Source: Finchat

$PLTR (+2.14%)

$NOW (-2.86%)

$SPOT (+3.13%)

$PANW (-0.45%)

$SHOP (+0.64%)

$CRWD (-0.45%)

$FTNT (+0.86%)

$ABNB (+1.41%)

$COIN (+2.41%)

$AXON (-2.03%)

$RBLX

$NET (-1.17%)

$HOOD (+1.71%)

$TTD (+3.78%)

$DUOL

$HIMS (+1.78%)

As I always enjoy reading your ideas here, I wanted to take part.

I'll start with the depot of our 9-year-old child:

• we started by collecting all the money in a traditional account
• In the course of 2020, I started with individual shares 🤩
• But we wanted to keep it simple for the child, so I first invested it in a TechETF, which also performed very well (but unfortunately without DIV (unfortunately for me))
• so I switched it to a world ETF (TER ok, weighting for my idea perfectly ok, but was also before the 🍊 man)
• This has been saved in monthly since then
• $RBLX wanted the child myself and haven't been wrong so far (even with my own investment)
• $MAIN (+1.8%) and $O (+1.99%) simply chosen to get the 20 euros per month (gross on average), keyword pocket money

What do you think? Better ideas?

It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.

Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.

Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.

Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)

Airbnb $ABNB (+1.41%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (-1.34%)

Amazon $AMZN (-0.36%)

ASML $ASML (+0.02%)

Axon $AXON (-2.03%)

Cadence $CDNS (+0.52%)

Constellation Software $CSU (-0.67%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-0.45%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+0.61%)

Hermes $RMS (-2.4%)

Intuit $INTU (+0.36%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.69%)

Mastercard $MA (+1.7%)

Meta $META (+0.27%)

Netflix $NFLX (+3.89%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-0.72%)

Palantir $PLTR (+2.14%)

Tesla $TSLA (+0.65%)

Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)

Booking $BKNG (+0.85%)

Costco $COST (+2.66%)

Ferrari $RACE (+1.57%)

Moody's $MCO (-0.03%)

MSCI $MSCI (+0.94%)

Transdigm $TDG (+0.23%)

Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.78%)

Robinhood $HOOD (+1.71%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (+0.64%)

Spotify $SPOT (+3.13%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (+3.78%)

I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.

Where are you buying?

Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)

Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (+1.78%)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+3.13%)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+1.41%)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+1.71%)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (+3.78%)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (+0.86%)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+0.64%)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (-0.45%)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (-2.03%)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (-0.45%)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (-1.17%)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+2.14%)

Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...

Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.

Your opinion?

Airbnb $ABNB (+1.41%)

Amazon $AMZN (-0.36%)

Axon $AXON (-2.03%)

Cadence $CDNS (+0.52%)

Constellation Software $CSU (-0.67%)

Costco $COST (+2.66%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-0.45%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+0.61%)

Ferrari $RACE (+1.57%)

Hermes $RMS (-2.4%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+1.78%)

Intuit $INTU (+0.36%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.69%)

Mastercard $MA (+1.7%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-0.72%)

Moody's $MCO (-0%)

MSCI $MSCI (+0.94%)

Palantir $PLTR (+2.14%)

Robinhood $HOOD (+1.71%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (+0.64%)

Tesla $TSLA (+0.65%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (+3.78%)

Transdigm $TDG (+0.23%)

Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.

Your opinion?

I will be paying particular attention to the following companies next week when they publish their quarterly figures:

Palantir $PLTR (+2.14%)

Spotify $SPOT (+3.13%)

Chipotle $CMG (+0.47%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (-1.34%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+0.61%)

AMD $AMD (-0.25%)

Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-7.73%)

Roblox $RBLX

Hilton $HLT (+0.79%)

Amazon $AMZN (-0.36%)

Do you also take a closer look here or do you have other companies in mind?

Week in review 12.10.

All-time highs for S&P 500, Dow Jones, Air Products & Chemicals, American Express, Arista Networks, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, Caterpillar, CAVA, Fiserv, GE Vernova, Goldman Sachs, Mastercard, Morgan Stanley, Motorola Solutions, Piper Sandler, Royal Caribbean, Uber, Unum

52-week highs for Carnival, Commerzbank, GE Aerospace, Hilton Worldwide, MicroStrategy, Norwegian Cruise, Palantir, Ralph Lauren, Robinhood Markets, Sea Ltd. , Shake Shack, Tangier, Teledyne

Tesla Cybercab / Robotaxi planned from 2026 for under 30,000$. In addition, an autonomous bus with 20 seats was presented, share falls -8.1%, market is disappointed, -19% 1-year performance

Nvidia partner Hon Hai increases capacity to meet "crazy" AI demand, Nvidia shares +8.3% this week, +176% 1-year performance

AMD unveils MI325X AI accelerator to compete with Nvidia's H200, customers include Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Dell, Oracle, Meta, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Supermicro, Lenovo and Databricks, AMD launches EPYC 5th Gen Datacenter CPU to compete with Intel's Xeon, AMD currently has 34% market share in Datacenter CPUs, MI350 coming in 2025 to compete with Nvidia's Blackwell, AMD stock drops -4%, apparently sell the news event, +45% 1-year performance

92% of desktop processor sales at major German online retailer Mindfactory were from AMD last week, Intel only at 8% share and -36% 1-year performance

TSMC with good quarterly figures, share price rises slightly, +97% 1-year performance

JPMorgan with good quarterly figures, share +5.1%, +48% 1-year performance

Wells Fargo with good quarterly figures, share +6.5%, +49% 1-year performance

PepsiCo and Samsung with poor quarterly figures, shares fall slightly

Amazon Pharmacy announces same-day delivery of prescription drugs in 20 more US states and expands its service to almost half of the states in 2025, +43% % 1-year performance

Jefferies says Apple's hopes for an AI phone are overdone and high expectations are premature, Hold rating, +26% 1-year performance

The situation is similar at Microsoft after Oppenheimer downgraded its rating from "Outperform" to "Perform", it was the second such downgrade by analysts in recent weeks, AI sales are overestimated and shares have underperformed since July due to "AI fatigue", plus losses at OpenAI, +26% 1-year performance

Two Google scientists from the subsidiary DeepMind receive the Nobel Prize in Chemistry, they developed the AI model "AlphaFold2", which can be used to predict the structures of all 200 million known proteins, the AI is used in 190 countries, for example in the clarification of antibiotic resistance or the use of enzymes to break down plastics, Alphabet shareholders like this, +12% 1-year performance

Inperial Brands increases dividend, now pays out quarterly and buys back shares, share price rises 5%, +36% 1-year performance

FTX - customers will soon get their balances paid out after the crypto exchange went bankrupt in 2022 and the management was imprisoned

Shortseller Hindenburg Research with allegations of fraud and safety concerns for children at gaming service Roblox, share price falls -6%, even -70% since November 2021

After two very positive weeks, China stocks fall like a flash in the pan as the market expected more stimulus from the Chinese dictator. Dictator, Hang Seng with worst day since the 2008 financial crisis, this week

China strengthens real estate sector and signals more spending ahead, Finance Minister announces measures to support real estate sector today and government would now have more room to borrow and increase deficit, China also announces issuance of special government bonds today to bolster capitalization of its largest state-owned banks, Printer is coming

Fitch downgrades France's credit rating to negative due to higher deficits, government debt expected to rise to 118.5% of GDP by 2028

FTSE Russell: Greek equities on track for upgrade to developed markets, FTSE Russell to provide update as part of March 2025 review, Greek equity index up 53% since start of 2023

Porsche sells 7% fewer cars due to China slump by -29%, -5% North America but +7% Germany & Europe, -21% % 1-year performance

Deutsche Telekom increases dividend and launches share buyback program for € 2 bn, highest share price in 23 years, +33% 1-year performance

Commerzbank reaches highest share price since the euro crisis in 2011, +61% 1-year performance

Bayer with new lawsuit in the USA over PCBs, share price -7%, -41% 1-year performance

German industrial order intake fell unexpectedly sharply by 5.8% in August compared to the previous month

E.on CEO expects energy prices to rise in the long term thanks to higher taxes & levies and the world's stupidest energy policy

The Ampel expects the economy to shrink for the second year in a row, revising its GDP forecast for 2024 from +0.3% to -0.2%, only the second consecutive year of shrinking GDP since the fall of communism in 1990

After the pension insurance, the German long-term care insurance is also bankrupt, as recipients of citizens' benefits are not paying in and society is ageing, Lauterbach therefore wants to increase the monthly contribution for long-term care for all workers, so soon less net from gross again

" If you want to read a review like this every week, leave a like and subscribe.

$NVDA (-1.35%)
$AMD (-0.25%)
$TSLA (+0.65%)
$CBR
$INTC (-0.72%)
$2330
$JPM (+1.81%)
$WFC (+2.25%)
$PEP (+2.38%)
$AMZN (-0.36%)
$GOOGL (-1.34%)
$GOOGL (-1.34%)
$AAPL (+1.76%)
$MSFT (-0.72%)
$IMB (+1.85%)
$CNUA (-0.33%)
$941
$9988 (+2.44%)
$700 (+1.09%)
$1211 (-1.57%)
$P911 (+1.22%)
$PAH3 (+2.62%)
$DTE (-0.03%)
$BAYN (+0.79%)
$EOAN (+0.65%)
$PLTR (+2.14%)
$RBLX
$BLK