Tonight I also triggered a limit order at $BTC (-2,01%) triggered a limit order. A first smaller partial tranche has been sold. Everything is going according to plan. I have even revised the targets announced in my #krypto -I have even adjusted some of the BTC targets announced in my post upwards. This means that the limit order was triggered at around USD 106,500 / EUR 99,000. Over USD 10,000 more than planned. The order, which I also placed with a lot of gut feeling after my analysis, happens to be as good as the nightly top 🥰

The next tranche is at 104,000 EUR / 109,300 USD.

Even though my planning and analysis is based on USD prices for crypto, I have set the limit orders in EUR prices.

I am now also publishing what the profits and stakes will be reinvested in. The exact securities I am looking at have not yet been explicitly mentioned.

So far, investments have been made in $HSBA (+0%) from the proceeds of $XRP (-1,09%) , $LINK (-4,77%) and the first tranche of $UNI (-3,71%) -sales.

From today's first tranche of $BTC (-2,01%) -sales, I entered $SHEL (+0%) I have entered.

What else will come according to plan? $BP. (+0%) As a single share. I would then have 3 shares to cover the third month of each quarter with distributions in a separate portfolio. I want to cover the first two months with ETFs, including the first month with either the $EXSB (+0,01%) or (and) $EXX5 (+0,16%) and the second month with the $FUSD (+0,17%) . Will there be any overlaps with my main or one of the two old ETF portfolios in terms of the composition of the securities? For sure! But that doesn't matter to me, as I consider this portfolio, in which the crypto stakes and profits are invested, separately. As you can see from my articles, this is all about building up the basis, the dividends from which I will then use to build up new crypto holdings in the coming bear market so that I don't have to draw on my net salary. This is because the net salary is firmly earmarked for the regular savings plans and the distributions from the main and old portfolios.

Based on the current prices, I think that my second BTC tranche will be the next to fall. The altcoin season should start very soon. I can hardly wait $BCH (-2,64%) , $LTC (-2,56%) , $SOL (-4,13%) , $DOT (-4,48%) , , the rest $UNI (-3,71%) and $MATIC (-3,52%) to finally get rid of it. But I think it will be most exciting with the higher planned tranches at $BTC (-2,01%) and $ETH (-2,49%) .

Analyst updates, 02.12.24:

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- EXANE BNP upgrades NOVO NORDISK to Outperform. Target price DKK 930. $NOVO B

- HSBC upgrades LVMH to Buy. Target price EUR 727. $MC (+0%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH raises target price for MTU from EUR 278 to EUR 297. Hold. $MTX (+0%)

- GOLDMAN raises the price target for VISA from USD 324 to USD 347. Buy $V (-0,09%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH upgrades BASF from Hold to Buy and raises price target from EUR 50 to EUR 55. $BAS (+0%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH upgrades BURBERRY from Hold to Buy and raises target price from GBP 8.60 to GBP 11.80. $BRBY (+0%)

- GOLDMAN raises the target price for AROUNDTOWN from EUR 2.90 to EUR 3.70. Buy. $AT1 (+0%)

- GOLDMAN downgrades TOAST from Buy to Neutral and raises target price from USD 34 to USD 45. $TOST (+0,06%)

- HSBC upgrades HERMES to Buy. Target price 2500 EUR. $RMS (+0%)

- MORGAN STANLEY upgrades ZEBRA TECH to Equal-Weight. Target price 400 USD. $ZBRA (+0,14%)

- JPMORGAN upgrades AIR LIQUIDE from Neutral to Overweight and raises target price from EUR 161 to EUR 195. $AI (+0,25%)

- JPMORGAN raises target price for PUMA SE from EUR 44 to EUR 47. Neutral. $PUM (+0%)

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- GOLDMAN lowers the price target for MASTERCARD from USD 563 to USD 557. Buy. $MA (-0,21%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for AIXTRON from EUR 26 to EUR 24. Buy. $AIXA (+0%)

- METZLER lowers the price target for WACKER NEUSON from EUR 14.50 to EUR 14. Hold. $WAC (+0%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH downgrades K+S from Hold to Sell and lowers target price from EUR 9.75 to EUR 9.50. $SDF (+0%)

- BERENBERG lowers the price target for BP from GBP 4.70 to GBP 4.40. Hold. $BP. (+0%)

- RBC downgrades IBERDROLA from Outperform to Sector-Perform. Target price EUR 14 $IBE (-1,09%)

- RBC lowers the price target for RWE from EUR 52.50 to EUR 45.50. Outperform. $RWE (+0%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the target price for ORSTED from DKK 460 to DKK 430. Neutral. $ORSTED (+0%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for ADIDAS from EUR 275 to EUR 266. Overweight. $ADS (+0%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for LVMH from EUR 685 to EUR 650. Neutral. $MC (+0%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for HUGO BOSS from EUR 43 to EUR 42. Neutral. $BOSS (+0%)

$XRP (-1,09%) performed quite well today and yesterday. My limit order, which I placed yesterday, was triggered on the assumption that it would not be triggered so easily. It can't be that this coin will soon double within a few days. Well... Bye bye XRP holdings... I'm going home with a smaller three-digit amount, which is tax-free as the holding period has long expired.

As per my article yesterday, I'm shifting into a stock that will then generate cash flow for me to enable new purchases via dividends in the coming bear market. $BTC (-2,01%) purchases in the coming bear market.

The candidates are $HSBA (+0%) , $SHEL (+0%) and $BP. (+0%) . Which one would you prefer?

No longer fits in with my investment strategy.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is forecasting an oversupply on the oil market for 2025. The reason for this is the planned expansion in production, while demand growth is slowing down. Rising capacities in the USA and countries such as Brazil and Guyana in particular could push supply above the level of global demand. According to the IEA, these developments could stabilize oil prices or even put them under pressure.

Personal opinion:

The election of Donald Trump is also a big factor that could put a lot of pressure on oil prices. With the oil price already weak, Trump has announced that he will boost oil production during his candidacy. To me, that sounds more like oil prices will continue to fall.

$SHEL (+0%)
$CVX (+0,14%)
$OXY (+0,24%)
$BP. (+0%)

Source:

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-sees-2025-oil-market-supply-surplus-2024-11-14/

The news is based on what I personally consider to be reputable sources. However, I do not guarantee their accuracy. No advice.

Earnings summary this morning 👇🏼

$BP. (+0%)
| BP Q3 2024 Earnings

EPS Adj 13.89C (12.67C)

Adj Net $2.27B (est $2.05B)

Oper Cash Flow $6.16B (est $6.29B)

Net Debt $24.21B (est $23.28)

Plans 1.75B Share Buyback For Third Quarter

Sees 4Q Reported Upstream Production To Be Lower Vs Q3

$OMV (+0%) | OMV AG Q3 24 Earnings:

- Clean CCS Oper Profit EU1.10B (est EU1.05B)

- Clean CCS Net Income EU346M (est EU447.8M)

- Still Sees FY Organic CAPEX About EU3.8B (est EU3.68B)

- Sees FY Avg Production 330, 000 To 350, 000 BOE/D

$NOVN (+0%) | Novartis Q3 24 Earnings:

- Core EPS $2.06 (est $1.94)

- Net Sales $12.82B (est 12.68B)

- Net Sales Expected To Grow By 'Double Digit'

- Raises FY Outlook

- Now Sees FY Core Oper Income Growth In High Teens

$SAN (+0%) | Santander Q3 24 Earnings:

- Net Income EU3.35B (est EU3.17B)

- Net Interest Income EU11.23B (est EU11.57B)

- Net Loan - Loss Provision EU2.98B (est EU3.18B)

- Confident It'll Deliver On All Targets

$HSBA (+0%) | HSBC Q3 24 Earnings:

- Div/Shr 10C (est 10C)

- Net Interest Income $7.64B (est $9.25B)

- Sees Div payout Ratio Target Basis of 50% for 2024

- Announces Up $3B Buy Back

$ADS (+0%) | Adidas is optimistic after a strong third quarter and confirms a sales increase of 7.3% to 6.4 billion euros. Demand in Europe and growth in China are driving the development, while profits increase by 73.4% to 469 million euros.

$HYQ (+0,03%) | Hypoport increases revenue by 29% to 114 million euros in the third quarter and achieves an operating profit of 3.6 million euros, which is above analysts' expectations. The upturn in real estate finance is driving growth.

$LHA (+0%) | Lufthansa announces a savings program to increase adjusted operating profit by EUR 1.5 billion by 2026. Adjusted profit in the third quarter of 2024 falls by 9% to EUR 1.3 billion Deutsche Lufthansa AG expects an operating profit of between EUR 1.4 billion and EUR 1.8 billion for the full year 2024, after focusing on the cost structure in the third quarter. The share is benefiting from hopes of an easing of the Middle East conflict.

$CEC (+0%) | Ceconomy exceeds analysts' expectations with adjusted EBIT in the upper half of the range of 290 to 310 million euros. Sales increase by 5.3% to around 22.4 billion euros in the 2023/2024 financial year

$HFG (+0%) | HelloFresh Group achieves currency-adjusted revenue growth of 1.9% compared to the previous year and adjusted EBITDA ("AEBITDA") of €72 million

Bought one of my first shares in February 2017 and added to it in 2020.

Sold the position today and reduced the stake in the oil sector.