Source: Finchat
CrowdStrike Hldg
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ISIN: US22788C1053
Ticker: CRWD
US22788C1053
CRWD
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180Hi,
As they like to say, hindsight is always wiser. I didn't expect us to go up again so quickly. Would have had more cash on the side to invest. But I bought some more stocks
$MC (+0,33%) 500€ at 505,90€
$CRWD (+2,47%) 500€ at 300€
$IWDA (+0,64%) 1.516,24€ to 84,25€
$AMZN (+0,25%) 640,00€ to 160€
$ASML (-0,08%) 519,90€ to 519,90€
and $NOVO B (-0,7%) is currently running with €100 per week in the savings plan.
But I still have around €8,000 cash left. Would you invest this in the stocks mentioned in the savings plan ( if necessary $IWDA (+0,64%) ) or hold them. Not that the magic will start again in 90 days. How do you go about it?
The question for me is what exactly does Trump want from the EU, for example? The EU has already offered zero tariffs and he has refused. What else does he want, that the EU reimburses the US for its trade deficits?
My 2nd order was for cybersecurity, and my choice fell on $CRWD (+2,47%)
It is now slowly becoming clear who has what it takes to make good profits in the coming years.
Here are my top 30 companies by category, which I am particularly looking at in the current crash.
Some are still overvalued, others are already very attractive at the current price level.
Tier 1 (high corporate quality and strong growth)
Airbnb $ABNB (+0,29%)
Alphabet $GOOGL (-1,98%)
Amazon $AMZN (+0,25%)
ASML $ASML (-0,08%)
Axon $AXON (+2,31%)
Cadence $CDNS (+3,35%)
Constellation Software $CSU (+0,32%)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (+2,47%)
Fair Isaac $FICO (+1,22%)
Hermes $RMS (-0,06%)
Intuit $INTU (+0,22%)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+1,9%)
Mastercard $MA (-0,21%)
Meta $META (+0,53%)
Netflix $NFLX (+0,35%)
Microsoft $MSFT (+1,32%)
Palantir $PLTR (+4,68%)
Tesla $TSLA (+10,24%)
Tier-2 (high business quality and moderate growth)
Booking $BKNG (+0,21%)
Costco $COST (+0,14%)
Ferrari $RACE (+1,1%)
Moody's $MCO (+0,1%)
MSCI $MSCI (+1,01%)
Transdigm $TDG (+0,92%)
Tier-3 (medium / solid corporate quality and strong growth)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (-0,04%)
Robinhood $HOOD (+1,7%)
Roblox $RBLX
Shopify $SHOP (+2,12%)
Spotify $SPOT (+2,68%)
The Trade Desk $TTD (-0,15%)
I bought on Friday and am buying again today - even in the course of the next few days and weeks, when we could probably see even lower prices.
Where are you buying?
Presumably because the New York Times reports on the Pentagon's war plans against China, which Musk was apparently briefed on at the Pentagon today.
In a military conflict between the two economic powers USA and China, the first "Line of Contact" would be a digital one: cyber attacks.
And even if only hypothetical scenarios are reported, this will probably already lead to an intensification of the constant mutual cyber attacks. Information is key.
Sources:
Revenue Forward 3Y CAGR and Forward P/S Ratio (sorted in ascending order)
Hims & Hers: 31.9% / 3.4x $HIMS (-0,04%)
Spotify: 14.9% / 5.6x $SPOT (+2,68%)
Airbnb: 10.4% / 6.8x $ABNB (+0,29%)
Roblox: 19.4% / 7.3x $RBLX
Robinhood: 17.0% / 10.6x $HOOD (+1,7%)
The Trade Desk: 19,4% / 11,1x $TTD (-0,15%)
Fortinet: 14.4% / 11.5x $FTNT (+1,34%)
Shopify: 22.6% / 11.9x $SHOP (+2,12%)
Palo Alto Networks: 14.7% / 12.2x $PANW (+1,93%)
ServiceNow: 19.5% / 13.4x $NOW
Duolingo: 26.7% / 13.7x $DUOL
Axon Enterprise: 20.9% / 15.5x $AXON (+2,31%)
Crowdstrike: 22.5% / 17.2x $CRWD (+2,47%)
Cloudflare: 27.2% / 20.9x $NET (+1,89%)
Palantir: 30.8% / 52.6 $PLTR (+4,68%)
Palantir and Hims & Hers are not the same...
Even if Palantir increases its sales by an ambitious 30% every year over the next 10 years and achieves a free cash flow margin of 45% (!), the current share price is still >20% above fair value (assumption: 3% terminal growth, 8% discount rate) - even though the share has already corrected by >30%.
Your opinion?
Airbnb $ABNB (+0,29%)
Amazon $AMZN (+0,25%)
Axon $AXON (+2,31%)
Cadence $CDNS (+3,35%)
Constellation Software $CSU (+0,32%)
Costco $COST (+0,14%)
Crowdstrike $CRWD (+2,47%)
Fair Isaac $FICO (+1,22%)
Ferrari $RACE (+1,1%)
Hermes $RMS (-0,06%)
Hims & Hers $HIMS (-0,04%)
Intuit $INTU (+0,22%)
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG (+1,9%)
Mastercard $MA (-0,21%)
Microsoft $MSFT (+1,32%)
Moody's $MCO (-0%)
MSCI $MSCI (+1,01%)
Palantir $PLTR (+4,68%)
Robinhood $HOOD (+1,7%)
Roblox $RBLX
Shopify $SHOP (+2,12%)
Tesla $TSLA (+10,24%)
The Trade Desk $TTD (-0,15%)
Transdigm $TDG (+0,92%)
Select a maximum of 8-10 positions from this list that have the best risk/reward ratio and are reasonably valued. Then there is a good chance of outperforming the S&P 500.
Your opinion?
I've decided to use the current market situation to add some new positions to my portfolio and increase some others that I feel positive about.
ETF:
Was planing to increase this position anyways.
$IWDA (+0,64%) 10x
Opened this position to diversify a bit across other countries than the US.
Stocks:
$NOVO B (-0,7%) 10x
As the demand for diabetes and other drugs increase in the following decades I feel like this is a great opportunity to buy.
Increased my position in meta because the price seems alright.
Increased my position because the price seems great and I wanted to increase this position anyways.
Increased my position because BYD isn't going anywhere.
$MSFT (+1,32%) 0.8x
Rounded up my former position.
Increased my position to make use of the lower price.
Increased my position
$BNZL (-1,19%) 10x
Added this position mainly to increase the dividend returns but also because it seems like a good buy.
$HSBC (+1,84%) 20x
Added this position to increase the dividend returns - More of a risky investment but you gotta keep it interesting, right?
I'd appreciate some feedback, would you have waited a bit? The US market is probably gonna go down a bit more before recovering but I'm not gonna try to predict the market so I'm happy with what I got.
🔹 Adj. EPS: $1.03 (Est. $0.86) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $1.06B (Est. $1.03B) 🟢; +25% YoY
🔹 Subscription Rev: $1.01B (Est. $986.9M) 🟢
🔹 Net New ARR: $224.3M (Est. $198M) 🟢; -20% YoY
FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $4.74B-$4.81B (Est. $4.77B) 😑
🔹 Adj. EPS: $3.33 to $3.45 (Est. $4.43) 🔴
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $944.2M to $985.1M (Est. $1.03B) 🔴
Q1 2025 Outlook:
🔹 Revenue: $1.10B to $1.11B (Est. $1.11B) 😑
🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.64 to $0.66 (Est. $0.96) 🔴
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $173.1M to $180.0M (Est. $219.7M) 🔴
Additional Insights:
🔹 ARR: $4.24B (Est. $4.12B) 🟢; +23% YoY
🔹 FCF: $239.8M (Est. $215.7M) 🟢; -15% YoY
🔹 Ending ARR: Grew to $4.24B, targeting $10B in the future
🔹 Subscription Gross Margin: 80% (Flat YoY)
🔹 Customer Retention: 97% Gross Retention Rate
🔹 AI-Driven Security Expansion: Falcon platform adoption growing, Next-Gen SIEM and Cloud Security ARR surpassing $1.3B
- Monday: $GTLB (+3,23%) , $OKTA (+2,99%) .
- Tuesday: $CRWD (+2,47%) , $FLTR (+0,84%) , $ONON , $TGT (+1,34%) , $SE-ED .
- Wednesday: $MDB (+1,11%) , $MRVL (+2,8%) , $VEEV (-0,05%) , $ZS (+2,58%) .
- Thursday: $AVGO (+2,75%) , $COST (+0,14%) , $HCP , $HPE (+0,35%) , $27C , $JD. (-0,54%)
