Hello everyone,

At the end of last year, I published my "top picks list" here, in which I presented the stocks that I have put on my watchlist for 2024 and am also partially invested in (unfortunately not in all of them 😁).

At the time, I had compiled a list of stocks recommended by well-known analysts and put them through "my requirements profile". The original 100 stock ideas then became the list below. A year later, I'm looking back. This was the performance:

🟢 $TMUS (+0,32%) +1,63%

🟢 Sterling Infrastructure: +100.68%

🟢 $CRM (-2,41%) Salesforce: +28.14%

🟢 $RR. (-1,27%) Rolls-Royce: +92.56%

🟢 $MOD (-7,19%) Modine Manufacturing: +98.68%

🟠 $MHO (-1,67%) M/I Homes: -1.46%

🟢 $META (-1,11%) Meta: +68.52%

🟢 $MCD (+0,5%) McDonalds: +0.14%

🟢 $MA (-0,3%) Mastercard: +26.26%

🟢 $ISP (+0,32%) Intesa Sanpaolo: +45.44%

🟢 $ISRG (-1,15%) Intuitive Surgical: +59.62%

🟠 $GCT Gigacloud Technologies: -0.66%

🟢 $FDX (-5,06%) FedEx: +11.11%

🟠 $LPG (-1,02%) Dorian LPG: -47.70%

🟢 $COST (+0,22%) Costco: +43.34%

🟢 $US1011372067 Boston Scientific: +63.23%

🟢 $BKNG (-5,35%) Booking: +44.19%

🟠 $ABX (-2,34%) Barrick Gold: -14.73%

🟢 $APP (-6,81%) Applovin: +753.81%

🟢 $GOOG (-2,32%) Alphabet: +39.28%

🟢 $AMZN (-2,39%) Amazon: +48,05%

🟢 $ANF (-2,44%) Abercrombie & Fitch: +69.99%

As you can see, my stock ideas have done quite well. $APP (-6,81%) with +753.81% was of course a big hit. $DORIAN With -47.70% it was a pipe-dropper.

🔥 I'm currently working on my top picks list for 2025. If you're interested, I'll be happy to share it again and put it up for discussion!

💬 What were your top picks in 2024? And what were the losers? I will reply to every comment and give you a brief assessment.

#stockanalysis
#watchlist

Earnings next week

$DELL (-1,59%)

$CRWD (-6,19%)

$ANF (-2,44%)

$ZM (-0,3%)

$KSS (+0,79%)

$WDAY (-1,61%)

$BBY (-0,46%)

$BBWI (-4,2%)

$BLBD (-1,75%)

$ADSK (-0,56%)

$M (-3,7%)

$FLNC (-5,79%)

$HPQ (-0,12%)

$DKS (-2,57%)

$AMBA (-3,22%)

$URBN (-3,83%)

$DDD (-6,19%)

$BURL (-2,6%)

$A (-0,64%)

$WWD (-2,49%)

$HDL

$IREN (-10,54%)

$GIW

$SMTC (+0,14%)

$JWN (+0,35%)

$NTNX (-2,29%)

$HSAI (+6,52%)

$LESL (-5,59%)

$PFLT (-0,37%)

$GES (-3,39%)

$ENTA (-3,76%)

$ADI (-0,67%)

$PNNT (+0,29%)

$SUPV (-4,98%)

$BLRX

$PD

$FRO (-1,8%)

$NJR (+1,35%)

$ARWR (-4,61%)

$TWG

$MANU (-0,58%)

$YY (-1,47%)

$NOAH (-0%)

$ICCM

$SJM (+3,05%)

$CLGN

$UNM

$GOGL (-2,49%)

$TITN (-4,89%)

While retailers such as Peek & Cloppenburg and Gerry Weber had to file for insolvency, a label is on fire 🚀.

$ANF (-2,44%)

https://de.fashionnetwork.com/news/Abercrombie-umsatzwachstum-ubertrifft-analystenerwartungen,1637024.html

The upcoming week summarized:

Monday

• Publication of the quarterly reports of GitLab ($GTLB (-5,02%) )
• Speech by Philadelphia Fed President Tom Harker

Tuesday

• Release of factory orders (January) and the ISM Services PMI (February)
• Super Tuesday pre-elections in 16 states
• Quarterly reports from CrowdStrike ($CRWD (-6,19%) ), Target Corp ($TGT (-2,56%) ), Ross Stores ($ROST (-1,53%) ) and Nordstrom ($JWN (+0,35%) )

Wednesday

• Release of the ADP Employment Report (February)
• Statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell before the House of Representatives
• Publication of wholesale inventories (January), job vacancies (January) and the Federal Reserve Beige Book
• Speeches from San Francisco Fed President Mary C. Daly and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari
• Quarterly reports from Campbell Soup ($CPB (+3,22%) ) and Abercrombie & Fitch ($ANF (-2,44%) )

Thursday

• Statements by Fed Chair Jerome Powell before the Senate
• State of the Union Speech
• Publication of initial applications for unemployment benefits (March 2), productivity (revisions to the fourth quarter) and the trade balance
• Speech by Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester
• Quarterly reports from Broadcom ($AVGO (-3,16%) ), Costco Wholesale Corp ($COST (+0,22%) ), Kroger Company ($KR (+1,52%) ), Marvell Technology ($MRVL (-4,06%) ) and Victoria's Secret ($VSCO (-4,47%) )

Friday

• Release of the USlabor market report (February)
• Speech by New York Fed President John C. Williams

FOMO back?

The current price movements at $SMCI
$NVDA (-3,63%)
$BTC (+0,19%) or $ANF (-2,44%) no longer appear rational - they reflect a mood that seems to be permeated by a disturbing phenomenon: the "Fear of Missing out" (FOMO). This emotional rollercoaster ride is tempting many investors to make impulsive decisions by jumping on the bandwagon for fear of missing out on "the next big thing". But in this hustle and bustle, long-term strategies and well-founded analyses are easily lost sight of.

"It's not always rational but it's rational a lot of the time that the market does the things that it does every day."- Warren Buffett

FOMO can lead to impulsive actions based on short-term emotions rather than a sound analysis of the underlying values. This poses significant risks to the portfolio, as short-term gains can often be followed by equally rapid losses. You should always remember what Buffet said about such hypes: "The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient."

How to combat FOMO:

1. take a long-term perspective: Remember that investing is for the long term. Short-term hypes are often of limited duration, while a long-term strategy promises more sustainable success.

2. rational analysis: Take the time for a rational analysis. Check the fundamentals of the investments and evaluate your risk profile.

Your feedback is crucial! Are you falling victim to FOMO? What are your experiences?

#bestshares

#baqs

@Staatsmann wanted me to do some research on how Jeremy Fragrance invests and of course I don't have to be told twice!

Who do you not know? Jeremy Fragrance has made a name for itself in recent years in the perfume industry. Whether good or bad, it remains to be seen. Jeremy Fragrance is of course not his real name, but his stage name. Jeremy Fragrance's real name is actually Daniel Schütz.

I found an interview online from Der Aktionär TV in which Jeremy Fragrance explains how he invests his money. His estimated net worth is 1.3 million euros. When the interviewer confronts him with this, he laughs and says it's even bigger than that. But of course I would not have expected any other answer from him haha

First of all: I was surprised by his investment strategy, because it's not as bad as I thought!

According to Jeremy Fragrance, investing for him is simple and like playing Monopoly. Instead of luxury items like a gold Rolex, a red Ferrari, clothes, or material things in general, he invests his money in just three things: food, stocks, and real estate. He even calls grocery shopping a game, since he only buys food on sale at discount stores. Going out to eat in restaurants - he doesn't do that anymore.

His investment strategy for him privately, but also for the companies where he is the CEO, is as follows: 10% of every income is transferred to a magnetic account. He then invests this money monthly to a large extent in the $CSPX (-1,14%) and the $IWDA (-1,03%). So he has a classic savings plan for the two ETFs. He also invests in 10 stocks that he personally finds "awesome", including. $RACE (-0,5%), $MBG (-1,31%), $ANF (-2,44%), $MCD (+0,5%), $DIS (-1,33%), $AMZN (-2,39%) and $GOOGL (-2,28%). In $META (-1,11%) however, he is not invested. During the interview, he emphasizes several times that he invests larger amounts of money precisely in times when companies are doing badly. Classic "buy the dip" principle. He determines the sum according to his gut feeling.

According to Jeremy Fragrance, he is also invested in gold to a small extent and has even already sold a kilo of gold to buy more shares. He tends to focus on stocks and ETFs rather than commodities like gold.

A gimmick of his are his 2 currency accounts for the Polish currency Złoty, as both of his parents are from Poland and for the US Dollar. When the Złoty/Dollar is doing poorly against the Euro, he buys the respective foreign currency on these currency accounts. He then uses the money to buy real estate, for example, an apartment in Krakow.

Jeremy Fragrance has several sources of income:

• Income from Jeremy Fragrance GmbH (his social media agency) through which he offers his services. He spoilers a supposed deal with Google where he got $25,000 to smell a remote control.
• Revenue from Fragrance One GmbH, through which beauty, perfume and deco products are sold.
• Passive income such as rental income from real estate from Poland and the USA and dividends.

I also took a look at Northdata. There is also mentioned DS Holding GmbH, which has control over the two above mentioned GmbHs. The two GmbHs have a profit transfer agreement with DS Holding GmbH. His wife Jolanta Theresa Schütz also benefits from his business, as she is listed as another managing director of Jeremy Fragrance GmbH. DS Holding made a profit of €904,104 in 2020 and €925,357 in 2021. So it is estimated that his fortune could really be €1.3 million.

What do you think of Jeremy Fragrance's investment strategy? Do you have any further information about possible investments? Then feel free to share them in the comments!

I hope you enjoyed the article 🥰

You can watch the entire interview from Der Aktionär TV here. I warn you though, it's a bit exhausting listening to Jeremy Fragrance for 15 minutes haha (December 2022): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y1gHLLdcsVU

Here you can get to the data from Northdata:

https://www.northdata.de/DS+Holding+GmbH,+Gr%C3%BCnwald/Amtsgericht+M%C3%BCnchen+HRB+248179

#investmentstrategies

#howbillionairesinvest