1Yr·

Economy on 17.04.2023...

New quarterly season starts. Earning Recession?⤵️


Now it starts again with the quarterly figures. Last week, as usual, the first banks made the beginning and now comes the flood of companies behind. In the first week there are already exciting and big battleships. Among others: Netflix, AT&T, Johnson & Johnson, P&G, Tesla, IBM and many, many more!


The question will be whether they started the first quarter in 2023 better than the close in 2022. Will we now get the 2nd quarter (or partly already more) with the declining numbers (earning recession) or does it look better again? I am very curious and position myself accordingly. Let's see above all what the market makes of it and how much is already priced in. One reckons in the meantime that in May the last interest rate hike of 25 basis points could take place and it could then be slowed down again or even run in the opposite direction. Of course, many companies that have suffered as a result of rising interest rates could then benefit from this. If you look at the last few weeks, but there is already very much eingepreist and you should be careful that you do not reach too late and then it all comes differently. It remains exciting...


Let's look at the first trading day of the week:

(Political prominence today at the Hanover Fair)


Economic data


08:00

  • DE: BDI President Russwurm at Hanover Fair
  • DE: Average prices for electricity and natural gas 2. Hj 2022

08:30

  • DE: VDMA President Heusgen, Pk at Hannover Messe

09:00

  • DE: ZVEI President Kegel , Pk at Hannover Messe

10:50

  • DE: German Chancellor Scholz, Indonesian President Widodo, statement after opening tour at Hannover Messe

11:00

  • DE: Association of German Banks, PK on occasion of board meeting

14:30

  • US: Empire State Manufacturing Index April

15:30

  • DE: ECB Governing Council member Nagel, Monetary Policy Dialogue with Finance Committee of the Bundestag

16:00

  • US: NAHB Index April

17:00

  • US: ECB President Lagarde, speech at the Council for Foreign Relations

18:00

  • US: Fed Richmond President Barkin (2023 non-voting FOMC member), speech at Richmond Association for Business Economics

Without time

  • DE: German Chancellor Scholz, Indonesian President Widodo, opening of the German-Indonesian Business Summit, Hanover
  • EU: European Parliament, session including vote on Fit for 55 with the items emissions trading (EU ETS), CO2 border adjustment (CBAM and climate social fund
  • JP: Continuation of G7 Foreign Ministers Meeting (until 18.4), Karuizawa


Quarterly figures / corporate dates USA / Asia

No time stated: State Street quarterly figures


Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Fraport Traffic Figures March

07:00 Sulzer Q1 Order Intake

07:30 Faurecia Q1 sales

17:15 Siemens AG, PK at Hanover Fair


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31
4 Comments

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Exciting week 👌
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I smell a good entry at $ASML at ~590€ right now and will then play poker for good numbers.
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