Hello everyone,

I have looked at the stocks in my portfolio with my new but still incomplete knowledge of fundamental analysis and am of the opinion that some stocks are heavily overvalued.

Perhaps they will fall back to their fundamental value soon or at some point?

Yes, actually this is bound to happen in the long term.

So I'm wondering whether I should sell now and invest the capital in fundamentally favorable stocks or in my ETFs?

I also find it interesting that some stocks were already overvalued when I bought them and some only became overvalued later.

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In my opinion, some of the stocks in my portfolio are overvalued:

(not exhaustive)

Palantir $PLTR (-1,3%)

Ferrari $RACE (-2,98%)

Rheinmetall $RHM (+2,85%)

Agree Realty $ADC (-1,29%)

visas $V (-2,64%)

Hermes $RMS (-3,51%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-2,62%)

Nu 😅 $NU (-2,16%)

Asml $ASML (-7,33%)

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On the other hand, I think they are favorably valued at the moment:

(some are not really cheap, but maybe worth buying)

Amazon $AMZN (-6,32%)

Abc $GOOGL (-3,55%)

Sofi $SOFI (-10,97%)

Lockheed Martin $LMT (+0,01%)

Berkshire $BRK.B (-2,23%)

Caterpillar $CAT (-7,99%)

Occidental Petroleum $OXY (-10,69%)

Rio Tinto $RIO (-1,6%)

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I think I probably wouldn't regret it if I just sold everything and put it in the $HMWO (-3,86%) and put it in the But I enjoy individual shares and the risk is limited. Still, I would like to know how you read valuations and translate them into action decisions and what you think about my specific situation and would possibly act.

$LMT (+0,01%) I just sold my position regarding. $LMT (+0,01%) , lost the contract for F35 lightning and half of Europe including France and Germany want to stop ordering F35 and other US armaments

I lost about 23% on my position....

Trump - the best sales guy the European defense industry has ever had.

Speaking of fighter aircraft: did I already mention that Saab ($SAAB B (+5,9%)) not only has its own platforms such as the Gripen fighter jet, but is also involved in the modernization of the European Eurofighter ($AIR (-1,99%) - $LDO (+3,14%) - $BA. (+0%)) fleets and the construction of the upcoming latest "Eurofighter EK" models?

• Saab erhält Auftrag für das Arexis-Sensorsystem für die deutschen Eurofighter

It's time for Kötbullar again.

https://www.threads.net/@factpostnews/post/DHd5i5NP3oJ?xmt=AQGzf0-FdZSjf3thHE2npei2poyIa3oUkqf-v3mHrOfKvQ

#trump
#eurofighter
$LMT (+0,01%)
#f35
$BA (-10,13%)
#f47

What do you think is going on with the company right now? Well, there are now problems with the jets at $LMT (+0,01%) because the order with the jets went to $BA (-10,13%) gone. But I still believe in the company in the long term and especially when it comes to the space business, thank God it's not all military. In the long term, it could also recover or what do you think? For me it was always a good companion in the depot😄

$LMT (+0,01%)

The example of the F-35 fighter jet demonstrates Germany's dependence on the USA. Defense Minister Pistorius stands by the purchase of the ultra-modern aircraft - and contradicts doubters who question the reliability of the Trump administration.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius wants to stick with the purchase of the F-35 stealth jets from the USA. "The USA is and will remain an important ally for us - also for equipping the Bundeswehr," he said in response to doubts about further arms cooperation with the USA under President Donald Trump. Europe and the USA "want to and must gain clout", the SPD politician told the German Press Agency. "This applies not only to the F-35, but also to our other projects."

The F-35 project in particular shows how closely interwoven and coordinated industries are, said the Minister. "It is a multinational project. Essential parts of the F-35 are manufactured outside the USA," said Pistorius. In Germany, for example, Rheinmetall is involved in production and eight nations were involved in the development. "14 NATO nations and a total of 20 nations are currently or will be using the F-35," he said. There are mutual benefits from the user community.

F-35 can carry US nuclear bombs

By procuring the F-35, Germany is securing its continued nuclear sharing - a NATO deterrence concept in which allies have access to US nuclear bombs in the event of war. "It is only possible with fighter aircraft that the US government has certified for this purpose. Only the F-35 can close the gap that will arise at the end of the decade when the Tornados reach their age limit," said Pistorius.

Reports about a possible remote shutdown ("kill switch") by the USA had fueled concerns about excessive dependency. The Ministry of Defense contradicted this: "There is no possibility of simply switching off the F-35 remotely. That is not true," said a spokesperson. He also contradicted reports of a crisis meeting in the ministry regarding the US weapons.

https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/f35-kampfjets-100.html

Unfortunately, the short and medium-term outlook no longer convinces me at all. Impending national military cuts, the loss of image due to Trump, Boeing!!! is snapping up the next generation.

I was actually fully convinced about a year ago. The product mix was just right. In between, my most successful share with +40%. The increasing competition in the space, air and drone business and the current political situation do not lead me to believe in an imminent recovery.

Out with about plus/minus zero.

$LMT (+0,01%)

what happened?

$LMT (+0,01%)

It seems like my post about Europas F-35-Sicherheitsdilemma could not have come at a better time:

Dependence on US armaments is increasingly perceived as a risk factor for Europe's military and security sovereignty and is now being publicly addressed at the highest political level faster than I would have expected.

French President Emmanuel Macron

President of France Emmanuel Macron has made it clear in an interview with Le Parisien that he is critical of Europe's purchase and use of US armaments and proposed replacing them with European alternatives.

Macron was also quite clear: "Those who buy Patriot systems should be offered the next generation of the Franco-Italian SAMP/T. Those who buy F-35s should be offered the Rafale fighter aircraft."

His main concern is greater strategic autonomy for Europe:

• Criticism of US systems: Poland plans to buy American F-35 fighter jets ($LMT (+0,01%)) and Patriot ($RYTT34). Macron questions these decisions and proposes European solutions.
• European optionsMacron specifically mentions approaches such as joint European development projects to reduce dependence on the USA. Examples include European fighter jets such as Saab Gripen ($SAAB B (+5,9%)), Eurofighter ($AIR (-1,99%) - $BA. (+0%) - $MTX (-2,31%) - $LDO (+3,14%)) or Dassault
  Rafale ($AM (+2,11%)) or air defense systems (e.g. SAMP/T from $HO (+2,69%), $BA. (+0%), $AIR (-1,99%) and $LDO (+3,14%) or Oerlikon Skynex from $RHM (+2,85%)).
• Long-term strategyMacron's proposals aim to strengthen Europe's military independence by pooling technology, production capacities and resources in the EU member states' own economic area in the long term.

Macron is thus sending a clear signal for more European cooperation in the defense sector and against an excessive focus on US technology.

#emmanuelmacron
#usa
#defense
#verteidigung
#rüstungsindustrie
#europa
$R3NK (+3,56%)
$IE0002Y8CX98 (+0,93%)
$HAG (+1,97%)

With Canada the next NATO partner is now looking for alternatives to the US fighter jet F-35 ($LMT (+0,01%) ) and is examining various models such as the Gripen ($SAAB B (+5,9%) ) or the Eurofighter ($AIR (-1,99%)
$BA. (+0%)
$LDO (+3,14%)
$MTX (-2,31%) ). The background to this is not only financial aspects - technical requirements and geopolitical considerations also play a role. At the same time, there are questions about maintenance costs and military independence from the USA. With its decision, Canada is setting the course for new international cooperation. This opens up exciting opportunities for the European aerospace industry.

In my opinion, Saab's Gripen currently has the best chance of becoming Canada's newest fighter jet. The concept of the Swedes, especially in terms of range, price/performance, maintenance and usability (optimized for use in Canadian latitudes; for take-off and landing on regular roads in remote regions and service there with small teams) fits like a glove to the Canadian aviator's eye. Canada also has the opportunity to produce the Saab Gripen in its own country.

Source: https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Kanada-sucht-nach-Alternativen-zum-US-Kampfjet-F-35-article25632225.html

#kanada
#usa
#f35
#saab
#eurofighter

https://youtu.be/QyD0liioY8E?si=-IJOWHYPEuT2IIr2