$AEO (-1,02%) sold, even though there would certainly have been more return by Christmas. Thx @Shrimpman
Reallocation in parts to $CIFR (+14,78%)
$WULF (+5,09%) and $APLD (+0,22%) takes place.
Postos
14$AEO (-1,02%) sold, even though there would certainly have been more return by Christmas. Thx @Shrimpman
Reallocation in parts to $CIFR (+14,78%)
$WULF (+5,09%) and $APLD (+0,22%) takes place.
Macro situation
$AEO (-1,02%) had a similar pattern in 2008 as it is again today and since in 2008 the macroeconomic numbers were also revised downwards later, as soon as the numbers get even worse, the Fed will lower interest rates (which in combination with tariffs will lead to inflation) but encourage buying on credit, which could lead to "Revenge Spending" (spending extra money on credit to distract itself from its own bad financial situation).
"Empty Stores"
It generally looks as if all stores are "empty", but I think that the target group mostly buys online.
Marketing and social media - indicators I look at
$AEO (-1,02%) Could also be used by Trump as a propaganda tool
🔹 Revenue: $1.283B (Est. $1.237B) 🟢; -1% YoY
🔹 EPS: $0.45 (Est. $0.20) 🟢; +15% YoY
Q3 Outlook:
🔹 Operating Income: $95M–$100M
🔹 Comparable Sales: Up low-single digit
Q4'25 Outlook:
🔹 Operating Income: $125M–$130M
🔹 Comparable Sales: Up low-single digit
FY25 Outlook:
🔹 Operating Income: $255M–$265M (Adj.)
🔹 Comparable Sales: Approximately flat
🔹 Gross Margin: Down YoY
🔹 CapEx: ~$275M
Other Q2 Metrics:
🔹 Operating Income: $103M; +2% YoY
🔹 Operating Margin: 8.0% (+20bps YoY)
🔹 Gross Profit: $500M; Gross Margin 38.9% (+30bps YoY)
🔹 Aerie Comparable Sales: +3% YoY
🔹 AE Comparable Sales: -3% YoY
🔹 Inventory: $718M; UP +8% YoY
Capital Returns
🔹 Share Repurchases: $231M YTD; reduced shares by ~10% (20M shares)
🔹 Dividend: $0.125/share; $21M in Q2, $43M YTD
CEO Commentary
🔸 CEO Jay Schottenstein: “Improvement in the business was driven by higher demand, lower promotions and well-managed expenses. Aerie posted top-line growth and we achieved our second highest Q2 revenues ever.”
🔸 “The fall season is off to a positive start, supported by stronger products and successful marketing campaigns with Sydney Sweeney and Travis Kelce.”
Macro situation
$AEO (-1,02%) had a similar pattern in 2008 as it is again today and since in 2008 the macroeconomic numbers were also revised downwards later, as soon as the numbers get even worse, the Fed will lower interest rates (which in combination with tariffs will lead to inflation) but encourage buying on credit, which could lead to "Revenge Spending" (spending extra money on credit to distract itself from its own bad financial situation).
"Empty Stores"
It generally looks as if all stores are "empty", but I think that the target group mostly buys online.
Marketing and social media - indicators I look at
$AEO (-1,02%) Could also be used by Trump as a propaganda tool
$AEO (-1,02%)
@Shrimpman Thank you for your advice
$AEO (-1,02%) Only fell below $9 during Corona and the momentum looks as if there will soon be the next run
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