Interview with Clemens Fuest - Germany on the brink? Ifo President finds: "Elon Musk is talking nonsense"

The German economy is stagnating and economic output is not rising above the 2019 level. That is the bitter outcome of a lost half-decade, as Clemens Fuest, President of the Ifo Institute, makes clear in an interview with the FAZ.

"We have real problems," says Fuest, adding that it is not just external circumstances that are weighing on Germany's economy, but also home-grown problems. In this tense economic environment, Fuest voices fierce criticism of Elon Muskthe CEO of Tesla. Musk, known for his sometimes controversial statements and visions, hatte zuletzt Vorschläge gemacht which Fuest describes as "gross nonsense". These proposals relate in particular to Musk's ideas on the industry of the future.

"Germany is not on the brink"

Musk has repeatedly emphasized that Germany must fundamentally change its industrial policy in order to remain competitive. Fuest replied: "Germany is not on the brink, wie er behauptet . Our country is stuck in stagnation, that's something completely different."

Fuest emphasizes in the interview that German economic policy should aim to further promote its strengths. "Depending on the count, there are between 1,000 and 1,500 companies in Germany that are world market leaders in a niche. No other country has this in this form. And that leads to the export strength that continues to characterize Germany."

The Ifo Director calls for political decision-makers in Germany and Europe to rethink and adapt their strategies. "The approach of relying heavily on subsidies to transform the economy" was wrong, he emphasizes. The "traffic light coalition has also failed to find an answer to the decline in investment in companies and housing construction".

"Depending on the count, there are between 1,000 and 1,500 companies in Germany that are world market leaders in a niche. No other country has this in this form. And that leads to the export strength that continues to characterize Germany."

My dears, which world market leaders can you think of here? And which German niche companies are you counting on?

$SIE (+0,67%)
$MUM (-1,63%)
$SAP (+1,79%)
$AIXA (+3,84%)
$ADS (+1,27%)
$RR. (+1,76%)
$FRE (+0,09%)

Interview mit Clemens Fuest - Deutschland am Abgrund? Ifo-Präsident findet: „Elon Musk redet groben Unfug“

ADIDAS $ADS (+1,27%) - REPORT ON TAX RAID

Dax dividends fall

In 2025, the 40 DAX companies will be paying out seven percent less than last year, according to a forecast by Handelsblatt. Car manufacturer shareholders will be hit particularly hard.

Many DAX shareholders will have to adjust to lower dividends for the current financial year: According to a forecast by Handelsblatt, the 40 Dax-listed companies will pay out a combined €48.5 billion next spring. That would be seven percent less than in the previous year.

At the same time, 22 companies are likely to further increase their payouts and eight will reduce their dividends. But overall, there will be a decline for the first time since the outbreak of the pandemic. This is mainly due to the car manufacturers, where the dividend total is likely to fall by almost 35% to around ten billion euros. This is due to falling profits at VW $VOW (+0,33%) , BMW $BMW (-0,81%) and Mercedes $MBG (+0,16%) due to poor sales figures in Europe and especially in the former boom country China.

In contrast, the sporting goods manufacturer Adidas $ADS (+1,27%) , the Deutsche Telekom
$DTE (+0,57%) and the arms manufacturer Rheinmetall $RHM (+1,79%) are increasing their dividends particularly sharply. This also applies to Deutsche Bank
$DBK (-0,21%) and Commerzbank $CBK (+1,33%) and the insurers Allianz $ALV (+0,87%) , Munich Re
$MUV2 (+1,8%) and Hannover Re
$HNR1 (+1,48%) . The healthcare group Fresenius $FRE (+0,09%) has not distributed anything for 2023, but is now planning a dividend again.

Commerzbank analyst Andreas Hürkamp sees a rotation: "In 2011, the automotive sector replaced utilities as the sector with the highest dividends. Now it is becoming apparent that after 14 years, insurers will be the new number one dividend payers in the DAX."

Handelsblatt

03.12.2024

Apple at another record high + Hedge fund sells Nvidia and buys SMC, Palantir and AMD + China and Cyber Monday boost consumer stocks

Apple with another record high

• The shares of Apple $AAPL (-0,4%) shares continued Friday's record high at the start of the new trading week. The shares recently traded 1.4 percent higher at 240.65 US dollars, making them one of the top stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial . This makes the iPhone group the most valuable company in the world with a market capitalization of around
• market capitalization of around 3.6 trillion US dollars, ahead of Nvidia $NVDA (-4,66%) with a
• market capitalization of around 3.4 trillion dollars
• At the close of trading, the share price fell slightly to USD 239.59, which is still an increase of 0.95%.

Largest hedge fund in the world has sold Nvidia & is betting on Super Micro & Palantir

• Bridgewater Associates has sold its position in Nvidia $NVDA (-4,66%) in the third quarter and instead sold more shares of Super Micro Computer $SMCI (-4,19%), Palantir Technologies $PLTR (-8,59%) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) $AMD (-0,99%) were purchased.
• The fund announced the share transactions in a form filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
• Bridgewater sold 1.8 million Nvidia shares to end the third quarter with 4.8 million shares of the artificial intelligence chip maker....

https://www.wallstreet-online.de/nachricht/18773922-groesster-hedgefonds-welt-bridgewater-nvidia-aktien-verkauft-wettet-super-micro-palantir

China and Cyber Monday boost consumer stocks

• The main winners were shares of luxury goods manufacturers in Europe such as LVMH $MC (+1,15%) and Hermes $RMS (+1,7%) but also Adidas $ADS (+1,27%)
  in the DAX rose by 3.2 percent.
• They benefited from an upward revision of the China Purchasing Managers' Index in November.
• The market is hoping that higher income from their Chinese customers will also boost their willingness to spend. In addition, the ongoing "Cyber Monday" drove the shares of consumer and household goods manufacturers. Also in demand were Munich Re $MUV2 (+1,8%) with a 2.9 percent premium.

Tuesday, stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

• ex-dividend of individual stocks

Thales EUR 0.85

ORANGE 0.30 EUR

Linde USD 1.39

• Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

20:00 AT&T Capital Markets Day

22:05 Salesforce quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 Swiss Life Investor Day 2024

• Economic data

08:30 CH: Consumer prices Switzerland November FORECAST: n/a previous: -0.1% yoy/+0.6% yoy

15:00 EU: ECB monthly/bimonthly report on APP/PEPP program

16:00 US: Number of job openings, quits and layoffs (Jolts) October Number of job openings PROGNOSIS: n.a. previously: 7.4 million

Analyst updates, 02.12.24:

⬆️⬆️⬆️

- EXANE BNP upgrades NOVO NORDISK to Outperform. Target price DKK 930. $NOVO B

- HSBC upgrades LVMH to Buy. Target price EUR 727. $MC (+1,15%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH raises target price for MTU from EUR 278 to EUR 297. Hold. $MTX (+0,65%)

- GOLDMAN raises the price target for VISA from USD 324 to USD 347. Buy $V (-0,15%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH upgrades BASF from Hold to Buy and raises price target from EUR 50 to EUR 55. $BAS (+0,71%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH upgrades BURBERRY from Hold to Buy and raises target price from GBP 8.60 to GBP 11.80. $BRBY (+1,3%)

- GOLDMAN raises the target price for AROUNDTOWN from EUR 2.90 to EUR 3.70. Buy. $AT1 (-4,06%)

- GOLDMAN downgrades TOAST from Buy to Neutral and raises target price from USD 34 to USD 45. $TOST (-3,65%)

- HSBC upgrades HERMES to Buy. Target price 2500 EUR. $RMS (+1,7%)

- MORGAN STANLEY upgrades ZEBRA TECH to Equal-Weight. Target price 400 USD. $ZBRA (+0,64%)

- JPMORGAN upgrades AIR LIQUIDE from Neutral to Overweight and raises target price from EUR 161 to EUR 195. $AI (+0,54%)

- JPMORGAN raises target price for PUMA SE from EUR 44 to EUR 47. Neutral. $PUM (-1,71%)

⬇️⬇️⬇️

- GOLDMAN lowers the price target for MASTERCARD from USD 563 to USD 557. Buy. $MA (+0,81%)

- WARBURG RESEARCH lowers the price target for AIXTRON from EUR 26 to EUR 24. Buy. $AIXA (+3,84%)

- METZLER lowers the price target for WACKER NEUSON from EUR 14.50 to EUR 14. Hold. $WAC (+0,87%)

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH downgrades K+S from Hold to Sell and lowers target price from EUR 9.75 to EUR 9.50. $SDF (-2,21%)

- BERENBERG lowers the price target for BP from GBP 4.70 to GBP 4.40. Hold. $BP. (+2,29%)

- RBC downgrades IBERDROLA from Outperform to Sector-Perform. Target price EUR 14 $IBE (+0,22%)

- RBC lowers the price target for RWE from EUR 52.50 to EUR 45.50. Outperform. $RWE (-0,98%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the target price for ORSTED from DKK 460 to DKK 430. Neutral. $ORSTED (-3,68%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for ADIDAS from EUR 275 to EUR 266. Overweight. $ADS (+1,27%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for LVMH from EUR 685 to EUR 650. Neutral. $MC (+1,15%)

- JPMORGAN lowers the price target for HUGO BOSS from EUR 43 to EUR 42. Neutral. $BOSS (+2,28%)

Detailed Adidas share analysis $ADS (+1,27%)

Company portrait

Long-term growth profile

Performance

Ukraine war

The economy

China

Yeezy / Kanye West

Management and strategy

Valuation & recovery

Quarterly figures & forecast

Link: https://www.ideas-magazin.de/2024/ausgabe-272/maerkte/adidas-talsohle-durchschritten/?utm_source=techaktien-instagram&utm_medium=influencer&utm_content=aktie&utm_campaign=ideas-magazin

$NKE (+0,46%)
$UAA (-0,61%)
$UA (-0,82%)
$2020 (+1,55%)

30.10.2024

Xiaomi SU7 Ultra breaks record on the North Loop + Visa posts double-digit sales and profit growth + Google's advertising business grows significantly again + Adidas recovers strongly - "good prospects" + McDonald's has to nibble at sluggish consumption worldwide + PayPal Holdings Inc. outperforms in the third quarter

On October 28, 2024, the prototype $1810 (-9,4%)Xiaomi SU7 Ultra prototype set a new record for four-door electric cars with a lap time of 6 minutes 46.874 seconds on the Nordschleife of the Nürburgring. Xiaomi EV thus broke the track record that had stood for seven years and underlines its commitment to further increasing the performance of electric vehicles.

https://www.goingelectric.de/2024/10/29/news/xiaomi-su7-ultra-bricht-rekord-auf-der-nordschleife/

The credit card group Visa $V (-0,15%) benefited greatly from the desire to consume and travel in the past financial year. Thanks to a strong final quarter, growth in the twelve months to the end of September was in double figures. Turnover climbed by ten percent to almost 36 billion dollars (33.2 billion euros), the Dow Jones-listed company announced in San Francisco on Tuesday. Visa recorded a 14 percent increase in profits to 19.7 billion dollars. The result was therefore slightly better than experts had expected. In the current financial year 2024/25, Visa is once again aiming for strong growth in sales and profits. Despite the positive outlook, the company is planning to cut jobs, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal. The share price initially rose slightly in after-hours trading. After years of soaring, the stock has run out of steam this year. Since the end of 2023, the share price has only risen by eight percent, lagging somewhat behind the Dow Jones. In the ten years before that, however, the share price rose by almost 400%, significantly more than most other blue chips. With a market capitalization of just over 570 billion dollars, Visa is the 13th most valuable US company, only just behind the much larger US bank JPMorgan .

Google's $GOOGL (-0,69%) advertising business continues to grow rapidly despite the new AI competition. Advertising revenue rose by a good ten percent year-on-year to 65.85 billion dollars in the past quarter. The quarterly profit of parent company Alphabet jumped by a third to 26.3 billion dollars (24.3 billion euros), as the company announced on Tuesday after the close of the US stock exchange. Google's advertising revenues continue to form the basis of Alphabet's business. The video subsidiary YouTube contributed 8.9 billion dollars - a good twelve percent more than in the same quarter last year. This was in line with analysts' expectations. The share price rose by around four percent in after-hours trading. Overall, Alphabet's turnover grew by 15 percent to 88.27 billion dollars. The development of Google's advertising business is being watched very closely. A key question is whether attempts by competitors to use artificial intelligence to display direct answers instead of links will leave a mark on Google's search engine. In the so-called "other bets" - future projects such as self-driving cars or delivery drones - the quarterly turnover of all companies rose from 297 to 388 million dollars within a year. The division's operating loss was around 1.12 billion dollars, compared to just under 1.2 billion dollars a year ago.

Adidas $ADS (+1,27%) rose by 3.8 percent after its final figures. The RBC analysts were positive about the profit, which significantly exceeded market expectations thanks to lower financing costs and slightly higher financial income. And for 2025, the order book looks "strong, at least for the first quarter, but also into the second quarter", according to the group. Adidas has also confirmed its medium-term margin target of 10 percent for 2026.

The fast food group McDonald's $MCD (-0,67%) continues to struggle with tight customer budgets worldwide. On a comparable basis, revenue in the third quarter slipped by 1.5 percent compared to the same period last year, as the US company announced in Chicago on Tuesday. The decline was thus twice as high as analysts had feared on average. McDonald's uses this key figure to compare the revenues of those restaurants that have been open for at least the past 13 months, as well as all temporarily closed restaurants. In addition to the effects of the conflict in the Middle East and calls for boycotts in the region, business in China, France and the UK was also worse. McDonald's only recorded a minimal increase in its home market. At Group level, sales rose by three percent to just under 6.9 billion US dollars (around 6.35 billion euros). However, the operating result fell by one percent to just under 3.2 billion dollars. On the bottom line, the BurgerKing competitor earned 2.26 billion dollars after 2.32 billion in the previous year.

PayPal Holdings Inc. $PYPL (-1,19%) outperformed analysts' estimates of USD 1.07 in the third quarter with earnings per share of USD 1.20. Revenue of USD 7.85 billion below expectations of USD 7.88 billion. Paypal shares fall 5.6% in early US trading yesterday as the company's revenue forecast for the final quarter disappoints, despite a better-than-expected third-quarter profit.

Wednesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

ex-dividend of individual stocks

Inditex EUR 0.50

Texas Instruments 1.36 USD

Kinder Morgan Registered (P) USD 0.29

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

11:30 Caterpilla | GE Healthcare quarterly figures

11:45 Eli Lilly quarterly figures

12:00 Kraft Heinz quarterly figures

12:45 Abbvie quarterly figures

21:00 Microsoft | Booking Holdings | Amgen quarterly figures

21:05 Meta Platforms | Ebay | Starbucks quarterly figures

21:15 Allstate quarterly figures

Untimed: Biogen quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

06:45 UBS | Aker ASA Quarterly figures

07:00 BASF | Fuchs | Kion | Capgemini Quarterly figures

07:30 Volkswagen | Schneider Electric | Raiffeisen Bank International quarterly figures

08:00 GSK plc | Standard Chartered Quarterly Figures | Glencore Production Report 3Q

08:30 BASF Analyst Conference

09:00 Aston Martin quarterly figures | VW analyst and press conference | UBS analyst conference

10:00 BASF | Fuchs PK

10:45 UBS PK

12:00 Fuchs Analyst Conference

15:00 Kion Analyst Conference

17:45 Airbus quarterly figures | Axa 9 months sales

18:30 Airbus PK

19:30 Airbus Analyst Conference

No time specified: Outokumpu | Telenor quarterly figures

Economic data

• 07:30 FR: GDP (1st release) 3Q FORECAST: +0.3% yoy Q2: +0.2% yoy
• 08:00 DE: Employment September
• 08:45 FR: Private consumption September FORECAST: +0.1% yoy/+0.2% yoy Previous: +0.2% yoy/0.0% yoy
• 09:00 DE: Economic forecast of the DIW - German Institute for Economic Research
• 09:00 ES: GDP (1st release) 3Q FORECAST: +0.6% yoy/+2.9% yoy Q2: +0.8% yoy/+3.1% yoy | HICP and consumer prices (preliminary) October HICP FORECAST: +1.6% yoy previous: +1.7 yoy
• 09:55 DE: Labor market data October seasonally adjusted unemployment rate FORECAST: +15,000 yoy previously: +17,000 yoy Unemployment rate seasonally adjusted FORECAST: 6.1% previously: 6.0%
• 10:00 DE: GDP (1st release) 3Q calendar and seasonally adjusted yoy FORECAST: -0.1% yoy Q2: -0.1% yoy Q2: calendar-adjusted yoy FORECAST: -0.3% yoy Q2: 0.0% yoy
• 10:00 DE: Consumer prices Bavaria | Brandenburg | Hesse | Saxony | Baden-Württemberg October
• 10:00 IT: GDP (1st release) 3Q PROGNOSIS: +0.2% yoy/+0.8% yoy Q2: +0.2% yoy/+0.6% yoy
• 10:50 EU: ECB, allotment of a 7-day dollar tender
• 11:00 EU: GDP (1st release) 3Q Eurozone FORECAST: +0.2% yoy/+0.8% yoy Q2: +0.2% yoy/+0.6% yoy
• 11:00 EU: Economic Sentiment Index October Economic Sentiment Eurozone FORECAST: 96.3 Previous: 96.2 Industrial Confidence Eurozone FORECAST: -10.9 PREV: -10.9 Eurozone Consumer Confidence FORECAST: -12.5 PREV: -12.5 PREV: -12.9
• 11:00 EU: Eurozone Business Climate Index October
• 13:15 US: ADP Labor Market Report October Private Sector Employment Forecast: +113,000 jobs Previous: +143,000 jobs
• 13:30 US: GDP (1st release) 3Q annualized PROGNOSE: +3.1% yoy Q2: +3.0% yoy GDP deflator PROGNOSE: +2.0% yoy Q2: +2.5% yoy
• 14:00 DE: Consumer prices (preliminary) October PROGNOSE: +0.2% yoy/+1.8% yoy previous: 0.0% yoy/+1.6% yoy HICP PROGNOSE: +0.2% yoy/+2.1% yoy previous: -0.1% yoy/+1.8% yoy

Earnings summary this morning 👇🏼

$BP. (+2,29%)
| BP Q3 2024 Earnings

EPS Adj 13.89C (12.67C)

Adj Net $2.27B (est $2.05B)

Oper Cash Flow $6.16B (est $6.29B)

Net Debt $24.21B (est $23.28)

Plans 1.75B Share Buyback For Third Quarter

Sees 4Q Reported Upstream Production To Be Lower Vs Q3

$OMV (+1,22%) | OMV AG Q3 24 Earnings:

- Clean CCS Oper Profit EU1.10B (est EU1.05B)

- Clean CCS Net Income EU346M (est EU447.8M)

- Still Sees FY Organic CAPEX About EU3.8B (est EU3.68B)

- Sees FY Avg Production 330, 000 To 350, 000 BOE/D

$NOVN (+1,31%) | Novartis Q3 24 Earnings:

- Core EPS $2.06 (est $1.94)

- Net Sales $12.82B (est 12.68B)

- Net Sales Expected To Grow By 'Double Digit'

- Raises FY Outlook

- Now Sees FY Core Oper Income Growth In High Teens

$SAN (+1,92%) | Santander Q3 24 Earnings:

- Net Income EU3.35B (est EU3.17B)

- Net Interest Income EU11.23B (est EU11.57B)

- Net Loan - Loss Provision EU2.98B (est EU3.18B)

- Confident It'll Deliver On All Targets

$HSBA (-0,81%) | HSBC Q3 24 Earnings:

- Div/Shr 10C (est 10C)

- Net Interest Income $7.64B (est $9.25B)

- Sees Div payout Ratio Target Basis of 50% for 2024

- Announces Up $3B Buy Back

$ADS (+1,27%) | Adidas is optimistic after a strong third quarter and confirms a sales increase of 7.3% to 6.4 billion euros. Demand in Europe and growth in China are driving the development, while profits increase by 73.4% to 469 million euros.

$HYQ (-3,38%) | Hypoport increases revenue by 29% to 114 million euros in the third quarter and achieves an operating profit of 3.6 million euros, which is above analysts' expectations. The upturn in real estate finance is driving growth.

$LHA (+0,57%) | Lufthansa announces a savings program to increase adjusted operating profit by EUR 1.5 billion by 2026. Adjusted profit in the third quarter of 2024 falls by 9% to EUR 1.3 billion Deutsche Lufthansa AG expects an operating profit of between EUR 1.4 billion and EUR 1.8 billion for the full year 2024, after focusing on the cost structure in the third quarter. The share is benefiting from hopes of an easing of the Middle East conflict.

$CEC (-0,79%) | Ceconomy exceeds analysts' expectations with adjusted EBIT in the upper half of the range of 290 to 310 million euros. Sales increase by 5.3% to around 22.4 billion euros in the 2023/2024 financial year

$HFG (+1,27%) | HelloFresh Group achieves currency-adjusted revenue growth of 1.9% compared to the previous year and adjusted EBITDA ("AEBITDA") of €72 million

17.10.2024

Adidas weak + Airbus cuts up to 2,500 jobs in defense and aerospace division + LVMH under pressure after figures + Nestle lowers annual targets + Nokia sees turning point coming

For the share of Adidas $ADS (+1,27%) fell by 6.3 percent after the sporting goods manufacturer raised its forecast the previous evening. The stock market criticized the fact that the forecast was now where the consensus of analysts had already seen it beforehand - and therefore did not provide a positive surprise. Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out that operating costs had risen by around 5 percent in the third quarter compared to a stable first half of the year. In addition, luxury goods manufacturer LVMH reported that the short-term outlook remains cautious, as it is unclear whether demand in China has bottomed out and whether growth in the US and Europe is accelerating.

Airbus $AIR (-0,69%) is struggling with huge losses in the satellite business and therefore wants to cut up to 2,500 jobs in its defense and aerospace division. The aerospace company announced on Wednesday that the cuts would take place by mid-2026. The Airbus division employs almost 35,000 people in Germany and other European countries. The locations affected are to be clarified at the end of the year following talks with the trade unions and works councils. Airbus mainly builds satellites in Immenstaad on Lake Constance, in Toulouse, in London and in Munich.

Disappointing quarterly figures from LVMH $MC (+1,15%) put the entire sector under pressure on Wednesday. Luxury and consumer goods stocks fell significantly. LVMH fell by 5.1 percent to 593.70 euros. Also Kering $KER (+1,73%) and numerous other stocks in the sector also lost ground. Negative analyst opinions also played a role for the French cosmetics manufacturer. LVMH continued its disappointing performance in the current year with these losses. The downward trend since the spring is intact, after the share marked new lows for the year and wiped out the recovery attempts of the past week. The French luxury goods group continues to struggle with subdued demand. In the third quarter, turnover fell by three percent, excluding currency effects and acquisitions and disposals of parts of the company. Analysts had expected slight growth of 0.9 percent on average. Overall, turnover fell by 4.4 percent to 19.08 billion euros. This is also less than experts had expected. The analysts at Goldman Sachs therefore spoke of a disappointment, although expectations before the report had already been cautious. The fashion and leather goods segment in particular had suffered from weak demand from China, but the spirits segment had also missed estimates. The economic environment for luxury goods remains difficult and the next six months are unlikely to be easy. L'Oreal $OR (-0,56%) recently lost 3.4 percent to 363.70 euros after JPMorgan downgraded the shares from "Neutral" to "Underweight" and lowered the price target from 390 to 325 euros.

The food group Nestle has lowered its forecasts for the current year following a disappointing quarter. Growth in the first nine months was too low to maintain the previous targets. The new CEO Laurent Freixe has therefore cut expectations for 2024 and the company now expects growth of around two percent. Former CEO Mark Schneider had recently emphasized that Nestle would grow organically by "over 3 percent" for the year as a whole, but this seems too optimistic. Laurent Freixe, who took over as CEO in August after a long career at the food multinational, has now rejected these false hopes and lowered his expectations for the year as a whole.

The network equipment supplier Nokia $NOKIA (+3,16%) is gradually seeing the turning point in its weak markets. "Net sales are recovering more slowly than we expected, but we are compensating for this in part with an improved gross margin and cost savings," said Group CEO Pekka Lundmark in a statement on Thursday. Signs of recovery are already visible in business with fixed-line and IP products. The market for mobile networks, on the other hand, is proving more difficult. In the third quarter, Nokia therefore fell short of analysts' expectations: in the three months to the end of September, net revenue slipped by eight percent year-on-year to 4.3 billion euros. Industry experts had expected more on average.

Thursday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

07:30 TSMC quarterly figures

12:30 KeyCorp quarterly figures

13:00 Travelers Cos quarterly figures

22:00 Netflix quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:00 ABB | Nordea | Nokia | Essilor-Luxottica

07:00 Sartorius quarterly figures | Hella sales 3Q

07:15 Nestle 9 months sales

09:00 Pernod-Ricard 1Q sales

09:00 Sartorius PK

Economic data

• 08:00 DE: Manufacturing orders on hand and backlog August
• 08:00 CH: Trade Balance
• 11:00 EU: Trade balance sb August FORECAST: n/a previous: +15.5 bn euro
• 11:00 EU: Consumer prices September Eurozone FORECAST: -0.1% yoy/+1.8% yoy PREVIEW: -0.1% yoy/+1.8% yoy PREVIEW: +0.1% yoy/+2.2% yoy CORE RATE FORECAST: +0.1% yoy/+2.7% yoy PREVIEW: +0.1% yoy/+2.7% yoy PREVIEW: +0.3% yoy/+2.8% yoy
• 14:15 EU: ECB, outcome of the Governing Council meeting Deposit rate FORECAST: 3.25% previously: 3.50%
• 14:30 US: Retail Sales September PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.1% yoy Retail Sales ex Motor Vehicles PROGNOSE: +0.1% yoy previous: +0.1% yoy
• 14:30 US: Initial jobless claims (week) FORECAST: 260,000 Previous: 258,000
• 14:30 US: Philadelphia Fed Index October FORECAST: 3.0 PREVIOUS: 1.7
• 14:45 EU: ECB, PK after Governing Council meeting
• 15:15 US: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization September Industrial Production PROGNOSE: -0.2% yoy previous: +0.8% yoy Capacity utilization PROGNOSE: 77.8% previous: 78.0%
• 16:00 US: Inventories August PROGNOSE: +0.3% yoy previous: +0.4% yoy

16.10.2024

Relief rally for airlines thanks to oil price + ASML more pessimistic for 2025 after disappointing order intake + Adidas and Puma in demand - strong quarterly figures expected + LVMH records a decline in sales in the third quarter + Ericsson share price jumps after figures

Airline shares were among the day's winners. Oil prices fell by up to 5 percent at the peak, leading to a relief rally. Lufthansa $LHA (+0,57%) rose by 3.2 percent. Oil prices were driven by reports that Israel would not target oil facilities in the event of a retaliatory attack on Iran. In the DAX MTU $MTX (+0,65%) jumped to an all-time high with a 4.9 percent gain. As hoped, the engine manufacturer raised its annual profit forecast slightly to over 1 billion euros.

The chip supplier ASML $ASML (-0,64%) is taking a more cautious view of 2025 after a disappointing order intake. The company announced on Tuesday that net sales are likely to be between 30 and 35 billion euros. ASML had previously expected 30 to 40 billion euros. Analysts previously expected an average of 36 billion euros. The gross margin is now expected to be 51 to 53 percent, compared to 54 to 56 percent previously. Market expectations had previously been just under 54 percent.

The shares of the sporting goods manufacturers Adidas $ADS (+1,27%) and Puma $PUM (-1,71%) posted above-average gains on Tuesday. Stock expert Frederik Altmann from Alpha Wertpapierhandel saw several reasons for this, even though "there is no solid news on the day". Strong quarterly reports are expected from both companies. In addition, both stocks are "China plays". The hope that the announced economic stimuli could rekindle consumer sentiment in China is also driving these two stocks. While Adidas rose by 1.4 percent to 239.90 euros in the Dax, Puma rose by 3.1 percent to 37.13 euros in the MDax. With a view to the upcoming quarterly figures, there was a positive commentary on Puma from Deutsche Bank in addition to an outlook from Metzler Bank. The bank reiterated its buy recommendation and expects the figures expected on November 6 to be a price driver. Adidas plans to report on the past quarter on October 29 - and could also surprise positively, as Warburg Research expects.

LVMH $MC (+1,15%) recorded a 4.4% drop in sales to 19.08 billion euros in the third quarter, which fell short of analysts' expectations. The shares of the luxury goods group fell by around six percent in after-hours trading. Luxury goods stocks such as Hermes, LVMH and Kering record losses of up to 3.5% in the EuroStoxx 50 due to concerns about the Chinese market. Richemont and Swatch in Zurich also lose 3.1% and 1.4% respectively.

The shares of Ericsson $ERIC B (+1,15%) rose significantly in early trading on Tuesday. The shares of the Swedish network equipment provider recently gained 8.5%. The stock thus continued the upward trend of the previous months at an accelerated pace. Just under a year ago, Ericsson achieved a technical turnaround, as a result of which the share price has almost doubled to date. In an initial assessment, analysts at Goldman Sachs spoke of slightly better than expected figures in the third quarter, but of a cautious outlook for the fourth quarter. The analysts at JPMorgan identified as a positive aspect that the better than expected figures were primarily due to the favorable shift in the composition of sales towards the USA. Another positive aspect was the improved free cash flow, which had increased further

Wednesday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia

12:45 U.S. Bancorp quarterly figures

13:30 Morgan Stanley | Abbott Labs quarterly figures

22:10 Alcoa quarterly figures

Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe

07:15 ASML quarterly figures | Just Eat Takeaway Trading Update 3Q

10:00 Swiss Re: Industry meeting in Baden-Baden (Call 10 a.m.)

No time specified: British American Tobacco Capital Markets Day

Economic data

• 08:00 UK: Consumer Prices September | Producer Prices September (Output) FORECAST: -0.3% yoy/-0.6% yoy previous: -0.4% yoy/+0.2% yoy
• 14:30 US: Import and export prices September import prices FORECAST: -0.3% yoy previous: -0.3% yoy