July was also very good again, but the year is still long. Key investments for the future with overweighting $IREN (-0,53%)

$KSPI (-1,68%)

$NICE (+5,14%)

$ALCRB (+1,8%)

$DSFIR (-0,5%)

$CELH

$PYPL (-0,3%)

let's see what happens :) I wish you all continued success with your investments.

$BNTX (+0,42%)
$KSPI (-1,68%)
$HIMS (+0,25%)
$MELI (-0,13%)
$PLTR (+0,36%)
$DRO (+0,32%)
$IFX (+0,88%)
$9434 (+0,06%)
$FR0010108928
$DHL (-0,82%)
$BOSS (-0,25%)
$CONTININS
$DOCN (+0,4%)
$LMND (+0,02%)
$BP. (-1,68%)
$FRA (+1,91%)
$PFIZER
$SNAP (+0,03%)
$AMD (+0,62%)
$SMCI (+0,29%)
$OPEN (+0%)
$CPNG (+0,24%)
$LCID (-0,05%)
$CBK (+1,63%)
$ZAL (-1,34%)
$NOVO B (+0,67%)
$VNA (+3,54%)
$BAYN (-0,33%)
$UBER (+0,06%)
$SHOP (-0,48%)
$MCD (+0,17%)
$DIS (+0,47%)
$ROK (-0,18%)
$ABNB (+0,39%)
$RUN (+0,88%)
$FTNT (+0,72%)
$O (+0%)
$DASH (+0,28%)
$DUOL
$S92 (-1,9%)
$DDOG (+0,44%)
$SEDG (-0,04%)
$QBTS (-0,35%)
$RHM (+2,11%)
$DTE (+0,35%)
$ALV (+1,04%)
$LLY (+0,6%)
$CYBR (-0,57%)
$PTON (+0,21%)
$DKNG (+0,14%)
$RL (+0,22%)
$PINS
$TTWO (-0,27%)
$TWLO (+0,71%)
$MNST (+0,28%)
$STNE (-0,91%)
$MUV2 (-0,61%)
$WEED (-1,62%)
$GOOS (+0,05%)
$PETR3T
$ANET (+0,19%)

My goal is to beat the market, I'm still relatively young and want to see if I can do it, if not I'll put everything in an etf in 5 years.

Regarding my portfolio, I currently have a cash ratio of 23-25% depending on the fluctuations in the last month.

Purchases of existing stocks:

I plan to increase the financial stocks by 50%, $CG (-0,13%)
$KKR (-0,13%)
$APO (-0,06%)
$TPG (+0%) .

In addition, a little $DMP (+0,69%) by 25%.

Sales:

I made the mistake of wanting to $EVO (+0,53%) and $CPRX (+0,2%) trade, but then I was too greedy.

I am convinced of both positions in the long term but not in this size in the portfolio, which is why I will reduce both stocks by 33%.

Potential purchases:

$HALO (+1,49%)
$CUV (-1,23%) - Will invest a little extra, otherwise just the 33% from sale of $CPRX. Both around 50 - 50

$SL (-0,25%) - the same as $TISG (+1,59%)

$KSPI (-1,68%) - about as high as $MUM (-0,19%)

$FIH.U (-0,61%) - about as high as $MUM (-0,19%)

$2GB (+1,39%) - about as high as $MUM (-0,19%)

$M12 (-0,14%) - about as high as $MUM (-0,19%)

$CPR (+1,19%)
$DGE (+0%)
$RI (-0,19%) - I'll wait and see, but I can imagine that they will develop in a similar way to the tobacco shares. Since I don't want to decide, I'll just buy three for the sum of one. And divide the amount between these 3.

In general:

I'm generally a fan of putting together baskets like with alcohol or the yacht builders.

What would you change because you see a high risk? I am relatively poorly positioned in the tech sector, do you have any other titles that I could take a closer look at in this area?

Company overview

Kaspi.kz (Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz), formerly known as "Aktsionernoe obshchestvo kaspi", is a Kazakhstan-based fintech company offering a wide range of services from online payments to e-commerce and digital banking. As the parent company of Kaspi Group AO and Kaspi Magazine TOO, the company has positioned itself at the intersection of finance and technology, serving millions of customers in Kazakhstan. Its offering is divided into two main segments: mass retail, which offers a wide range of financial products to private customers via branches, offices and ATMs, and financial services for companies of all sizes, including deposits, overdrafts, loans and currency exchange.

The transformation of Kaspi.kz reflects a profound transformation of Kazakhstan's financial landscape. Starting from a traditional banking operation, Kaspi Bank gained over 9 million users by pioneering the integration of information and communication technologies into banking. The company experienced impressive growth, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, with revenues increasing by 32% in the first half of 2020 and the monthly number of users of the mobile app reaching 7.8 million. Since then, however, things have continued...

Mission and vision

The mission of Kaspi.kz is based on creating added value through innovation, convenience and high-quality service. The company pursues a consistently customer-oriented approach, which is reflected in the extensive digital platform that already serves over 10 million active users. This impressive development underlines how successfully Kaspi.kz is implementing its mission. The consistently high satisfaction ratings, such as a Net Promoter Score (NPS) of 78, are proof of the strong customer loyalty and high level of trust in the services offered.

The vision of Kaspi.kz aims to achieve a leading market position in the entire Central Asian region and secure long-term growth through technological innovation and strategic partnerships. By 2024, the company already controlled around 60-65% of the Kazakh fintech sector, consolidating its dominance.

Historical development

The IPO on the London Stock Exchange marked a historic milestone: the share price rose by 32% on the very first day of trading, resulting in a market capitalization of Kaspi.kz became the most valuable listed company in Kazakhstan with a market capitalization of USD 6.5 billion. This success catapulted founders Vyacheslav Kim and Mikhail Lomtadze into the ranks of billionaires - their fortunes were valued at around 1.9 and 1.8 billion dollars respectively.

In January 2025 Kaspi.kz took a significant step towards international expansion with the acquisition of a 65.41% stake in Hepsiburada. The initial payment amounted to 600 million dollars, with a further 526.9 million dollars due within six months. This acquisition underlines the company's ambition to take its successful strategy beyond Kazakhstan and into new markets. The company is now also listed on the Nasdaq and no longer in London.

Business model and core competencies

Business model

Kaspi.kz pursues a super app approach that integrates three closely linked platforms: Payments, Marketplace and Fintech. This multi-faceted strategy creates a comprehensive ecosystem that supports both consumers and merchants in their daily financial and commercial activities. While the payments platform enables online and cashless transactions, the marketplace platform offers e-commerce and retail solutions, and the fintech platform provides banking and financial services for individuals and businesses.

The change in the composition of earnings is remarkable: while traditional banking services dominated in previous years, the high-margin marketplace and payment segments now contribute 69% of net profit in the 2024 financial year - an increase from 66% in the previous year. The e-commerce business in particular developed as a driving force with impressive annual GMV growth of 85%.

Core competencies

Kaspi.kz has developed several significant competitive advantages that sustainably strengthen its market position. The integrated ecosystem generates strong network effects and high switching barriers for users and retailers, which intensifies customer loyalty. The broad acceptance of the digital solutions is reflected, for example, in the mobile app, which has been downloaded more than 8 million times and has become an indispensable companion in the everyday lives of the Kazakh population.

Proprietary systems such as the Kaspi POS Register, which was adopted by 35% of retailers within the first year, illustrate the ability to address market-specific technology needs with precision.

The company's strength is also evident in the area of infrastructure development: the Kaspi Postomat network now handles over 50% of e-commerce deliveries, contributing to a seamless omnichannel experience. This success manifests itself in an impressive 128% growth in delivery orders in the 2024 financial year, underlining the increased importance of physical logistics in the digital age.

Future prospects and strategic initiatives

Growth initiatives

Kaspi.kz is pursuing several strategic initiatives for expansion. Especially the e-commerce sector. Supported by investments in infrastructure, such as the Kaspi Postomat network, which now plays a central role in the delivery system, as well as the rapid growth in Kaspi Delivery, which increased by 128% to 99 million orders in the 2024 financial year, the success of this strategy is clear to see.

The company also recorded significant growth in the e-grocery segment: GMV increased by 97%, underlining the diversification of the marketplace offering. An improved e-commerce take rate of 11.3% also contributes to profitability.

In the financial services sector Kaspi.kz is specifically expanding its offerings for merchants and micro-enterprises. Specialized services such as business deposits and flexible financing options create additional touchpoints that not only generate direct sales but also increase transaction volumes across the entire ecosystem.

Medium-term corporate goals

For the coming years Kaspi.kz has defined ambitious but realistic targets for the coming years. Consolidated net profit growth of around 20% is forecast for 2025 - excluding the Turkish business as a result of the Hepsiburada acquisition.

In terms of market share, the company is also aiming to increase its share from 60% to 70% and thus further expand its leading position in the Kazakh fintech sector.

International expansion is increasingly playing a central role in the strategy. The acquisition of Hepsiburada signals the decision to establish the successful business model in new markets, particularly in Turkey. This geographical diversification offers enormous growth potential and also reduces dependence on a single market.

Market position and competition

Market position

With a market share of around 60% in the national fintech sector, the company has firmly established itself. This dominant position is based on continuous innovation and a strong customer focus, which has enabled it to Kaspi.kz has enabled it to leave traditional financial institutions far behind.

In addition, the company has Kaspi.kz has also positioned itself as an indispensable player in e-commerce and payment transactions beyond the area of financial services. The company's offerings are an integral part of everyday economic activity and play a key role in reducing cash transactions and driving the shift towards digital payments.

With a user base of 9 to 10 million people - in a country with a population of around 19 million - the company reaches Kaspi.kz over half of the population. This widespread distribution creates network effects that not only strengthen the company's own offering, but also deter potential competitors. At the same time, this solid customer base offers an excellent starting position for the introduction of new services.

Competitive advantages

The strength of Kaspi.kz lies above all in the seamless integration of financial services, e-commerce and payment transactions within a single ecosystem - a combination that is difficult to imitate. These synergies ensure that activities in one area trigger positive effects in other segments.

Another key competitive advantage is the pronounced network effects: The more users and retailers are part of the Kaspi ecosystem, the more attractive the platform becomes - a cycle that consolidates the market position in the long term. The innovative delivery structures, above all the Kaspi Postomat network, also give the company a noticeable competitive advantage in e-commerce by continuously increasing customer satisfaction and brand presence.

The exceptional customer loyalty, evidenced by an NPS of 78, speaks for the high level of satisfaction with the services offered and at the same time reduces acquisition costs - a decisive factor for sustainable growth.

Market potential

In addition to further consolidating our domestic presence, international expansion and the development of new service areas in particular open up enormous opportunities.

The acquisition of a majority stake in Hepsiburada, a leading e-commerce company in Turkey, opens up access to a significantly larger market with a population of over 84 million. This geographical diversification offers promising opportunities to continue the success story of the integrated business model in a new environment.

The e-commerce sector itself, which boasts GMV growth of 85%, also indicates that digital commerce is still in its infancy in the target markets and holds considerable potential for expansion. Similar positive momentum can be seen in the e-grocery sector and in specialized financial services for retailers and micro-enterprises.

Click here for the company figures and the conclusion.

https://topicswithhead.beehiiv.com/p/kaspi-kz-die-app-die-alles-kann-aber-wie-sieht-die-aktie-aus

$KSPI (-1,68%)
$HEPS (+0%)

After the short sell report sent the share of $KSPI (-1,68%) last week, I bought the first tranche (5 shares) yesterday and added more today.

The company's counterstatement is more convincing than the report. Kaspi is opening up more towards Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan. With a deposit rate of 2.9% for non-residents (the report mentions 29%), I can't see the huge exposure to Russia either.

The share has been on the watchlist for some time and the entry is now attractive.

The short sellers Culper Research accuse the Kazakh fintech company kaspi.kz $KSPI (-1,68%) of misleading investors and regulators, especially before the NASDAQ listing, of having no exposure to Russia.

Source: https://culperresearch.com/latest-research

I would like to add another emerging market stock to my portfolio. Having already bought Baidu ($9888 (-1,32%) ), Reliance Industries ($RELIANCE ), Infosys ($INFY ), Kaspi kz ($KSPI (-1,68%) ) and Ambev ($ABEV3 ), I would like to add a stock from Indonesia to my basket. I see growth opportunities here in particular due to the forecast population growth.

My eye has fallen on the conglomerate Astra International ($ASII (-1,45%) ), in which the Jardine Matheson ($J36 (+1,9%) ) group is also a shareholder. Their businesses would be a good addition to my portfolio. However, I can hardly find any info on the company online.

Has anyone looked into the company in more detail?

#emerging
#em

What do online retail, digital payment and the most frequently said phrase in Kazakhstan have in common?

While I enjoy my life in Kazakhstan similar to the picture, I found some time to briefly introduce you to the most successful company in Kazakhstan, which is listed on the stock exchange in London. 😌

it is not the largest uranium company in the world, which also comes from Kazakhstan, but a digital bank called Kaspi.

Kaspi has understood digitalization!

Since Corona, this company has been one of the main drivers of digitization in Kazakhstan and has emerged as a huge winner of the crisis. They advertise ease of use, speed and reliability. I was able to see this for myself, when I went to open an account, it only took 10 minutes and my Visa debit card was printed on the spot and ready to use. There is no bureaucracy and no costs.

In addition, you have an app that combines Paypal, Amazon and banking all in one. In the app all bills are stored, expenses are tracked and it is even possible to take out a loan within a few minutes. At the same time, I can send money directly to all my contacts and only need the cell phone number. In addition, there is an online store that combines numerous retailers, similar to Amazon.

Caspi QR

restaurants, going to the stadium, shopping at the supermarket. Since kaspi came into existence, the QR code has become widespread in Kazakhstan and almost all payments can be made in no time at all by scanning a QR code in the store. Invoices are stored digitally. In addition, they now also offer an online store, similar to Amazon, where you can order anything. Even products for 5€ can be paid in installments, which is often used in Kazakhstan. Kaspi only charges a modest 13.5% interest for this 😉

Kaspi is an app that everyone has and everyone needs

in the big cities, digitalization is now more advanced than I have ever seen in any other Central European country. I became aware of this last week after a visit to a club, when a man with no legs and his young son ran into me.

When I went to get out my wallet and search for change, the little boy just held up a sign and asked me" Касри есть"? This means something like "do you have kaspi?"

he did not want to accept my small change, rather he referred me to the sign with his kaspi contact details, I should please donate the money digitally 😅

for me as a German, it was almost embarrassing that even beggars in such a poor country have a more "digital" mindset than I do 😂...

kaspi pay

since it should not be mere storytelling here something with economy😉

Revenue and profit after tax have always grown by at least 24% since 2017, 40% in 2021.✅

Out of 18 million inhabitants of Kazakhstan, 12 million people use kaspi at least once a month✅.

63% use it daily✅

56 transactions per month have all kaspi users on average✅.

kaspi has an ecosystem created, customers borrow money from kaspi, they spend it through kaspi, salary comes to kaspi. No matter where money is earned, there is most likely at least one party in the game using kaspi 😅

My conclusion

of course you have to read into the numbers, but I have rarely seen a company that can have such an enormous impact on the daily lives of the people of an entire country. It became clear in January when the Internet was shut down here during riots. During this time, kaspi somehow managed to continue to provide news to all kaspi users and bypass the government blockades. Kaspi is no longer considered a bank but a "separate person" that is there for the people. While here in the West many banks are perceived by the "common" people as evil, unethical or conservative, kaspi enjoys great popularity among all classes.

Finally, my question to you: Касри есть?