1Semana·

Let's talk about TJX 🛒🛍️ + my thoughts on TJX 💬

TJX Companies is the world's largest off-price retailer of fashion, home goods, and everyday products for people and pets.


$TJX (-1,15%) purchases surplus inventory, excess inventory etc. directly from brand manufacturers and designers at affordable prices. Often because these companies don’t
sell
sell in time. The manufacturers and designers have to constantly bring out new collections and don’t always have time to sell everything…

and that’s when TJX steps in.


Through bulk purchases and flexible contracts , TJX gets these brand-name products at a discounted
prices.


The savings are $TJX (-1,15%) to the customers . In most cases, the products are 20% to 60% cheaper than the regular comparable prices.

That’s why TJX is always so affordable… and yes, the brand-name products there are genuine… you wouldn’t always think so given the prices, would you? 😄


The selection at $TJX (-1,15%) is constantly changing. So always something new on offer.


The Treasure Hunt principle.


The Treasure Hunters keep coming back to check for a product to discover and snagbefore someone else snatches it up.

The early bird catches the worm.


I took this photo at TK Maxx myself yesterday and used AI to turn it into a comic to show how crowded it is there and how long the line at the register is.

attachment





Crazy


That’s business model works well in times of high inflation, because customers want to , and in times of low inflation, because consumers are once again are willing to spend more and still prefer to shop .

Win-win, right?


  • Revenue growth: Approx. 6% to 8% annual average. Steadily rising
  • Gross margin: on average 35% to 37%.
  • Profit growth (net income): Approx. 10% to 15% on average, supported by operational efficiency.
  • Return on equity is usually between 30% and over 50%. Very efficient.
  • The dividend was in 2020 due to COVID-19 in 24 years of steady increases cut, as revenue has plummeted … which makes sense. Let’s briefly recall the FFP2 masks😷 Personally, I’m turning a blind eye to this because, after 2020, the dividend returned to the its previous level and has been steadily increased
  • The average annual dividend growth over the last 20 years has been over 15%! Over the past 10 years, it has been approximately 15% to 16%. A true dividend compounder.
  • The payout ratio is approximately 32% to 35%. Very healthy.


My thoughts on TJX:


Every time I walk through the stores, I’d love to buy everything , which means I want to buy the company. Which means I want to own the stock. 😋


$TJX (-1,15%) It felt like never had the problem of customers rarely stopping by.

It’s always packed! Somehow, it always is!


There’s literally a traffic jam at the checkout counters. No matter where I look… the behavior of the customers. They don’t just shop and leave. They go to pass the time , spend their time there, and talk to each other, look at the products… and then buy something because they find something interesting at a good price. Or simply out of boredom?


Just brilliant.


From brand-name clothing to kitchen products, toys, furniture and household goods to electronics… simply everything.


Many would say that the stock is overvalued. But you could have seen that coming over the past 15 years time and again. Whenever people thought they’d suffered a drawdown was finally cheap , it was back well above the low.


So I figured I’d just jump in instead of just just watching…

attachment

You hear so little about $TJX (-1,15%) and I think that’s a good thing. The company can deliver at a relaxed pace without constant fuss, headlines and anxiety.

By now, my opinion… when there’s there’s too much talking , one should be … aka $MCD (-1,58%) recently. First, there’s a lot of talk, then comes the panic.


The P/E ratio for the stock is currently around 28. The average over the past few years is roughly >30.

My entry point was $TJX (-1,15%) was around €109, at a P/E ratio of about 26.


Yes, for me, this is actually a bargain


Are you an investor in TJX? Are you thinking about becoming one? Or do you steer clear of the company? Let me know! 😄💪🏽


❗️Not a buy recommendation❗️

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16 Comentários

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That's funny—I bought into the exact same stock for the second time last week.
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@Benaiplay I think that's it for the "cheap" stock price at TJX. Or will we see lower prices again? What do you think?
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Next year, when Trump does something ridiculous again. It was always super easy to plan for this year and last year 🔝😂
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@Benaiplay Always stay alert 👀🍊 and, most importantly, stay neutral ☝🏽😆
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Thanks for your post. It really is an exciting company! Who in this country hasn’t been to a TK Maxx? So it’s a stock you can really relate to 😃

If I had this stock in my portfolio, I’d probably hold onto it right now, too. However, given the current market environment, I think it’s a bit overvalued for a new investment 📈 A lot of growth is already priced in here—if expectations aren’t met, things could quickly get uncomfortable.

But of course, I wish you all the best with it 🍀
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@fabfrey98 I really like the idea of “a stock you can hold in your hand” 😁
At the October 2025 low, you could have bought the stock at the same price as now. If the stock doesn’t drop again, I’d buy more one last time. But since I think my position is already full, I’ll leave it at that. Anything above that isn’t interesting to me anyway.
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I think the theory that “people shop there more when the economy is in crisis” could very well hold true.

Personally, though, I’ve ruled out any investment in fashion or the fashion retail business. Unfortunately, there are many companies in the industry that have gone under or are barely surviving. Customer preferences can change quickly in this sector, and a store or brand that was just really cool a moment ago can suddenly be completely outdated. That’s too risky for me.

I still wish you all the best of luck with your investment. 🙂
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@NichtRelevant I think you're probably comparing TK Maxx to other luxury companies like LVMH, Hermès, etc., but those companies have a completely different target audience than TJX.
Luxury and fashion are cyclical, while off-price retail generally isn’t. People don’t go to TK Maxx to pick up something from Louis Vuitton, but rather to see what’s new this time around, and then they buy soap dispensers, car products, personal care items, and a few snacks and candies… and maybe a board game for the kids and pet food and supplies. Cheap and cheaper.
The problems LVMH is facing don’t affect TJX. And I don’t think you can really compare these companies at all. $COST $III $WMT is a better comparison.
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@PoorDad Yeah, in a way, you're right. It's not LVMH, Adidas, Nike, Callida, etc. It's more like a discount store, so in that sense, your approach could definitely work.

Still, I feel more comfortable with insurance, telecommunications, utilities, and the like. 😉
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Interessant 👍🏻
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@ChrisBizz An absolutely awesome store 💪🏽
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$ROST Ross Dress for Less is always packed, too
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@Smudeo That's probably reflected in the stock price. The difference with TJX is that TJX has an international presence and people are just familiar with it. But ROST definitely looks very interesting. How did you come across this stock?
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@PoorDad When I was in Texas, I Googled which companies are listed on the stock market.
I couldn't find Buc-ee's.
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@Smudeo Have you invested in $ROST?
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@PoorDad No, I took a look at it 18 months ago—back then, the price was neutral, trending slightly downward.
Today, it was a mistake.
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