I'd like to hear your thoughts: I'm currently investing €250 per month in a Nasdaq 100 ETF $XNAS (+1.22%) , of course. Alongside that, I’m investing in a Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield $VHYL (-0.15%) that pays out dividends. I plan to reinvest the dividends back into the Nasdaq 100, especially during market downturns, or simply enjoy the cash flow. I want to stick with this until retirement; I’m 37 now. What do you think of this ETF savings plan strategy?
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311Hit 30k🤌🏻💪🏼 On to 50k🤑🤑
Let’s go—I finally hit the next 10k milestone.
I’ll repost when I hit 50k (hope it doesn’t take too long😃).
My DCA is currently at 800€ + reinvested dividends.
$VWRL (+0.48%) 400€
$VHYL (-0.15%) 100€
$GOAI (+1.41%) €25
The rest goes into my satellite funds.
$GOOG (+0.47%) €35
$AMZN (+1.2%) 35€
$O (-0.59%) 25€ + dividend
$MAIN (+1.02%) €15 + dividend
and a few more😃
The Defense Industry—Crisis-Proof?
The aerospace and defense sector now accounts for about 8% of my investment capital. Although some companies in the industry are already in the $HMWO (+0.71%) , $TDIV (+0.68%) or the $VHYL (-0.15%) portfolio, they were nevertheless added as individual stocks due to their long-term trends and future prospects.
These are $LMT (-0.37%) , $NOC (-1.3%) , $AVEX and $AVAV (+4.24%)
The defense sector is booming for the first time since 1990 due to global conflicts and looming crises—order books are full, jobs are being created, and new plants are being built. Countries are arming themselves with drones, among other things, as well as other equipment and systems, ever since they’ve seen what these are now capable of. Defense capabilities against drones, cyberattacks, and hybrid warfare also play a massive role and require nations to arm themselves against these threats.
In addition to the current boom, however, this industry is also interesting for another reason: it is quite recession-proof due to its customer base. Furthermore, there are high barriers to market entry, few competitors, and the customers are almost exclusively governments—which also have maintenance and upgrade contracts in place for decades to come—and, last but not least, a certain level of trust among users in the systems’ performance.
Even though one might sometimes get the impression that NATO is falling apart, many systems and pieces of equipment are still compatible with one another—or are intended to become so in the future—which greatly expands the list of potential customers.
Disadvantages of the industry? A high concentration of customers, development risks, export restrictions, political interference—sometimes sensible, sometimes less so—and if a company falls behind technologically, it could very quickly lose ground.
While $LMT (-0.37%) and $NOC (-1.3%) have been established in the industry for years and are growing through scaling, diversification, and expertise, $AVEX and $AVAV (+4.24%) represent, in my view, the future of military development and thus represent a growth bet on nations’ drive to deploy autonomous systems in crisis zones.
My conclusion is this: Anyone who actively chooses to include defense industry stocks in their portfolio accepts an ethical dilemma, but benefits from tremendous predictability, structural tailwinds, as well as technological change and the associated government spending.
Final Thoughts:
If world peace were to break out tomorrow—then, by the way, I would be more than happy and more than willing to pay the price for it in the form of losses!
*contains AI-generated images*
In a war fought at the highest technological level, the ability to procure equipment quickly and flexibly is crucial throughout. Huge defense contractors simply cannot offer that.
Ukrainian unit and formation commanders order equipment, UAVs, weapons, and accessories through a government website where many small businesses offer their products. This decentralized procurement process provides the armed forces with what they need: Immediately available equipment that can be tested, adapted, discarded, and replaced.
An army’s tactical level is not concerned with long-term contracts, maintenance schedules, or spare parts production lead times—all of which defense contractors try to sell to a government seeking to become a customer in order to earn predictable, long-term profits.
When we talk about major defense projects such as main battle tanks, cruise missiles, frigates, submarines, and fighter jets, the major defense contractors remain in a league of their own. However, it’s important to keep in mind that the following is also evident in Ukraine:
- A €35 million tank can easily be destroyed by a €1,500 drone
- The operational value of a fighter jet is drastically reduced in a war between two evenly matched parties due to a lack of air superiority
- Frigates and submarines can be trapped in ports, as setting sail is too dangerous due to underwater UAVs
- Cruise missiles costing millions are being replaced by inexpensive long-range UAVs, which enable better aerial reconnaissance and more selective target engagement
Defense contractors will not stop making money, especially since countries like Germany continue to rely heavily on conventional warfare, but there are also reasons why what defense contractors offer may not be attractive to an army.
Portfolio Analysis
Hey, a little over a year ago, I shared my portfolio and asked for your opinions. Since then, I’ve been able to maintain my savings rate of 1,000€ in my 70/30 core portfolio. I also invest 50€ in $BTC (+0.42%) and €80 in my $VHYL (-0.15%) . I’ve sold off a few positions and made some new one-time purchases.
I’m also considering investing another €5,000 to expand my core portfolio.
Starting next year, I’d also like to put aside €150 a month into my retirement account.
My current questions are: How could I improve my portfolio? And what do you think of my individual holdings?
As for your individual stocks, these are the classic “small-cap” positions. In other words, any stocks under €200 don’t really have an impact on your return. Pick out 5 specific stocks that you think will outperform your ETFs or that give you the greatest sense of security. Then increase their weight in your portfolio to 2–5%.
Personally, I’d bump up AMD, Alphabet, Allianz, and JPMorgan to €1,500 each. Then, good quarterly results or positive news will really bring in the cash. If Allianz goes up 7% on your €100 investment, financially it’s no different than if you ordered a McSmart meal instead of a Big Mac meal once in a while ;)
Portfolio Streamlining
I've been thinking for a while now about selling all my individual stocks and just continuing to invest in my three ETFs ($IWDA (+0.72%) , $VHYL (-0.15%) , $TDIV (+0.68%) ) in order to be in a more stable position for the future. Most of my holdings are already included in at least one of the three ETFs anyway. Today I took the next step and $MRK (+0.78%) , $6501 (+2.07%) and $WUW (+1.05%) sold off to increase my position in $VHYL (-0.15%) . In the long term (> 5 years), this strategy should pay off.
What do you think of this strategy?
Worth Buying
What are you guys buying these days? Are you buying anything at all? I think the market is already pricing in too many positive developments—for example, in the Middle East—so I haven't added anything to my portfolio for quite some time. I'm now considering, however, $VHYL (-0.15%) top up my portfolio a bit or add $IEEM (+0.9%) . 🤔
I’d be curious to know how you’re handling things right now.
Wishing everyone a lovely, sunny week ☀️
July Dividend
Received 3 dividends in July.
$VHYL (-0.15%) For 333 shares, a total of €269.57.
$LDGL (+0.76%) For 2,195 shares, a total of €67.87.
$WINC (-0.89%) For 3,025 shares, a total of €446.31.
This was a great month.
For the remainder of the calendar year, I’ll only reinvest dividends in a way that keeps me nicely balanced.
All time high on Holiday!
€10k added since September, with half of that invested from my own money. I’m honestly surprised by how much these “boring,” stable dividend stocks have appreciated. €2.5k in just one month!
On top of that, I’m currently receiving an average of €28 in dividends every week. That adds up nicely over time.
I did find it difficult to keep buying at all-time highs, but I still do. I have confidence in the long-term future of these companies, I know I can’t control what the market does, and I believe I’ll still earn a better return than leaving my money in the bank.
That said, I do need to build up my cash position again. I’ve been considering selling 3 of my 15 Johnson & Johnson shares, as they’re currently up 60%
What should you do in my position?$JNJ (+0.05%)
$VHYL (-0.15%)
$TDIV (+0.68%)
$O (-0.59%)
$VPK (-0.23%)
$SHEL (-0.23%)
$ULVR (-0.06%)
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