The introduction of DeepSeek with its R1 model has really shaken up the financial markets. While NVIDIA $NVDA (-3,63%) and OpenAI are coming under pressure, we see other companies such as AMD $AMD (-2,29%) and Intel $INTC (-4,07%)presenting themselves as beneficiaries of the new AI era. 😲

But what does this mean for us investors? The current market turbulence not only offers risks, but also opportunities. Some stocks have already fallen, such as Meta $META (-1,11%) and Microsoft $MSFT (-1,57%)but other stocks such as Amazon $AMZN (-2,39%) and Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%) are also down.

How are you feeling about the situation? Are you on the lookout for bargains or are you remaining cautious? Discuss with us: Which shares do you see as the big winners of the AI revolution? 📈

Insider purchases at a overview:

• MSCI $MSCI (+1,13%) - 15% drawdown and 11% from 52-week high
• Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%) - 33% drawdown and 26% from 52-week high
• Nike $NKE (-0,48%) - 60% drawdown and 34% from 52-week high
• Estée Lauder $EL (+1,18%) - 81% drawdown and 56% from 52-week high

Do you take action or do insider purchases play no role in your investment decisions?

Concrete transactions in detail (in green):

1) MSCI $MSCI (+1,13%)

2) Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%)

3) Nike $NKE (-0,48%)

4) Estée Lauder $EL (+1,18%)

From the $HEI (+0,51%) and $WFC (-1,02%) sales, some cash goes into the clearing account and most of it into a small position $ADBE (-2,14%) . Although the stock has actually been performing well for a long time, an attractive opportunity could now present itself.

I'll start with the following three:

Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%)

AMD $AMD (-2,29%)

Nike $NKE (-0,48%)

Which ones are missing from your point of view? Where is the sentiment at the bottom?

"Adobe Director, David A Ricks, purchased 2,250 shares of Adobe's common stock on January 28, 2025, at a price of $443.976 per share, totaling $998,946. Following this transaction, Ricks directly owns 4,984 shares and indirectly owns 3,913 shares through a trust. The shares were acquired as part of a planned annuity payment from the David A Ricks 12-2022 Grantor Retained Annuity Trust."

Link: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1538604/000079634325000038/xslF345X05/wk-form4_1738284337.xml

Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%) is 32% below its 52-week high and looks anything but pretty. At 24.1x, the stock is trading at the lowest EV/EBIT in over 10 years (with the exception of the end of 2022).

Director David A. Ricks has now acquired the company for approx. 1m $ shares, which is no small purchase for him considering his previous purchases.

Adobe has some competitive advantagesincluding switching costs, a dominant market position and a successful subscription model. The company continues to grow in the double digits per year and shows high, stable margins (gross margin: 89%, free cash flow margin: 37%). Last year saw the highest buybacks ever, an indicator of an undervalued share. They are also sitting on 7.8 bn $ cashwhich exceeds the long-term debt.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is both an opportunity and a threat for Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%) both an opportunity and a threat:

• Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%) is trying to integrate AI directly into its programs.
• At the same time, competing products such as Midjourney, Canva, etc. are increasingly calling classic creative software into question. This is depressing sentiment.

What do you think? Will Adobe $ADBE (-2,14%) successfully adapt and maintain its market leadership? Or will they lose market share in the long term?

Yesterday I set myself the challenge of completing my tax return using the Taxfix tax software and submitting it to the tax office on the same day. The expected result was EUR 1,613.00. To be honest, I had expected a higher refund in tax year 2024 due to the high tuition fees of around EUR 4,240 and other factors. But as is so often the case in life, the tax office and the tax return surprise us in an amusing way. :-)

Imagine you receive an additional capital inflow of EUR 1,613.00 - how would you use this amount? Would you invest in new shares, build on your existing positions, invest in ETFs, go for precious metals or plunge into the world of cryptocurrencies? I look forward to hearing your ideas and personal experiences on this scenario!

Out of pure interest in an exchange of opinions: If you can take a look at my current portfolio, which positions would you consider worth buying in the event of a similar influx of capital? I am also happy to receive the odd humorous comment ;-)

#etfs
$VHYL (-0,58%)
$FUSD (-1,38%)
$D6RM (-0,54%)

#stock
$TSLA (-4,32%)
$GOOGL (-2,28%)
$MS (-1,6%)
$CS (+0,45%)
$NOVO B (+5,32%)
$ASML (-0,72%)
$MUV2 (-0,6%)
$CNQ (-0,99%)
$GGG (-1%)
$MC (+0,4%)
$DHL (+0,55%)
$TKA (+0,24%)
$RIO (-0,51%)
$ADBE (-2,14%)
$MPW (-2,1%)

#stock
$BICO (-4,29%)
$9866 (+2,04%)
$SVA
$TECO (-67,57%) (Insolvency filed)

#edelmetalle
$965515 (-0,15%)

#krypto
$BTC (-0%)
$ETH (+0,59%)
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Podcast episode 73 "Buy High. Sell Low."

Subscribe to the podcast to beat cancer.

00:00:00 Donald Trump inauguration

00:15:40 Tempus AI A40EDP $TEM

00:26:00 Groupon $GRPN (-4,21%)

00:30:20 Palantir $PLTR

00:35:00 Insider Trading

00:40:20 Netflix $NFLX (-1,73%)

00:59:00 Adobe AI $ADBE (-2,14%)

01:01:00 Alibaba $BABA (+5,86%)
$9988 (+6,06%)

01:07:40 Baidu $BIDU (+2,23%)
$9888 (+1,94%)

01:15:15 JD com $9618 (+3,16%)
$89618
$JD (+3,44%)

01:16:40 PDD Holdings $PDD (+5,26%)

01:19:00 Xpeng $9868 (+5,58%)
$XPEV (+4,3%)

01:21:00 Nio, BYD, Xiaomi, Huawei $9866 (+2,04%)
$NIO (+2,04%)$1810 (+2,88%)
$XIACY (+3,55%)
$81810

01:28:00 Li Auto $AUTO (-0,6%)
$LI (+4,58%)

01:35:20 Bitcoin $BTC (-0%)

Spotify

https://open.spotify.com/episode/4xzXvdMeMtWs5fgYoQaNHU?si=3JuxaaqaQ2KM55PHh5IYWg

YouTube

https://youtu.be/tz6CaqL8wtc

Apple Podcast

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/folge-73-netflix-tempus-ai-palantir-alibaba-bitcoin/id1695869891?i=1000685089794

#bitcoin
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#aktien#podcast
#spotify

⬆️⬆️⬆️

- Raymond James Upgrades Block Inc (SQ) to Outperform

Raymond James analyst John Davis upgraded Block Inc (NYSE: SQ) from Market Perform to Outperform with a price target of $115.00. $SQ (-12,06%)

- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB upgrades KNORR-BREMSE from Sell to Hold and raises price target from EUR 63.60 to EUR 65. $KBX (+0,71%)

- EXANE BNP upgrades UBS from Neutral to Outperform and raises price target from CHF 27 to CHF 35. $UBSG (+0,91%)

- BERENBERG raises the price target for TALANX from EUR 91.10 to EUR 95.30. Buy. $TLX (-0,72%)

- BERENBERG raises the price target for SNP from EUR 56 to EUR 61. Hold. $SHF (+0%)

⬇️⬇️⬇️

- UBS lowers the price target for ADOBE SYSTEMS from USD 525 to USD 475. Neutral. $ADBE (-2,14%)

- JEFFERIES lowers the price target for SCHOTT PHARMA from EUR 31.80 to EUR 26.34. Hold. $1SXP (+1,99%)