9Mon·

Geopolitical escalations - keep calm ✌️

$CSPX (+0.49%)
$IWDA (+0.39%)
$EIMI (-0.73%)
$CSNDX (+0.54%)
$ACWI (+0.18%)
$VUSA (+0.53%)
$VWRL (+0.21%)

In the case of geopolitical escalations, the average daily loss is 1.2%, the average total loss is 5% and the recovery time is around 47 days.

Just keep calm, stay true to your strategy and don't panic sell ✌️

The historical reaction of the S& P 500 ($CSPX (+0.49%)
$VUSA (+0.53%) ) to important geopolitical events:

Geopolitical shocks usually only have a short-term impact on the performance of the stock markets.

30 Comments

Cash B.@Lumimyrsky

9Mon

seems to be quite irrelevant, depot already +-0 again

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@Lumimyrsky This morning we thought it was the end of the world, it's amazing how resilient the market is. If you wait for the dip, it won't come 🤔

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@BamBamInvest I was just thinking the same thing! Looked in the depot beforehand: Oops, green again 😂

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Sansebastian@Sansebastian

9Mon

@BamBamInvest The dip was in April ;-)

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@BavarianLion Not looking at the portfolio regularly also helps in practice. Experience has shown that watching prices fall further and further is not helpful in such phases and usually leads to reactions that you regret a little later 👍

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HoldTheMike@HoldTheMike

9Mon

@BamBamInvest Time in the market beats timing the market. It bears repeating.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@Sansebastian I hope it remains the only major dip, but I should have picked up 1-2 more values. 😁

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@BamBamInvest I've had some experience on the stock market for a while (since 2016)! However, for personal reasons (stroke of fate) I sold everything in spring 2024 and got back in this year 🙂

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@DiviMike Absolutely right, simply doing nothing is usually the better strategy.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@BavarianLion Welcome back 😁

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@BamBamInvest Just in time for me to buy NVIDIA, Alphabet and Bawag in the dip 😂 Unfortunately, I bought my ETFs at the end of March, but it doesn't matter with them anyway 😉

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View all 3 further answers

Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

It's always good that someone posts something like this, it's especially important for newcomers to the stock market! But I think anyone who has survived Trump April can also cope with the Israel-Iran conflict 😉

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Elfuhr@Elfuhr

9Mon

@BavarianLion yes, I am curious to see whether the "Trump peak" will soon be included in the charts as well

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Thom@Depot_7777

9Mon

Dips always come back, ...as you can see

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Matthias@ZaphodB

9Mon

probably also depends a little on how diversified you are. Admittedly, American securities are certainly not yet so affected, at least at the moment...however, everything will sort itself out again. I'll have to see what happens to ZIM's Israeli shipping company shares now, they've just recovered a bit - maybe a chance, we'll see.

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@ZaphodB I believe that the effects of the tariffs and the attack now (depending on how long it lasts) will only be felt in the second half of the year and will be reflected in the economy, but let's see. Where there are risks, there are also opportunities, I'm curious to see what else happens over the weekend and how the market reacts on Monday.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@BamBamInvest I also think that it will only be possible to assess how the market really reacts on Monday! Besides, you don't know what will happen over the weekend! What surprises me is that we haven't heard any major reaction from the Arab states, or am I wrong? 🤔

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Matthias@ZaphodB

9Mon

@BavarianLion I haven't heard anything about this either, but I can't really imagine that anyone really wants to get involved. To be completely honest, I don't think Iran has a great deal to offer militarily. Perhaps now would be an opportunity, especially for the Iranian people, to put an end to the spook and send the mullahs into retirement. THAT would offer incalculable economic opportunities. We will see. So far, the problem has always been that nobody has "finished" anything.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@ZaphodB Exactly my opinion! If the whole people would stand up now, then there would be a chance to really change something! As for the Arab states, I don't think they want to ruin their good relations with the USA because of a few crazy fundamentalists in Iran! They will sit it out and secretly hope that the mullahs will finally be driven out 😉

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@BavarianLion I heard from a friend whose family lives in Tel Aviv that some people go out into the street to look at it and it feels like 200 rockets have come down, but all but 3-4 of them are intercepted by the defense systems. I haven't read anything more detailed yet, but I haven't done any further research either. But there will certainly be more today or tomorrow. Let's see what happens .

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@ZaphodB I have also heard that the Israelis have the best missile defense systems and that the damage is still limited, let's hope that it doesn't escalate any further.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@BamBamInvest It was clear that the "Iron Dome" would bring down almost everything 👍 2-3 missiles always get through, of course, but there's nothing much Iran can do now! Israel can penetrate Iranian airspace virtually unhindered because they have destroyed all the radar systems! If the Iranians are smart, they'll keep their heads down!

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BamBamInvest@BamBamInvest

9Mon

@BavarianLion let's hope for the common good, regardless of right or wrong, I hope someone comes to their senses.

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Basti92@BavarianLion

9Mon

@BamBamInvest I have many Muslim friends myself and NOBODY likes the government in Iran, so maybe what Israel is doing is for the good of the whole world 😉

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portfolio_manager_2164@portfolio_manager_2164

9Mon

I don't see any reference to the COVID-19 pandemic, the 2000 internet bubble, or the 2009 Great Financial Crisis

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mami_goes_boerse@mami_goes_boerse

9Mon

"Stay cool, fight shock" is, as always, the motto 😉

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