$NFLX (-1,73%)

Netflix has gained more new subscribers than in any other quarter in its history.

Netflix subscribers over time.

$DIS (-1,33%) , $AMZN (-2,39%) , $WBD (-2,83%) , $PARA (+0,27%) , $FUBO

$NFLX (-1,73%)

• Sales: USD 10.25 billion (estimated USD 10.11 billion); increase of +16 % compared to the previous year
• Earnings per share: USD 4.27 (estimated USD 4.18); increase of +102 % compared to the previous year
• Paid streaming net admissions: +18.91 million (estimated +9.18 million) ; increase of +44% compared to the previous year
• Total number of paid streaming memberships: 301.63 million (estimated 290.93 million); increase of 16% compared to the previous year
• Operating income: USD 2.27 billion (estimated USD 2B); increase of 52% compared to the previous year
• Operating margin: 22.2 % (estimated 21.9 %)
• Free cash flow: USD 1.38 billion (estimated USD 1.06 billion); decrease of -13% compared to the previous year

Segment performance:

United States and Canada (UCAN):

• Sales: USD 4.52 billion; increase of 15 % compared to the previous year
• Paid net additions: +4.82 million (estimated +1.75 million); increase of +72% compared to the previous year
• Average revenue per membership (ARM): $17.26; increase of 4% compared to the previous year

Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA):

• Revenue: USD 3.29 billion; increase of 18 % compared to the previous year
• Paid net additions: +5 million (estimated +3.09 million); decrease of -1% compared to the previous year
• ARM: $11.11; increase of 3% compared to the previous year

Latin America (LATAM):

• Sales: $1.23 billion; decrease of 7% compared to the previous year
• Paid net additions: +4.15 million (estimated +1.5 million); increase of +77% compared to the previous year
• ARM: $8.00; decrease of -7% compared to the previous year

Asia-Pacific (APAC):

• Sales: USD 1.21 billion; increase of 26% compared to the previous year
• Paid net additions: +4.94 million (estimated +2.70 million); increase of +70% compared to the previous year
• ARM: $7.34; unchanged compared to the previous year

Content performance:

• "Squid Game" Season 2 and "Carry-On" have reached significant milestones and "Squid Game" is well on its way to becoming one of the most-watched original series.
• With the fight between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson, Netflix delivered the most-streamed sporting event of all time.
• Record-breaking NFL viewing figures on Christmas Day.

Forecast for the first quarter of 2025:

• Revenue: USD 10.42 billion (estimate: USD 10.48 billion)
• Earnings per share: USD 5.58 (estimate: USD 6.01)
• Operating income: USD 2.94 billion (estimate: USD 3.13 billion)
• Operating margin: 28.2% (estimate: 29.8%)

Forecast for the full year 2025:

• Sales: USD 43.5-44.5 bn (estimate: USD 43.59 bn); increase of 12-14% compared to the previous year
• Operating profit margin: 29% (previously: 28%)
• Free cash flow: approx. USD 8 billion (estimated: USD 8.51 billion)

CEO's comment:

• "2024 marked a renewed acceleration in growth with a 16% increase in sales compared to the previous year. We are entering 2025 with strong momentum and are preparing for the return of hit series such as 'Squid Game', 'Wednesday' and 'Stranger Things'. Our live programs and ad-financed plans are the main drivers of this growth."

Strategic updates:

• Focus on ad-supported plans. 55% of new sign-ups in ad-supported regions opt for ads.
• Investment in live event programming, including exclusive rights to the FIFA Women's World Cup (2027 and 2031).
• Enhanced ad tech platform to be launched in Canada and rolled out in the US in April 2025.

$DIS (-1,33%)
$AMZN (-2,39%)
$WBD (-2,83%)
$PARA (+0,27%)

Warner Bros. Discovery $WBD (-2,83%) has extended its media partnership with the NBA by 11 years extended. The deal provides the company with continued comprehensive broadcast rights to NBA games and includes both traditional TV formats and digital streaming platforms. The extension underscores Warner Bros. Discovery's commitment to delivering high-quality sports content and expanding the reach of its platforms.

The partnership is seen as strategically significant as it takes place in a changing media environment where streaming is becoming increasingly important. Warner Bros. Discovery plans to modernize its sports broadcasts and offer them across multiple channels to meet new viewer needs.

Personal opinion:

Strong move, as the NBA in particular, along with the NFL, dominate the sports industry in the US. However, it has not been announced how much the whole thing will cost.

Source:

https://de.marketscreener.com/boerse-nachrichten/nachrichten/Warner-Bros-verlangert-Medienpartnerschaft-mit-NBA-um-11-Jahre-48396474/

The news is based on what I personally consider to be reputable sources. However, I do not guarantee their accuracy. No advice.

$PYPL (-2,73%)
$WBD (-2,83%)

Very exciting assessment of the shares.

https://www.high-tech-investing.de/post/echtgeld-tv-waldhauser-paypal-vimeo-warnerbros

Both positions are going into my "speculative portfolio". They will remain there for 2-4 years and we will see whether the investment case works out

Do you think that the companies' quarterly figures will still make a big difference?

$BNTX (+3,14%) , $IFX (-1,86%) , $8001 (+0,66%) , $PLTR (-3,33%) , $O (+1,37%) , $WMB (-0,36%)

$ABNB (-5,19%) , $AMGN (+3,04%) , $BAYN (+1,43%) , $CAT (-2,26%) , $UBER (-2,45%) , $ZAL (-1,25%)

$CBK (-0,9%) , $DIS (-1,33%) , $OXY (-2,74%) , $MNST (+4,14%) , $NOVO B (+5,32%) , $PUMA , $SHOP (-5,86%) , $ENR (-4,27%) , $6758 (+1,32%) , $WBD (-2,83%)

$ALV (-0,14%) , $DTE (+0,67%) , $LLY (+0,32%) , $MUV2 (-0,6%) , $RHM (-1,89%) , $SIE (-0,45%)

I got moves 🕺🕺🕺🕺

I dare to do something that usually goes against my nature, RISIKOO 🎰.

but only a little. A 3 lever short on $NVDA (-3,63%) (already at +18% since Monday) and long on $WBD (-2,83%) (just bought still +-0).

But why?

quite simple for me, $NVDA (-3,63%) can reach the targets, but it will be difficult to meet the market's experience, so there will be a short-term disappointment. I expect -10/-15% and that's where I want to strike on Thursday morning after the figures come out today after the close.

$WBD (-2,83%) The stock has been strong this year and therefore I expect results that will drive the price up in the short term. These figures are due on 23.02, so a sale is planned for Monday 26.02.

Generally speaking, leverage is a rarity for me, but I'm not going to miss out on the opportunity and have set myself fairly conservative stop-loss limits.

With that in mind, let's see what happens.

PS: Caution is the mother of the porcelain box 😉📈📈📈

Next week will be quite nice:

Monday:

• US markets are closed for the Presidents Day holiday closed.

Tuesday:

• Quarterly reports from Walmart ($WMT (-2,31%) ), Home Depot ($HD (-2,25%) ) and Palo Alto Networks ($PANW (-3,05%) ) are expected.

Wednesday:

• Quarterly reports fromNvidia ($NVDA (-3,63%) ), Suncor Energy ($SU (-1,36%) ), Exelon ($EXC (+1,06%) ), Rivian Automotive ($RIVN (-10,51%) ) and Marathon Oil ($MPC (-2,57%) ) are expected.
• Publication of the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from January.

Thursday

• Quarterly reports from Intuit ($INTU (-1,66%) ) and Booking Holdings ($BKNG (-5,35%) ) are expected.
• Publication of the weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits (until February 17).
• Release of the S&P flash services PMI and S&P Flash Manufacturing PMI for February.
• Release of existing home sales for January.
• Start of the Department of Education meetings on the repayment of student loans.
• Speeches by Patrick HarkerPresident of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve, and Neel KashkariPresident of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve.

Friday:

• Quarterly report from Warner Bros Discovery ($WBD (-2,83%) ) is expected.

$VZ (+1,11%) cooperates with $NFLX (-1,73%) and $WBD (-2,83%) to offer a "discount streaming bundle" for about $10 per month that includes ad-supported versions. The agreement includes minimum revenue guarantees for Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery.