In addition to the oil and gas ETF that has been in my portfolio for a long time, I am now investing in $CVX (+1.04%) . Would you do the same? Or do you think other oil companies are better?
Best regards,
Angelo from Finanzen Anders
Posts
113In addition to the oil and gas ETF that has been in my portfolio for a long time, I am now investing in $CVX (+1.04%) . Would you do the same? Or do you think other oil companies are better?
Best regards,
Angelo from Finanzen Anders
Impact of Iran Closing the Strait of Hormuz on Global Markets
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important oil transit routes in the world. About 20% of global oil supply passes through this narrow waterway. If Iran decides to close it, oil prices could skyrocket above $200 per barrel, according to Macquarie Commodities Strategy Head Marcus Garvey. While this is not the expected scenario, even a temporary disruption could cause major economic consequences.
Who Benefits?
Companies involved in oil production and energy supply would likely see higher profits due to rising oil prices. Some stocks that could benefit include:
Who Suffers?
Industries that rely on oil for production and transportation would struggle with higher costs. Some of the most affected sectors include:
Likelihood of Closure
Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz multiple times, but it has never fully blocked it. The last major disruption occurred during the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), when both sides attacked oil tankers. More recently, in 2019, ships were attacked near the strait, raising concerns about security. Experts believe a full closure is unlikely, as it would also hurt Iran’s economy and provoke military retaliation.
Conclusion
If Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices would surge, benefiting energy companies while hurting industries dependent on oil. However, history suggests that a full blockade is not likely, though tensions in the region remain high. Investors should watch oil markets closely as geopolitical risks evolve.
$XOM (+1.04%)
$CVX (+1.04%)
$SHEL (+0.89%)
$BP. (+1.15%)
$LHA (-0.5%)
$VOW (-0.36%)
$MAERSK A (-0.59%)
$TSLA (-1.12%)
When $BRK.B (-0.77%) started during the Corona crisis $OXY (+0.54%) and $CVX (+1.04%) many people didn't understand this. Tech was more popular than ever at the time and oil was considered dead. A short time later, it became clear that oil was here to stay. As discussed in the last market review, the energy sector was one of the best investments during the pandemic.
However, this was probably a special boom for fossil fuels that was to remain a one-off. Since the price explosion, the energy sector has been in a very weak trend and is the worst performing sector directly after healthcare (which could therefore also be very interesting at the moment).
In particular, the dynamic has shifted from oil & gas to electricity - which, however, is not counted as part of the energy sector in the classic GICS but as part of the utilities sector. The reason for this is, of course, the expected triumph of artificial intelligence and the associated hunger for energy in data centers. The best-known company in the sector is probably $NEE (-0.2%)
In any case, Buffet's investments in fossil fuels have not been particularly worthwhile to date, as he may have made a favorable initial entry, but then often bought at unfavorable prices. At the current point in time, the investment case has not yet worked out. It is therefore an interesting question whether Buffet is speculating on something that has not yet been understood by the market or whether it is one of the rare situations in which the good Warren has miscalculated something (think of the disaster around $KHC (-0.38%) ). At any rate, it is difficult to understand what Buffet was thinking and whether his theory is still intact.
Incidentally, I myself am not invested in either utilities or energy, which I think is a great pity. However, I have not been able to identify any company that is currently really convincing in terms of its figures and can be described as a quality company.
What about you? Do you have any oil, gas or electricity stocks in your portfolio?
(And the < 5% exposure in the World ETF does not count)
Price decline
OPEC+ countries
Brent futures curve
Oil supply
Kazakhstan
tariff war
Price target
Link: https://shorturl.at/asfT7
$SHEL (+0.89%)
$TTE (-0.43%)
$CVX (+1.04%)
$XOM (+1.04%)
$BP. (+1.15%)
$OXY (+0.54%)
$SLB (+0.08%)
$2222
$ENI (+0.63%)
Hello Getquin Community,
I would be interested to know: What are your top dividend stocks or which ones do you currently have on your watchlist that you would like to add to your portfolio?
My strongest stocks at the moment are definitely $HSBA (-0.58%) and $BATS (+0.12%) Both deliver solid dividend yields and are real classics in the dividend strategy sector.
I'll add a few more to the list - I'm looking forward to your additions:
$SREN (+0%)
$ZURN (-0.1%)
$MO (+0%)
$CVX (+1.04%)
$MAIN (-0.04%)
$O (-0.38%)
Today I invested in $SHEL (+0.89%) .
Bought 10 shares at an average price of €28.775 per share including transaction costs.
In total I now own 125 shares, this gives me +- €161 per year in dividend
#shell
#invest
#investing
#dividend
#dividends
#dividende
#stocks
$BP. (+1.15%)
$CVX (+1.04%)
$SHEL (+0.89%)
$TTE (-0.43%)
$XOM (+1.04%)
🔹 Adj EPS: $2.18 (Est. $2.11) 🟢; –26 % YoY
🔹 Revenue: $47.61 B (Est. $48.08 B) 🔴; –6 % YoY
🔹 Cash Flow from Ops: $5.28 B (Est. $6.82 B) 🔴
🔹 Free Cash Flow (ex-WC): $3.7 B (–5 % YoY)
🔹 Slashes buybacks as Trump trade war, OPEC hit oil prices.
Segment Performance
Upstream
🔹 Earnings: $3.76 B (Est. $4.13 B) 🔴; –28 % YoY
🔹 Net Production: 3,353 MBOE/d (flat YoY)
🔹 U.S. Liquids Realization: $55.26/bbl (–4 %)
🔹 Intl. Liquids Realization: $67.69/bbl (–7 %)
Downstream
🔹 Earnings: $325 M (Est. $427 M) 🔴; –59 % YoY
🔹 U.S. Refinery Inputs: 1,018 kbd (+16 % YoY)
🔹 Intl. Refinery Inputs: 618 kbd (–5 % YoY)
All Other / Corporate
🔹 Net Charges: –$583 M (vs. –$521 M YoY)
Balance-Sheet & Capital
🔹 Capex: $3.9 B (–5 % YoY)
🔹 Net-Debt Ratio: 14.4 % (vs 8.8 % YoY)
🔹 Board declared Q2 dividend $1.71/sh (payable Jun 10 2025)
🔹 Shareholder Returns: $6.9 B ( $3.9 B buybacks + $3.0 B dividends)
Operational & Strategic Updates
🔸 Production ramp-up at Tengizchevroil after Future Growth Project completion (+20 % YoY output).
🔸 First oil achieved at Ballymore (deep-water Gulf of America) on time & on budget.
🔸 Acquired 4.99 % of Hess shares; remains confident in full Hess acquisition.
🔸 Completed sales of East Texas gas assets and select non-operated U.S. mid-stream assets; proceeds funding buybacks.
🔸 Announced simplified org structure targeting $2-3 B structural cost reduction by 2026.
Management Commentary
🔸 CEO Mike Wirth: “Resilient portfolio, strong balance sheet, and disciplined capital allocation position Chevron to deliver industry-leading free-cash-flow growth by 2026 despite changing market conditions.”
Weekly & Monthly update.
Friday I will buy $SHEL (+0.89%) depending on the price action. If the price action of $SHEL (+0.89%) is positive I will buy the Jgpi etf.
#dividend
#dividends
#dividende
#investing
#etfs
#etf
$SHEL (+0.89%)
$BP. (+1.15%)
$CVX (+1.04%)
$XOM (+1.04%)
$TTE (-0.43%)
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