7Mês·

Where I topped up yesterday and today and struck for the first time

Good evening dear community,


I would like to share with you more actively what is happening or has recently happened in my portfolio.


I have used the - in some cases significant - setbacks in growth and AI stocks over the last few days/week to bring more cash into the market. Delayed data and rate cut or not, the well-known saying "Time in the market, beats timing the market" applies to me. Savings plans run mindlessly month after month anyway.


So here is a brief look at what has happened in the portfolio over the last few days:


$RKLB (-0,86%) Initial purchase of 19 shares at €38.40 each

$ZETA (+7,71%) First purchase of 50 shares at €14.55 each

$HIMS (+1,75%) Increase by 8 shares at € 30 each

$DEFI (-3,78%) Increase of 279 shares at € 0.896 each

$CA1 (+0,08%) Increase by 31 shares at €15.95 each

$HIVE (-5,17%) Increase by 82 shares at € 2.92 each


This means that all my (freely) available cash is in the market for the time being. Let's see where the journey takes us.


How have your portfolios fared over the last few days? I've seen a clear downward trend, primarily due to the significant drop in BTC and the sharp fall in the prices of my AI stocks.


Nevertheless, I remain relaxed and am not selling anything because my investment case is still intact for all my current investments. With this in mind: remain steadfast, above all question whether anything has changed in your investments from a fundamental perspective and if not: just be patient😉.

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53 Comentários

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Oh dear, Defi makes me break out in a sweat 🙈🙈
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@Tenbagger2024 Why was that? Just because the turnover was completely off due to bad arbitrage trades? 😅😂 In addition, of course, there was the discreet drop at $BTC. I'm really convinced of DeFi in the long term, which is why I topped up here "very cheaply" again, since my initial entry wasn't that long ago.
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@All-in-or-nothing
I was also convinced. And because of my conviction, I dragged some of the community into the loss zone with me.
That gives me sleepless nights.
@Wollitz 😭
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@Tenbagger2024 I'm in it too 😕
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@Tenbagger2024 That's right! :-) You've convinced me too. But that's not your problem. I thought your approach was good, I signed it. Don't worry, we're all old enough ;-)
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@Tenbagger2024 with the next conviction from you, we will all make a 100% return. :-)
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@schlimmschlimm @Frei
A P/E ratio of 9 with 78% earnings growth.
Investors have to see that at some point.
And an EbiT margin of almost 50%

I remain invested
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@Tenbagger2024 Take it easy. I made my first trades with Defi when you didn't even know how to spell it 😉. The last trade is still running at 1.70 EK..... I added ... yet ... not yet. After the Nvidia figures there may still be room for downside, also in terms of the chart. But this is definitely a position I would hold for longer. For now anyway 🙃
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@Tenbagger2024 that, @Multibagger are primarily my motives. With DeFi, I really have the feeling that the market still absolutely verkennt🤷🏼‍♂️ the key data and the potential. The core business is steadily and clearly on the rise, but the price is not yet playing along. Since the whole thing is not a trade, I bought after the sharp drop.
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@Tenbagger2024 it doesn't have to <3 we are all adults and we all decide for ourselves whether or not to invest based on our intentions and information. :)
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@Tenbagger2024 As the previous speakers have already written, we are all old enough. I was also very enthusiastic about the project. My conviction is starting to crack a little, but waiting and seeing is not going to help. If I had lost faith, I would have been out at 1.30 or so. At the moment, many companies are getting hit on the head, DeFi extremely so. Let's hope for better times. 🥹
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Ver todas as 20 restantes respostas
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I have :
$HIMS
$NBIS
$BTC
$IREN
$RKLB
I didn't want to add any new shares to my portfolio.
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I can understand everything except $DEFI. And apart from $HIVE, I also have all of them in my portfolio.
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Very "active" shopping trip. May the chart be with you. Boring for me at the moment, as I don't see any basis for trades and the core stocks with dividends hardly offer any opportunities to buy more 🤷‍♂️ This means I am spared any notable fluctuations in the total size of the portfolio. In the meantime, I'm hoarding my cash in the call money account and waiting for the buying opportunities that may still come. Or maybe not...
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@Dividendenopi I also find the current circumstances and prices difficult for trading. Since my focus is not yet on dividends, but of course I can absolutely understand your focus, I have collected or increased what I am sustainably convinced of and where the prices suit me.
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@All-in-or-nothing With my core dividend portfolio, I am only invested 30% in pure dividend stocks. Another 30% is in bonds, government and corporate bonds, fixed-coupon certificates and bonus certificates. The rest is more or less liquid in overnight deposits with interest rates still above 3% or in fixed-term deposits, the first 2 years are coming in the next few days and weeks and want to be invested 🤷‍♂️. I have been trading for a while with a smaller amount and also invest in non-high-dividend stocks. I opened my first position at $DTE and $IFX. $HIMS has been a bit of a waste for me after the failed trade 😂, I will probably get back into $CA1 in 2 or 3 tranches in the medium term. There's not much left to do in the garden, so I have time to do a bit of research. $ARCC offers a nice entry point for me in the dividend area and I find it more attractive than $MAIN. I'll continue to follow $MUX, but won't lose sight of $MBB. I'm still unfamiliar with the tech sector, but in the medium term I can't avoid part of it, so I'll probably choose an ETF to get used to it 🤔😇. Everything with caution, cash ratio remains high for the time being, but as we all know, it stinks better with full pants...
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What do you now have for a buy in at $DEFI?
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@schlimmschlimm now around €1.45. I collected the first larger tranche at €1.80, but have now only averaged it down a little because I am convinced.
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@All-in-or-nothing Wow, I got in cheap at € 1.20. 😊
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@TradingHase My last buy order went through at €0.85. This figure was my average buy-in after the increase😉.
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@All-in-or-nothing You hit the nail on the head. I still had an order at € 0.75, but it never materialized.
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I can also answer your other question. In the last few days (yesterday it went up) my portfolio has lost about 10% in book losses.
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@Multibagger Defi is also still down 3.9%. But I think that will be back to normal by the beginning of December at the latest.
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7Mês
Courageous, my friend! All these stocks are classic hype stocks. If the stock markets in general go down now, e.g. due to liquidity fears, then the stocks you mentioned are likely to leverage the decline again. Whether up or down - vola is certain for the time being. 😁

Incidentally, my overall portfolio has had -5% maxDrawdown in the last few days. How was it for you?
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@Epi bin ich absolut bei dir, was die Vola angeht und mir dieser natürlich vollkommen bewusst. Mein Hebel zu deinem Portfolio (ich hab jetzt mal 1 Woche als Basis für meinen maxDD als Maßstab genommen) liegt aktuell „nur“ bei x2. Mein maxDD liegt bei ~-10%.
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7Mês
@All-in-or-nothing Genau wie 3xGTAA, das hat auch -10% mDD die letzte Woche gemacht. Heißt, dein Portfolio schwankt gerade so stark wie ein 3x gehebeltes ETF-Portfolio. 😯
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@Epi Dank geht raus an die Zyklizität von BTC😉😂. Da dieser im November ja aktuell nicht im 3xGTAA Modell bei dir läuft, bleibt dir das zumindest in der Performance erspart. Ich glaube mit BTC (war im 3xGTAA, wenn dein, dann ungehebelt drin, richtig?🤔) wäre der maxDD von 3xGTAA höher ausgefallen als meiner.
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7Mês
@All-in-or-nothing Das stimmt, der Ersatz für BTC, 3xEU50 hat nur ca. -5% Drawdown. BTC hat ca. -20%.
Manchmal sind die Momentumsignale gut getimed. 👍
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@Epi und manchmal laufen sie hinterher. Du erhöhst deine Wahrscheinlichkeit, sofern die für deine Strategie relevanten Signale zum / bis zum richtigen Zeitpunkt kommen, sonst hast du eben auch mit sturem Strategie verfolgen mal einen Monat mit Rosinen gehandelt🤷🏼‍♂️. Langfristig finde ich GTAA absolut sinnvoll.
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@Epi btw: hast du schon genug Signale im Überblick, um statistisch zu prüfen, wie oft die Signale passen bzw. zeitlich passend kommen und wie oft sie nicht passen oder zeitlich daneben liegen?🤔
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7Mês
@All-in-or-nothing Genau. Mit sturer Strategieumsetzung erwische ich mal einen guten Zeitpunkt, mal einen schlechten (der große Aprildrawdown im 3xGTAA Wikifolio, kommt von einem extrem unglücklichen Timing in Öl - war nur einen Tag lang über der Signallinie, am 1.4. - dann ging es nur noch bergab).
Das einzig Substanzielle, was ich mit der Signalumsetzung erreiche, ist, die Wahrscheinlichkeit auf meine Seite zu holen.

Interessant: durch die Hebel habe ich eine ziemlich hohe Tagesvola von durchschnittlich 1,5%. Das Modell ist also darauf ausgelegt, dass pro Monat von den durchschnittlich 20 Handelstagen 9x -1,5% und 11x +1,5% stehen. Die beiden Tage machen den ganzen Unterschied und die krasse Performance: 2x1,5% ^12 Monate = 43%pa.
An solche Daten und Logik muss man sich erstmal gewöhnen. Stehen ja auch quer zu allem, was man so kennt. 😬
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7Mês
@All-in-or-nothing Such signal quality statistics can be generated in the backtests by slightly varying the parameters. I deliberately opted for the most stable and against the best performing ones. That is rather relative.

Otherwise, in view of the real test, I would say that the extreme signals are roughly 50/50. Imagine the performance of the signals as on a Gaussian normal distribution curve shifted slightly to the right. The extremes remain roughly equally weighted, the decisive factor is the difference in volume to the right and left close to the zero line. I cut this out with a lever. 👌
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