Further reallocation to value stocks to position myself for a market recovery. Compared to the PEERs, especially $UPS (-0,01%) and $FDX (-0,07%) I see potential in DHL, even though its 50 percent sales growth by 2030 has already been revised.
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49🔥 My top picks list - how it went in 2024 🔥
Hello everyone,
At the end of last year, I published my "top picks list" here, in which I presented the stocks that I have put on my watchlist for 2024 and am also partially invested in (unfortunately not in all of them 😁).
At the time, I had compiled a list of stocks recommended by well-known analysts and put them through "my requirements profile". The original 100 stock ideas then became the list below. A year later, I'm looking back. This was the performance:
🟢 $TMUS (+0,31%) +1,63%
🟢 Sterling Infrastructure: +100.68%
🟢 $CRM (+0,09%) Salesforce: +28.14%
🟢 $RR. (+0%) Rolls-Royce: +92.56%
🟢 $MOD (+0,11%) Modine Manufacturing: +98.68%
🟠 $MHO (+0,1%) M/I Homes: -1.46%
🟢 $META (-0,06%) Meta: +68.52%
🟢 $MCD (-0,06%) McDonalds: +0.14%
🟢 $MA (-0,21%) Mastercard: +26.26%
🟢 $ISP (+0%) Intesa Sanpaolo: +45.44%
🟢 $ISRG (+0,73%) Intuitive Surgical: +59.62%
🟠 $GCT Gigacloud Technologies: -0.66%
🟢 $FDX (-0,07%) FedEx: +11.11%
🟠 $LPG (+1%) Dorian LPG: -47.70%
🟢 $COST (+0,13%) Costco: +43.34%
🟢 $US1011372067 Boston Scientific: +63.23%
🟢 $BKNG (+0,11%) Booking: +44.19%
🟠 $ABX (+0,37%) Barrick Gold: -14.73%
🟢 $APP (+0,34%) Applovin: +753.81%
🟢 $GOOG (+0,06%) Alphabet: +39.28%
🟢 $AMZN (+0,03%) Amazon: +48,05%
🟢 $ANF (+0,79%) Abercrombie & Fitch: +69.99%
As you can see, my stock ideas have done quite well. $APP (+0,34%) with +753.81% was of course a big hit. $DORIAN With -47.70% it was a pipe-dropper.
🔥 I'm currently working on my top picks list for 2025. If you're interested, I'll be happy to share it again and put it up for discussion!
💬 What were your top picks in 2024? And what were the losers? I will reply to every comment and give you a brief assessment.
Analyst updates, 20.12.
⬆️⬆️⬆️
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for NIKE from USD 82 to USD 84. Buy. $NKE (+0,07%)
- RBC raises the price target for ALPHABET A SHARE from USD 210 to USD 235. Outperform. $GOOGL (+0,09%)
- RBC raises the price target for AMAZON from USD 225 to USD 255. Outperform. $AMZN (+0,03%)
- RBC raises the price target for META from USD 630 to USD 700. Outperform. $META (-0,06%)
- ODDO BHF raises the target price for MUNICH RE from EUR 540 to EUR 555. Outperform. $MUV2 (+0%)
- ODDO BHF upgrades HERMES to Neutral. Target price EUR 2315. $RMS (+0%)
- ODDO BHF raises the target price for AIRBUS from EUR 168 to EUR 180. Outperform. $AIR (+0%)
- ODDO BHF raises the price target for FRAPORT from EUR 58 to EUR 61. Outperform. $FRA (-0,04%)
- JPMORGAN raises the target price for FEDEX from USD 366 to USD 370. Overweight. $FDX (-0,07%)
⬇️⬇️⬇️
- GOLDMAN lowers the price target for NIKE from USD 97 to USD 91. Buy. $NKE (+0,07%)
- BOFA lowers the price target for NIKE from USD 95 to USD 90. Buy. $NKE (+0,07%)
- ODDO BHF downgrades CARBIOS to Neutral. $ALCRB (+0,07%)
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX lowers the price target for LANXESS from EUR 31 to EUR 30. Buy. $LXS (-0,08%)
- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB lowers the target price for DEUTZ from EUR 8.50 to EUR 7. Buy. $DEZ (-0,05%)
- BARCLAYS lowers the price target for VERTEX from USD 509 to USD 418. Equal-Weight. $VRTX (+0,09%)
- GOLDMAN lowers the price target for BIRKENSTOCK from 59.10 USD to 57.90 USD. Neutral. $BIRK (+0,09%)
- GOLDMAN downgrades TEAMVIEWER from Buy to Neutral and lowers target price from EUR 17 to EUR 12. $TMV (+6,29%)
FedEx Q2 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Adj EPS: $4.05 (Est. $4.02) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $22.0B (Est. $22.15B) 🔴
🔹 Adj Operating Income: $1.38B (Est. $1.36B) 🟢
🔹 Adj Operating Margin: 6.3% (Est. 6.1%) 🟢
🔹 To spin off FedEX freight, creating two public companies 🟢
Segment Performance: FedEx Express
🔹 Revenue: $18.8B (Est. $18.80B) 🟡
🔹 Operating Income: $1.26B (Est. $1.11B) 🟢
🔹 Operating Margin: 6.7% (Est. 1.2%) 🟢
FedEx Freight
🔹 Revenue: $2.39B (Est. $2.39B) 🟡
🔹 Operating Income: $326M (Est. $440.5M) 🔴
🔹 Operating Margin: 13.7% (Est. 18.4%) 🔴
Shareholder Returns:
🔹 $1B in share repurchases completed during Q2.
🔹 Plan to repurchase an additional $500M in FY2025, totaling $2.5B in buybacks.
🔹 Cash on-hand: $5.0B as of November 30, 2024.
Lowers FY25 Guide:
🔹 Adjusted EPS: $19.00-$20.00 (Prev. $20.00-$21.00, Est. $19.75) 🔴
🔹 Revenue: Approximately flat YoY (Prev. Low single-digit growth).
🔹 Diluted EPS (before business optimization costs): $16.45-$17.45.
🔹 Capital Expenditures: $5.2B focused on network optimization, fleet modernization, and automation.
🔹 Effective Tax Rate (ETR): ~24.0% (Prev. 24.5%).
Operational Updates:
🔹 DRIVE Program: Cost reductions of $2.2B reaffirmed.
🔹 FedEx Freight:
- Decreased operating results due to weaker U.S. industrial demand, lower fuel surcharges, and fewer shipments.
🔹 FedEx Express:
- Improved results driven by cost reduction benefits from DRIVE and higher base yields, partially offset by U.S. domestic demand weakness and the expiration of the U.S. Postal Service contract.
Strategic Announcements:
🔸 FedEx announced its intent to separate FedEx Freight, creating a new publicly traded LTL company.
🔸 The separation will be executed within 18 months and in a tax-efficient manner.
FedEx is split into two companies
The company has announced that it intends to completely separate FedEx
$FDX (-0,07%) Freight through the capital market creating a new listed company.
FEDEX IS SPLITTING INTO 2 COMPANIES
$FDX (-0,07%) just announced it has decided to "pursue a full separation of FedEx Freight through the capital markets, creating a new publicly traded company"
Earnings next week.
Not much will happen before the holidays.
$RCAT
$GIS (-0,34%)
$MU (+0,14%)
$LEN (-0,51%)
$ACN
$CTAS (+0,16%)
$DRI (+0,08%)
$PAYX (+0,08%)
$NKE (+0,07%)
$FDX (-0,07%)
$CCL (+0,11%)
But very interesting companies that might be found in one or the other portfolio here.
A successful week before the holidays.🙋🏼♂️
⬆️⬆️⬆️
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX raises the price target for SAP from EUR 200 to EUR 230. Hold. $SAP (+0%)
- UBS upgrades HUGO BOSS from Neutral to Buy and raises target price from EUR 41 to EUR 49. $BOSS (-0,08%)
- BOFA raises the price target for FRAPORT from EUR 55 to EUR 56. Neutral. $FRA (-0,04%)
- UBS raises target price for RICHEMONT from CHF 144 to CHF 150. Buy. $CFR (+0%)
- BOFA upgrades HOCHTIEF from Neutral to Buy and raises target price from EUR 112 to EUR 140. $HOT (-0,04%)
- JPMORGAN raises target price for FEDEX from USD 350 to USD 366. Overweight. $FDX (-0,07%)
- JPMORGAN raises the price target for ROCHE from CHF 220 to CHF 230. Underweight. $ROG (+0%)
- UBS upgrades BMW from Neutral to Buy and raises target price from EUR 75 to EUR 83. $BMW (+0%)
- JEFFERIES raises target price for UNICREDIT from EUR 47 to EUR 49. Buy. $UCG (+0%)
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- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB lowers the price target for DELIVERY HERO from EUR 61 to EUR 52. Buy. $DHER (-0,12%)
- BARCLAYS lowers the target price for VOLKSWAGEN VORZÜGE from EUR 110 to EUR 100. Overweight. $VOW (+0%)
- BARCLAYS lowers the target price for PORSCHE SE from EUR 35 to EUR 30. Underweight. $PAH3 (-0,27%)
- UBS downgrades MERCEDES-BENZ from Buy to Neutral and lowers target price from EUR 72 to EUR 55. $MBG (+0%)
- EXANE BNP downgrades HYPOPORT from Outperform to Neutral. $HYQ (-0,09%)
- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB lowers the price target for IBU-TEC from EUR 12 to EUR 7.40. Hold. $IBU (-0,15%)
- KEPLER CHEUVREUX downgrades SYMRISE from Buy to Hold and lowers target price from EUR 122 to EUR 114. $SY1 (+0%)
- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH lowers the price target for SANOFI from EUR 90 to EUR 85. Sell. $SAN (-0,38%)
- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for CARL ZEISS MEDITEC from EUR 56 to EUR 45. Underweight. $AFX (-0,08%)
- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for SARTORIUS from EUR 290 to EUR 275. Overweight. $SRT (+0%)
Hello everyone,
I would actually like to add a logistics company to my portfolio.
As I do a lot of business with $FDX (-0,07%) I am satisfied with their performance and the months in which they pay dividends fit very well into my dividend strategy (I am aware that this should not be a basis), so I would like to invest in them.
As I am no longer so up to date with the forwarding companies, I would like to ask the swarm intelligence whether $FDX (-0,07%) is a good buy or should I go for another company.
I'm not a friend of DHL.
I'll say right away 🤣
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