Business Insider.

The news is based on what I personally consider to be reputable sources. However, I do not guarantee their accuracy. No investment advice. Follow me for more updates!

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The International Energy Agency (IEA) is forecasting an oversupply on the oil market for 2025. The reason for this is the planned expansion in production, while demand growth is slowing down. Rising capacities in the USA and countries such as Brazil and Guyana in particular could push supply above the level of global demand. According to the IEA, these developments could stabilize oil prices or even put them under pressure.

Personal opinion:

The election of Donald Trump is also a big factor that could put a lot of pressure on oil prices. With the oil price already weak, Trump has announced that he will boost oil production during his candidacy. To me, that sounds more like oil prices will continue to fall.

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Source:

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-sees-2025-oil-market-supply-surplus-2024-11-14/

The news is based on what I personally consider to be reputable sources. However, I do not guarantee their accuracy. No advice.

Earnings next week (11.11 - 15.11)

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Good time 🥶🦾

Detailed oil price analysis 🛢️⛽️

Oil demand

China, Europe & USA

Slowing momentum

Peak in fuel demand

Rising production capacities

Impending oversupply

OPEC+

Link: https://www.ideas-magazin.de/2024/ausgabe-270/maerkte/peak-oil-auf-der-nachfrageseite-zuerst/?utm_source=techaktien-instagram&utm_medium=influencer&utm_content=aktie&utm_campaign=ideas-magazin

#FinX
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#Öl
#Benzin
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I have also been busy selling stocks today, but not the defense stocks (This was originally the plan, hence the survey in the morning, but they are simply very well positioned fundamentally and still have a lot of potential). Instead, I disposed of the following candidates:

$EPR (-0,03%) +10,7%

$BXP (+0,18%) +25,46%

$STAG (+0,59%) -0,44%

I have now gone from the initial 77 positions down to 70. 🫡

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Part of the capital was reinvested in$OXY (-0,45%) reinvested (subsequent purchase)

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Here is the original post with the 77 positions. However, I think you can already see the current portfolio. 😇

https://app.getquin.com/de/activity/qEnhSMyQOe

🥃 New position opened.

Occidental Petroleum ($OXY (-0,45%) ) has been on my list for some time, partly because Warren Buffett has been buying shares for about 2 years and now owns almost 30% of the company. He has also said that he would like to increase his stake to up to 50%.

It is also interesting that Li Lu, who is regarded as an extremely talented investor, is now also investing in Occidental. Li Lu made a name for himself when, during his studies in the USA, he somehow made a million dollars with his student loans on the stock market. He later managed money for Charlie Munger, Buffett's long-time business partner, among others, for decades, particularly in Asian markets. He is regarded as someone who only invests in companies that he really believes in and really holds them as a long-term investor. The fact that he is now backing Occidental is therefore a strong sign.

At the moment, the majority of Occidental's cash flow is being used to reduce its high level of debt. The company has the highest debt among the major oil and gas companies, but this is scheduled to be significantly reduced by the end of 2025 or 2026. Once this has been achieved, around 10% of the cash flow could flow directly to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.

There is also an exciting aspect to Occidental: the company is a leader in the field of carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS). Occidental is one of the few companies that is actively involved in the development of technologies to combat climate change. They are focusing on "Direct Air Capture", a technology designed to remove carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere. This CO2 can either be stored or reused for industrial purposes.

Of course, I don't know exactly how all this is supposed to work, but I've invested some time that I don't really have at the moment and tried to get as much of an overview as possible.

In any case, Occidental is planning to build the world's largest "direct air capture plant" 😅 in the USA, with the aim of removing millions of tons of CO2 every year. This technology could play a decisive role in reducing greenhouse gases in the long term.

Interestingly, OXY can also use the captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery, which allows the company to make double use of it: they improve their oil production and contribute to reducing CO2 at the same time.

Many investors have not yet fully recognized this future potential of the CO2 business, but it could prove to be an important growth driver for Occidental in the coming years.

For dividend hunters, the current dividend yield of approx. 1,55% perhaps a little low, as the company only pays out around 20% of its profits. However, significantly more could flow back to shareholders in the future once the debt has been reduced. (e.g. through buybacks, which I particularly like! 🙌)

I am curious about your opinion, I have been talking about Occidental in my circles for the last few days and surprisingly I have heard from many that they are also invested or at least know someone/community's who are also talking about it.

- GERIT 🐅