Detailed Adidas share analysis $ADS (-0.15%)
Company portrait
Long-term growth profile
Performance
Ukraine war
The economy
China
Yeezy / Kanye West
Management and strategy
Valuation & recovery
Quarterly figures & forecast
Posts
5Detailed Adidas share analysis $ADS (-0.15%)
Company portrait
Long-term growth profile
Performance
Ukraine war
The economy
China
Yeezy / Kanye West
Management and strategy
Valuation & recovery
Quarterly figures & forecast
Hello everyone,
I am currently trying to optimize my portfolio and possibly also to compromise.
Perhaps you have any suggestions or ideas as to what can be improved
I'm currently saving around €1000 a month in my ETFs and another €600 in equities ( $RWE (-0.18%) I have newly taken up and $KCO (+0.95%) no longer saved)
I currently have the following in my savings plan
I think Andritz is well positioned for the future, especially for the electrification of all possible processes and also in the H2 area, plus a solid dividend of currently €2.5 per share.
As an operator and builder of drilling rigs, they will still have a good market in the future
One of my favorite stocks. A secure market environment with an established brand. They have also been regularly increasing their dividend for around 70 years
The share has suffered massively recently and has a lot of catch-up potential. In addition, there are investments in renewable energies (mainly in the USA) and a secure business model.
A rather unknown brand that includes FILA. Here too, I think that the South-East Asian market in particular will become more interesting in the future
My last energy company in the savings plan. Of the oil companies, Shell has promising strategies for the future and a very positive development
High dividend, moderate share price performance
New position (unfortunately with spread)
Diversified Chinese sports textile manufacturer, Fila brand should be well known. Strong growth, strong profitability, margins in line with the industry. Strongly undervalued in my opinion.
Briefly the key figures from my last strategy presentation:
Margins:
- Gross Margin 10Y AVG: 51.01% ⚠️
- Operating Margin 5Y CAGR: -2.6% ⛔️
- FCF Margin: 18.59% ✅️
Profitability:
- Debt / Ebitda: 1.62 ✅️
- ROIC 5Y AVG - WACC 5Y AVG: 21.92% ✅️
- ROA 10Y AVG: 15.93% ✅️
- ROCE 5Y AVG: 30.03% ✅️
Growth:
- Revenue 10Y CAGR: 21.53% ✅️
- EPS 5Y CAGR: 18.75% ✅️
- FCF 5Y CAGR: 32% ✅️
- Dividend 5Y CAGR: 8.55% ✅️
Part of Part 2 of the strategy:
Morningstar MOAT: Narrow 👍
Morningstar ESG: 4/5👍
GF Profitability Rank: 10/10 ✅️
FCF/Share 5Y CAGR: 24.08% ✅️
EVALUATION: (comes in detail in part 3 of my strategy presentation).
FCF Yield 4.88% > 5Y AVG 3.38% ✅️
FCF Yield > 10Y Treasury and S&P500 Earnings Yield ✅️
SMA200 Distance: -15.79% ✅️
Gurufocus Fair Value Distance -37% significantly undervalued ✅️
Morningstar Fair Value Distance -30% Significantly undervalued ✅️
Past FCF CAGR vs. future market implied cagr: difference 37.28% (own model) ✅️
Chinese sporting goods manufacturer and retailer.
Growing almost twice as fast as Adidas and Nike.
Aggressively acquires brands such as FILA and WILSON.
Sales doubled compared to last (Corona) year.
Profit growth 55%
Against the background of increasing self-confidence, especially among young Chinese, I think that local brands are increasingly preferred in China.
If you know the power of local fashion labels in China that no one has ever heard of here, such as Metersbonwe, then there should still be a lot of growth potential.
As for all sporting goods manufacturers, the Olympics are additional boosters and the 2022 Winter Olympics will take place in Beijing, our own country.
Problem China stocks: I see far less regulation in the sporting goods sector, as it is all about simple consumption, with hardly any sensitive data collection or monopolies being created in this area. Nevertheless, I have only built up a small position for the time being.
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