Why, for example, is my ETF displayed with a glaring minus (-5.92%), although according to Scalable I am well in the plus (+23.67%)?
For the share $MCD (+0,06%) the information is also incorrect.
Postos
426Why, for example, is my ETF displayed with a glaring minus (-5.92%), although according to Scalable I am well in the plus (+23.67%)?
For the share $MCD (+0,06%) the information is also incorrect.
$MCD (+0,06%) will close all Cosmc's branches.
The whole thing is not seen as a "failure", as it allowed drinks to be tested and later distributed in McDonald's without affecting normal business operations.
Well, you can sell a lot of things as successes. 😅
What do you think of $MCD (+0,06%) the foray into the beverage/coffee market?
CosMc's is to open in 10 locations next year and is also to be established in various countries.
Good morning to the community.
I would also like to introduce my portfolio and share my thoughts and goals.
First of all, a bit about myself and how I got into trading:
I am 39 years old and have actually NEVER been interested in the stock market/shares. Through a lucky coincidence in the gambling sector, I suddenly had a 5-figure sum in my account. I then went on a kind of overnight interest rate shopping spree. At some point, however, there were no more offers that appealed to me and I ended up with TR call money. At first I didn't want to invest any money in shares or ETFs, but then I decided to take a look. That was in August 2024, when I caught the bug quicker than I would have liked and, thanks to a good friend, I was able to quickly gather some information and recognize the benefits of investing.
I've been invested ever since.
Now to the structure and goals of my portfolio:
The main focus is on an ACWI IMI in order to build up a certain amount of capital through compound interest. I am expecting an investment horizon of 20 - 25 years. The aim is to have built up a certain amount of capital by then so that I can make withdrawals later in and around retirement age and enjoy a good life in retirement without having to worry. The ACWI was the first major building block for diversification. However, I am honest and I was tempted to buy a portfolio with various individual shares. These are mainly dividend-oriented. Most of the positions pay stable dividends and have moderate growth. I deliberately chose many defensive stocks such as $MUV2 (+0,45%)
$ALV (+0,57%) or $JNJ (+1,19%) in my portfolio so as not to be too speculative. Classics like $KO (+1,05%)
$MCD (+0,06%)
$PG (+1,12%) round off the whole thing. I wanted to achieve an inflow of at least €100 per month over the entire year. Currently it's around €2150 for the whole year. I enjoy having a continuous inflow of dividends that I can reinvest freely. I really wanted to take this positive aspect of the investment with me. Accordingly, I also have very strong dividend payers in my portfolio, although they can be quite volatile and operate in a difficult market environment, e.g. $SHEL (+1,04%)
$PETR4 (+1,8%) or $MO (+0,29%) . In December, I invested in shares of $HOT (-1,53%) and $HEI (+0,21%) with the idea that these companies could possibly benefit from the reconstruction of war zones. (I know that's perhaps not the nicest thought and I'm not a friend of wars either, but you have to ignore that when it comes to profits) and the shares of both have done really well for me. That's why I'm also invested in 2 defense ETFs. Another ETF I have in my portfolio is a "tech/software" ETF, AI & Big Data. Individual stocks were too risky for me here and I preferred to take a broadly diversified approach. I also recently added the Germany All Cap to my portfolio, as I think that Germany will be on the rise again in the future. As a small stock with the hope of a real cracker for the future, I have $DEFI (+7,71%) in the portfolio. Let's see what happens. I'm currently running a savings plan of around 200 euros a month, as I don't have the funds to pump huge amounts of fresh money into my portfolio due to a house loan.
With this in mind, I would be grateful for any tips, suggestions and perhaps also positive words. If you have any questions, please let me know.
Kind regards
TL;DR like to roast my deposit, appreciate all opinions!
I always find the many posts here and reading various biographies very interesting, so I've wanted to say a few words for a while now.
Tried early, but started late
I am now 32 and unfortunately started investing seriously far too late, studied far too long, and with the larger salaries finally built up as much as possible and tried to catch up as quickly as possible. "Unfortunately" means for the most part the past calendar year, which is why I put a large part of my money into shares at already high prices and then had very little cash left in the crash to add to it. Fully invested, in other words. During the crash, I mainly reallocated and continued to fully invest what was left over from my monthly salaries.
Yet back in 2011, at the age of 18, I had a share called Facebook and a Starbucks share in my portfolio without much of a clue. I just wanted to know what my mother was actually doing with her shares and how it worked, and with FB and Starbucks I simply chose two companies that "everyone" uses/needs anyway. The idea wasn't that stupid, it worked, and after a short time I was happy about the small profit in absolute terms, sold the shares at DiBa despite the high fees at the time and simply forgot about shares for years - wealth accumulation, a word that wasn't in my vocabulary, the money I had was simply turned upside down as a young adult. Well, young me, just leave the shares lying around or, even better, take a closer look at them and carry on, it "might" have been worth it...
Of priorities and wrong horses
The years went by without any shares, but with lots of fast food and partying, but at least things have changed. At some point, I started to think about the future and wealth accumulation, first taking an interest in interest rates, and then the logical next step was dividends and shares. Unfortunately, it started rather haphazardly. As a student, I started investing small amounts, and of course betting on the wrong horses. Speculative lithium shares were particularly bad in this phase, unfortunately these were large sums even by my standards, from my grandfather's estate. That was bad. However, crypto was a very good horse, more precisely $BTC (+1,24%) and $ETH (+0,92%) which (as a computer scientist) I became interested in early on and exited several times with high profits, also thanks to domestic mining. It's just stupid that back then, in the last decade, I would never have imagined how cryptos would develop. If I had, I would have simply left it all, or at least part of it. You learn and you're always smarter afterwards anyway.
Fully invested - excessive, unhealthy, or simply good housekeeping?
So now I'm 32 - and proud of a portfolio that I think I've built up to a good size in a relatively short time. Which has given me other ideas for some time now. I'm still a long way from reaching my goal, but I have to get back on the "invest 100%" path, which has been completely contrary to my past for a long time now, and strangely enough, I'm finding it difficult to do so - something to reflect on. There are too many (supposed?) opportunities every day. So I simply could not $UNH (+3,35%) after a long period of observation yesterday and of course the savings plans had to run today too. I think I've always been good at budgeting, or let's put it this way, at least good at getting by with the money available to me in a perfectly timed way, but "indulging", not just in company shares, may become a little more prominent again. I don't go without noticeably in everyday life, I need very little, which I don't think is a bad quality to begin with. But I have changed a lot in the area of "consumption" compared to the past. I think it would be good to find a healthy balance. In my opinion, just as you don't just live to work, but work to live, the same applies to saving/investing. I actually read a post here on gq today that described exactly that and I could relate to it very well. So, reflection and taking your foot off the gas is allowed - no, it's a must! I am familiar with frugalists, but I never wanted to be one. I'd be interested to know if anyone else here feels the same way, or did?
Wrong decisions, mistakes... and (hopefully) the right conclusions
Back to the topic! (Not only) on the way to today's portfolio I have made many wrong decisions, as already mentioned, so I thought that a well-kept portfolio roast could do me some good. Other, new opinions and assessments can't be bad!
In particular, in the past I have often missed the opportunity to simply let profits run their course and instead dragged losses around with me for too long (which brings us back to lithium). A thought that I recently had again when I was thinking about when it would make sense to $HIMS (+8,82%) possibly realize, as an example. $PLTR (+7,48%) and $NVDA (+3,19%) are two examples that, like so many others, I naturally had on my radar, but they always seemed too expensive, the setback never came and I really missed the big rallies as a result. At the same time, I also get caught out by FOMO from time to time. So in both good and bad phases, I try not to just see red or green, fear or hope, but simply to evaluate what actually makes sense "from now on". Sometimes you realize a loss in order to try your luck elsewhere, sometimes you should let profits run, sometimes take them, sometimes endure the dip, sometimes be courageous and sometimes defensive. Easier said than done. I find it very nice and helpful to exchange ideas on this platform and how open and "yet" respectful it generally is. Of course, I will most likely never reach some portfolio sizes, but you can always learn something about how some people manage their portfolios, regardless of the absolute figures. You will always make mistakes, but at least you should deal with them correctly and draw the best possible conclusions.
Portfolio restructuring, planned investments / savings plans
And today? After some evaluation, research, regrouping and restructuring, I now have fewer, but still quite a few positions in different sectors, most of which are already of a decent and roughly balanced size. My medium-term plan is now to build up all positions to a certain target size. This is why I am currently running savings plans:
ETF/ETC:
Partly with small weekly amounts, until enough cash is available to fill the target position evenly. With $AVGO (-0,94%) for example, there is not much left. Also $BRK.B (+1,58%) / $APH (+1,52%) and others are already approaching the target. In some cases with somewhat larger sums for still small but prioritized positions, until opportunities and/or resources for individual purchases arise, such as the $ALV (+0,57%) and $RSG (+0,38%) should be mentioned here, as well as $DGE (+0,43%) as a turnaround candidate.
Once the aforementioned positions are full, I would like to turn my attention to the more defensive candidates that are already in the portfolio but which I am currently prioritizing - $MCD (+0,06%) / $KO (+1,05%) / $CCEP (+1,93%) / $ULVR (+0,55%) and others - and finally increase the ETF and gold share in the long term.
$VKTX (+3,61%) is a bit of a gamble, as I have actually said goodbye to pharma - $ABBV (+1,58%) / $NOVO B (+3,18%) / $LLY (+1,37%) and $MRK (+2,06%) were still part of the inventory until recently. Instead, I decided to go with $DXCM (+1,37%) / $ISRG (+0,24%) / $DHR (+2,51%) on medical technology.
$BTC (+1,24%) remains a fixed value in the portfolio, while I $ETH (+0,92%) (incorrectly entered due to staking - around 0.4 shares or €1000) and $XRP (+0,11%) would/will sell at corresponding prices.
I still lack around €15,000 in individual stocks at current prices to bring all positions to the current desired/dream target. This will take some time, but is foreseeable. And then I would be really quite proud and happy "as things stand now"! In any case, I now feel very comfortable on the path I have chosen and, as I said, I have to stop myself from forgetting that not all money has to be invested all the time.
Savings rate
To put this into figures, I have averaged a savings rate of around €1500 over the last 24 months, with an average of €100 a month in dividends. 1400€ investment, that's about 82% of my monthly budget after deducting all "unavoidable" fixed costs including fuel and household, but not including consumption such as clothes, going out or vacations. Exaggerated, I can't say otherwise myself. But at least I have a good reason to step on the gas and get the compound interest going.
So what is all this for?
In the long term, my girlfriend and I dream of owning a property somewhere on the Croatian Adriatic, her homeland, and where I was able to spend many wonderful weeks with my parents every year as a child. A beautiful region that I consider an important part of my life, with many great moments and memories that may become even more. I hope to get closer to this goal "quickly" with the depot. The language is already halfway there! :)
In the long term, this would probably involve a little reallocation into value dividend payers, which should help with repayment. However, I would also like to lay the foundations for later distributions today, without neglecting growth. There is probably no perfect mix for this, but you are welcome to rate mine.
So, unfortunately I was once again unable to be brief. Thank you for reading, whoever has made it this far, and for your comments! I'm very excited and wish you all a great weekend.
Today I would like to hear your opinion :)
First of all, a brief introduction to myself:
I am 35 years old, married and have 2 children.
We live in a house and almost 10 years ago I bought my mother an apartment in which I support her financially.
Accordingly, I am paying for almost 2 properties.
My portfolio is a good mix (for me) of BTC/dividends & growth.
I buy the Mercedes shares annually as an employee package; the performance is strongly positive in real terms, but I have included them here as they also arrive in my portfolio.
$BTC (+1,24%) I have been saving €100/month for years.
my other current savings plans:
$MSFT (+0,93%) 200€/month
$GOOGL (+3,98%) 100€/month
$HTGC (+3,15%) 50€/month
The savings plans are not set in stone and will be adjusted from time to time,
The target value for shares is €3000-3500 for the time being.
the kids are now in daycare for another year + one 3 years, after which the savings rate will be adjusted upwards again (daycare fees currently ~500€/mth).
$MBG (-0,26%)
$BLK (+1,26%)
$MO (+0,29%)
$ULVR (+0,55%)
$P (-0,38%)$MCD (+0,06%)
$JPM (+1,68%)
McDonald's $MCD (+0,06%) is one of my top 3 positions in the portfolio and not without reason:
The Group has stood for stability, strong dividends and global brand power for decades.
But even McDonald's is not immune to inflation, consumer restraint and macroeconomic headwinds.
In the following article, I categorize the Q1 figures based on the official earnings release [1] and supplementary statements from the earnings call/webcast [2].
In addition to the pure figures, it's also about loyalty programs, margin development, new menu strategies and my personal conclusion on the share.
Have fun!
_______________
McDonald's is starting the new year with a decline in sales and profits, with business weakening in the USA in particular. Nevertheless, the company is showing global resilience, particularly through its licensed markets and the rapidly growing loyalty program.
📊 ESTIMATES VS. REPORTED
*(According to the earnings report, operating profit (EBIT) amounted to $2.65 billion; the third-party provider Quartr states a slightly different figure of $2.71 billion, which may be due to rounding or other valuation measures).
📊 Results Q1 2025
What is GAAP vs. non-GAAP?
💰 Margin & result
"Our adjusted operating margin was around 45.5%, despite declining sales."
EXCURSUS: Company-operated margin: (operating margin from company-owned restaurants)
...refers to the profit margin that McDonald's generates from the restaurants it operates itself, as opposed to franchise or licensed operations.
McDonald's operates two types of restaurants worldwide:
1 . Franchise restaurants (around 95%)
2 . Company-operated restaurants (approx. 5 %)
Why is this margin important?
🌍 Global comparative figures (Comparable Sales):
What are IOM and IDL markets?
📉 Why did things go worse in the USA?
The decline in sales in the USA (-3.6 % comparable sales) was mainly due to:
🌐 System-wide sales (system-wide sales):
What does this mean?
Without the influence of fluctuating exchange rates, sales would have increased by 1 %. Calculated in US dollars, for example, a weak euro has a negative impact, even though the local business is stable.
🔁 Leap Day distorts comparison:
2024 was a leap year with February 29 (Leap Day), which means one more day of sales compared to 2025, making the previous year's base appear artificially higher. This makes the decline in sales appear larger than it actually is.
🎯 Loyalty program, McDonald's digital joker
Via the app or with a customer account, users receive loyalty points for their orders, which they can exchange for free products or discounts, similar to Payback but with burgers.
Why is the revenue from loyalty members higher than the Group revenue of $5.96 bn?
➡ The high loyalty revenue shows how strong customer loyalty and app usage have become and how important this digital strategy is for McDonald's future.
➡️ Loyalty customers order more frequently, spend more and are less price-sensitive. The program helps McDonald's to stabilize sales and retain customers, especially in difficult economic times.
💳 Consumer climate & customer behavior
"In contrast to a few months ago, spending by middle-class consumers has now fallen almost as sharply as that of low-income households."
UnderstandingWhat is the QSR environment?
QSR = Quick Service Restaurant
This refers to the quick service restaurant sector, e.g. McDonald's, Burger King, Subway, KFC, etc.
When the "QSR industry" is mentioned in the earnings call, this refers to the competition and demand in the global fast food sector.
The "QSR environment" includes:
🔎 Interim conclusion so far:
As expected, the figures show a challenging quarter with declines in sales and earnings in almost all core markets.
The USA in particular suffered from inflation, price pressure and weaker demand.
At the same time, McDonald's remains remarkably profitable with an operating margin of 45.5 %, which speaks for the resilience of the business model.
Growth in the licensed markets (IDL) and the strong loyalty program provide clear rays of hope.
For me, these are the first signs that McDonald's is structurally well positioned, even if the short-term momentum is currently slowing.
⚙️ Further initiatives & Strategy 2025:
Value-oriented menu strategy & McValue platform
"Leadership in price-performance is crucial in this environment."
Customer loyalty & marketing offensives
"Our Minecraft campaign is our biggest global campaign to date - with over 100 participating markets."
Innovation & new structure
"We are creating burger, chicken & beverage specialists as we compete more and more against specialized players (e.g. chains that focus only on chicken or beverages, such as Chick-fil-A or Starbucks) to develop targeted products and better compete in these segments."
GBS = Global Business Services:
More focus on mobile orders & digitalization
Investments:
📉 Challenges:
📌 Personal conclusion
In the first quarter, McDonald's showed that even a giant can come under pressure, especially in a weak economic environment with declining visitor numbers in the US and Europe.
Nevertheless, the share price has remained relatively stable.
At the same time, I am convinced by the long-term levers:
the strong loyalty program, targeted pricing models and the international expansion in licensed markets (IDL), which are growing solidly.
I am continuing to hold my position, as McDonald's remains a robust basic investment for me.
However, there will be no further acquisitions at the moment, as I would first like to see margins and customer numbers stabilize in the long term.
_____________
Thank you for reading! 🤝
_____________
Sources:
[1] https://corporate.mcdonalds.com/content/dam/sites/corp/nfl/pdf/Q1_25_Earnings_Release.pdf
[2] https://web.quartr.com/link/companies/5595/events/314423?targetTime=0.0
______________
$MCD (+0,06%)
$YUM (+1,84%)
$QSR (+0,35%)
$WEN (+0,59%)
$CMG (+0,33%)
$SBUX (+3,9%)
$DPZ (+3,23%)
$JACK (+4,4%)
As a chaotic April comes to a close, I'm looking forward to what May has to bring!
Overall, I think that the US market's current "stabilization" is quite fleeting and that prices will continue falling a bit further. Regardless, US tech is strong, with $MSFT (+0,93%) leading the pack and $AAPL (+2,14%) lagging behind.
Another interesting bit of news is $MCD (+0,06%) giving caution to investors about expecting less revenue going forward. This means that Americans can not afford some of the cheapest and lowest quality fast food.
Also, what is up with $TSLA (+6,14%) ?!
You can find my thoughts about all of these and more in my daily market update video.
(Apologies for the sound quality in advance)
McDonald's Corporation ($MCD (+0,06%)
) slightly missed analysts' expectations in the first quarter of 2025 in terms of both sales and earnings per share. Despite challenging market conditions, the company was able to maintain its operating margins at a high level and and maintained its maintain its competitive position. No statements on the dividend or share buy-backs were made in the report. made in the report.
Key financial figures (Q1 2025):
Business development & market conditions:
Market reaction:
Outlook:
Conclusion:
McDonald's has slightly disappointed in a difficult consumer environment, but remains operationally solid. The management is strategically focused on value-for-money offerings and product innovation in order to grow in a highly competitive market environment.
$GM (+0,77%) , $MCD (+0,06%) .....
https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/geschaeftszahlen-im-newsblog-general-motors-setzt-prognose-herunter-mcdonalds-mit-rueckgang-bei-umsatz-und-gewinn/24098412.html
🔹 Revenue: $5.96B (est. $6.12B) 🔴; -3% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.67 (est. $2.68) 🟡; -1% YoY
🔹 Global Comp Sales: -1.0% (est. +0.51%) 🔴
🔹 U.S. Comp Sales: -3.6% (est. -0.98%) 🔴
🔹 Intl Operated Markets Comp Sales: -1.0%
🔹 Intl Dev. Licensed Markets Comp Sales: +3.5%
Segment Commentary
🔸 U.S.: Comp sales decline due to negative guest counts
🔸 Intl Operated Markets: Weakness in the U.K. drove comp sales lower
🔸 Intl Dev. Licensed: Positive sales growth driven by Middle East and Japan
🔸 Operating Income: $2.65B, down 3% YoY (flat ex-restructuring)
🔸 EPS impact from restructuring: -$0.07/share
Systemwide Sales to Loyalty Members:
🔹 $8B in Q1
🔹 $31B trailing 12-month total across 60 markets
CEO Commentary
🔸 "Consumers today are grappling with uncertainty, but they can always count on McDonald’s for value and innovation. Our legacy of agility positions us well for continued share gains." — Chris Kempczinski, CEO
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