2Wk·

Could have, would have bicycle chain - Part 3

In February I had already https://app.getquin.com/de/post/NjjHSSTOYO/hatte-hatte-fahrradkette-teil-2-was-ware-gewesen-wenn how much money I would have lost if I had panicked and sold at $NVDA (-6.55%) at 113 euros (and - even worse - bought back at 133 euros).


Then NVIDIA fell again from 133 euros, this time to 97 euros or so. And now imagine if I had sold again in a panic, at around 100 euros (psychological limit). I would probably slap myself bloody - I can't even imagine how angry I would be.


What did I do instead?


Absolutely nothing. At least not with NVIDIA. But I briefly shorted Tesla, albeit far too early ("Charmin, you didn't want to gamble anymore!!!"), and with my favorites $NTG (-1.34%) , $FSK (-5.28%) etc. and bought more.


Sure, you can now shout: "But imagine if you had sold NVIDIA at 130 euros and bought it again at 97 euros - you missed the opportunity."


Such comments usually come from those who always knew better *after the fact*. You can't give anything but a pitying smile to such comments. Nobody can predict the future. No charts. No analysts. No noobs. No old hands. No one.


If I had to guess: I currently interpret the signs as meaning that the correction will come to an end in the next few weeks - at least for those stocks that are fundamentally in a good position (which does not include, for example: $TSLA (-7.88%) ).

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12 Comments

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Congratulations :-)
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The ones who don't have the balls to go in are usually the ones who call "would have". And if you have the balls to go in, you have to get used to the would-have-been mindset very quickly.
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long emerging markets, short US (besonders mag7)
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@Ph1l1pp Short Tesla is always good ... :-D
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@Charmin squeeze potential too high, short tesla is crowded
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@Ph1l1pp I think a short squeeze is the least likely scenario right now ... I'll let my put (small money) run until the next earnings call. I sold my first put way too early (150 percent up, but it could have been 300), then just bought another one. Let's see what happens. But I don't see a short squeeze. Not with Tesla's horrendously bad figures. And the bad news isn't slowing down either ...
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@Charmin Nobody has ever been interested in Tesla's figures
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@Charmin well up today....
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@TomBagger Let's see how things look in June ...
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@TomBagger Sell in may and walk away
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@Ph1l1pp That's right. So far.

But I think the tide is now turning.
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@Charmin okö, what?
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