BP

As investors eye consolidation in Big Oil, Shell’s recent stance against a BP takeover is a strategic masterclass, not a retreat. Bound by the UK Takeover Code after publicly ruling itself out, Shell cannot acquire more than 30% of BP for six months. Under CEO Wael Sawan, capital is prioritized for buybacks and debt reduction over risky mega-deals. Moreover, Shell’s renewable pivot clashes with BP’s activist-driven focus on oil & gas. Add antitrust hurdles in the US and EU, and a bid becomes a high-stakes gamble investors can’t afford. Instead, Shell is boosting shareholder returns through disciplined capital allocation—proof that patience and precision Trump headline-grabbing deals.

1 Comentar

S.A.T.@SATNL

3Semana

Indeed the nonsense needs to stop shell is solid on its own.

•

Hennington Research

@HennRes

3Semana·

Equities | Shell wants BP

$SHEL (+0,74%) is currently considering $BP. (+0,89%) to take over the company. The potential transaction volume would amount to 80 billion US dollars, making it one of the largest M&A transactions in the history of Oil & Gas. BP is currently reviewing the offer, but negotiations have been slow so far. Shell & BP have not yet made any concrete statements. Shell officially described the reports as "further market speculation" and said it was focusing on its own performance and the interests of its shareholders.

𝖭𝖾𝗍 𝖣𝖾𝖻𝗍 𝗍𝗈 𝖤𝗊𝗎𝗂𝗍𝗒 𝖽𝖾𝗋 Ö𝗅𝗄𝗈𝗇𝗓𝖾𝗋𝗇𝖾 𝖡𝖯, 𝖲𝗁𝖾𝗅𝗅, 𝖳𝗈𝗍𝖺𝗅𝖤𝗇𝖾𝗋𝗀𝗂𝖾𝗌, 𝖤𝗑𝗑𝗈𝗇 𝗎𝗇𝖽 𝖢𝗁𝖾𝗏𝗋𝗈𝗇. 𝖡𝖯 𝗐𝗂𝖾𝗌 𝖤𝗇𝖽𝖾 2024 𝗆𝗂𝗍 𝖠𝖻𝗌𝗍𝖺𝗇𝖽 𝖽𝖾𝗇 𝗁ö𝖼𝗁𝗌𝗍𝖾𝗇 𝖶𝖾𝗋𝗍 𝖺𝗎𝖿, 𝖿𝖺𝗌𝗍 𝖽𝗈𝗉𝗉𝖾𝗅𝗍 𝗌𝗈 𝗁𝗈𝖼𝗁 𝗐𝗂𝖾 𝖲𝗁𝖾𝗅𝗅.

A takeover would create a European oil giant that could compete with $XOM (+0,03%) and $CVX (+0,04%) could take on. BP in particular has been under pressure from activist investors for some time, as its attempted foray into renewable energies has been less successful. A stronger focus on oil & gas is therefore strategically desirable.

14 Comentários

Dividendenopi👴@Dividendenopi

3Semana

Let's see, I put 1000 shares in my trading portfolio today

•

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Hennington Research

@HennRes

1Mês·

HennRes | British hedge against the Middle East

The $C (+1,17%) currently recommends the FTSE 100, as it is well suited as a hedge against the risk in the Middle East. This is illustrated by 3 factors.

The FTSE 100 is driven by energy companies such as $SHEL (+0,74%) and $BP. (+0,89%) dominated. These benefit from geopolitical tensions and thus provide a natural hedge.
The FTSE has a high weighting in defensive sectors such as pharmaceuticals, such as $AZN (+1,34%) and consumer goods, such as $ULVR (+0,39%) as. These sectors are historically resilient to geopolitical problems.
Many companies in the FTSE 100 generate the majority of their sales outside the UK. This makes them less vulnerable to domestic risks and more resilient to global uncertainties.

𝖢𝗂𝗍𝗂𝗀𝗋𝗈𝗎𝗉 𝗌𝗂𝖾𝗁𝗍 𝖻𝗋𝗂𝗍𝗂𝗌𝖼𝗁𝖾 & 𝖲𝖼𝗁𝗐𝖾𝗂𝗓𝖾𝗋 𝖠𝗄𝗍𝗂𝖾𝗇 𝗌𝗈𝗐𝗂𝖾 𝖤𝗇𝖾𝗋𝗀𝗒 𝗎𝗇𝖽 𝖽𝖾𝖿𝖾𝗇𝗌𝗂𝗏𝖾 𝖲𝖾𝗄𝗍𝗈𝗋𝖾𝗇 𝖺𝗅𝗌 𝗉𝗈𝗍𝖾𝗇𝗓𝗂𝖾𝗅𝗅𝖾 𝖮𝗎𝗍𝗉𝖾𝗋𝖿𝗈𝗋𝗆𝖾𝗋, 𝖿𝖺𝗅𝗅𝗌 𝖽𝗂𝖾 𝗀𝗅𝗈𝖻𝖺𝗅𝖾𝗇 𝖱𝗂𝗌𝗂𝗄𝖾𝗇 𝗐𝖾𝗂𝗍𝖾𝗋 𝗌𝗍𝖾𝗂𝗀𝖾𝗇.

4 Comentários

Oktoberfest@Oktoberfest

1Mês

Yes, the Middle East war is where grown-ups have been beating each other up over their imaginary friends for thousands of years, hopefully the conflict will stay there and not be fought in Germany.

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Pascal W.

@pwasbeer

1Mês·

Impact of Iran Closing the Strait of Hormuz on Global Markets

Impact of Iran Closing the Strait of Hormuz on Global Markets

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most important oil transit routes in the world. About 20% of global oil supply passes through this narrow waterway. If Iran decides to close it, oil prices could skyrocket above $200 per barrel, according to Macquarie Commodities Strategy Head Marcus Garvey. While this is not the expected scenario, even a temporary disruption could cause major economic consequences.

Who Benefits?

Companies involved in oil production and energy supply would likely see higher profits due to rising oil prices. Some stocks that could benefit include:

Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) in the U.S.
Shell (SHEL) and BP (BP) in Europe
Oilfield service providers like Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL), which support drilling operations

Who Suffers?

Industries that rely on oil for production and transportation would struggle with higher costs. Some of the most affected sectors include:

Airlines (Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Lufthansa)
Automakers (Volkswagen, Ford, Tesla)
Shipping companies (Maersk, FedEx, UPS)
Chemical producers (BASF, Dow Inc.)

Likelihood of Closure

Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz multiple times, but it has never fully blocked it. The last major disruption occurred during the Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988), when both sides attacked oil tankers. More recently, in 2019, ships were attacked near the strait, raising concerns about security. Experts believe a full closure is unlikely, as it would also hurt Iran’s economy and provoke military retaliation.

Conclusion

If Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices would surge, benefiting energy companies while hurting industries dependent on oil. However, history suggests that a full blockade is not likely, though tensions in the region remain high. Investors should watch oil markets closely as geopolitical risks evolve.

$XOM (+0,03%)
$CVX (+0,04%)
$SHEL (+0,74%)
$BP. (+0,89%)
$LHA (-0,55%)
$VOW (-0,52%)
$MAERSK A (+0,5%)
$TSLA (+0,48%)

2 Comentários

thinkindie@thinkindie

1Mês

What’s going to be the impact on renewables?

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Techaktien

@Techaktien

1Mês·

Oil price analysis

Price decline

OPEC+ countries

Brent futures curve

Oil supply

Kazakhstan

tariff war

Price target

Link: https://shorturl.at/asfT7

$SHEL (+0,74%)
$TTE (-0,05%)
$CVX (+0,04%)
$XOM (+0,03%)
$BP. (+0,89%)
$OXY (+1,01%)
$SLB (+1,57%)
$2222
$ENI (+0,43%)

shorturl.atAttention Required! | Cloudflare

3 Comentários

Chris@Multibagger

1Mês

The link is about derivatives on the oil price. But I see another good trading opportunity. Because contrary to the assumption in the article that they want to hit countries like Kazakhstan and Iran, I see a completely different target. That is the US fracking industry. The USA is now the largest single producer in the world due to the immense investments in this sector. 13.5 million barrels per day. This is a thorn in OPEC's side, as it jeopardizes OPEC's supremacy. So they are trying to use the oversupply to push prices so low that the business is not worthwhile for the fracking companies. Donald Trump is satisfied with expensive Arab investments in other areas and has long since deviated from his drill baby drill actions. He knows full well that US citizens are more enthusiastic about falling energy prices, regardless of what causes them. It could therefore be interesting to bet on falling prices for US fracking companies.
Yesterday, OPEC announced a further increase in production quotas of over 400,000 barrels/day from July 1.

•

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Tenbagger2024

@Tenbagger2024

1Mês·

Reliance and BP shares lower: BP's Castrol likely to attract interest from Reliance, Apollo and Lone Star

$BP. (+0,89%)
$RIGD (-1,42%)
$APO (-2,53%)
$LONEn . $BN (-1,4%)

Reliance Industries, Apollo Global Management and Lone Star Funds are interested in BP's Castrol lubricants business, which has been put up for sale, according to an agency report.

Bloomberg reports, citing unnamed sources, that the first indicative bids are expected in a few weeks. Saudi Arabia's Aramco is likely to consider a bid. The lubricants business could fetch 8 to 10 billion US dollars. According to the report, BP has already sent information about the business to other potential bidders such as Brookfield Asset Management and Stonepeak Partners.

Representatives for BP, Apollo, Lone Star, Brookfield and Stonepeak declined to comment, while a representative for Reliance did not immediately respond to a request for comment, according to Bloomberg.

BP shares ultimately traded 0.46 percent lower at 4.25 euros in London trading. Reliance shares fell by 1.43 percent to 291.32 US dollars in NYSE trading on Thursday.

DJG/DJN/brb/cln

https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/aktien/medienbericht-aktien-von-reliance-und-bp-tiefer-bps-castrol-weckt-wohl-interesse-von-reliance-apollo-und-lone-star-14523549

www.finanzen.netAktien von Reliance und BP schwächer: Reliance, Apollo und Lone Star wohl an BPs Castrol interesssiert

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