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Upstart Holdings Q3โ€™25 Earnings Highlights

$UPST (-3,75%)


๐Ÿ”น Revenue: $277.1M (Est. $279.8M) ๐ŸŸก; UP +71% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EPS: $0.52 (Est. $0.42) ๐ŸŸข; vs. ($0.06) YoY

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EBITDA: $71.2M (Est. $56.3M) ๐ŸŸข


FY25 Outlook

๐Ÿ”น Revenue: ~$1.035B (Est. $1.056B) ๐Ÿ”ด

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EBITDA: ~$228M (Est. $220M) ๐ŸŸข

๐Ÿ”น GAAP Net Income: ~$50M (Prior: ~$35M) ๐ŸŸข


Q4โ€™25 Guidance

๐Ÿ”น Revenue: ~$288M

๐Ÿ”น Adj. Net Income: ~$52M

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EBITDA: ~$63M

๐Ÿ”น Contribution Margin: ~53%


Other Q3 Metrics:

๐Ÿ”น Adj. EBITDA Margin: 26% (Est. 20.3%) ๐ŸŸข; vs. 1% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Contribution Profit: $147.4M (Est. $161.4M) ๐Ÿ”ด; UP +44% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Total Originations: $2.9B; UP +80% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Loans Originated: 428,056; UP +128% YoY

๐Ÿ”น Conversion Rate: 20.6% (vs. 16.3% YoY)


CEO Commentary โ€“ Dave Girouard

๐Ÿ”ธ โ€œQ3 marked rapid growth, profitability, and AI leadership โ€” with originations up 80% and revenue up 71%.โ€

๐Ÿ”ธ โ€œOur AI platform continues to adapt to macro signals while delivering strong credit performance.โ€

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