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Lemonade Q2'25 result highlights 🚀👌

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Revenue: $164.1M (Est. $161.4M) ✅; UP +46% YoY
EPS: -$0.60 (Est. -$0.80) ✅
In-Force Premium: $840M; UP +22% YoY

Customer & Premium Metrics

Premium per Customer: $394; UP +11% YoY
Total Customers: 2.1M; UP +10% YoY
Policies in Force: 2.13M
Annual Dollar Retention (ADR): 87%

Other Q2 Metrics:

Gross Profit: $41.3M; UP +91% YoY
Adj EBITDA: -$30.4M
Net Loss: $41.6M
Gross Loss Ratio: 77% (vs. 94% YoY)
Cash & Investments: $888M
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities: -$29.8M

CEO comment:

🟡 "We achieved record sales and margin improvements. This is the strongest second quarter in Lemonade's history."

🟡 "We are on track to achieve our target of adjusted EBITDA profitability by mid-2026."

$BRO (+0.9%)
$BRK.B (+0.08%)
$BRK.A (+0.5%)
$PGR (+0.14%)
$ALV (-0.63%)
$MUV2 (-6.69%)
$CS (-0.44%)
$HNR1 (-4.51%)
$UNH (+0.39%)
$ALL (+0.36%)
$601318
$CB (+0%)
$ZURN (-1.69%)
$TLX (-3.7%)
$HSX (+1.3%)

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48 Comments

BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Simpson the chart is improving 😉 earnings today 👌

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Tenbagger2024@Tenbagger2024

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@BamBamInvest
You had a good nose.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Tenbagger2024 Only time will tell, I'm not looking for quick profits here, but since the reinsurance ratio alone has been reduced from 70% to 30%, I think it was already clear that things must be going well. Let's see if the rocket has now been sustainably ignited. ✌️

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Yasin21@Yasin21

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@BamBamInvest Wow, how do you get the idea to inform yourself about the quota? I wouldn't have dreamed of it😅

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Yasin21 well, you don't read up on it directly, you just read the company news in the respective forums. I simply read a lot and then form an opinion. If I like a company or business model, I keep a very close eye on it.

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Wow

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Semos25 Let's see what happens when the Americans open, short rate also relatively high.

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@BamBamInvest looks ok 😀

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Cai-pirinha yes is quite ok, hedged my $HIMS position today 😂

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@BamBamInvest luckily i only went back in today 😀 and expanded lemonade by another 10 after your post. thanks!

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@BamBamInvest now there's even more drive coming in... is running after all 😀

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@BamBamInvest Guess who's late again with the entry. I read up on the company and read your article, but wanted to wait for the figures. 🤦‍♀️ And now the share is flying like there's no end. Congratulations, you had a good nose!

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Kai@Kai16081989

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Hims is also steep again 😂

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Semos25 That's why I buy when I really want to have a company in my portfolio and then add to it. (See $ELF at the time) I was aware that the share price would rise quickly when it picked up, so I wanted to increase the position before earnings. The reduction of the reinsurance from 70% to 30% was the decisive sign for me that things must be going well, the confidence is there and the AI-based training is working. But let's see how things continue.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Kai16081989 I had somehow also suspected that the headwind without GLP 1 was clear 👍

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Cai-pirinha 🤣🚀 Let's see if it holds up, but I now expect prices to rise sustainably. 👌

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View all 11 further answers

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That’s what happens when you use sugar in drinks — it tastes AMAZING and you sell a lot. So good, everybody loves it. That’s why I told Cola — use sugar, folks. Not that fake stuff. Real sugar. It’s better, everybody knows it

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You really seem to have a golden touch 😁

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Chris@Multibagger

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@GGHyperX well, actually, my entry was the decisive point, just like at $IREN. 😉😎😂

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@GGHyperX I'm at least trying 🤣

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Multibagger that's always the price acceleration, but I had stocked up strongly before the figures because I had fomo and didn't want to miss the train. 🤣

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Chris@Multibagger

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@BamBamInvest I also increased my position by 50%. From 2 to 3% of my portfolio volume.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Multibagger That's the way 👍. If they can scale up properly and roll out the products further in areas that are not at risk of natural disasters (because that's where they're going in the home sector) then things will take off. In the pet market alone, which is growing strongly until 2030, if they only maintain their market share here, this would be roughly the current valuation. I am extremely bullish, especially if the gross loss ratio continues to fall. The leverage is mainly in AI, as the core of the company is built on AI and not trying to implement AI like other companies. 💪

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Multibagger A company with 80% growth (800,000 customers) with falling operating costs, a rare experience 👌🚀

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Chris@Multibagger

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@BamBamInvest yes, these pearls must be found!😂😎

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Multibagger Exactly, especially if Wall Street sees it differently, these are the opportunities you have to take advantage of. Let's see how sustainable it is now 👍

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Kai@Kai16081989

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Ok, that's wild today :)

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Kai16081989 seems so, some short positions are likely to be covered. 🤣

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Kai@Kai16081989

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Only Novo continues to go down 🥸

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@Kai16081989 Patience, they'll be back

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Silas W.@DynasticGrind

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Wait a minute... This isn't a lemonade stand at all?!

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Bud@Pari_e_dispari

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@BamBamInvest Thank you for your analysis! I only came across Lemonade through you and I share your view on the company! I recently had a discussion with a friend who is an insurance broker about whether reinsurers are still necessary in the AI age. If not, primary insurers would benefit greatly from it

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@equity_expert_599 I'm very happy to hear that! ☺️ Really an exciting company ✌️ Insurers could benefit greatly from digitization and those insurers that have been built digitally and with AI at their core could benefit even more from having a uniform system. Many insurers have to integrate so much different software from outside and do not want to move away from their old system, furthermore many do not want to become dependent on an outside company and then try to program their software themselves. That's what makes $LMND so exciting, you can't simply replicate it and it's almost impossible to switch to a large, entrenched company 👌

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Bud@Pari_e_dispari

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@BamBamInvest That's true, but I recently added an allianz to my portfolio so that I can use it for two purposes. I've read a few articles that AI is already deciding claims there too. Nevertheless, I agree that it is easier for a Lemonade with AI-focused processes to win new customers and improve margins than to completely change its old business processes.

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Erdbeermaus@Lumimyrsky

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geil

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@BamBamInvest Thank you also for your detailed analysis recently, which prompted me to look into the company in the first place. However, I see the share as a long-term investment in my portfolio.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

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@DanDoDan With pleasure, I'm delighted! I always find it exciting when you deal with companies and can then pass this added value on to other people. Above all, several people are then also informed about it and you may come to an exchange or current news are then also shared to stay on the ball should something change. That's why my portfolio tends to be smaller, so that I can follow the companies better. If you have 20 companies and more, it becomes increasingly difficult. ☺️

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