19HĀ·

šŸ“‰ Gold price falls below USD 5,000 - Fed & strong dollar put precious metal under pressure

After a strong rally, gold is currently undergoing a correction. The price has fallen below the psychologically important USD 5,000 per ounce mark - and there are clear reasons for this.

$IGLN (-4.36%)
$GLDA (-4.72%)
$4GLD (-5.08%)
$GOLD (-7.68%)
$GOLD
$DE000EWG0LD1 (-4.28%)

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šŸ“Š 1. current development


  • Gold price most recently at around USD 5,019
  • Previous all-time high: USD 5,420
  • Decline: around -3% within a short period of time


šŸ’” Classification:

After the strong rally, this is a classic technical correction - but with fundamental triggers.

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šŸ¦ 2nd main reason: Fed & interest rates


The most important driver at the moment:


šŸ‘‰ Uncertainty ahead of the interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed)


  • Markets are waiting for signals on interest rate cuts
  • Interest rates remain high → negative for gold
  • Why is that? Gold yields no interest and becomes less attractive with high yields


āž”ļø The Fed meeting is seen as a decisive turning point for future developments

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šŸ’µ 3. strong US dollar as a burden


Another key factor:


  • The US dollar is gaining strength
  • This makes gold more expensive for international buyers
  • Demand falls → price comes under pressure


šŸ‘‰ Classic correlation:

Stronger dollar = weaker gold price

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šŸ“‰ 4. important brands at a glance


Currently decisive:


  • 🧱 Support: approx. 4,900 USD
  • 🧠 Psychological mark: USD 5,000


āž”ļø A sustained break below this level could trigger further selling.

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āš–ļø 5. Paradoxical situation on the market


Despite:


  • geopolitical tensions
  • inflation
  • global uncertainty


... gold is currently weakening.


šŸ’” Background:

Macro factors such as interest rates and the dollar are overshadowing safe-haven demand in the short term.

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🧠 Conclusion


The fall below USD 5,000 shows:


šŸ‘‰ Gold is currently not a sure-fire success

šŸ‘‰ Macro (Fed + dollar) dominates the market


Short term:


  • High volatility
  • Focus on Fed decision


Medium term:


  • Gold could benefit strongly again if interest rates are cut

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šŸ”— Source


ad-hoc-news.de: Goldpreis bricht unter 5.000 Dollar ein – Fed-Entscheidung am 17./18. MƤrz entscheidend für DACH-Investoren

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2 Comments

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If the oil price falls again, gold will also go up
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4
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I think if the war really escalate, we can see a uptrend aswell. But they print more dollars than in time of covid and EM buying gold and dumping dollars. I think it's really odd.
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