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11Podcast episode 63 "Buy High. Sell Low."
Subscribe to the podcast to make Palantir a Tenbagger!
00:00:00 US election
00:04:00 Palantir $PLTR (+6,35 %)
00:24:00 AppLovin
00:35:00 Meta $META (-2,23 %)
00:45:00 Alphabet $GOOGL (+0,94 %)
$GOOG (+1,03 %)
00:55:30 PayPal $PYPL (-0,38 %)
01:12:45 Vistra $VST (+1,56 %)
01:24:00 Robo-Advisors vs. ETFs
Spotify $SPOT (+0,22 %)
https://open.spotify.com/episode/1EEZA9phh1ndeZbmMofoEe?si=Z4bINmNZTBiEvBuEUHI1Lg
YouTube
Apple Podcast $AAPL (+1,34 %)
$VST (+1,56 %) Reports Q3 Net $1.84B v $502M y/y, Rev $6.29B v $4.09B y/y; Raises outlook; Board authorized an additional $1.0B of share repurchases, which is expected to be utilized by year-end 2026. (Vistra Corp)
- Raises FY24 Adj EBITDA $5.0-5.2B, Adj FCF $2.65-2.85B (prior: Adj EBITDA $4.46-5.0B, Adj FCF $2.0-2.50B)
- Guides initial FY25 Adj EBITDA $5.5-6.1B, Adj FCF $3.0-3.6B
Earnings next week
$$BRK.A (+0,54 %) (Saturday)
Week in review 26.10.
New 52-week highs or all-time highs: Gold, Silver, Booz Allen Hamilton, Boyd Gaming, Carvana, Endeavour Silver, GE Vernova, Iron Mountain, L3Harris, Philip Morris, Reddit, SAP, Sea Ltd, Teledyne Netflix, Nvidia, Microstrategy, Palantir PayPal, SoFi, Wells Fargo, Welltower, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
Palantir (+170%) points to 2024 Vistra (+231%) and Nvidia (+202%) the third-best performer in the S&P 500
Tesla +20% after good quarterly figures, best trading day in 11 years, cheaper new model coming in H1/2025, +9% since the beginning of the year
New Apple MacBooks with M4, Mac mini and iMac will be presented next Monday, Apple shares +26% since the beginning of the year
McDonald's E.coli - bacteria in burger meat, one dead and several injured, shares fall 8%, +1% since the beginning of the year
SAP with good quarterly figures, +61% since the beginning of the year
Deutsche Bank with good quarterly figures, +26% since the beginning of the year
Mercedes with poor quarterly figures due to weak business in China, -9% since the beginning of the year
Microsoft-shareholders want to vote on Bitcoin purchase for the balance sheet at the Annual General Meeting in December, Bitcoin +59% since the beginning of the year
Qualcomm and ARM are in a license dispute over the Nuvia takeover, ARM +112% since the beginning of the year, Qualcomm +23% since the beginning of the year
Lockheed Martin with good quarterly figures, +24% since the beginning of the year
L3Harris with good quarterly figures, +24% since the beginning of the year
RTX (Raytheon) with good quarterly figures, sales and profit forecasts raised, +48% since the beginning of the year
UPS with good quarterly figures, -9% since the beginning of the year
Texas Instruments with good quarterly figures, +25% since the beginning of the year
Coca Cola with good quarterly figures, +15% since the beginning of the year
IBM with strong profit growth but disappointed sales, +36% since the beginning of the year
Munich RE Profit warning due to major losses, +24% since the beginning of the year
Starbucks has suspended its forecast for the coming financial year as new CEO Brian Niccol seeks to restructure the company but increases dividend, +5% year-to-date
Kering with profit warning as Gucci weakens in China, -40% since the beginning of the year
Enphase Energy with poor figures, share falls -12%, -37% since the beginning of the year
Traffic light government decides exit tax on ETF assets from €500,000, savings and independent investing are penalized even more, prosperity and freedom are made more difficult and hindered
Loopholes in the rent control for furnished apartments remain
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$TSLA (-4,58 %)
$NVDA (+2,01 %)
$PLTR (+6,35 %)
$VST (+1,56 %)
$BTC (-1,61 %)
$AAPL (+1,34 %)
$MCD (-0,31 %)
$SAP (-0,03 %)
$DBK (-1,71 %)
$MBG (-0,07 %)
$QCOM (+2,48 %)
$ARM (-2,66 %)
$MSFT (-1,05 %)
$MSTR (+8,98 %)
$RTX (-0,37 %)
$LMT (+0,94 %)
$LHX (+0,74 %)
$UPS (+0,66 %)
$DBK (-1,71 %)
$SAP (-0,03 %)
$TXN (-0,01 %)
$KO (-0,4 %)
$IBM (-0,87 %)
$MUV2 (-1,1 %)
$SBUX (-1,55 %)
$KER (+0,06 %)
$E2NP34
#steuern
#steuernsindraub
#rückblick
#palantir
#bitcoin
#krypto
#crypto
#aktien
#meme
#memes
#pltrgang
Enphase Energy before earnings. $ENPH (+6,64 %)
Hello my dears,
Next week there will be figures for Enphase, perhaps an opportunity to start the 🚀 from the bottom upwards.
After a not so good year, I have picked out the estimates for you.
Since the beginning of the year, Vistra $VST (+1,56 %) has become one of the top performers thanks to AI and data centers.
Do you see similar potential for Enphase?
According to estimates, it almost looks like it.
Earnings growth until 2026 amounts to 30%, which will reduce the P/E ratio to 19.93 next year
According to the share finder, Enphase is undervalued
EbiT margin: 2024: 21.30%
2025: 30,24%
2026: 34,25%
EbiT: 2024: 303.69 million
2025: 619.40 million
2026: 821.70 million
Turnover: 2024: 1.43 billion
2025: 2.05 billion
2026: 2.40 billion
Earnings per share: 2024: 2.51
2025: 4,60
2026: 5,51
Free cash flow: 2024: 383.76 million
2025: 549.15 million
2026: 679.85 million
Book value per share: 2024: 7.68
2025: 11,09
2026: 16,92
Market capitalization 11.42 billion
Week in review 28.09.
New all-time highs for DAX, Dow Jones, S&P 500, Gold, GE Vernova, Meta, Netflix, SAP, Vistra Corp, Walmart 👑🥇 $LYY7 (-0,47 %)
$CSPX (+0,32 %)
$ABX (+0,54 %)
$GEV (+2,49 %)
$META (-2,23 %)
$NFLX (+0,09 %)
$SAP (-0,03 %)
$VST (+1,56 %)
$WMT (-2,1 %)
New 52-week highs for 3M, Air Products, Alibaba, Arista Networks, Barrick Gold, Bank of Nova Scotia, BlackRock, Caterpillar, Constellation Energy, DuPont, HSBC, Infosys, Live Nation, McDonald's, Palantir, PayPal, Public Storage, Royal Bank of Canada, Royal Caribbean, Sea Ltd, Spotify, Tangier 💵📈 $PLTR (+6,35 %)
$9988 (-2,55 %)
$BABA (-2,95 %)
$BLK
$CAT (+0,86 %)
$BNS (-0,23 %)
$STZ (-0,34 %)
$DD (-0,03 %)
$HSBA (-0,91 %)
$HSBC (-1,07 %)
$INFY
$LYV (-0,61 %)
$MCD (-0,31 %)$PUB
$PUB
$RCL (+2,69 %)
$SEA (+0 %)
$SKT (-0,63 %)
Bitcoin with new 1-month high, +22% in three weeks since the low on 07.09. from 52k$ to 66k$, +150% in 12 months📉📈 $BTC (-1,61 %)
PayPal's own stablecoin PYUSD (crypto) is growing strongly and is now one of the top 100 cryptos by market capitalization at 95th place 💰 $PYPL (-0,38 %)
Palantir with inclusion in the S&P 500 on Monday #PLTRgang 🤜🤛👊✊ $PLTR (+6,35 %)
Uber is working with Google's Waymo (Alphabet) and wants to offer robotaxis for a surcharge 🚗🤖 $UBER (-0,14 %)
$GOOGL (+0,94 %)
$GOOG (+1,03 %)
After the ECB and FED, China has also turned on the money printer *brrr brrr*, plus a big economic stimulus program, China stocks therefore have their best week in 10 years, car and luxury stocks with Chinese business are therefore rising 🖨🇨🇳 $MC (-0,25 %)
$P911 (-0,41 %)
$BMW (+0,87 %)
$MBG (-0,07 %)
AMD CEO and Nvidia CEO confirm continued high demand for AI chips 🧠🤖, Nvidia CEO does not want to sell any more of his own shares for the time being. $AMD (-0,35 %)
$NVDA (+2,01 %)
Upcoming Playstation 6 with AMD chip again, but AMD will leave the high-end graphics card market for PC gamers and try to scale more strongly in the mid and lower segments. Nvidia would then have a monopoly 🎮 $SONY (+1,01 %)
$6758 (+1,35 %)
Super Micro suspected of accounting fraud. US justice is apparently already investigating according to an insider, -62% share price in three months 🔍👮 $SMCI
AI needs a lot of electricity and nuclear power plants are being reactivated in the USA. In Germany, it's the other way around due to the world's stupidest energy policy. US electricity provider shares, uranium mines - shares and ETFs are rising. ⚛️⚡️ (see podcast episode 57 "Buy High. Sell Low." pinned to my profile at the top) $URNM
$URA (-1,04 %)
$UEC (-6,05 %)
Micron with good quarterly figures and +13% share price, semiconductor stocks rally 💻📈 $MU (+2,58 %)
Costco - quarterly figures mixed, EPS exceeds estimates but sales worse than expected, share price falls slightly 🛒 $COST (-1,09 %)
McDonald's increases quarterly dividend by 6% to 1.77$. Since the first dividend payment in 1976, the payout has been increased 48 years in a row. 🍟🍔 $MCD (-0,31 %)
Investigation initiated against Visa 💳 and SAP 💻 in the USA for illegal price fixing $V (-0,14 %)
$SAP (-0,03 %)
Oil price falls again, Shell & Co. on the way to 1-year low 🛢⛽️ $SHEL (-0,74 %)
$GB00B03MM408
$RDS.A
Meta releases VR glasses Quest 3s for €330 from 15.10.24 📱👓
Intel launches AI accelerator "Gaudi 3" as an alternative to Nvidia's H100. IBM, Google & Dell as first customers. 🧠 $INTC (+1,8 %)
US debt level climbs above 35 trillion dollars for the first time 🖨💵
Ubisoft share price collapses due to postponement of "Assassin's Creed: Shadows", -70% 1-year performance 🎮📉 $UBI (-0,32 %)
DHL raises outlook / growth forecast until 2030 and increases letter postage by 10.5% in Germany from 2025 📦✉️📯 $DHL (+0,13 %)
BASF struggles with high energy prices and weak demand, threat of plant closure and dividend cut 🇩🇪📉 $BAS (-0,12 %)
Adidas (+28%) significantly better than Nike (-18%) since the beginning of the year ⚽️🏀👟 $ADS (-0,15 %)
$NKE (-6,85 %)
Takeover poker at Commerzbank by Ital. Unicredit continues 🏦🇮🇹🇩🇪 $CBK (-1,64 %)
$UCG (+0,05 %)
Jefferies issued a buy recommendation for BioNTech and sees the antibody BNT327 against cancer as a potential massive sales driver. 👨⚕️⚕️💊 $DE000A0V9BC4
Mutares -14% because shortseller Gotham City raises serious allegations against the SDAX member: Ponzi scheme, false accounting and circular business model 🔍👮 $MUX (-2,14 %)
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+ 6
Podcast episode 57 "Buy High. Sell Low."
Subscribe to the podcast to keep more net from gross!
00:00:00 Vistra Energy, Constellation Energy, Uranium Energy, Uranium ETFs $VST (+1,56 %)
$STZ (-0,34 %)
$UEC (-6,05 %)
00:37:20 Alibaba, China stocks $9618 (-1,17 %)
$700 (+2,55 %)
$80700
$1211 (-0,27 %)
01:12:00 Exxon, Shell, Diamondback Energy, oil ETFs $SHEL (-0,74 %)
$GB00B03MM408
$RDS.A
01:32:00 LVMH, Hermès $MC (-0,25 %)
$9988 (-2,55 %)
$BABA (-2,95 %)
01:42:00 Kering $KER (+0,06 %)
01:45:00 Dior, Prada, luxury ETF $CDI (+1,03 %)
$1913 (-4,71 %)
$AMUN (+0,32 %)
01:48:00 Rising social security contributions in 2025 #ampel#money
Spotify
$SPOT (+0,22 %)
https://open.spotify.com/episode/44odhfXKc9Do4d6OE6nY3M?si=aXivvFZdSWmn5rOiEk9ElQ
YouTube
$GOOGL (+0,94 %)
$GOOGL (+0,94 %)
Apple Podcast $AAPL (+1,34 %)
#podcast
Due to the expansion of data centers, shares in the energy sector such as $CEG (-0,06 %)
$VST (+1,56 %)
$ETN (-0,22 %) and $BWXT (-0,16 %) (nuclear) are soaring, especially after the announcement by $MSFT (-1,05 %) regarding nuclear energy.
After looking into your private crystal ball, do you think that a longer-term trend has begun in terms of share price development? Or do you think that everything is already priced in and that the rise will soon flatten out again, so that all that's left now is to chase the "runaway train"? (I think this will happen much faster than the "normal" investor thinks - after all, "smart money" is a bit smarter than we are).
Personally, I think that the most likely candidates here are the established $SU (-0,75 %) and $ETN (-0,22 %) will prevail in the long term, even if they have already done very well. Another permanent 'player' for me would be $RR. (-0,37 %) (SMRs - although the question is when they will actually be built and profitable).
What do you think? Are you looking at other companies in this field?
Just wanted to share a little test I'm using as benchmark:
I selected by screener the biggest 10 companies by Market Cap with these parameters:
Equal weighted buying in January 2nd 2024
Results:
$UNH (+1,64 %) (I removed this because the PE LTM was too close to 40)
$BKNG (-1,19 %) (I removed this one total return 5Y was too close to 100%)
$KLAC (+0,46 %) (added the next one to replace the removed one)
$HCA (+1,43 %) (same)
I know that in January the screener results maybe wouldn't be these, and that most companies are the easy ones, but... 30% returns YTD, without using the 10 best performance of the SP500 YTD ($NVDA (+2,01 %) , $VST (+1,56 %) , $SMCI , $HWM (+0,14 %) , $CEG , $TRGP (+1,83 %) , $LLY (+1,78 %) , $IRM (+3,63 %) , $NRG (+0,74 %) , $GDDY (+2,07 %) and no crypto,)
If I reached half of it every year, I will be very proud of myself.
Hope it helps
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