3D·

🚥 My traffic lights 🚦

Hello my dears,


to my company presentation of $SESG (+6,21%) SES there was a good addition in the comments from @Raketentoni . Which has its own screening system, so thank you my dear for keeping an eye on it again. And for telling us the dangers by name.

To make my work a little easier, I always use the TraderFox Scoring Systems.


I've already done a series on this called 🔴🟠🟡🟢🔵🟣Points Kings.


Here, however, I have only selected the green values, i.e. with a high number of points.

And in my company presentations, I only include the green scores.

So you can assume that if no scoring is inserted, it is a value in the yellow or red range.


So my question to the community is, would you also like me to add yellow and red ratings in future?


For classification, there are:


  • Quality check
  • Growth check
  • Dividend check
  • Robustness check


Many of you will have used the TraderFox Scoring and already use it yourselves.


Here you refer to the history.

This means

(related to the quality check)

  • 🔴Red or 🟡yellow values do not necessarily have to be bad and may also offer greater opportunities. But they may not yet have a long history. Or perhaps they have only just become profitable.

However, you should assume that such stocks are less conservative and also carry a certain risk risk.


  • 🟢 Stocks often have a longer history. And the companies have proven stability. In other words, they have shown that they can cope even in stormy times. They are often long-term runners and compounders.

And mostly companies with a moat.

We're talking about the greens here.

  • My dears, the fact that the quality check is not a 100% guarantee is shown quite well by the example of $EXLS (-2,08%) Exl Service. The share gets top marks because it has delivered in the past. But it has now been hugely penalized by the figment of AI's imagination.



PS. All my company ideas are of course not stock recommendations. Everyone is responsible for themselves and must make their own decisions.


Quality check for shares (here again the exact explanation of the quality check)

×

The TraderFox quality check assigns up to 15 points to each share. We use key figures that have become established in finance to distinguish quality from junk. The special thing about our quality check is that the 15 criteria are always considered in the context of the rest of the shares on the market. According to the principle: a key figure is considered to be fulfilled if the company performs better than, for example, 65% of all other companies in the respective reference market. The quality check is intended firstly to help investors reduce the risk of investments and secondly to draw attention to outstanding investment opportunities.

The following are the key figures and threshold values used

Growth and stability:

- Sales growth 5 years; 50%

- Stability Sales growth 5 years; 65%

- EPS growth 5 years; 50%

- Stability EPS growth 5 years; 65%

Profitability and profitability

- Return on equity; 50%

- Return on capital employed; 50%

- Net profit margin; 50%

Share price performance and volatility

- Volatility; 50% (ranking reversed)

- Performance per year; 50%

- Price stability; 50%

Security and balance sheet

- Financial debt; 50% (ranking reversed)

- EBIT / debt; 25%

- EBIT / interest payment; 25%

Red flags

- P/E ratio too high?; 10% (ranking reversed)

- P/E ratio too high?; 10% (ranking reversed)

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57 Comentários

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it's always amazing what you do for everyone here ❤️
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@1Chrischi1 Thank you my dear. That was very important to me once again
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It's enough for me if the traffic light is green in the growth check.
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@Multibagger It would be enough for me if someone switched the Trump traffic light to red 😂
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I also like to use the score to get an initial insight.
I believe that it is perhaps even quite important to list the negative points as well. Everyone then has to make their own decision. 👍🏼
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@TradingHase You are right . Often shares with fewer points are not necessarily bad. $CIEN, for example, is in the yellow zone. But the share is generating growth and performance. And I like the stock myself. But it does not yet meet all the criteria 100%. Just growth stocks
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@TradingHase be glad you have instabank, it delivers
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Why can't you tag me here? Thanks for the high praise 🙃 You can also post my analysis here. If anyone wants to have a stock analyzed, just tag it or write me.
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@Raketentoni strangely does not work for you. Even if I search for you with a magnifying glass, you are not displayed
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@Raketentoni I'll send you my portfolio. 😂 Joking aside, I would be very interested in the evaluation of Lemonade $LMND as I find the store very interesting. 😉
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@TradingHase Nothing easier than that 😬 but always remember, I don't buy story stocks and the formulas are for my dumbbell strategy, but read it for yourself 🤷

The answer is hard: No, this is absolutely not a buy. Lemonade (LMND) is currently one of the wildest battlegrounds on Wall Street. Despite "good" quarterly figures, the share price has plummeted in recent weeks (from over USD 90 to currently around USD 54).
Here are the fresh, unadorned facts (as at the end of February 2026), run directly through the quality and cash flow filters:
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E): Negative (The company incurred a bottom-line net loss of over USD 165 million in 2025).
Price-cash flow ratio (KCV): Negative (Operationally, the company is still burning cash over the year).
Price-sales ratio (P/S ratio): approx. 5.3 (market capitalization of just under USD 4 billion with annual sales of around USD 738 million).
Price-to-book value ratio (P/BV): approx. 7.4.
Dividend yield: 0.00 %.
The reality check
1. the core quality formula (sales growth + operating margin)
Here we are experiencing a statistical optical illusion that is extremely dangerous:
Sales growth: an outstanding 53 % in the last quarter. They really are growing like weeds.
Operating margin: Deep red at approx. -22 % (EBIT margin for the year).
The score: 53 + (-22) = 31.
At first glance, this would be a score of > 25 and therefore "very good". However, this growth comes at an extremely high price. The company continues to lose operating cash with every dollar it earns.
2. the cash flow quality formula
In its latest quarterly report, Lemonade celebrates the fact that it achieved a "positive adjusted free cash flow" of USD 37 million in the fourth quarter. The word "adjusted" is the devil here. Subtract share-based compensation (shareholder dilution) and other gimmicks and you are left with a company that still does not generate a clean, sustainable cash pool on a GAAP basis that would justify an FCF yield of an attractive >5%.
3. the iron exclusion criterion (the death sentence for the share)
The hard exclusion filter applies here without ifs and buts:
Operating margin permanently < 5%: Check. Sie ist tief negativ.
​Keine Dividende (geschweige denn Cashflow-gedeckt): Check.
​Story > Numbers: absolute check. Lemonade is selling the fantastic story of completely destroying the traditional insurance industry with AI, algorithms and telematics. The story is brilliant, the marketing is world class. But the hard figures show a company that is still deep in the red and is only vaguely predicting a positive full-year EBITDA for 2027.
Conclusion (Tacheles)
Lemonade is the classic "story stock without substance". Anyone who buys here is hoping that the AI revolution in the insurance market will become profitable faster than the money is eaten up.
For a genuine, qualitative investment with substance, the stock falls through the cracks. If your friend is a thrill seeker and wants to use the thing like your MindMed position as a pure lottery ticket for the farthest, wildest edge of the "playground" side - okay. But as a genuine investment filtered by hard numbers: hands off!
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@Raketentoni goes , what did you do?
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@Tenbagger2024 were the privacy settings so stalkers like you can't find me 😂😂😂 no fun, it's fine now. Thanks for the tip. I'm glad. If you want my opinion soon, just mark it 🙃 Greetings from 🇩🇰
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@Raketentoni I don't like you anymore and your prompt makes every stock bad for me😉😂. All joking aside, I think that because of the prompt, all my stocks that are trimmed purely for short-term maximum return will fail your check.
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@Raketentoni Are you from Denmark?
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@Multibagger That could happen, I just invest differently. I'm pursuing a clear barbell strategy with cash flow. At the moment I also have a lot of cash, waiting for the Iran attack to buy 😬
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@Raketentoni Thank you for the review. The good marketing must have caught me too, as I think this story of the AI-supported sector is strong. The expansion to other countries and insurance areas is also still in full development, so I saw potential there.
Surely your system can't incorporate such progress, as it's only part of the story being sold.
I'm a little unsure now 🙈
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Ver todas as 28 restantes respostas
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I can write an expert prompt on the evaluation of the Traderfox analysis software 😂
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@Raketentoni You really do a lot of work
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@Tenbagger2024 oh, I'll do that at work then it'll fit. I'll do it tomorrow and query it via the company software 😬
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My dear. Have a good trip and stop at red
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I think your ideas are great. I don't care whether the traffic light is in there with all the colors or not.
I'm also pleased that you're now linking the share again at the end.
What I would like to read more about or would like you to emphasize more is your personal opinion. Your conclusion and how you feel about the company.
Cheerio!
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@Keineui Yes, you're right. But too much personal opinion could also influence. And affect decisions. Because I prefer everyone to form their own opinion in the end.
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@Rick Thank you my dear. I feel honored
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Danke🫱🏽‍🫲🏻🙏🏻🥳
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Interesting idea, the stocks in my portfolio are probably all red or yellow! But btw do you know where I wrote the comment about why I'm invested in IREN? Must have been a month or so ago? I wanted to read it again, among other things to prepare the analysis of IREN, but somehow I can't find it anymore, or don't even remember in which context it was... ;)
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@Klein-Anleger perhaps because I'm not convinced by Irish. Because of the high level of debt. And also dilution
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