Airbnb $ABNB (+0,19%)

Amazon $AMZN (+0,81%)

Axon $AXON (+0,33%)

Cadence $CDNS (+0,53%)

Constellation Software $CSU (+1,42%)

Costco $COST (+0,09%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (+0,37%)

Fair Isaac $FICO (+0,59%)

Ferrari $RACE (+0,39%)

Hermes $RMS (-0,79%)

Hims & Hers $HIMS (+2,5%)

Intuit $INTU (-0,08%)

Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0,89%)

Mastercard $MA (+0,63%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-0,06%)

Moody's $MCO (-0%)

MSCI $MSCI (-0,14%)

Palantir $PLTR (+3,35%)

Robinhood $HOOD (+1,82%)

Roblox $RBLX

Shopify $SHOP (+1,61%)

Tesla $TSLA (-1,36%)

The Trade Desk $TTD (+0,88%)

Transdigm $TDG (-0,04%)

Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.

Your opinion?

I've just had a great experience when I was at $PYPL (+0,36%) wanted to transfer money from my wallet to my current account. PayPal offered me the free real-time transfer and let me tell you, it was so damn satisfying to have the money in my account within seconds. Absolutely great and finally feels like the 21st century (after 1/4 of the century has already passed).

Of course, I also immediately checked to see who else had activated the free real-time transfer. First with my main DKB account. Unfortunately, there's no real-time transfer there yet, but today I got the message that they're working on adding it. I assume by October 09th.

Sparkasse theoretically also has free real-time transfers. Theoretically, that is. Because in order to be able to use it, you would first have to accept the new contract documents. However, the button to accept is not displayed anywhere. And even if it did, the real-time transfer is of course not free, but costs as much as the normal transfer - namely €0.35 each (in online banking) and of course three times as much if you want to do it in the branch. Apart from that, depending on the account model, it also costs the recipient another €0.35 when the money is sent. Savings bank absolutely insane and lost I'll tell you honestly.

On the other hand, it's good to see that Trade Republic's new current account already offers free real-time transfers. The app did crash 3 out of 4 times when setting up the payment, but when it worked to send the money, it arrived in my current account free of charge within seconds. This was wonderful and made me very happy.

What's your situation? Does your bank already offer free real-time transfers? And do you see any impact on the shares of payment service providers such as PayPal but also $V (-0,18%) and $MA (+0,63%) ?

ASML $ASML (+0,48%) (semiconductor equipment)

Visa $V (-0,18%) (payment transactions)

Mastercard $MA (+0,63%) (payment transactions)

Moody's $MCO (-0,12%) (credit ratings)

S&P Global $SPGI (-0,08%) (credit ratings and indices)

Hermès $RMS (-0,79%) (luxury goods)

Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO (+0,59%) (credit scoring)

Coca-Cola $KO (-0,35%) (beverages)

Apple $AAPL (+0,4%) (consumer electronics and technology)

Nvidia $NVDA (+1,92%) (AI and GPUs)

Also also worth mentioningbut not in the top 10:

Transdigm $TDG (-0,04%) (aerospace)

MSCI $MSCI (-0,14%) (financial services)

Cadence $CDNS (+0,53%) (EDA software)

Synopsys $SNPS (+1,09%) (EDA software)

Ferrari $RACE (+0,02%) (luxury cars)

What do you think? Have I forgotten an interesting company / share?

January is over. The first month of the year was relatively quiet for me: one hike and two ice baths in sub-zero temperatures. The investment knew what to do by itself. Time for a look back.

I present the following points for the past month of January 2025:

➡️ SHARES

➡️ ETFS

➡️ DISTRIBUTIONS

➡️ CASHBACK

➡️ AFTER-PURCHASES

➡️ P2P CREDITS

➡️ CRYPTO

➡️ AND OTHER?

➡️ OUTLOOK

➡️ Shares

After a strong month in December, my heavyweight among the individual stocks has $AVGO (-1,26%) lost a bit of steam during the month, but is still up by over 250% overall. A performance that I did not expect when I selected my stocks.

On the other hand $NFLX (+1,77%) and $SAP (+0,55%) are performing well. Netflix with +179% and SAP now also in triple digits with +118%. Both are in 3rd and 4th place in terms of volume. $WMT (+0,01%) now with +105%, also a doubler. It gets exciting behind them, the financial stocks are rising. $BAC (+0,02%) ,$V (-0,18%) and $MA (+0,63%) continue to push forward. Is this now a sign that financial stocks will generally rise again? It's well known that profits are rising there. I suspect that the stock market will now price in Trump's deregulation of the sector.

The red lanterns will once again go to the usual suspects $NKE (+0,41%) , $DHR (+0,27%) and $CPB (+1,04%) . All stocks are now performing even worse at -35%, -29% and -22%. They are among the smallest positions in my main equity portfolio with the $DHL (-1,44%) . I'm not worried about the big drop yet, but I'm already taking a closer look. I would have expected Danaher in particular to be back in the black after the last split.

➡️ ETFs

ETFs are doing their thing as usual. What else can you say except the typical?

➡️ Distributions

I received 23 distributions on 12 payout days in January. I am grateful for this additional income stream. Everyone should build up their additional income this way.

➡️ Cashback

There was no cashback payment received in my accounts in January. The separation of REWE and Penny with Payback is making itself felt and I have to come up with a new system for continuing my "cashback pension". So far, I'm thinking about adding up the rebates on the receipts and transferring these amounts from the grocery account to the clearing accounts in order to invest them in one-off savings plans. However, I would only do this once a month because of the administrative effort involved. For DM, Payback continues as usual. But what I like about the REWE and Penny apps is that you can save the discounts in them, so I could use my old system there again. In the meantime, Kaufland is also coming back into focus for my weekly shopping.

➡️ Repeat purchases

There was a subsequent or new purchase of an ETF for my crypto successor portfolio, which was financed from a triggered BTC limit order. I invested in the $EXX5 (+0,01%) .

➡️ P2P loans

With my last P2P platform, Mintos, there was a redemption payment in the cent range, otherwise the platform continues to hang on my leg like a ball and chain. I will gradually withdraw everything here and hopefully end my involvement in this asset class as soon as possible.

➡️ Crypto

January offered crypto investors a BTC ATH on Trump's inauguration on the one hand, but otherwise we are more likely to be dealing with a sideways market on the whole. As mentioned, I triggered a BTC sell limit order on the day of the inauguration. And it was even very close to the ATH. Around 1/3 of my total holdings have been sold since the beginning of November. I am still far from satisfied. But I need higher prices for further sales. Is my strategy working? Or is the bull market already over? I think it will continue, but not for much longer.

➡️ And what else?

Like many of you, I'm feeling the effects of the changes due to rising social security contributions and rising costs. My budget is set up so that my budgets and lump sums work on their own and I've managed well with my budget sizes too. The amount invested each month via savings plans was as large as possible. In the end, there was always an amount left over that went into my nest egg, the last bit, so to speak. This remaining €100 more than halved in January. On the one hand, it's not a problem, I could simply cut back on the savings plans, but I don't want to do that. I can't reduce my spending any further myself. I'm in a salary round, but it's very likely that I won't get a pay rise this year. I'm happy that my second income stream is growing steadily, even if it's not yet significantly noticeable. Now I'm thinking about how I can earn even more money, because taxes are set to rise further, not just social security contributions, the greedy state and greedy politicians are targeting our investment income and interpreting unfair taxation. Unfortunately, they are completely ignorant, because they do not understand that this is already taxed when it is taxed again for us investors (or has already been taxed twice - keyword withholding tax), or that social security contributions on it would mean a further entitlement to benefits from the funds for us as investors. And not just for us, but also for international investors. In contrast to rental income, for example, the deduction for capital income is immediate and not deferred. These are all considerations that are not taken into account by tax increase enthusiasts. Demanding tax increases in a high-tax country is proof of a lack of reality either way. For me, the entire state should continue to be slimmed down.

So you can see from the current political discourse that the state only wants to take away, instead of ensuring that citizens build up something for themselves with effort and sweat, which they then know how to look after and appreciate. However, a considerable promotion of private asset accumulation means that citizens may not need any or significantly fewer pension payments to ensure an adequate old age. I look with some envy at other countries that have much more sophisticated pension systems or sovereign wealth funds. I once wrote an article about the systems in Norway and Sweden.

➡️ Outlook

In February, I can expect reimbursements from the health insurance companies and the dental supplement, which I will invest in in the February review. Until then!

Links:

Social media links can be found in my profile, also feel free to check out the Instagram version of my review.

The year 2025 is off to a very good start for many financial stocks ($JPM (+0,14%)
$SOFI (+0,17%)
$NU (+1,01%)
$V (-0,18%)
$MA (+0,63%)
$C (+0,04%)
$GS (-0,24%) )

but not much is happening at Blackrock so far

since I find the sector very exciting and the stock did well last year, I will take the opportunity and further expand my position

(buy and hold forever if possible)

Dear friends of Getquin,

I'm usually a silent reader, but if everyone just reads, eventually there's no more reading material, is there? So today I want to share my story with you.

The beginnings:

It's hard for me to say exactly when my journey began, but I do know that I developed a fascination with money as a child. My first "investment" was when I was about 7 or 8 years old, when I bought an ounce of gold with my own pocket money. At that time, no one in my family had anything to do with investments, but I had seen it in my mother's bank when I often accompanied her there. I was fascinated by the shiny coins and wanted to know how I could have a piece myself.

Then, around the turn of the millennium, I saw my father, together with a "great" bank advisor, invest the entire family savings in the middle of the dotcom bubble. The result: a massive loss within a few months. But my mother, who was at home at the time, fought hard and was miraculously able to recoup the losses. I was about 9 or 10 years old at the time and watched her sit in front of the PC every day and look at the figures. From that moment on, I was hooked! I started using an Excel spreadsheet to track which shares I would have bought at what price and watched the performance of my fictitious investments with great interest every day after school.

The first few years:

My mother stopped day trading after about a year and went back to work. However, shares were no longer an issue for me until I was 26.

Getting into real shares:

In 2018, in the summer, as a die-hard Juventus fan, I read about an article on the transfer of CR7 and how Juventus shares went through the roof. I was there again! At that time, however, I only had a small income as a working student. My father, who had failed with his investments in the past, gave me €2,000 - and I bought Juventus shares. However, he made me promise him that I would never invest in shares again. How did the story end? The "trade" with Juventus was a success, but I had to pay taxes for the first time - and I still hate that to this day.

The first losses:

After my Juventus adventure, I began to delve deeper into the matter. I tried out recommendations from "Aktionär" and repeatedly bet on individual shares for smaller trades. It was more of a game, but I generally remained profitable - sometimes a few percent profit, sometimes a few percent loss. Thanks to the profits and additional deposits, I built up my portfolio to €18,000 until I was hit by Wirecard. In the end, I had to accept a loss of around €6,000. It was painful, but not life-threatening - and I learned a lot from this mistake. In particular, I made the mistake of constantly buying more. If I had left it at the original position of € 1,500, the loss would probably not have been so dramatic.

Don't give up:

After the Wirecard debacle, I radically rethought my strategy. I increasingly focused on conservative companies, regular dividend payers and low growth. But here, too, I realized that I was underperforming the market. So I adapted my strategy further and took a long-term approach. I have since been able to slowly recoup my losses.

The clean cut - a new start:

In the summer of 2023, I needed all my assets for a private housing project and decided to make a real "fresh start". I sold all the positions in my portfolio and only kept my ETF savings plans with TradeRepublic.

The new era:

When the housing project was completed, I wanted to build up a new portfolio with the money I had left over - and here you can see the result. My aim is to find companies that are growing strongly and have a solid moat. Dividends are nice, but not a must. My portfolio also contains defensive, boring stocks as a healthy addition. At the same time, I try to further expand my ETF positions through one-off purchases - I stopped my regular ETF savings plans at the end of January 2025. I have also invested a little in crypto and gold on the side. I have made further investments in Lego (€500), Pokémon (€1,000) and Counterstrike cases (€3,000), but these are not part of the public list - that would be too costly for me.

Fun fact:

My cash ratio has never been higher than €3,000 since I first entered the stock market (2018). This is currently an exception because I want to build up a cash reserve for the next generation.

Goal:

I don't have a specific, set goal when it comes to my investments. It's more of a hobby for me. I just enjoy seeing how my portfolio grows and how I can accompany exciting companies and be a small part of them as they develop. For me, it feels a bit like collecting: I enjoy discovering interesting companies, investing in them and watching them develop over the long term.

Thank you:

A big thank you goes to Goldesel Investing and Markus Koch, who have been with me since my first stock market steps. Without you, the share culture in German-speaking countries would certainly not be as strong! And of course a big thank you to Getquin - I've always dreamed of a platform like this! 0% bullshit, 100% investments.

I hope you like the revised version! The text is now more clearly structured, reads more smoothly and still retains your personal style.

Please let me know if you liked my story!

A little tip: My Bitpanda portfolio has a longer history, but I was too lazy to enter everything manually. I also didn't want to take over the history because, as I said, I wanted to start a new chapter in my investment history in November 2023. Overall, however, my crypto track is up €3000-4000.

$CSPX (+0,04%)
$ETH (+1,53%)
$BLK (+0,31%)
$GS (-0,24%)
$XDWD (+0,11%)
$V (-0,18%)
$MC (-1,95%)
$MS (+0,19%)
$QCOM (+0,34%)
$JNJ (-0,01%)
$ASML (+0,48%)
$RBOT (+0%)
$LOCK (+0,25%)
$MRK (-1,21%)
$UNP (-0,73%)
$NKE (+0,41%)
$QDV5 (+0,6%)
$MA (+0,63%)
$TGT (+0,64%)
$PEP (+0,1%)
$NU (+1,01%)
$AAPL (+0,4%)
$TSLA (-1,36%)
$DOGE (+2%)
$BTC (+0,92%)
$BRK.B (+0,21%)
$PEPE (+8,35%)

The financial markets have provided us with some exciting developments this week. Today's newsletter brings you the most important events in a compact and understandable way:

From DeepSeekthe Chinese AI start-up that has surprised the technology sector with an innovative approach, to the latest interest rate decisions of the central banks, to the mixed quarterly quarterly figures from Tesla - it was a week full of headlines.

Enjoy reading!

DeepSeek: China's new AI player and its consequences

The Chinese AI start-up DeepSeek has caused quite a stir with its new model DeepSeek R1. The AI chatbot, launched on January 20, is now one of the most downloaded apps worldwide. In the USA, it currently occupies 1st place in the iPhone app storeeven ahead of ChatGPT or Google's Gemini. The app is also one of the top downloads in Germany. Users can chat with the AI, upload files or carry out web searches - and the basic version is free.

What makes it special: DeepSeek's chatbot is said to require significantly less computing power than comparable models from large US companies such as OpenAI or Google $GOOGL (+0,44%) . According to reports, around 2,000 Nvidia H800 graphics processors were used to train DeepSeek-R1, resulting in costs of around 6 million US dollars. By comparison, OpenAI invested around USD 100 million in the development of GPT-4 in 2023. This efficiency calls into question the previous assumption that high-performance AI models necessarily require investments in the billions and specialized high-performance chips. If these figures prove to be true, this could increase the pressure on US companies to rethink their cost structures and investment strategies.

This surprising development and the associated uncertainty triggered a significant reaction on the stock market on Monday. The US tech index Nasdaq 100 lost around 3%, and Nvidia in particular $NVDA (+1,92%) - the leading provider of chips for AI applications, which has benefited enormously from the AI trend in recent years - fell by almost 17%. Companies such as Broadcom $AVGO (-1,26%) , AMD $AMD (+1,74%) , ASML $ASML (+0,48%) and Microsoft $MSFT (-0,06%) also came under pressure in the meantime. Most tech stocks stabilized somewhat over the course of the week. This is because some experts are questioning the transparency of DeepSeek's data from China and are urging caution when assessing the actual performance and efficiency of the model. It is already becoming apparent that DeepSeek's actual cost advantages could be lower than initially assumed - further developments remain to be seen.

What you as an investor can learn from the DeepSeek turmoil:

• #1: Don't panic - markets often tend to exaggerate in both directions: Tech stocks are sensitive to sensationalized headlines. Share prices can move rapidly up or down in the short term, regardless of the substance of the news. Sharp price losses happen again and again - and are often followed by a quick recovery. It is important to remain calm and not be tempted to sell rashly.

• # 2: Corrections bring opportunities: Sharp price falls like those on Monday often offer good buying opportunities - especially for quality companies with long-term potential and reasonable valuations, e.g. ASML $ASML (+0,48%) . As long as companies are fundamentally sound, short-term setbacks are usually no cause for concern.

• #3: AI competition is getting tougher - this is positive for innovation and adoption: DeepSeek shows that AI development does not necessarily have to be extremely expensive. More competition and the supposedly new, innovative approach could lead to AI models becoming even more efficient and widely available.

• #4: The technology sector is constantly changing: The technology sector is one of the most rapidly changing markets. Companies that are considered market leaders today can be challenged or displaced by new innovations within a few years. As an investor, you should therefore regularly check whether your technology investments will remain competitive in the long term. Do you only have quality companies in your portfolio with sustainable competitive advantages and attractive future prospects? Or is their market position crumbling, e.g. due to the introduction of new technologies?

Interest rate decisions: What the ECB and Fed mean for the market

This week there were two landmark interest rate decisions - one in Europe, one in the USA.

A brief reminder: Developments and expectations regarding key interest rates are a decisive factor for the stock market. Falling interest rates make loans cheaper and boost investment and consumption. This often causes share prices to rise. Rising interest rates, on the other hand, slow down growth and make alternative investments such as bonds more attractive - this can put pressure on shares.

• ECB lowers key interest rate to 2.75 percent - potential stimulus for the economy: The European Central Bank (ECB) has lowered its key interest rate for the fifth time since the monetary policy turnaround at the end of 2023. The monetary authorities decided to lower the deposit rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2.75%. ECB chief Christine Lagarde justified the move with the weakening economy. The EU statistics office reported zero growth in the last quarter of 2024, with growth of just 0.7% for the year as a whole. The aim of the interest rate cut: cheaper loans for companies and private individuals to boost investment and consumption.

• US Federal Reserve remains firm - no interest rate cut (yet): While the ECB is cutting interest rates, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is standing firm. Despite political pressure from Donald Trump, the Fed has decided to leave the key interest rate in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%. The reason: the US economy remains strong - growth is continuing and inflation has not yet been conquered. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that a premature interest rate cut could jeopardize the fight against rising prices.

Hot phase of the reporting season for many companies in the S&P 500

We are currently in the middle of the phase in which many US companies publish their figures for the last quarter. The following chart from Fundstrat provides an overview of the results so far and how they have been received by the market:

As of Wednesday this week, 103 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported their quarterly results for Q4 2024. 79% of the companies have beaten exceeded earnings estimateswhich indicates an overall strong operating performance. The positive surprise factor of 6.1% shows that companies are performing better than analysts had expected. The S&P 500 is up 3.2% since 12/31/2024, also indicating positive market sentiment. The solid earnings season so far therefore appears to be boosting investor confidence in corporate earnings.

The reports and forecasts of some heavyweights such as Meta $META (+0,56%) , ASML $ASML (+0,48%) , Netflix $NFLX (+1,77%) , Mastercard $MA (+0,63%) and Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+0,89%) were well received by investors mostly well well received by investors. Microsoft $MSFT (-0,06%) on the other hand, showed a rather subdued share price reaction to the results presented and the short-term outlook. Tesla Tesla $TSLA (-1,36%) a company in my portfolio, also presented its figures this week for Q4 2024 with mixed results. The most important findings are summarized here in a compact and understandable way:

• Tesla has in 2024 around 1.8 million vehicles delivered in 2024 - an increase of 36% compared to 2022, but no further increase compared to 2023. With sales of 25.7 billion US dollars in Q4, Tesla achieved a slight increase of 2% compared to the previous year, but still fell short of analysts' high expectations. Margins and profits also fell due to price cuts and financing options. The positive ray of hope was once again the solar systems and energy storage division, where sales doubled to more than USD 3 billion and are expected to grow by >50% growth in 2025. Another positive aspect is the rising cash position, which now stands at USD 36 billion - as far as I know, only the big tech companies such as Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Microsoft, Meta (formerly Facebook), Apple and Nvidia have a higher value.

• Despite the mixed results, Tesla shares remained surprisingly stable after CEO Elon Musk reiterated his vision for the coming years. Tesla announced that from June 2025 a fully autonomous driving service without a human driver in Austin, Texas, from June 2025 - and is expected to roll it out in other US cities by the end of the year. Cheaper e-models are planned for the first half of 2025 with the aim of making electric mobility accessible to even more people. Tesla also plans to produce several thousand of the humanoid robot "Optimus" and put them to good use in its own factories. Ideally, the first robots should be sold to external customers by the end of 2026 - an idea that is arousing the curiosity of many, as it could be used not only in companies but also in private households in the future.

To put things in context: The company is 2024/25 in a transition phase between two growth cycles. The first phase began at the end of the 2010s with the scaling of electric cars, while a new boost is expected from 2026/27/28 due to the introduction of autonomous driving and humanoid robots.

Finally, some noteworthy quotes from the earnings call from Elon Musk - as always, to be interpreted with caution. Tesla's current high valuation is not based on measurable sales and earnings growth, but above all on ambitious plans for the future, which are fraught with uncertainty:

• At the Launch of autonomous driving in the USA: "We live at this unbelievable inflection point in human history. We're going to be launching unsupervised full self-driving as a paid service in Austin in June."

• On the scenario of other car manufacturers licensing Tesla's software license "At this point, we're seeing significant interest from a number of major car companies about licensing Tesla full self-driving technology."

• The prospect of Tesla becoming the most valuable company in the world in the long term: "I've said this before and I'll stand by it. I see a path of Tesla being the most valuable company in the world by far. There is a path where Tesla is worth more than the next top five companies combined. It's a difficult path but it is an achievable path. And that is overwhelmingly due to autonomous vehicles and autonomous humanoid robots."

• Musk also gave a few details on the development and production of the humanoid robot"The normal internal plan calls for roughly 10,000 Optimus robots to be built this year. So the current line that we're designing is for roughly 1,000 units a month. The next line would be for 10,000 units a month. The line after that would be for 100,000 units a month. My very rough guess is that we start delivering Optimus robots to companies that are outside of Tesla in maybe the second half of next year. I'm confident at 1 million units a year, that the production cost of Optimus will be less than $20,000."

• On the Significance of the year 2025 in Tesla's company history: "2025 really is a pivotal year for Tesla. And when you go look back on 2025 and the launch of unsupervised full self-driving, I think we may regard it as the most important year in Tesla's history. There is no company in the world that is as good at real-world AI as Tesla. I don't even know who's in second place."

I bought my last Tesla shares in August 2024 at €196 - I only plan to buy more when the valuation becomes more realistic and attractive again. I consider a fair valuation to be a price/sales ratio in the range of 8-12x (currently 13x), below that an entry would be much more interesting.

Thank you for reading.

Stay informed and invest wisely.

The following companies reached new all-time highs yesterday:

Amazon $AMZN (+0,81%)

Meta (formerly Facebook) $META (+0,56%)

Mastercard $MA (+0,63%)

Visa $V (-0,18%)

Crowdstrike $CRWD (+0,37%)

Raytheon $RTX (-2,56%)

Deere $DE (+0,53%)

Spotify $SPOT (+1,15%)

ServiceNow $NOW

On Holding $ONON

Congratulations to all who are invested!

Which of these shares do you have in your portfolio and do you enjoy? Or are you invested in these companies via ETF?