of a rare earth share

After $MP (+3,95%) also made it yesterday $UUUU (+2,97%) and added another one today. Here, too, it only took 2 months. But there is still more to come than the 120%. Even if there will be some profit-taking for the time being.

It's no longer a big secret that commodity stocks make up a large part of my portfolio, as I've often written posts about them.

Right now, the conflict between China and the USA is once again about rare earths for heavy magnets. Trump is threatening 200% tariffs if China does not deliver. One thing is clear: if China does not supply rare earths to the USA, everything in the automotive, technology and defense sectors will come to a standstill in a relatively short space of time. You could say that the 200% tariff would not generate any revenue for the USA, because China would no longer export anything there and, on the other hand, the US economy would come to a standstill in large parts.

I am therefore convinced that the US government will continue to do everything it can to reduce this dependency. The main beneficiaries of this will be

$MP (+3,95%)

$UUUU (+2,97%)

$A412UH USA Rare Earth Inc.

and also $LYC (-0,67%)

Trump's tariff threats fizzle out in China

Asia's stock markets were predominantly negative on Tuesday. While Japan, South Korea and Malaysia are down by up to 0.9%, other markets are little changed. Shenzhen even rose by 0.7 percent. China's stock markets are thus ignoring the latest threats from US President Trump. The previous evening, he threatened the country with tariffs of up to 200% if it did not supply magnetic building blocks made from rare earths.

After my first post on humanoid robots received a lot of positive feedback, I went into more detail. I have subsequently added my favorites in each sector.

Extended analysis of the value chain including shovel manufacturers and potential hidden champions

New categorySecondary key sectors (sales, marketing, financing)

In additionTop 25 companies worldwide, as well as Top 10 Europe and Top 10 Asia

I have also added a video link for beginners. This will give you an idea of how far the development of humanoid robotics has already progressed.

https://www.stern.de/panorama/wissen/humanoider-roboter---wie-reagiert-er-auf-beleidigungen--35996156.html

Thank you for your attention and your support 🙏

🌐 1. value chain of humanoid robots (with hidden champions)

1. research & chip design

$ARM (+1,84%) ARM (UK) - CPU-IP, energy-efficient processors

$SNPS (+1,11%) Synopsys (US) - EDA software, chip design

$CDNS (+0,94%) Cadence (US) - EDA & Simulation

$PTC PTC (US) - Engineering Software, CAD/PLM

$DSY (+0,65%) Dassault Systèmes (FR) - 3D Design & Digital Twin

$SIE (+1,95%) Siemens (DE) - Industrial Software & Lifecycle Mgmt

$ADBE (-0,6%) Adobe (US) - Design, AR/UX

ANSYS (US) - multiphysical simulation - acquisition by Synopsis

Altair (US) - CAE, simulation, digital twin - acquisition by Siemens

$HXGBY (+1,6%)
Hexagon (SE) - Metrology & Simulation

$AWE (-1,65%) Alphawave IP Group (UK) - High-speed chip IP for AI/robotics

1.Synopsis, 2.Siemens and 3.Adobe are my top 3 in this sector

2. manufacturing technology & equipment

$ASML (-0,76%) ASML (NL) - Lithography (EUV)

$AMAT (+0,6%) Applied Materials (US) - Semiconductor equipment

$8035 (+1,63%) Tokyo Electron (JP) - wafer fabrication

$KEYS (+0,25%) Keysight Technologies (US) - Metrology

$6857 (+2,84%) Advantest (JP) - Chip test systems

$TER (+0,38%) Teradyne (US) - test systems + cobots

$6954 (-0,94%) Fanuc (JP) - Industrial robots, CNC

$CAT (-3,08%) Caterpillar (US) - autonomous machines

$KU2G KUKA (DE) - industrial robots

Comau (IT) - automation - not listed on the stock exchange

$ROK Rockwell Automation (US) - industrial automation

$JBL (+1,23%) Jabil (US) - contract manufacturing (EMS/ODM)

$KIT (+1,4%) Kitron (NO) - European EMS/ODM manufacturer

$AIXA (+0,19%) Aixtron (DE) - deposition equipment for compound semiconductors

$LRCX (-0,15%)
Lam Research (US) - Etch/deposition systems

$MKSI (+1,37%)
MKS Instruments (US) - Plasma/vacuum technology

$ASM (+4,07%)
ASM International (NL) - Deposition systems

1.ASML, 2.Keysight Technologies, 3.Fanuc are my top 3 in this sector

3. chip manufacturing (foundries)

$TSM (+0,99%) TSMC (TW) - leading foundry

$005930 Samsung Electronics (KR) - foundry + memory

$GFS (-1,48%) GlobalFoundries (US) - specialty chips

$INTC (+0,19%)
Intel Foundry Services (US) - new western foundry player

$981
SMIC (CN) - largest Chinese foundry

$UMC
UMC (TW) - Power/RF/Embedded chips

1.TSMC, 2.Intel, 3.Samsung Electronics are my top 3 in this sector

4. computing & control unit ("brain")

$NVDA (+1,7%) Nvidia (US) - GPUs, AI chips

$INTC (+0,19%) Intel (US) - CPUs, FPGAs

$AMD (+2,2%) AMD (US) - CPUs, GPUs

$MRVL (-4,35%) Marvell (US) - network chips

$MU (+3,96%) Micron (US) - Memory

$DELL (-2,3%) Dell Technologies (US) - Edge & Infrastructure

Graphcore (UK) - AI chips (IPU) - not a listed company

Cerebras (US) - Wafer-scale engine - not a listed company

SiPearl (FR) - European HPC chip - not a listed company

1.Nvidia, 2.Marvell, 3.Micron are my top 3 in this sector

5. sensors ("senses")

$6758 (+0,98%) Sony (JP) - image sensors

$6861 (+0,65%) Keyence (JP) - Industrial sensors

$STM (+0,85%) STMicroelectronics (FR/IT) - Sensors, MCUs

$TDY Teledyne (US) - optical/infrared sensors

$CGNX (-0,29%) Cognex (US) - Machine Vision

$HON (-0,12%) Honeywell (US) - sensor technology, security

ANYbotics (CH) - autonomous sensor fusion - not a listed company

$OUST
Velodyne Lidar (US) - Lidar sensors - takeover by Ouster

$AMS (+0,47%)
-OSRAM (AT/DE) - optical sensors

1.Teledyne, 2.Keyence, 3.Ouster are my top 3 in this sector

6. actuators & power electronics ("muscles")

$IFX (+1,41%) Infineon (DE) - Power Electronics

$ON (-1,27%) onsemi (US) - Power & Sensors

$TXN (-0,46%) Texas Instruments (US) - Mixed-Signal Chips

$ADI (-0,94%) Analog Devices (US) - Signal Processing

$PH Parker-Hannifin (US) - Hydraulics/Pneumatics

$MP (+3,95%) MP Materials (US) - Magnets

$APH (+1,65%) Amphenol (US) - Connectors

$6481 (+0,43%) THK (JP) - Linear guides & actuators

$6324
Harmonic Drive (JP) - Precision gears & servo drives for robotics

$6594
Nidec (JP) - Electric motors

$6506 (-0,09%)
Yaskawa (JP) - Drives & Robotics

$SU (+1,75%)
Schneider Electric (FR) - Energy & control solutions

$ZIL2 (+0,21%)
ElringKlinger (DE) - Battery & fuel cell technology, lightweight construction

1.Parker-Hannifin, 2.MP Materials, 3.Infinion are my top 3 in this sector

7. communication & networking ("nerves")

$QCOM (-0,01%) Qualcomm (US) - mobile communications, edge AI

$ANET (+3,47%) Arista Networks (US) - Networks

$CSCO (+1%) Cisco (US) - Networks, Security

$EQIX (-0,72%) Equinix (US) - Data centers

NTT Docomo (JP) - 5G/6G carrier - not a listed company

$VZ Verizon (US) - Telecommunications

$SFTBY SoftBank (JP) - Carrier + Robotics

$ERIC B (-0,28%)
Ericsson (SE) - 5G/IoT infrastructure

$NOKIA (+0,35%)
Nokia (FI) - 5G/6G for industry

$HPE (+1,03%)
Juniper Networks (US) - Network technology - acquisition by HP

1.Arista Networks, 2.SoftBank, 3.Cisco are my top 3 in this sector

8. energy supply

$3750 (-1,54%) CATL (CN) - Batteries

$6752 (-1,09%) Panasonic (JP) - Batteries

$373220 LG Energy (KR) - Batteries

$ALB (-3,1%) Albemarle (US) - Lithium

$LYC (-0,67%) Lynas (AU) - Rare earths

$UMICY (-1,23%) Umicore (BE) - recycling

WiTricity (US) - inductive charging - not a listed company

$ABBN (+0,09%) Charging (CH) - charging infrastructure

$SLDP
Solid Power (US) - Solid state batteries

Northvolt (SE) - European batteries - not a listed company

$PLUG
Plug Power (US) - fuel cells

1.Albemarle, 2.CATL, 3.Panasonic are my top 3 in this sector

9. cloud & infrastructure

$AMZN (+0,88%) Amazon AWS (US) - Cloud, AI

$MSFT (+0,32%) Microsoft Azure (US) - Cloud, AI

$GOOG (+1,66%) Alphabet Google Cloud (US) - Cloud, ML

$VRT
Vertiv Holdings (US) - Data center infrastructure (UPS, cooling, edge)

$ORCL (+2,24%)
Oracle Cloud (US) - ERP + Cloud

$IBM (-0,01%)
IBM Cloud (US) - Hybrid cloud + AI

$OVH (+0,24%)
OVHcloud (FR) - European cloud

1.Alphabet, 2.Microsoft, 3.Oracle are my top 3 in this sector

10. software & data platforms

$PLTR (+1,4%) Palantir (US) - Data integration

$DDOG (+4,72%) Datadog (US) - Monitoring

$SNOW (+6,73%) Snowflake (US) - Data Cloud

$ORCL (+2,24%) Oracle (US) - Databases, ERP

$SAP (+0,01%) SAP (DE) - ERP systems

$SPGI S&P Global (US) - financial/market data

ROS2 Foundation - robotics middleware - not listed on the stock exchange

$NVDA (+1,7%) NVIDIA Isaac (US) - robotics development - part of Nvidia

$INOD (+1,34%) Innodata (US) - data annotation & AI training data

$PATH (+1,36%)
UiPath (RO/US) - Robotic process automation

$AI (+1,09%)
C3.ai (US) - AI platform

$ESTC (+22,3%)
(NL/US) - Search & data analysis

1.S&P Global, 2.Palantir, 3.Datadog are my top 3 in this sector

11. end applications / robots

$ABB ABB (CH/SE) - Industrial Robots

$6954 (-0,94%) Fanuc (JP) - Industrial robots

$TSLA (-0,85%) Tesla Optimus (US) - humanoid robot

$9618 (-1,86%) JD.com (CN) - logistics robot

$AAPL (+0,15%) Apple (US) - Platform & UX

$700 (+0,72%) Tencent (CN) - Platform & AI

$9988 (-2,54%) Alibaba (CN) - logistics & platform

PAL Robotics (ES) - humanoid robots - not a listed company

Neura Robotics (DE) - cognitive humanoid robots - not a listed company

$TER (+0,38%) Universal Robots (DK) - cobots - belongs to the Teradyne Corporation

Engineered Arts (UK) - humanoid robots - not a listed company

$ISRG (-0,51%) Intuitive Surgical (US) - surgical robotics

$GMED (-1,42%)
Globus Medical (US) - surgical robotics (ExcelsiusGPS platform)

$7012 (+1,52%) Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - industrial robots, automation

$CPNG (+0,64%) Coupang (KR) - Logistics end user

$IRBT (-2,22%)
iRobot (US) - consumer robotics (e.g. Roomba), non-humanoid, but navigation/sensor fusion

Boston Dynamics (US) - humanoid & mobile robots-no listed company

Hanson Robotics (HK) - humanoid robots (Sophia) - not a listed company

Agility Robotics (US) - humanoid robot "Digit" - not a listed company

1.Apple, 2.Tencent, 3.Alibaba are my top 3 in this sector

🛠 2. cross enablers (shovel manufacturers) - with hidden champions

Raw materials & battery materials

Albemarle - Lynas - Umicore

$SQM
SQM (CL) - Lithium

$ILU (-1,59%)
Iluka Resources (AU) - Rare earths

$ARR (-6,18%)
American Rare Earths (US/AU) - New supply chains

my number 1 in the sector is Albemarle

manufacturing technology

ASML - Applied Materials - Tokyo Electron

$LRCX (-0,15%)
Lam Research (US) - Plasma/etching processes

$ASM (+4,07%)
ASM International (NL) - ALD equipment

$MKSI (+1,37%)
MKS Instruments (US) - Plasma/vacuum technology

my number 1 in the sector is ASML

Quality assurance

Keysight - Advantest - Teradyne

$EMR (+0,52%)
National Instruments (US) - Measurement technology - from Emerson Electric adopted

$300567
ATE Test Systems (CN) - test systems

$FORM (+0,4%)
FormFactor (US) - Wafer probing

my number 1 in the sector is Keysight

Motion & Drive

Parker-Hannifin

Festo (DE) - Pneumatics, Soft Robotics - not a listed company

Bosch Rexroth (DE) - Drives, Controls - not a listed company

$6481 (+0,43%)
THK (JP) - Linear guides

my number 1 in the sector is Parker-Hannifin

Sensors/Imaging

$TDY Teledyne

$BSL (+6,53%) Basler (DE) - Industrial cameras

FLIR (US) - Thermal imaging sensors - acquisition by Teledyne

ISRA Vision (DE) - Machine Vision - not a listed company

my number 1 in the sector is Teledyne

Magnets & Materials

MP Materials

$6501 (+2,22%)
Hitachi Metals (JP) - Magnetic materials

VacuumSchmelze (DE) - Magnetic materials - not a listed company

$4063 (+0,21%)
Shin-Etsu Chemical (JP) - Specialty materials

my number 1 in the sector is MP Materials

Chip Design & Simulation

Synopsys - Cadence - ARM

$SIE (+1,95%)
Siemens EDA (DE/US)-Mentor Graphics-strategic business unit of Siemens AG

Imagination Tech (UK) - GPU-IP - not a listed company

$CEVA (+1,03%)
CEVA (IL) - Signal Processor IP

my number 1 in the sector is Synopsys

Engineering & Lifecycle

PTC - Dassault - Siemens

Altair (US) - Simulation - no longer a listed company

$HXGBY (+1,6%)
Hexagon (SE) - Metrology

$SNPS (+1,11%)
ANSYS (US) - Simulation - takeover by Synopsys

my number 1 in the sector is Siemens

Networks & Data Centers

Arista - Cisco - Equinix

$HPE (+1,03%)
Juniper (US) - Networks - Acquisition of HPE

$DTE (-0,55%)
T-Systems (DE) - Industry cloud

$OVH (+0,24%)
OVHcloud (FR) - European cloud

my number 1 in the sector is Arista

Cloud infrastructure

AWS - Azure - Google Cloud

$ORCL (+2,24%)
Oracle Cloud (US) - ERP & databases

$IBM (-0,01%)
IBM Cloud (US) - Hybrid Cloud

$9988 (-2,54%)
Alibaba Cloud (CN) - Asian Cloud

$VRT
Vertiv Holdings (US) - Cloud/Infra

my number 1 in the sector is Alphabet (Google)

finance/information infra

S&P Global

$MCO (-0,49%)
Moody's (US) - Ratings

$MSCI (-0,57%)
MSCI (US) - Indices

$MORN
Morningstar (US) - Investment Research

my number 1 in the sector is S&P Global

Creative/Experience Infra

Adobe

$ADSK (+10,27%)
Autodesk (US) - CAD & Design

$U
Unity (US) - 3D/AR simulation

Epic Games (US) - Unreal Engine - not a listed company

my number 1 in the sector is Adobe

Platform & Ecosystem

Apple - Tencent - Alibaba

$META (+0,03%)
Meta (US) - AR/VR, Social Robotics

ByteDance (CN) - AI & platforms - not a listed company

$9888 (+0,76%)
Baidu (CN) - AI & Cloud

my number 1 in the sector is Tencent

Infrastructure/Edge

Dell

$HPE (+1,03%)
HPE (US) - Edge Computing

$SMCI
Supermicro (US) - AI servers

$6702 (-2,27%)
Fujitsu (JP) - Edge & HPC

my number 1 in the sector is Dell

storage solutions

Micron

$000660
SK Hynix (KR) - Memory

$285A (+2,47%)
Kioxia (JP) - NAND

$WDC
Western Digital (US) - Storage solutions

my number 1 in the sector is Micron

🏛 3. secondary key sectors with hidden champions

Financing & Capital

$GS (-0,21%) Goldman Sachs (US) - investment bank; ECM/DCM, M&A, growth financing

$MS Morgan Stanley (US) - investment bank; tech banking, capital markets

$BLK (-0,63%) BlackRock (US) - asset manager; capital allocation, ETFs/index funds

$9984 SoftBank Vision Fund (JP) - mega VC; growth equity in robotics/AI

Sequoia Capital (US) - venture capital; early/growth in AI/robotics - this is a classic venture capital fund

DARPA (US) - government R&D funding (robotics/defense) - independent research and development agency

EU Horizon (EU) - research funding/grants for DeepTech - Innovative Europe pillar

China State Funds (CN) - state industry/technology fund

Lux Capital (US) - VC for DeepTech - Uptake (US) - AI-based predictive maintenance

DCVC (US) - Robotics & AI focus - investing exclusively via VC fund investments

Speedinvest (AT) - EU VC for robotics - access to investment only via fund investments

my number 1 in the sector is Goldman Sachs

Maintenance & Service

$SIE (+1,95%) Siemens (DE) - Industrial Service, Lifecycle & Retrofit

$ABBN (+0,09%) ABB (CH/SE) - Robotics Service, Spare Parts, Field Support

$GEHC (-1,28%) GE Healthcare (US) - Medtech service incl. robotic systems

Uptake (US) - AI-based predictive maintenance - not a listed company

Augury (US/IL) - condition monitoring, condition diagnostics - not a listed company

$KU2 KUKA Service (DE) - Robotics maintenance

$6954 (-0,94%) Fanuc Service (JP) - global service network

Boston Dynamics AI Institute (US) - Robotics longevity - funded by Hyundai Motor Group

my number 1 in the sector is Siemens

Marketing & Advertising

$WPP (-0,22%) WPP (UK) - global advertising group; branding/communications

$OMC Omnicom (US) - marketing/PR network

$PUB (+0,32%) Publicis (FR) - communications/advertising group

$META (+0,03%) Meta (US) - Digital Ads (Facebook/Instagram)

$GOOG (+1,66%) Google Ads (US) - search & display advertising

TikTok / ByteDance (CN) - social ads & distribution - not a listed company

$AAPL (+0,15%) Apple (US) - Branding/UX; Acceptance & Platform Marketing

$WPP (-0,22%)
AKQA (UK/US) - Tech branding - Since 2012 majority owned by the WPP Groupbut continues to operate as an autonomous operating unit

R/GA (US) - Innovation marketing - not a listed company

Serviceplan (DE) - largest independent EU agency - not a listed company

my number 1 in the sector is Meta

Law, Regulation & Ethics

ISO (CH) - international standards, robotics standards

TÜV (DE) - certification & safety tests

UL (US) - safety/conformity testing

EU AI Act (EU) - legal framework for AI & robotics

UNESCO AI Ethics (UN) - global ethics guidelines

Fraunhofer IPA (DE) - Robotics safety standards

ANSI (US) - standards

IEC (CH) - Electrical engineering standards

Training & Talent

MIT (US) - Robotics/AI Research & Education

ETH Zurich (CH) - autonomous systems & robotics

Stanford (US) - AI/Robotics labs & spin-offs

Tsinghua University (CN) - Robotics/AI in Asia

CMU (US) - Robotics Institute

EPFL (CH) - Robotics research

TU Munich (DE) - humanoid robot "Roboy"

🌍 Top 25 companies for humanoid robotics

These companies are central to the development & production of humanoid robotsbecause without them, crucial parts of the chain would be missing:

Chips & computing power (brain of the robots)

$NVDA (+1,7%) Nvidia (US) - AI GPUs & Isaac platform, foundation for robotic AI

$2330 TSMC (TW) - world's most important foundry, produces the AI chips

$ASML (-0,76%) ASML (NL) - EUV lithography, indispensable for chip production

$005930 Samsung Electronics (KR) - memory, logic, foundry

$000660 SK Hynix (KR) - DRAM & NAND memory for AI

$MU (+3,96%) Micron (US) - Memory solutions for AI workloads

my number 1 in the sector is ASML

Sensors & perception (senses of robots)

$SONY Sony (JP) - image sensors, market leader

$6861 (+0,65%) Keyence (JP) - Industrial sensors & vision systems

$CGNX (-0,29%) Cognex (US) - Machine Vision, precise image processing

my number 1 in the sector is Keyence

Actuators & motion (muscles of robots)

$IFX (+1,41%) Infineon (DE) - power electronics, motor control

$6594 Nidec (JP) - World market leader for electric motors

$PH Parker-Hannifin (US) - hydraulics/pneumatics, motion technology

$6481 (+0,43%) THK (JP) - Linear guides & actuators

my number 1 in the sector is Parker-Hannifin

Communication, cloud & infrastructure (nerves & data flow)

$QCOM (-0,01%) Qualcomm (US) - Mobile & Edge Chips

$AMZN (+0,88%) Amazon AWS (US) - Cloud & AI infrastructure

$MSFT (+0,32%) Microsoft Azure (US) - Cloud, AI services

$CSCO (+1%) Cisco (US) - Networks & Security

$VRT Vertiv Holdings (US) - Data Center Infrastructure

my number 1 in the sector is Microsoft

End Applications & Platforms (robots themselves)

$TSLA (-0,85%) Tesla (US) - humanoid robot Optimus

$ABBN (+0,09%) ABB (CH/SE) - Robotics & Automation

$6954 (-0,94%) Fanuc (JP) - industrial robots & CNC systems

$7012 (+1,52%) Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - industrial robots

PAL Robotics (ES) - humanoid robots (TALOS, ARI, TIAGo) - not a listed company

Neura Robotics (DE) - cognitive humanoid robots - not a listed company

Universal Robots (DK) - cobots

my number 1 in the sector is Tesla

🇪🇺 Top 10 European key companies for humanoid robotics

$ASML (-0,76%)
ASML (NL)

World market leader in EUV lithography - no modern chips for AI & robotics without ASML.

$IFX (+1,41%) Infineon (DE)

Leading in power electronics & motor control - crucial for actuators of humanoid robots.

$STM (+0,85%)
STMicroelectronics (FR/IT)

Sensors, microcontrollers & power chips - the basis for control & perception.

$SAP (+0,01%)
SAP (DE)

ERP & data platforms, important for integrating humanoid robots into industrial processes.

$SIE (+1,95%)
Siemens (DE)

Industrial software, automation, digital twin - key for engineering & lifecycle management.

$KU2 KUKA (EN)

Robotics pioneer, industrial robots & automation - know-how for humanoid motion mechanics.

PAL Robotics (ES) - not a listed company

Specialist for humanoid robots (TALOS, ARI, TIAGo), internationally used in research & service.

Neura Robotics (DE) - Not a listed company

Young high-tech company, develops cognitive humanoid robots with advanced AI (4NE-1).

Universal Robots (DK) - Not a listed company

Market leader for cobots - platform for safe human-robot collaboration.

Engineered Arts (UK) - not a listed company

Develops humanoid robots such as Amecaknown for realistic facial expressions & gestures - important for HRI (Human-Robot Interaction)

🌏 Top 10 Asian key companies for humanoid robotics

$2330
TSMC (Taiwan)

World's largest semiconductor foundry, produces high-end chips (e.g. Nvidia, AMD, Apple) - no AI hardware without TSMC.

$005930
Samsung Electronics (South Korea)

Foundry, memory, logic chips, image sensors - extremely broadly positioned in robotics components.

$000660
SK Hynix (KR) - Memory

$SONY
Sony (Japan)

Market leader in CMOS image sensors, essential for robotic vision & perception.

$6861 (+0,65%)
Keyence (Japan)

Sensor technology & machine vision for industrial automation, widely used in robotics.

$6954 (-0,94%)
Fanuc (Japan)

Industrial robots & CNC systems, one of the most important manufacturers of robotics hardware worldwide.

$6506 (-0,09%)
Yaskawa Electric (Japan)

Drives, motion control & robot arms - relevant for humanoid motion control.

$6594
Nidec (Japan)

World market leader for electric motors (from mini motors to high-performance drives).

$7012 (+1,52%)
Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - Industrial robots

$9618 (-1,86%)
JD.com (China)

Driver for robotics in e-commerce & logistics, invests in humanoid robotics applications

#momentum Strategy week 33

Hello my dears,

stocks mentioned so far were

$MP (+3,95%)
$NBIS (+3,78%)
$LMND (-0,41%)
$AAPL (+0,15%)
$BMNR (+0%)

$ELF (+4,07%)
$9868 (-4,27%)
$XPEV (-3,84%)
$UCG (+0,05%)
$PRY (+2,3%)

$G1A (+0,88%)
$LOTB (+3,75%) +10% $UFPT (-2,19%) +9,34%. $AHT (-0,78%) 7,15%. $UNH (-0,73%) 20,26%

$ETH (+0,37%)
$NB (-0,63%)
$VLA (+0,29%)

$HOT (+1,27%) +13%. $CWCO (+0,35%) +14%

$ALV (-0,33%) +6,4 %. $MAIN (+0,39%) +5,3%. $TUI1 (-0,3%) +18,3%

$RDDT . $GUBRA (-0,58%)
$ONDS (+13,24%)
$IREN (+10,07%)

My shares would be

$MU (+3,96%) +17%. $GILT (-3,55%) +20%. $APP (+4,58%) +17%

The shares are for identification purposes only.

And does not constitute a buy recommendation.

An analysis and evaluation of the multiples should definitely be carried out here.

You are also welcome to share your results with us.

I look forward to hearing more about your performers.

What one man's $NOVO B (-0,82%) is to me the $MP (+3,95%)

On Tuesday, August 12, 2025, MP Materials (NYSE:MP) presented insights into its strategic initiatives and operational progress at Canaccord Genuity's 45th Annual Growth Conference. The company, a key player in rare earth production, highlighted its progress in production capacity and partnerships while addressing challenges in refinery operations and supply chain vulnerabilities.

Key findings

• MP Materials is targeting upstream production of 60,000 tons; current annual production is over 50,000 tons.
• The company is targeting production of 6,075 tons of refined NDPR, with an average sequential growth of 25% since 2023
• Strategic partnerships with the US Department of Defense and Apple are critical to supply chain security and recycling initiatives.
• MP Materials is expanding its magnet production facilities and significant off-take agreements have already been secured.
• The company is confident that it will be able to meet its demand for heavy rare earths; a new refinery is scheduled to come on stream by 2026.

Financial results

• MP Materials reported production of over 13,000 tons for the last quarter, contributing to a pro forma earning power of $650 million.
• The company is focused on improving concentrate quality and eliminating bottlenecks in material handling to optimize refinery operations.
• Upstream production capacity could significantly increase earnings potential but is not included in the current base case forecast.

Operational developments

Upstream production:

• Production of over 50,000 tons annually, with a focus on optimizing concentrate quality.

Midstream production:

• Refinery operations commenced in late 2023, with a target of 6,075 tons of refined NDPR.
• Sequential growth of 10-20% is expected for the next quarter while material handling challenges are addressed.

Downstream production:

• 1,000 tons of initial production has been committed to General Motors; further expansion is contracted with Apple.
• A full offtake agreement is in place with the US Department of Defense for a new plant with 7,000 tons of capacity.

Recycling initiatives:

• Partnership with Apple to develop recycling facilities for NDPR and heavy rare earths.

Future prospects

• MP Materials plans to reach 60,000 tons of rare earth oxide (REO) in concentrate and build capacity for 10,000 tons of magnets.
• The company is focused on implementing the plans, expanding recycling activities and reducing the heavy rare earth content through technological advances.
• Continued collaboration with the US Department of Defense is central to strategic growth.

Q&A Highlights

• MP Materials will have the only refinery outside of China by 2026, improving sourcing opportunities for heavy rare earths.
• Based on existing revenue forecasts and strategic partnerships, the company is in no rush to sign new customer contracts.

With $MP (+3,95%) . Yesterday's figures led to a further significant rise after the close of trading. The share has the potential to become a tenbagger. Even though my buy-in will naturally increase gradually due to the monthly savings plan, the first shares have already more than tripled. My buy-in across all shares is currently €24.

The shares of MP Materials Corp (NYSE:MP) rose by 7% in after-hours trading yesterday after the producer of rare earths impressed with strong quarterly figures. The company also made clear progress with its strategy of offering refined products with higher added value. Investors reacted positively to signs that the transition from low-margin concentrate sales to the production of NdPr oxide and metals is gathering pace.

For the second quarter ended June 30, MP reported sales of USD 57.4 million - well above analysts' estimates of USD 46.7 million and 84% higher than in the same period last year. Adjusted loss per share was USD 0.13, also better than the expected loss of USD 0.20 - a year-on-year improvement of 24%.

Production volumes were a key driver of sales growth: NdPr oxide production reached a new record of 597 tons - an increase of 119% compared to the previous year. Total production of rare earth oxides rose by 45% to 13,145 tons, the second-highest quarterly result in the company's history. At the same time, the sales volume of NdPr tripled to 443 tons.

"In Q2, our Materials segment achieved record production of NdPr oxide and delivered the second highest REO production in MP's history," said James Litinsky, Founder, Chairman and CEO of MP Materials. "At the same time, our Magnetics segment moved forward with commissioning and began profitably increasing metal production."

The Magnetics segment, which was established to support the downstream activities, achieved sales of USD 19.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA of USD 8.1 million in the first comparable reporting period. What is striking is that sales of rare earth concentrates fell by 51% year-on-year to USD 11.9 million - a clear signal that the company is moving away from exporting unprocessed raw materials, particularly to China.

MP Materials is increasingly positioning itself as a vertically integrated provider of magnetics solutions - supported by recently concluded partnerships with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and the US Department of Defense. Management described these agreements as "significant" milestones that will contribute to long-term profitability and strengthen MP's role in the "emerging era of physical AI".

The strategic realignment appears to have been well received by investors, as the share price performance on Thursday shows. Despite continued negative results, the increasing production of high-quality products and strong partnerships point to a clearer path to sustainable value creation.

RARE EARTHS: THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING!

WHY SHARE PRICES ARE EXPLODING NOW

MEGATREND "RARE EARTHS"

Rare earths as an asset class have been a classic fashionable topic up to now. Every few years there have been

price spikes for the most important metals such as neodymium or praseodymium, which then led to short-term

This led to sometimes explosive price rises for the industry representatives á la Lynas and Co. The two major

bull markets took place in 2011 and 2021, when the prices for neodymium praseodymium oxide (from which the coveted magnets are then

coveted magnets are extracted) had risen to around $115 per kg.

These two bull market highs can easily be seen in the all-time chart of Lynas (abbreviation in Germany:

LYI; WKN 871899), the (so far) blue chip among rare earth shares:

AKTIEN REPORT SPEZIAL

LYNAS all-time chart

However, the 20+ year chart also shows that in the past it was not even possible to earn money

even with this blue chip. The lean periods with low prices were too long, during which the

producers kept their heads above water with price-diluting capital increases due to a lack of free cash flow.

It is therefore completely understandable that there have been few long-term investors in rare earths to date.

investors in rare earths. The years since the last boom have been characterized by persistent price fantasies, which have

never really materialized. In other words, speculators hoped that the Chinese Central Committee would curb exports of important rare earths.

The background: 70% of global annual production comes from China, almost 50% from the Bayon

Obo mine in Inner Mongolia:

Source: Google View

And almost more importantly, over 90% of global processing capacity is also located in China.

Chinese soil. This has so far resulted in a high level of dependency for the rest of the world, especially

also for the USA.

In fact, China announced in February 2025 that it would monitor its own producers more closely. In April

this was followed by an official restriction on the export of initially seven rare earths. China's focus is on

China's focus is on metals that can be used for both civilian and military purposes (dual

use). Separate export licenses are now required here. This is also intended to curb the flourishing black

be curbed.

As a result, the prices for rare earth shares have risen, but the prices for the metals themselves have remained almost completely unaffected.

almost completely unaffected.

In this respect, interest quickly waned again - until the bombshell dropped last Thursday, July 10:

The US Department of Defense bought directly into MP Materials (US abbreviation MP; WKN A2QHVL).

which is to become the first fully integrated rare earths play in the USA.

The Department of Defense (DoD) is securing a total of 15% of the company through the direct purchase of shares and additional options.

a total of 15% of the company at a price of USD 30.03. The mere fact that the US government is prepared to inject equity directly into MP Materials is an absolute game changer. This validates the investment story for the share and the risks have fallen considerably.

Above all, because there is another important component to the deal, which in my view has not yet been discussed enough in the media:

warrants, loans, and price floor and offtake commitments - that extend for more than a decade.

- DoD has entered into a 10-year agreement establishing a price floor commitment of $110 per

kilogram for MP Materials' NdPr products stockpiled or sold, reducing vulnerability to non-market forces and ensuring stable and predictable cash flow with shared upside.

- For a period of 10 years following the construction of the 10X Facility, DoD has agreed to ensure that 100% of the magnets produced at the 10X Facility will be purchased by defense and commercial customers with shared upside.

The DoD, i.e. the US Department of Defense, has signed a 10-year purchase agreement with MP for neodymium

with MP for neodymium-praseodymium products, with the assurance that they will pay at least $110 per kilogram.

gram.

By way of comparison, the current market price for neodymium-praseodymium oxide is $57, i.e. just about half the agreed price.

half of this agreed price.

This means that all the old calculations for the fair value of MP shares can be thrown out the window.

My calculation with the price target of $31 was based on $70 per kg. Neodymium-praseodymium oxide and a cost of $40 per kg.

Suddenly, the gross margin per kg is no longer $30, but $70 - and that with much greater planning certainty.

with much greater planning certainty.

MP will also build the so-called 10X Facility, a giant factory in which neodymium-praseodymium magnets will be produced directly.

magnets are produced. The Ministry of Defense guarantees that 100% of these magnets

will be purchased by customers from the defense industry and other commercial customers, with the resulting profits being shared between the parties.

This means that although MP has to hand over part of the profits from the sale of the magnets, it has a 100% guarantee that everything will be purchased.

The DoD wants MP to become a fully integrated producer that covers virtually the entire value chain.

value chain - to make itself independent of China.

The next bombshell followed on Tuesday: none other than iPhone giant Apple has signed a $500 million contract with MP.

a 500 million dollar contract with MP Materials to secure access to neodymium and praseodymium magnets.

praseodymium magnets. Apple's CEO Tim Cook is quoted as saying: "Rare earth materials are essential to making advanced technology, and this partnership will secure the supply of these important materials in the United States.

strengthen the supply of these important materials in the United States."

And Apple is likely to be just the beginning. Many other technology companies are likely to follow, especially

from the hardware sector. Because the share price has gone through the roof following these two deals, MP is using the momentum for an additional capital increase:

It is selling 11.82 million shares at a price of $55 per share, with subscribers able to exercise the option for an additional 1.77 million shares.

million shares. The price was only around 10% below the previous day's closing price, which is remarkable in view of the previous share price explosion. MP Materials will thus receive a further $600 million gross.

What you have to understand - and what makes the whole thing so interesting - is that completely new framework conditions are emerging. New supply chains, in principle a protected environment, perhaps comparable to that of

traditional energy supply, where there are also strong regulations that safeguard profits.

$LYC (-0,67%) could follow MP Materials.

A prolonged consolidation since the beginning of 2023 in a relatively narrow price range has broken upwards. The reason: Lynas is also being drawn into the western hemisphere by the USA - and thus into the protected

environment.

Lynas is still the only fully integrated supplier of rare earths outside China of any significant size, which in itself makes the company

size, which in itself makes the company interesting for the USA. There are extensive production

facilities in Malaysia and Australia. However, Lynas is still in China's sphere of influence.

China claims, for example, that there is a problem with increased radioactivity in the air around the mining and production sites in Malaysia.

radioactivity in the ores around the mining and production sites in Malaysia. Whether this is true or whether this radioactivity was already present in the deposits

deposits - when tin was still being produced there - is controversial.

And, above all, the heavy earths dysprosium and terbium, which are important for the defense sector, are processed in Malaysia.

processing takes place in Malaysia, but further processing into magnetic products still takes place in China.

This is naturally a thorn in the side of the US government. As a result, Lynas had already announced under the Biden presidency

received funding from the US Department of Defense in June 2022 under the Biden presidency. The aim is to build

of a plant for separating heavy rare earth metals in Texas. The amount of funding from

by the DoD was increased from the original $120 million in August 2023 to around $258 million. Also

also still under the Biden administration. It is quite possible that under Trump - similar to MP Materials

- there will also be a further increase in production at Lynas.

At MP Materials, the focus is on the production of neodymium-praseodymium magnets. These are

mainly used for electric motors:

Dysprosium and terbium, on the other hand, are valued above all because they increase the heat resistance and stability of materials at extreme temperatures.

of materials at extreme temperatures

Accordingly, dysprosium and terbium are to be processed directly in the USA at the Lynas separation plant in Texas.

to ensure the supply here, especially for the military sector.

If we look at the current political developments, where the USA is now, for example, also supplying Ukraine

Ukraine with weapons against Russia because Trump no longer wants to be led around by the nose by Putin.

Putin, the military sector could become even more important in the future. And not to forget: We have NATO, where the member states now have to rearm massively. They also have to secure the

supply of rare earths. It is quite possible that additional supply agreements and deals with Lynas will be concluded.

If we look at the market capitalizations, Lynas is valued at around $6 billion, while MP Materials is valued at almost

almost $10 billion, taking into account the capital increase.

And this is despite the fact that Lynas is already an established producer and is (at least just) profitable despite the low prices for rare earths. I could well imagine that the share has some catching up to do and will rise even more strongly if there is a corresponding news flow. I am more skeptical about the Chinese plays, as they are likely to continue to suffer from low prices and subdued demand from China.

I will probably pick up a few pieces of $LYC (-0,67%) and leave them lying around. That worked well for $MP (+3,95%) worked well too 😉

$MP (+3,95%) rises today due to a $500 million partnership with Apple ( $AAPL (+0,15%) ).

The good news about MP Materials is not letting up at the moment. I suspect that we could see further partnerships or purchase commitments in the near future. In particular, I can think of defense companies that want to ensure their long-term security of supply.

It's a good thing that I added more after the deal with the DOD.

https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2025/07/apple-expands-us-supply-chain-with-500-million-usd-commitment/