🚨 Beware of investing in the next big thing...
Source: CB Insights
$RIVN (+5,16%)
$ABNB (+3,68%)
$CPNG (+0,67%)
$SNOW (+0,59%)
$COIN (+0,27%)
$NU (-0,2%)
$RBLX
$PATH (+3,5%)
$HOOD (+3,38%)
$AFRM (+3,63%)
$PLTR (+6,35%)
Messaggi
20🚨 Beware of investing in the next big thing...
Source: CB Insights
$RIVN (+5,16%)
$ABNB (+3,68%)
$CPNG (+0,67%)
$SNOW (+0,59%)
$COIN (+0,27%)
$NU (-0,2%)
$RBLX
$PATH (+3,5%)
$HOOD (+3,38%)
$AFRM (+3,63%)
$PLTR (+6,35%)
$RBLX stands out with its unique creator-driven business model. But the company still isn't quite profitable.
But keep an eye on this one. The good news is that margins have recently been improving, which shows that growing revenues have more and more been offsetting relatively slower-growing SG&A / marketing OpEx.
As $RBLX continues to scale, creator fees should also scale, but many of the operational costs to increase more slowly. This should unlock a lot of untapped operational leverage within the business and let more money drop to the bottom line.
Week in review 12.10.
All-time highs for S&P 500, Dow Jones, Air Products & Chemicals, American Express, Arista Networks, Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, Caterpillar, CAVA, Fiserv, GE Vernova, Goldman Sachs, Mastercard, Morgan Stanley, Motorola Solutions, Piper Sandler, Royal Caribbean, Uber, Unum
52-week highs for Carnival, Commerzbank, GE Aerospace, Hilton Worldwide, MicroStrategy, Norwegian Cruise, Palantir, Ralph Lauren, Robinhood Markets, Sea Ltd. , Shake Shack, Tangier, Teledyne
Tesla Cybercab / Robotaxi planned from 2026 for under 30,000$. In addition, an autonomous bus with 20 seats was presented, share falls -8.1%, market is disappointed, -19% 1-year performance
Nvidia partner Hon Hai increases capacity to meet "crazy" AI demand, Nvidia shares +8.3% this week, +176% 1-year performance
AMD unveils MI325X AI accelerator to compete with Nvidia's H200, customers include Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Dell, Oracle, Meta, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Supermicro, Lenovo and Databricks, AMD launches EPYC 5th Gen Datacenter CPU to compete with Intel's Xeon, AMD currently has 34% market share in Datacenter CPUs, MI350 coming in 2025 to compete with Nvidia's Blackwell, AMD stock drops -4%, apparently sell the news event, +45% 1-year performance
92% of desktop processor sales at major German online retailer Mindfactory were from AMD last week, Intel only at 8% share and -36% 1-year performance
TSMC with good quarterly figures, share price rises slightly, +97% 1-year performance
JPMorgan with good quarterly figures, share +5.1%, +48% 1-year performance
Wells Fargo with good quarterly figures, share +6.5%, +49% 1-year performance
PepsiCo and Samsung with poor quarterly figures, shares fall slightly
Amazon Pharmacy announces same-day delivery of prescription drugs in 20 more US states and expands its service to almost half of the states in 2025, +43% % 1-year performance
Jefferies says Apple's hopes for an AI phone are overdone and high expectations are premature, Hold rating, +26% 1-year performance
The situation is similar at Microsoft after Oppenheimer downgraded its rating from "Outperform" to "Perform", it was the second such downgrade by analysts in recent weeks, AI sales are overestimated and shares have underperformed since July due to "AI fatigue", plus losses at OpenAI, +26% 1-year performance
Two Google scientists from the subsidiary DeepMind receive the Nobel Prize in Chemistry, they developed the AI model "AlphaFold2", which can be used to predict the structures of all 200 million known proteins, the AI is used in 190 countries, for example in the clarification of antibiotic resistance or the use of enzymes to break down plastics, Alphabet shareholders like this, +12% 1-year performance
Inperial Brands increases dividend, now pays out quarterly and buys back shares, share price rises 5%, +36% 1-year performance
FTX - customers will soon get their balances paid out after the crypto exchange went bankrupt in 2022 and the management was imprisoned
Shortseller Hindenburg Research with allegations of fraud and safety concerns for children at gaming service Roblox, share price falls -6%, even -70% since November 2021
After two very positive weeks, China stocks fall like a flash in the pan as the market expected more stimulus from the Chinese dictator. Dictator, Hang Seng with worst day since the 2008 financial crisis, this week
China strengthens real estate sector and signals more spending ahead, Finance Minister announces measures to support real estate sector today and government would now have more room to borrow and increase deficit, China also announces issuance of special government bonds today to bolster capitalization of its largest state-owned banks, Printer is coming
Fitch downgrades France's credit rating to negative due to higher deficits, government debt expected to rise to 118.5% of GDP by 2028
FTSE Russell: Greek equities on track for upgrade to developed markets, FTSE Russell to provide update as part of March 2025 review, Greek equity index up 53% since start of 2023
Porsche sells 7% fewer cars due to China slump by -29%, -5% North America but +7% Germany & Europe, -21% % 1-year performance
Deutsche Telekom increases dividend and launches share buyback program for € 2 bn, highest share price in 23 years, +33% 1-year performance
Commerzbank reaches highest share price since the euro crisis in 2011, +61% 1-year performance
Bayer with new lawsuit in the USA over PCBs, share price -7%, -41% 1-year performance
German industrial order intake fell unexpectedly sharply by 5.8% in August compared to the previous month
E.on CEO expects energy prices to rise in the long term thanks to higher taxes & levies and the world's stupidest energy policy
The Ampel expects the economy to shrink for the second year in a row, revising its GDP forecast for 2024 from +0.3% to -0.2%, only the second consecutive year of shrinking GDP since the fall of communism in 1990
After the pension insurance, the German long-term care insurance is also bankrupt, as recipients of citizens' benefits are not paying in and society is ageing, Lauterbach therefore wants to increase the monthly contribution for long-term care for all workers, so soon less net from gross again
" If you want to read a review like this every week, leave a like and subscribe.
$NVDA (+2,01%)
$AMD (-0,35%)
$TSLA (-4,58%)
$CBR
$INTC (+1,8%)
$2330
$JPM (+1,21%)
$WFC (+1,26%)
$PEP (+0,05%)
$AMZN (+0,26%)
$GOOGL (+0,94%)
$GOOGL (+0,94%)
$AAPL (+1,34%)
$MSFT (-1,05%)
$IMB (+0,56%)
$CNUA (-0,27%)
$941
$9988 (-2,55%)
$700 (+2,55%)
$1211 (-0,27%)
$P911 (-0,41%)
$PAH3 (+0,42%)
$DTE (-0,92%)
$BAYN (+0,17%)
$EOAN (-0,18%)
$PLTR (+6,35%)
$RBLX
$BLK
What happened to €100,000...
Or you could also say "Any monkey can beat the market" 😅
At the end of the 3rd quarter, it's time for another update:
100,000€ invested from January of the respective year - B&H:
2022 Total return +43,526.00€ TTWROR 35.05% https://getqu.in/tcIuml/
2023 total return +€34,388.58 TTWROR 73.32% https://getqu.in/JjIr8V/
2024 Total return +€ 17,945.95 TTWROR 18.76% https://getqu.in/euJ994/
Highlights / Lowlights 2022:
$MELI (+2,5%) +142% / $META (-2,23%) +141% / $SAP (-0,03%) +100% / $RBLX -15%
Highlights / Lowlights 2023:
$RDC (+1,71%) +104% / $PAYC (-0,5%) -40%
Highlights / Lowlights 2024:
$ZAL (-0,7%) +76% / $9988 (-2,55%) +54% / $RKT (-0,36%) -10% / $KTN (-1,58%) -18%
For me, my 100k deposits are a nice (long-term) experiment. End of 2021 as #100kchallenge initiated for the year 2022. After the deep red 2022 year, I started the 2nd round in 2023 with only a few motivated people. Well, and in 2024 I started again on my own.
Now it's time to start thinking about 2025... Let's see which shares will go into my 2025 portfolio...🐵🐵🐵🐵
Didn't share because I was waiting for more accurate calculations for my DeGiro account, but those are still wrong even after trying to import it different times with different results.
Recently passed the 100K $ mark!
What's your feedback? What do you think? Am I to risky? Am I doing things wrong by having many short term positions?
A bit info about the portfolio:
The invested capital is actually quite lower than what it says, but problems mostly come from imprecisions from getquit due to a significant amount of transactions and movements in the last year.
Started investing in 2021, then paused in 2022, and started investing much more in 2023! I'm now 22 (going to my 23), and I've been earning my money as self-made programmer, content creator, modeler.
Invested roughly 75K euros over 2 years, I have an agressive investing strategy (if we can call it a strategy)?
My big earners have been:
$NVDA (+2,01%) in which I started investing-reselling-re-investing since March 2023 at 275$
$MU (+2,58%) which I started investing in February 2024
$TTE (+0,86%) which I invested in January 2024
$RBLX which I used for different short terms investments
Currently sitting on roughly 94K €, looking forward to reach those 100K€!!
Big movements today:
Sold x2299 $ALSEN (-1,58%) at 0.919$ (all the position)
Sold x26 $RBLX at 40.59$ (small part of the position)
Sold x3000 $EME (-0,68%) at 0,40$ (all the position)
Bought x33 $ONON at 33,25$
Bought x3 $META (-2,23%) at 484$
Bought x2 $MSFT (-1,05%) at 403$
Bought x50 $RIVN (+5,16%) at 12.67$
What do you think about this?
Quarterly figures on 09.11.2022....
Pocket money for the kids only in Robux, that's the Roblox Währung⤵️
The market currently really forgives no slip-ups in the numbers! You can see that again today:
$RBLX
Roblox:
misses analyst estimates of -$0.30 in the third quarter with earnings per share of -$0.50. Sales of $517.7 million below expectations of $690.79 million.
$TTD (-2,1%)
The Trade Desk Inc:
Surpassed analyst estimates of $0.22 in the third quarter with earnings per share of $0.26. Revenue of $394.77 million exceeded expectations of $385.98 million.
$ADS (-0,15%)
adidas:
Posts Q3 sales of €6.40 billion (PY: €5.75 billion), gross profit of €3.14 billion (PY: €2.88 billion), operating profit of €564 million (PY: €672 million), pre-tax profit of €411 million (PY: €629 million). In its outlook for fiscal year 2022, adidas now expects low-single-digit percentage sales growth for the overall company on a currency-neutral basis. The company expects a gross margin of around 47.0% in 2022. Operating margin in 2022 is expected to be around 2.5% according to the new expectations and profit from continuing operations to reach a value of around €250 million.
$SIX2 (+0,72%)
Sixt:
Achieves Q1-3 revenue of €2.32 billion (PY: €1.63 billion, analyst forecast: €2.32 billion), EBT of €506.3 million (PY: €317.4 million, forecast: €496 million). In its outlook for 2022, Sixt now expects to achieve the upper forecast range for EBT.
$DEZ (-1,18%)
DEUTZ:
Achieves Q3 sales of €465.4 billion (PY: €403.2 billion), order intake of €442.1 million (PY: €485.2 million), Ebit (adjusted) of €23.3 million (PY: €14.1 million), free cash flow of -€45.1 million (PY: +€5.5 million) and net income of €17.1 million (PY: €10.4 million). In its outlook for 2022, the company now expects unit sales of between 175,000 and 185,000 DEUTZ engines, leading to revenue growth to between €1.75 billion and €1.85 billion. The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in a range of 4.5 to 5.0 percent. Free cash flow is expected to be in the low to mid double-digit negative million euro range.
$LXS (-0,26%)
LANXESS:
Posts Q3 sales of €2.185 billion (PY: €1.58 billion, analyst forecast: €2.0 billion), Ebitda (Pre Ex) of €240 million (PY: €229 million, forecast: €237.6 million) and net income of €80 million (PY: €74 million). In the outlook for 2022, the company expects Ebitda (adjusted) of €0.90 to €0.95 billion (previous year: €0.90 to €1.0 billion, forecast: €942 million).
$HDD (-0,05%)
Heidelberger Druck:
Achieves 2nd quarter sales of €590 (previous year: €542 million), incoming orders of €622 million (previous year: €593 million), Ebitda of €68 million (previous year: €60 million), Ebitda margin of 11.6% (previous year: 11.0%), and net profit of €39 million (previous year: €27 million). Outlook for 2022/2023 confirmed.
$BNR (+0,14%)
Brenntag:
Reports Q3 sales of €5.1 billion (PY: €3.738 billion, analyst forecast: €4.6 billion), Ebitda (adjusted) of €459.7 million (PY: €342.9 million, forecast: €453 million) and net profit of €248.8 million (PY: €161 million). Profit outlook for 2022 confirmed.
$EVT (+1,24%)
Evotec:
Achieves Q1-3 revenues of €510.8m (PY: €431m, forecast: €520.5m), Ebitda (adjusted) of €44.6m (PY: €70.1m), 2022 outlook and mid-term targets confirmed.
$CBK (-1,64%)
Commerzbank:
Reports Q3 revenues of €1.886 billion (PY: €2.006 billion, analyst forecast: €1.780 billion), an operating profit of €282 million (PY: €472 million, forecast: €137 million) and a net profit of €195 million (PY: €403 million, forecast: €116 million). Loan loss provisions were reported at €84 million in Q3 (PY: €22 million, forecast: €133 million). Commerzbank expects 2022 loan loss provisions of around €700 million, a CET1 ratio of over 13.5%; net interest income of over €6 billion and net profit of over €1 billion (forecast: €1.18 billion). Further dividend of 30% of net profit after deduction of AT-1 planned. In the outlook for 2024, Commerzbank sees operating profit rising from €3.0 to €3.2 billion, with earnings guidance now expected at €10 billion (previously: €9.1 billion).
$SHL (-1,01%)
Siemens Healthineers:
Reports Q4 sales of €6.0 billion (previous year: €5.16 billion, outlook €5.8 billion), Ebit (adjusted) of €1 billion (previous year: €0.793 billion, analyst forecast: €0.977 billion) and net income of €636 million (previous year: €466 million). In the outlook for 2022/2023 the company expects adjusted earnings per share of €2.00 to €2.20 (forecast: €2.23). Proposed dividend 2021/2022 of €0.95 (PY: €0.85) per share. Diagnostics business to be restructured.
$EOAN (-0,18%)
E.ON:
Reports Q1-3 sales of €81.6 billion (PY: €48.1 billion), Ebitda (adjusted) of €6.1 billion (PY: €6.3 billion) and net income of €2.1 billion (PY: €2.2 billion). E.ON confirms outlook for 2022 at Group level.
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𝗴𝗲𝘁𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗻 𝗗𝗮𝗶𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝘂𝗺𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝟭𝟵.𝟬𝟰.𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮
Hello getquinners!
I’m not sure about you, but that 4-day weekend went by quickly! Now it’s back to the grind I guess 🤷♂️
Also, please take a couple of minutes to fill in this brief survey🙏: https://bit.ly/getquin-mnu-feedback
𝗚𝗲𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝘆🇩🇪:
1. Bayer CEO gets proxy brawlers’ backing
Bayer $BAYN (+0,17%) CEO Werner Baumann has clinched the support of two major investors, however concerns surrounding the C-suite payouts of the German conglomerate persist. Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) and Glass Lewis endorsed the leadership but did not go as far as supporting the “excessive” compensation plans
🟥 $BAYN (+0,17%) Bayer AG, 66.41 EUR (🔽 -1.32%)
Read more on the topic: https://bit.ly/3xBfK43
𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲🌍:
2. Ferrari launches 296 GTS convertible hybrid model
As part of its electrification strategy, the luxury sportscar maker, Ferrari $RACE (-0,23%) unveiled its fourth plug-in hybrid model. It is expected to reach top speeds of over 330 km/h (roughly 205 mph for the imperialists among us) and to sell for €300,000 ($324,000).
🟩 $RACE Ferrari NV, $220.76 (🔼+0.80%)
If you had a bit of spare cash lying around, would you buy a hybrid Ferrari? Read more: https://reut.rs/3xFksOk
𝗪𝗲𝗹𝘁🌎🌏🌍:
3. Goldman Sachs downgrades Roblox
With worries about growth slowdowns in a ‘post-Covid’ world, Goldman Sachs $GS (+1,09%) has downgraded Roblox $RBLX to “Neutral”. This caused a drop in the share price, as GS also dropped their price target by over 50%. They still anticipate growing bookings for Roblox.
🟩 $RBLX Roblox, $41.95(🔼+2.69%)
Curious about GS's logic behind this? Have a read here: https://bit.ly/3rDXZxf
𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗮𝘆:
🟩 TOP, CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc (🔼+7.14%)
🟥 FLOP, XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc (🔽-13.17%)
🟩 Most searched NVDA, Nvidia (🔼+1.69 %)
🟥 Most traded BNTX Biontech (🔽-0.45 %)
🟩 S&P500, $4,446.40 (🔼+1.25%)
🟥 DAX, 14,155.80 € (🔽+0.057%)
🟩 Bitcoin ₿, $41,559.80 (🔼+1.84%)
🟩 AAPL, $166.80 (🔼+1.05%)
Time: 17:15 CEST
How’s your portfolio looking after the holiday? Enough returns to finance a Ferrari🏎?
I migliori creatori della settimana