4G·

Where I topped up yesterday and today and struck for the first time

Good evening dear community,


I would like to share with you more actively what is happening or has recently happened in my portfolio.


I have used the - in some cases significant - setbacks in growth and AI stocks over the last few days/week to bring more cash into the market. Delayed data and rate cut or not, the well-known saying "Time in the market, beats timing the market" applies to me. Savings plans run mindlessly month after month anyway.


So here is a brief look at what has happened in the portfolio over the last few days:


$RKLB (+4,13%) Initial purchase of 19 shares at €38.40 each

$ZETA (+6,19%) First purchase of 50 shares at €14.55 each

$HIMS (+4,57%) Increase by 8 shares at € 30 each

$DEFI (-3,49%) Increase of 279 shares at € 0.896 each

$CA1 (-4,13%) Increase by 31 shares at €15.95 each

$HIVE (+0,8%) Increase by 82 shares at € 2.92 each


This means that all my (freely) available cash is in the market for the time being. Let's see where the journey takes us.


How have your portfolios fared over the last few days? I've seen a clear downward trend, primarily due to the significant drop in BTC and the sharp fall in the prices of my AI stocks.


Nevertheless, I remain relaxed and am not selling anything because my investment case is still intact for all my current investments. With this in mind: remain steadfast, above all question whether anything has changed in your investments from a fundamental perspective and if not: just be patient😉.

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39 Commenti

immagine del profilo
Oh dear, Defi makes me break out in a sweat 🙈🙈
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 Why was that? Just because the turnover was completely off due to bad arbitrage trades? 😅😂 In addition, of course, there was the discreet drop at $BTC. I'm really convinced of DeFi in the long term, which is why I topped up here "very cheaply" again, since my initial entry wasn't that long ago.
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immagine del profilo
@All-in-or-nothing
I was also convinced. And because of my conviction, I dragged some of the community into the loss zone with me.
That gives me sleepless nights.
@Wollitz 😭
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@Tenbagger2024 I'm in it too 😕
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 That's right! :-) You've convinced me too. But that's not your problem. I thought your approach was good, I signed it. Don't worry, we're all old enough ;-)
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 with the next conviction from you, we will all make a 100% return. :-)
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immagine del profilo
@schlimmschlimm @Frei
A P/E ratio of 9 with 78% earnings growth.
Investors have to see that at some point.
And an EbiT margin of almost 50%

I remain invested
5
immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 Take it easy. I made my first trades with Defi when you didn't even know how to spell it 😉. The last trade is still running at 1.70 EK..... I added ... yet ... not yet. After the Nvidia figures there may still be room for downside, also in terms of the chart. But this is definitely a position I would hold for longer. For now anyway 🙃
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 that, @Multibagger are primarily my motives. With DeFi, I really have the feeling that the market still absolutely verkennt🤷🏼‍♂️ the key data and the potential. The core business is steadily and clearly on the rise, but the price is not yet playing along. Since the whole thing is not a trade, I bought after the sharp drop.
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 it doesn't have to <3 we are all adults and we all decide for ourselves whether or not to invest based on our intentions and information. :)
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immagine del profilo
@Tenbagger2024 As the previous speakers have already written, we are all old enough. I was also very enthusiastic about the project. My conviction is starting to crack a little, but waiting and seeing is not going to help. If I had lost faith, I would have been out at 1.30 or so. At the moment, many companies are getting hit on the head, DeFi extremely so. Let's hope for better times. 🥹
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Visualizza tutti 9 ulteriori risposte
immagine del profilo
I have :
$HIMS
$NBIS
$BTC
$IREN
$RKLB
I didn't want to add any new shares to my portfolio.
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immagine del profilo
I can understand everything except $DEFI. And apart from $HIVE, I also have all of them in my portfolio.
3
immagine del profilo
Very "active" shopping trip. May the chart be with you. Boring for me at the moment, as I don't see any basis for trades and the core stocks with dividends hardly offer any opportunities to buy more 🤷‍♂️ This means I am spared any notable fluctuations in the total size of the portfolio. In the meantime, I'm hoarding my cash in the call money account and waiting for the buying opportunities that may still come. Or maybe not...
3
immagine del profilo
@Dividendenopi I also find the current circumstances and prices difficult for trading. Since my focus is not yet on dividends, but of course I can absolutely understand your focus, I have collected or increased what I am sustainably convinced of and where the prices suit me.
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immagine del profilo
@All-in-or-nothing With my core dividend portfolio, I am only invested 30% in pure dividend stocks. Another 30% is in bonds, government and corporate bonds, fixed-coupon certificates and bonus certificates. The rest is more or less liquid in overnight deposits with interest rates still above 3% or in fixed-term deposits, the first 2 years are coming in the next few days and weeks and want to be invested 🤷‍♂️. I have been trading for a while with a smaller amount and also invest in non-high-dividend stocks. I opened my first position at $DTE and $IFX. $HIMS has been a bit of a waste for me after the failed trade 😂, I will probably get back into $CA1 in 2 or 3 tranches in the medium term. There's not much left to do in the garden, so I have time to do a bit of research. $ARCC offers a nice entry point for me in the dividend area and I find it more attractive than $MAIN. I'll continue to follow $MUX, but won't lose sight of $MBB. I'm still unfamiliar with the tech sector, but in the medium term I can't avoid part of it, so I'll probably choose an ETF to get used to it 🤔😇. Everything with caution, cash ratio remains high for the time being, but as we all know, it stinks better with full pants...
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immagine del profilo
What do you now have for a buy in at $DEFI?
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immagine del profilo
@schlimmschlimm now around €1.45. I collected the first larger tranche at €1.80, but have now only averaged it down a little because I am convinced.
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immagine del profilo
1
immagine del profilo
I can also answer your other question. In the last few days (yesterday it went up) my portfolio has lost about 10% in book losses.
1
immagine del profilo
@Multibagger Defi is also still down 3.9%. But I think that will be back to normal by the beginning of December at the latest.
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immagine del profilo
Courageous, my friend! All these stocks are classic hype stocks. If the stock markets in general go down now, e.g. due to liquidity fears, then the stocks you mentioned are likely to leverage the decline again. Whether up or down - vola is certain for the time being. 😁

Incidentally, my overall portfolio has had -5% maxDrawdown in the last few days. How was it for you?
1
immagine del profilo
@Epi I am absolutely with you as far as volatility is concerned and am of course fully aware of it. My leverage to your portfolio (I have now taken 1 week as the basis for my maxDD as a benchmark) is currently "only" x2. My maxDD is ~-10%.
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immagine del profilo
@All-in-or-nothing Just like 3xGTAA, which also made -10% mDD last week. That means your portfolio fluctuates just as much as a 3x leveraged ETF portfolio. 😯
1
immagine del profilo
@Epi Thanks go out to the cyclicality of BTC😉😂. As this is not currently running in the 3xGTAA model for you in November, you will at least be spared this in terms of performance. I think with BTC (was in 3xGTAA, if yours, then unleveraged, right?) the maxDD of 3xGTAA would have been higher than mine.
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immagine del profilo
@All-in-or-nothing That's right, the replacement for BTC, 3xEU50 only has a drawdown of around -5%. BTC has approx. -20%.
Sometimes the momentum signals are well timed. 👍
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immagine del profilo
@Epi and sometimes they lag behind. You increase your probability as long as the signals relevant to your strategy come at / by the right time, otherwise you will have a month of raisins gehandelt🤷🏼‍♂️ even if you stubbornly pursue your strategy. In the long term, I think GTAA makes perfect sense.
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immagine del profilo
@Epi btw: do you already have enough signals in your overview to statistically check how often the signals fit or come at the right time and how often they don't fit or are out of time?
immagine del profilo
@All-in-or-nothing Exactly. With stubborn strategy implementation I sometimes catch a good time, sometimes a bad one (the big April drawdown in the 3xGTAA Wikifolio came from extremely unfortunate timing in oil - was only above the signal line for one day, on April 1 - then it was all downhill).
The only substantial thing I achieve with the signal implementation is to bring the probability to my side.

Interesting: due to the leverage, I have a fairly high daily volatility of 1.5% on average. The model is therefore designed so that 9x -1.5% and 11x +1.5% of the average 20 trading days per month occur. The two days make all the difference and the blatant performance: 2x1.5% ^12 months = 43%pa.
You have to get used to such data and logic. They also go against everything you know. 😬
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immagine del profilo
@All-in-or-nothing Such signal quality statistics can be generated in the backtests by slightly varying the parameters. I deliberately opted for the most stable and against the best performing ones. That is rather relative.

Otherwise, in view of the real test, I would say that the extreme signals are roughly 50/50. Imagine the performance of the signals as on a Gaussian normal distribution curve shifted slightly to the right. The extremes remain roughly equally weighted, the decisive factor is the difference in volume to the right and left close to the zero line. I cut this out with a lever. 👌
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