2G·

Partial sale PLTR → Entry NOVO - Your opinion?

What I did:

Sold: 25 shares $PLTR (-0,79%) at €153,40


Bought: 75 shares $NOVO B (-1,61%) at €50.50

Reason:

Why $PLTR (-0,79%) reduced?

  • P/E ratio 2025: 307x - absurdly overvalued even for growth
  • P/E ratio 2026: 218x - Still casino territory
  • Had already sold 50% at +200% (unfortunately too early 🤦)
  • I'll keep the remaining 25 shares for now.
  • Risk management: Secure profits at such valuations

Why $NOVO B (-1,61%) in?

  • Healthcare exposure is missing completely in my portfolio
  • GLP-1 mega-trend: Oral Wegovy performing better than expected in the US
  • Timing: Stock -61% from all-time high, fundamental story intact
  • Valuation: P/E ratio 17x vs. PLTR's 307x - much more rational
  • Long term: 25 year horizon, ageing population = healthcare growth

Risks I see:

  • Eli Lilly competition
  • Trump's tariff threat on Denmark (short-term political uncertainty)
  • Patent cliffs long term
  • Individual stock risk instead of healthcare ETF

My thoughts:

PLTR was a 10-bagger for me, but at P/E 307x it's getting too hot for me. Better to shift some profits into fundamentally more favorable quality stocks. Novo at -64% of top + oral pill launch = interesting risk/reward with a long horizon.

What do you think - justifiable decision or mistake?

Looking forward to your opinions! 🚀

  • Should I have just let PLTR continue to run?
  • Is Novo too risky as a single stock (better a healthcare ETF)?
  • Is the timing with Novo ok or still too early?
16.01
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Venduto a 153,40 €
17
18 Commenti

immagine del profilo
$NOVO B I wouldn't have bought it now.
11
immagine del profilo
Yes, I wanted something for healthcare, maybe the iShares MSCI World Health Care would have been better after all. Let's see, if Novo doesn't perform, I'll just have to switch again... Why not? What would you have bought in the healthcare sector?
1
immagine del profilo
@M3nt4list That depends on how much risk and volatility you can tolerate. And for how long?
immagine del profilo
@Multibagger
My horizon is 20+ years (retirement provision/long-term portfolio). I can ride out fluctuations (drawdowns) of 30-40% as long as the investment case remains fundamentally intact.
1
immagine del profilo
@M3nt4list then take a look at $BNTX.
immagine del profilo
Well, it won't be quite that bad: Novo Nordisk is, after all, the world market leader in insulin - so it's a very big hobbyhorse to ride... In my opinion, it's too short-sighted that everyone is only thinking about weight loss. In the insulin sector we have things like Novorapid, FIASP, Levemir, which pretty much every diabetic should know.
2
immagine del profilo
@Saarmupfel But the fantasy of above-average profits is in the slimming products. The other area has no potential for surprises.
1
immagine del profilo
@Multibagger Thanks for the idea! I'll put Biontech on my watchlist. Thanks to the high cash position, the downside risk is well cushioned, so it's more of a bet with a safety net. Nevertheless, the hurdle in cancer research remains high and success will not be a foregone conclusion. Good luck with it! 🤞
immagine del profilo
@Multibagger probably true, but at least it creates the feeling of investing in a solid company...
2
immagine del profilo
@M3nt4list They have 16 candidates in the pipeline. The study results so far have been good and I think 2-3 with blockbuster potential will come through.
@Multibagger you are clearly too pessimistic for novo
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Visualizza tutti 5 ulteriori risposte
immagine del profilo
Just let it run and it's fine.
3
immagine del profilo
I sold my $NOVO B shares today and hope to buy back in if there is a setback. If you intend to hold for the long term anyway, the entry point doesn't matter.
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