4D·

Juan's conclusion: The company delivers a clean, powerful growth profile that only a few small/mid caps can achieve in this form

Hello my dears,

On his trip to Asia, Juan visited another company in Japan that we hadn't yet introduced to you.


We would like to make up for this on today's public holiday.


You should sit in the sun, take some time and enjoy Juan's contribution.


If you like, you can also enjoy coffee and cake.


But please don't forget to like and comment.


We are looking forward to it!


$6871 (+0,72%)

Micronics Japan


MICRONICS JAPAN CO., LTD. is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the development, manufacture and sale of semiconductor measuring instruments and semiconductor and liquid crystal display (LCD) test equipment. The company operates in two business segments. The Probe Card segment develops, manufactures and sells semiconductor measurement instruments and offers a corresponding maintenance service. The Test Equipment (TE) segment develops, manufactures and sells LCD test equipment and semiconductor test equipment and offers a corresponding maintenance service.

Number of employees: 1,785

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Transkript der Konferenz zu den Ergebnissen für das 4. Quartal des Geschäftsjahres 2025


[Frage-und-Antwort-Session: Enthalten] Der Nettoumsatz von Micronics Japan steigt im Jahresvergleich um 26,1 % und der operative Gewinn steigt um mehr als 30 %; Aufwärtsüberarbeitung der Jahresprognose - ログミーファイナンス

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Distribution of turnover by business division:

2025 (JPY)

Probe Card Business 68.52 billion

TE Business 1.65 billion


Geographical distribution of sales:

2025 (JPY)

South Korea 37.32 bn

Taiwan 21.69 bn

Other Asia 5.28 bn

Japan 5.16 bn

Europe and America 723 million

Number of locations 7 countries11 locations

Percentage of foreign sales Approx. 90%

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Juan conclusion on the key financial figures (Micronics Japan 2025-2028)

Micronics Japan delivers a clean, powerful growth profilethat only a few small/mid-caps can achieve in this form. The story is clear: scaling high-margin businessincreasing profitability and a balance sheet that is net-cash-rich every year.


🔹 Growth & profitability

  • Turnover grows continuously in double digits, 2028 even again with +20 % - This is a strong signal for an already profitable company.
  • EBIT increases faster than sales every year → Operating levers are working perfectly.
  • EBIT margin climbs from 23,6 % → 30,4 % - a premium level that demonstrates pricing power and efficiency.


🔹 Net result & cash flow

  • Stable double-digit growth in profit, 2028 with +32,8 % particularly strong.
  • FCF is negative in 2025, but this is clearly due to investment peaks - from 2026 the picture normalizes.
  • FCF margin remains thin, but this is typical for companies with high CAPEX cycle dependency.


🔹 Balance sheet quality

  • Net debt is negative and is becoming more negative every year → Micronics is building cash reserves up.
  • This is a massive advantage in a volatile market environment.
  • Leverage ratio remains consistently not relevant / not a burden.


🔹 Yields

  • ROE increases to ~29 % - that is elite level.
  • High ROE + rising margins = excellent capital allocation.


🔹 Juan's overall assessment

Micronics Japan looks like a company that is entering a new phase of profitability:

High margins, rising profits, strong balance sheet, operational scaling.

For me, this is a classic quality compounderwhich will continue to grow disproportionately high growth years - especially if the FCF margin follows suit.

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Market value 502,384

Number of shares (in thousands) 38,764

Date of publication 13.02.2026


Juan conclusion on the valuation ratios of Micronics Japan

(Data source: your active MarketScreener tab )

Micronics Japan shows a 2026 valuation profile that combines quality + growth without slipping into the extreme valuation zones of many semiconductor stocks. For Juan it looks like this:


🔹 P/E ratio - moderate despite strong price increase

With a P/E ratio of 27.3× Micronics clearly below many high-end peers (ASML 38×, Lam 44×, Lasertec 51×). For a company that double-digit growth and expanding its margins, this is absolutely justifiable.

Juan-Take: "Not cheap, but clearly below the sector hype - solid valuation."


🔹 P/B ratio - high, but typical for quality tech

The KBV of 6.24× seems ambitious at first glance, but: Micronics delivers ROE ~29 %i.e. a return on capital that justifies a higher P/B ratio.

Juan-Take: "Expensive book value, but neatly covered by high returns."


🔹 PEG - strong signal

The PEG of 0.5× is a real highlight. Anything below 1 is considered undervalued relative to growth.

Juan-Take: "PEG is the secret star - growth more favorable than the price suggests."


🔹 Dividend - small but growing

Dividend per share increases from 95 → 136.7 JPY, yield 2026 at 1,04 %. No income play, but steady increase and payout ratio decreases → more leeway.

Juan-Take: "Dividend is bonus, not investment case."


🔹 Overall rating

Micronics Japan is not a bargainbut significantly cheaper than many semiconductor highflyerswhile growth, margins and balance sheet quality above average are above average.

Juan's overall assessment:
"Valuation fair to attractive - especially due to PEG and growth. A quality stock that is not yet fully priced in."

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Interpretation (compact & clear)


  • Micronics Japan has a P/E ratio well below the sector averagegreen.
  • Dividend yield is mediocrebut stable → yellow.
  • ASE Technology is the only real "double green" stock (cheap + high dividend).
  • Most US stocks (Lam, Entegris, Onto) are expensive expensive and hardly pay any dividendsred.


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(P/E ratio Not cheap, but below sector average)


Juan's total score: 89 / 120 → 🟩 Tenbagger zone

Juan's conclusion:

Micronics Japan is a high-quality growth compounder with a strong balance sheet, rising margins and a PEG that almost screams "undervalued". The only real drag is the still unsettled FCFbut this is typical for CAPEX-intensive semiconductor equipment suppliers.

For Juan, Micronics is clearly a tenbagger candidate for the next 5-7 years.


Performance

1 week +5.38 %

1 month +37.00 %

6 months +50.88 %

1 year +274.32 %

3 years +750.93 %

5 years +435.16 %

7 years +888.36 %

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PRICE: € 71.00 (01.05.2026 at 12:00 noon) @PikaPika0105
@Simpson

$6871 (+0,72%)

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18 Comentários

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Very nice title and many thanks for introducing it. My Marvin, who is still at the very beginning of his development, can confirm your assessment although he is "banned" from taking into account the often overly optimistic information from MarketScreener. Great growth stock with cheese in the bag when the cycle is not going so well. Will be added to the Tenbagger2031 project portfolio. Greetings from Grandpa sitting in the garden in the sun and drinking coffee ☕️ 😇
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@Dividendenopi Interesting I agree, but it has been going pretty damn well since the beginning of the year.
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Thank you for your introduction! That sounds really good... I've put it on my watchlist for a setback to 52€, but as is so often the case, it probably won't happen and the party will take place without me 😬
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I found it two years ago and it looked interesting, but there wasn't enough information, so I only invested....
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Love your posts! Quick question: I am currently looking at different approaches for portfolios, e.g. of course also with momentum strategies, like almost everyone at the moment 😅 but also with your analyses and am considering including some of the companies you present in my portfolio. May I ask what annual return you have achieved so far with your approach and what you expect in the future? Thank you! 🤗
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@valentin28 Hello dear. That's a very interesting question. Which can't really be answered so briefly. I only started again in 2023 after a very long break. Of course, investing wasn't new territory for me. But a lot had changed nonetheless. Which meant I had to get back into it first. So I also made a few mistakes. Finfluencers were completely new to me. And here I fell for the saying "luxury is always possible" and invested in LVMH. I also bought on the basis of stories. So I started to look at the key figures. I realized that I often bought at the wrong time and how important it is to look at the chart and valuation. And over the last few months I've realized how important momentum is. With the help of Juan, I am still expanding my strategy. But I'm not focusing 100% on momentum. I'm also focusing on the core with robust quality stocks, which may slow down performance a little. But security is a must. (that was the short version). Ah, one more thing, the high number of my positions is incomprehensible to many. But it is part of my rather unusual strategy. To bet on companies with tenbagger potential, and with a higher number of positions the probability is greater. Of course, we believe in all companies and select them accordingly. Performance: 2023: Price gains 11.36%, internal rate of return 10.61%; 2024: Price gains 3.72%, internal rate of return 4.55% (here I have 19% realized gains); 2025: Price gains 14%, internal rate of return 11.69%; 2026 to date: Price gains: 16%, internal rate of return 86.37%; you can see the change in strategy is slowly bearing fruit
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@Tenbagger2024 I see, thank you very much for the information. I started in 2019, but was also in the dark until the end of 2022. Then changed strategy and things have been going up ever since. I'm now hoping that the momentum strategies will give me a boost in the right direction.
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@valentin28 even if most of the momentum is in AI stocks. You should not forget diversification. And look for momentum stocks from different sectors
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@Tenbagger2024 You're right. I'm trying to diversify my portfolio further anyway. At the moment, NVIDIA is a huge position, but I'm letting it run. I'm generally focusing on growth (at least 50%) and momentum (10-30%), but I also want to build up a core. I don't know yet whether I'll do this with shares or ETFs.

May I ask how you worked out the price gains and internal rates of return for the individual years?
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With getquin under Performance
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Very interesting something different from the usual suspects. Thank you
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@Max095 Do I always have the usual suspects?
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@Tenbagger2024 No, of course not you. In relation to the industry
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@Max095 ah my dear , understood , you mean as ASML , Tokyo Electron etc.
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@Tenbagger2024 Exactly 👍🏻 you have once again presented an exciting alternative 😊
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Why do they have no money left over? Why the negative free cash flow?
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@TechNav is written somewhere in the article. Capex: Expansion.
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@TechNav wanted to have the key figures added. Thank you for your attention.

https://www.finanzen.net/schaetzungen/micronics_japan
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