2D·

Buy the Dip?

$IREN (+6.27%) under pressure from $META (+1.57%). That said, the NeoCloud market is large enough. $IREN (+6.27%) A specialist would be $META (+1.57%) a generalist. Specialists have greater opportunities but also face greater risk. The level of $IREN (+6.27%) is interesting for follow-on purchases, in my opinion

15 Comments

FinanzKeks@ImmoHai

I got in too early and it's already down 25% 🫣

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Chris@IronEagle

I bought another 50 shares at 33.33 🙈 If the CEOs' high stock options are really dragging the price down that much, then that wasn't such a smart move on my part 😄
Now I have enough IREN shares. I wanted a more laid-back portfolio—and this is exactly the right stock for that 😂😂

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Thomas@waldbrandgefahr

@IronEagle They were granted under the 2025 Stock Option Plan as RSUs (restricted stock units), which vest at a rate of 25% per year over 4 years—meaning they are converted into shares. There is no option price, but they are subject to taxes 😂. After that, each tranche must be held for another 2 years before it can be sold. It’s a completely standard U.S. stock option plan.

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Artiskon@Artiskon

I pitched in a little, too.

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Matzke@Matzke

At companies like Iren or Nebius, debt is rising faster than revenue. If prices drop or overcapacity emerges in the future, I think a total loss could be just around the corner.

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edumarbar@emppsb

@Matzke what you mean by total loss?

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Matzke@Matzke

@emppsb If major players like Meta or Microsoft were to no longer require the computing power provided by a company like Nebius, for example, that company would immediately face financial difficulties.

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edumarbar@emppsb

@Matzke true , all the money is coming from the hyperscalers and I think they are trying to be independent as soon as possible, but I don’t think that’s even close to happen in the short term at least

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Matzke@Matzke

@emppsb Iren's entire business model lies in Microsoft's hands; Iren bears the hyperscaler risk and will likely lose these contracts in the long run, in my opinion.

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jkb92@jkb92

It's definitely not Meta's fault today, because they're down too, haha

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Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin@Get_Rich_or_Die_Tryin

@jkb92 Today, it’s definitely Meta’s fault, because everyone fears that if Meta isn’t even fully utilizing its own AI workload capacity, then neither will the others. This screams acute panic over potential overcapacity. Time will tell!

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Klein-Anleger@Klein-Anleger

Geduld ✌️

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Michi@Jepeto

I think you can't go too far wrong with a weekly savings plan over the course of a few years.

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Thomas@waldbrandgefahr

@Jepeto I agree. Speculating on a short-term rise in $IREN 's stock price is risky. There's too much bad news: $META and stock options. But in the medium term, something's going to happen.

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Thomas@waldbrandgefahr

Grok Analysis

Analyst Opinion & Rating
• Consensus: Strong Buy / Buy (20 analysts).
• Average 12-month price target: ~$82 (High $105, Low ~$46) → potential upside of 100%+ from the current price.
• Examples: Bernstein reiterates Buy with a $100 price target. Jefferies and others are positive on the AI pivot.
Many view the current dip as a potential buying opportunity, provided the execution of AI deals is on track.

Risks (do not underestimate!)
• Short term: Sentiment is toxic. Further waves of selling are possible (compensation overhang + technical breakdowns).
• Execution risk in AI expansion (major hyperscaler deals vs. smaller contracts? Competition with CoreWeave, Nebius, etc.).
• Further dilution possible.

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