Roblox

I really don't understand why people are hating so much on Hims & Hers with the current growth and valuation it has while they keep performing every single time.

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Nobody

@Nobody_123

1Mon·

Presentation (children) Depot

As I always enjoy reading your ideas here, I wanted to take part.

I'll start with the depot of our 9-year-old child:

we started by collecting all the money in a traditional account
In the course of 2020, I started with individual shares 🤩
But we wanted to keep it simple for the child, so I first invested it in a TechETF, which also performed very well (but unfortunately without DIV (unfortunately for me))
so I switched it to a world ETF (TER ok, weighting for my idea perfectly ok, but was also before the 🍊 man)
This has been saved in monthly since then
$RBLX wanted the child myself and haven't been wrong so far (even with my own investment)
$MAIN (-0.99%) and $O (+0.12%) simply chosen to get the 20 euros per month (gross on average), keyword pocket money

What do you think? Better ideas?

4Positions

€11,569.11

9.58%

25 Comments

Julian@MoneyISnotREAL

1Mon

Focus on the $HMWO and perhaps keep "gimmicks" with individual values to a minimum.
Keep it simple ;-)

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The W.

@thewolfofallstreetz

1Mon·

Time to buy: My top 30 companies that I am particularly looking at in the current crash

It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.

Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.

Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.

Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)

Airbnb $ABNB (-0.89%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (-1.29%)

Amazon $AMZN (-0.55%)

ASML $ASML (-0.84%)

Axon $AXON (-3.4%)

Cadence $CDNS (-4.47%)

Constellation Software $CSU (-0.24%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-2.75%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+3.29%)

Hermes $RMS (-0.44%)

Intuit $INTU (-0.13%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.08%)

Mastercard $MA (-0.98%)

Meta $META (-1.13%)

Netflix $NFLX (-2.74%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-0.84%)

Palantir $PLTR (-2.99%)

Tesla $TSLA (-1.89%)

Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)

Booking $BKNG (-0.41%)

Costco $COST (-0.99%)

Ferrari $RACE (+0.09%)

Moody's $MCO (+0%)

MSCI $MSCI (-0.08%)

Transdigm $TDG (-0.66%)

Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-3.31%)

Robinhood $HOOD (-3.22%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (-0.78%)

Spotify $SPOT (-4.67%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (-2.92%)

I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.

Where are you buying?

36 Comments

Lord P.@lordprettylambo

1Mon

Time to go shopping!

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The W.

@thewolfofallstreetz

2Mon·

Not the same: Forward P/S ratio of 16 selected tech growth stocks

Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)

Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (-3.31%)

Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (-4.67%)

Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (-0.89%)

Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX

Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (-3.22%)

The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (-2.92%)

Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (-2.47%)

Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (-0.78%)

Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (-2.51%)

ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW

Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL

Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (-3.4%)

Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (-2.75%)

Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (+0%)

Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (-2.99%)

Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...

Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.

Your opinion?

6 Comments

Daniel@RomanGorilla

2Mon

$RBLX? The games website? Why exactly this one?

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The W.

@thewolfofallstreetz

2Mon·

The only list you need: The top 24 companies I look out for in the correction process

Airbnb $ABNB (-0.89%)

Amazon $AMZN (-0.55%)

Axon $AXON (-3.4%)

Cadence $CDNS (-4.47%)

Constellation Software $CSU (-0.24%)

Costco $COST (-0.99%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (-2.75%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+3.29%)

Ferrari $RACE (+0.09%)

Hermes $RMS (-0.44%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (-3.31%)

Intuit $INTU (-0.13%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0.08%)

Mastercard $MA (-0.98%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-0.84%)

Moody's $MCO (-0%)

MSCI $MSCI (-0.08%)

Palantir $PLTR (-2.99%)

Robinhood $HOOD (-3.22%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (-0.78%)

Tesla $TSLA (-1.89%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (-2.92%)

Transdigm $TDG (-0.66%)

Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.

Your opinion?

112 Comments

Nico Uhlig@RealMichaelScott

2Mon

In principle, the list includes good quality companies. However, my toenails roll up when I see Palantir, Robin Hood and Roblox on the same list as Costco, Mastercard and Microsoft.

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Aktien Stammtisch

@Aktien_Stammtisch

3Mon·

Roblox Q4'24 Earnings Highlights

$RBLX

🔹 Net Loss: -$219.6M (Est. -$291.79M) 🟢

🔹 Revenue: $988.2M (Est. $967.2M) 🟢; UP +32% YoY

🔹 Bookings: $1.36B (Est. $1.37B) 🔴; UP +21% YoY

🔹 Adj EBITDA: $65.6M (Est. $350.43M) 🔴

🔹 Daily Active Users: 85.3M (Est. 88.39M) 🔴; UP +19% YoY

Q4 User & Engagement Metrics:

🔹 Hours Engaged: 18.7B; UP +21% YoY

🔹 Monthly Unique Payers: 18.9M; UP +19% YoY

🔹 Average Bookings per DAU: $15.97; UP +1% YoY

🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $184.5M (Est. $342.26M) 🔴; UP +29% YoY

🔹 FCF: $120.6M (Est. $200.94M) 🔴; UP +54% YoY

Q1 2025 Guidance:

🔹 Revenue: $990M-$1,015M

🔹 Bookings: $1.13B-$1.15B (Est. $1,136M)

🔹 Net Loss: -$287M to -$267M

🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $20M-$40M

🔹 Free Cash Flow: $340M-$360M

🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $360M-$380M

FY 2025 Guidance:

🔹 Revenue: $4.25B-$4.35B

🔹 Bookings: $5.20B-$5.30B (Est. $5.26B)

🔹 Net Loss: -$1.07B to -$995M

🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $190M-$265M

🔹 Free Cash Flow: $800M-$860M

🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $1.05B-$1.11B

CEO & CFO Commentary:

🔸 CEO David Baszucki: "Roblox had a strong 2024, fueled by innovation and community growth. We aim to expand our virtual economy, enhance AI-powered discovery, and continue investing in platform improvements."

🔸 CFO Michael Guthrie: "We exceeded long-term financial goals set in 2023. Revenue and bookings grew significantly, margins improved, and free cash flow surged, demonstrating strong operational leverage."

The W.

@thewolfofallstreetz

3Mon·

These 10 companies will be in the spotlight next week 📊🔥

I will be paying particular attention to the following companies next week when they publish their quarterly figures:

Palantir $PLTR (-2.99%)

Spotify $SPOT (-4.67%)

Chipotle $CMG (-1.22%)

Alphabet $GOOGL (-1.29%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+3.29%)

AMD $AMD (-2.28%)

Novo Nordisk $NOVO B (-0.31%)

Roblox $RBLX

Hilton $HLT (-1.69%)

Amazon $AMZN (-0.55%)

Do you also take a closer look here or do you have other companies in mind?

20 Comments

Homer@Simpson

3Mon

Half of this in the savings plan 😂👍

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RDJS

@RDJS

5Mon·

🚨 Beware of investing in the next big thing...

Source: CB Insights

$RIVN (-4%)
$ABNB (-0.89%)
$CPNG (-2.36%)
$SNOW (-2.51%)
$COIN (-3.39%)
$NU (-1.96%)
$RBLX
$PATH (+8.75%)
$HOOD (-3.22%)
$AFRM (+1.69%)
$PLTR (-2.99%)

3 Comments

Pope Donkey XXI@DonkeyInvestor

5Mon

From 13.03.2023. Please do it again with current figures

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Raising I.

@RaisingInvestorIQ

6Mon·

$RBLX stands out with its unique creator-driven business model. But the company still isn't quite profitable.

But keep an eye on this one. The good news is that margins have recently been improving, which shows that growing revenues have more and more been offsetting relatively slower-growing SG&A / marketing OpEx.

As $RBLX continues to scale, creator fees should also scale, but many of the operational costs to increase more slowly. This should unlock a lot of untapped operational leverage within the business and let more money drop to the bottom line.

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