5Mês·

Acute AI bottleneck: Power ⚡️ & Cooling ❄️

My post yesterday was about HBM/memory and the question of why the bottleneck in AI is no longer just the GPUs themselves. While many are still looking at compute, the pressure has long since shifted further into the infrastructure. Because HBM is not the only acute bottleneck.


In parallel, topics such as power & cooling, advanced packaging and energy/grid are also becoming more critical. Today it's all about Power & Cooling.


The background is actually simple: modern AI systems require more and more more and more energy in ever smaller spaces. As a result, power density, heat generation and power requirements are increasing massively. Data centers are therefore not only reaching the limits of chips or memory, but also increasingly in the operation of the systems themselves.


This is where the companies that I currently find exciting are based.


For me, these are $VICR (+1,54%) (Vicor) and $MPWR (-0,07%) (Monolithic Power Systems) are interesting examples on the powerside. With cooling and infrastructure, I mainly look at $VRT (+0,76%) (Vertiv), $MOD (+1,24%) (Modine Manufacturing) and $POWL (+0,16%) (Powell Industries).


The exciting thing is that the bottleneck is no longer just in the technology itself, but in the ability to supply these systems with stable energy and make them thermally controllable. to supply these systems with stable energy and make them thermally controllable.


And even this shift is unlikely to be the end. After that, other parts of the infrastructure will probably come under greater pressure. That's why I don't see bottlenecks as static, but as a dynamic movement along the technology stack.

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#wikifolio
#scalelimits

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9 Comentários

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Really interesting article, thank you!
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@GreenWash Thank you very much for the positive feedback, I'm delighted 🙏🏻
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I also find the article very interesting. When do you intend to make your NextLimits wikifolio investable? Or is it currently dependent on Wikifolio? 🤔 You have currently met all the criteria for investability, haven't you? Edit: I just saw that none of your wikifolios are currently investable. I would absolutely be interested in NextLimits.
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@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin I'm glad you found the post interesting, thanks for your feedback. I had an issue meeting with wikifolio on April 22. I was told that it will take another 6-8 weeks from that date until the process is completed. So it could be that the wikifolios will be investable from the end of June.
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@ScaleLimits very cool. I'll add it to my watch list at Wikifolio, thanks.🙏🏻
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Good article. In addition:
1. power&cooling titles are independent of tough chip competition. Whoever prevails in the future - all GPUs/CPUs need power and cooling
2. power and cooling systems, especially in 24/7 data centers, need maintenance, which generates additional revenue.
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@Kreua Thanks 🙏🏻 I have a similar view of the content. That's exactly what I find structurally interesting about Power & Cooling: the area is much less dependent on which chip provider ultimately prevails. Computing power always needs power supply and thermal control.

And even if AI-CapEx should grow more slowly at some point, the topic could remain relevant. The focus will then probably shift more towards efficiency, power density and optimization of existing infrastructure. This is where power management and cooling will become even more important.
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That was a really good post @ScaleLimits. I also found out some of the things you wrote. Others I didn't know yet. Some of the companies you mentioned were previously unknown to me and I will take a look at them. So far I've only had ETFs and only recently started to take an interest in shares. I had to spend quite a while thinking about what I would like - and what I wouldn't like. However, unlike most people here, I will keep the majority of my portfolio in ETFs. The fluctuations are simply too great for me otherwise, especially now in the early days. And my ETFs haven't done too badly either.
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@Money-Maker-007 Thank you for your feedback. ETFs are also a good alternative. For example, in addition to world ETFs, I hold some thematic ETFs from VanEck that are performing really well: Space Innovators +254% in 1 year, Semiconductor +165%, Rare Earth +155%. This is particularly important if you are not yet so deeply involved in the value chains and bottleneck scenarios.
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