The new Amazon of asia $BABA (-2.09%)

With the latest events in EU-US customs policy, I am confident that I will soon reach the 20k mark. A few more stocks will follow in the next few months and the ETFs will continue to be saved with the highest weighting. My savings rate can also be increased by completing my further training soon.

Concrete new additions to the portfolio will be:

• $HOLN (+0.64%) I see potential, as Holcim will be a big player in the reconstruction of Ukraine. It is also a sustainable addition to my dividend-oriented portfolio, as the distributions are paid from capital contribution reserves and are therefore tax-free in Switzerland.

• $$FLXI (+0.91%) India is expected to become the 3rd largest economy in the world by 2035. GDP is growing confidently and I see opportunities for additional returns in the portfolio.

• $BABA (-2.09%) Solid long-term growth stock to expand diversification with China. 1.67% dividend

Opinions? Suggestions?

$HEIA (+0.43%)
$EL (+2.5%)
$NUE (+1.49%)
$CDNS (+3.31%)
$WM (+2.68%)
$MSFT (+0.42%)
$V (-3.2%)
$OR (-3.17%)
$AZN (+2.97%)
$MRK (-1.65%)
$PG (+0.18%)
$SBUX (+2.3%)
$BCS (+3.28%)
$META (-1.37%)
$BABA (-2.09%)
$QCOM (+0.77%)
$AIR (+0.96%)
$HSBC (+0%)
$GSK (+0.77%)
$MBG (-1.04%)
$F (-1.13%)
$AAPL (-0.83%)
$AMZN (-0.44%)
$MA (-1.75%)
$7203 (-1.12%)
$SHEL (+1.72%)
$005930
$SNY (+0%)
$CMCSA (-1.28%)
$COIN (-2.03%)
$NET (-0.34%)
$XOM (+1.7%)
$CVX (+0.91%)
$CS (+1.22%)
$NTDOY (+0%)
$CL (+0.41%)
$DTG (-0.45%)
$UNH (-7.25%)

Hello community,

Since the high in 2020, the Alibaba share price has fallen massively. Sentiment is at rock bottom. But that is precisely what makes an in-depth analysis so exciting. Is the fear exaggerated or justified?

Let's take a deep dive into the figures and the story behind the Chinese giant.

WHAT'S BEHIND ALIBABA $BABA (-2.09%) 🇨🇳

Alibaba is much more than just an online store. It is a huge ecosystem that is currently reinventing itself and splitting into six parts:

🔵 Taobao & Tmall GroupThe e-commerce centerpiece.

🔵 Cloud Intelligence Group: The AWS of China and the basis for the future of AI.

🔵 Cainiao Smart Logistics: The logistics network.

🔵 Other divisions: Local Services, Global Digital Commerce & Entertainment.

ALIBABA IN FIGURES (TTM) 📊

The real story is in the key figures - where stagnation meets massive profitability.

💰 Turnover TTM~$130 bn (+5% YoY)

👥 Annual Active Consumers: ~1 bn (stable)

☁️ Cloud revenue: ~$15 bn (growing & profitable again)

💸 Free cash flow (FCF) TTM: ~$21 bn (extremely high cash generation)

🏦 Net cash position: ~$60 bn (massive war chest)

✅ P/E ratio (forward): ~8 (historically extremely favorable)

OPPORTUNITIES & RISKS

THE UPSIDE 🟢

🟢 Value of the individual parts (SOTP): The breakdown makes the true value of the divisions (esp. cloud) visible.

🟢 Massive share buybacks: Management uses the low share price to aggressively create value for shareholders.

🟢 AI potential (NVIDIA validation): NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang recently described Alibaba's AI model as "world class". They have mastered the complete 'AI stack' (cloud, data & models).

THE RISKS 🔴

🔴 Extreme competitive pressurePDD Holdings (Temu) and Douyin (TikTok) are aggressively attacking market shares.

🔴 Regulatory sword of Damocles: Uncertainty regarding intervention by the Chinese government remains the biggest risk.

🔴 Macro weakness: The weak Chinese domestic economy is weighing on the consumer climate.

CONCLUSION & MY STRATEGY ⚖️

Alibaba remains a complex bet with valid risks, from competition from PDD to unpredictable regulation from Beijing.

For me personally, however, the long-term opportunity that lies in the cloud and AI division outweighs the risks. Today's valuation mainly prices in the risks, but hardly the enormous potential that can be leveraged through the restructuring and the AI technology validated by Jensen Huang.

The investment thesis:

My investment is a bet on the re-rating of the group, driven by the future monetization of cloud & AI, while the massive cash position and share buybacks provide downside protection.

My action:

I will systematically build my initial position into one of my core positions over the coming months and years. For me, this is a clear "buy & build" investment for the next decade.

How do you see it?

Is the risk too high or is this the definition of an anti-cyclical opportunity?

Looking forward to the discussion! 👇

#alibaba
#baba
#stockanalysis
#tech
#china
#ecommerce
#cloudcomputing
#valueinvesting
#künstlicheintelligenz

Hello everyone,

does it make sense to replace the Alibaba ADR's ($BABA) (-2.09%) to replace them with the "real" shares $9988 (-2%) ?

In my case I would even realize a 30% loss and buy the shares again.

What is your opinion?

As I invest around €180 every month, I have opened a savings plan.

I'm just not sure which 2 shares I should save in.

I'm currently deciding between $DRO (+3.04%) , $NOVO B (-19.87%) , $1810 (-2.82%) or $BABA (-2.09%) .

100€ will go into a WORLD ETF, leaving me with €80.

Thank you very much for your opinion.

no long-term investment

I have already bought one share (a few days ago) and will buy more if there is another setback. One is earmarked for the community portfolio and the other is far too expensive for me, but it's a damn good performer. Take a look at the video 3 Aktien, die JETZT spannend sind: Alibaba, Daikin & Cintas im Check! - YouTube or the report on my financial blog. http://bit.ly/FA_Lounge

$6367 (-0.27%)
$BABA (-2.09%)
$CTAS (+1.41%)

Have a great Sunday and looking ahead to tomorrow... stay calm.

Best regards,

Angelo from Finanzen Anders

Annotation:

The majority of the GQ community is really great.

Unfortunately, there are a few "mimimis", "sheriffs", "bored", "envious", etc. who complain that I include links to my respective YouTube video.

It just so happens that my main channel is YouTube. I'm not going to write huge treatises and post them here when I can do the whole thing in short videos.

I would like to offer this link as a service to anyone who is interested:

Everyone else, you are free people, you don't have to get upset, attack me, etc. - block me and enjoy your life.

3 Aktien, die JETZT spannend sind: Alibaba, Daikin & Cintas im Check! - YouTube

$CCL (+0.16%) One of my long-term stocks has been trimmed back from overweight (4%) to normal size (2.5%). A few months ago I bought at €15 and €17 and have now partially sold at €25. The share will not disappear completely for me. I am hoping for a recovery of €30+. If it falls below €20 again, I will slowly overweight again. This game has been played from time to time for the last 5 years and the positive management of the debt, in addition to the constant good news, slowly speaks for a breakthrough.

$BAYN (-1.25%) I bought in at the beginning of April at €22, but have now decided to close the position at just under €27. I actually wanted to hold the share long, but somehow I can't warm to it. Perhaps it will find its way back into my portfolio at some point.

$AVGO (+0.82%) In the April crash, I bought the stock at €151 (2% weighting) using a Lombard loan (10% portfolio size), among other things, and the position has now been closed at €224. More was not my target recovery to old ATH.

$9618 (-2.82%) Unfortunately, this position was closed with a minus of 13%. The reason for this was the annual rebalancing in which the China portion had become too large for me. As I was convinced by $1211 (+0.21%) , $BABA (-2.09%) and $PDD (-0.89%) JD had to give way.

Portfolio purchase:

$OXY (+0.79%) Bought another small tranche. After the 10% slump, I had some capital left over, which was invested at 36.50. One of my larger individual bets with a 5% portfolio weighting.

A new addition to the portfolio is $TX (+3.66%) with a small position of 1%. The reason sounds stupid, but it's a little chat GPT experiment. I wanted to be told which stocks were selected according to the Columbia Buffet approach. I was given 5 suggestions, some of which were frankly garbage. But this stock somehow got me hooked. Which is why I took the risk with only 1% of my portfolio (just over 1k).

Note:

My single stock portfolio Smartbroker plus makes up 2/3 of the asset class equities.

1/3 are Etf's with Trade Republic.

In total, equities make up 90% of my investable assets.

In addition to my three equity ETFs, TR holds my real estate REIT ($O (+1%) approx. 5%), as well as my gold ETC ($SGBS (+0.75%) 2.5%) and my gold miner Etf ($GDXJ (+1.05%) 2.5%) which make up the remaining 10%.

Approximate total assets 100k (more like 95k :/ due to volatility) but debt free (except for a 3.5k balance on the Lombard loan). I have been investing since 2020 and am 28 years young.