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After my first post on humanoid robots received a lot of positive feedback, I went into more detail. I have subsequently added my favorites in each sector.

Extended analysis of the value chain including shovel manufacturers and potential hidden champions

New categorySecondary key sectors (sales, marketing, financing)

AdditionallyTop 25 companies worldwide, as well as Top 10 Europe and Top 10 Asia

I have also added a video link for beginners. This will give you an idea of how far the development of humanoid robotics has already progressed.

https://www.stern.de/panorama/wissen/humanoider-roboter---wie-reagiert-er-auf-beleidigungen--35996156.html

Thank you for your attention and your support 🙏

🌐 1. value chain of humanoid robots (with hidden champions)

1. research & chip design

$ARM (+0,34%) ARM (UK) - CPU-IP, energy-efficient processors

$SNPS (+1,85%) Synopsys (US) - EDA software, chip design

$CDNS (+3,13%) Cadence (US) - EDA & Simulation

$PTC PTC (US) - Engineering Software, CAD/PLM

$DSY (+1,37%) Dassault Systèmes (FR) - 3D Design & Digital Twin

$SIE (+1,81%) Siemens (DE) - Industrial Software & Lifecycle Mgmt

$ADBE (+2,06%) Adobe (US) - Design, AR/UX

ANSYS (US) - multiphysical simulation - acquisition by Synopsis

Altair (US) - CAE, simulation, digital twin - acquisition by Siemens

$HXGBY (+0,25%)
Hexagon (SE) - Metrology & Simulation

$AWE (+1,06%) Alphawave IP Group (UK) - High-speed chip IP for AI/robotics

1.Synopsis, 2.Siemens and 3.Adobe are my top 3 in this sector

2. manufacturing technology & equipment

$ASML (+1,46%) ASML (NL) - Lithography (EUV)

$AMAT (-0,74%) Applied Materials (US) - Semiconductor equipment

$8035 (+4,08%) Tokyo Electron (JP) - wafer fabrication

$KEYS (+0,29%) Keysight Technologies (US) - Metrology

$6857 (+11,24%) Advantest (JP) - Chip test systems

$TER (-0,99%) Teradyne (US) - test systems + cobots

$6954 (+1,4%) Fanuc (JP) - Industrial robots, CNC

$CAT (-0,42%) Caterpillar (US) - autonomous machines

$KU2G KUKA (DE) - industrial robots

Comau (IT) - automation - not listed on the stock exchange

$ROK Rockwell Automation (US) - industrial automation

$JBL (-0,89%) Jabil (US) - contract manufacturing (EMS/ODM)

$KIT (+0,63%) Kitron (NO) - European EMS/ODM manufacturer

$AIXA (+0,82%) Aixtron (DE) - deposition equipment for compound semiconductors

$LRCX (+2,1%)
Lam Research (US) - Etch/deposition systems

$MKSI (+3,91%)
MKS Instruments (US) - Plasma/vacuum technology

$ASM (+1,34%)
ASM International (NL) - Deposition systems

1.ASML, 2.Keysight Technologies, 3.Fanuc are my top 3 in this sector

3. chip manufacturing (foundries)

$TSM (+2,17%) TSMC (TW) - leading foundry

$005930 Samsung Electronics (KR) - foundry + memory

$GFS (-1,32%) GlobalFoundries (US) - specialty chips

$INTC (+0,08%)
Intel Foundry Services (US) - new western foundry player

$981
SMIC (CN) - largest Chinese foundry

$UMC
UMC (TW) - Power/RF/Embedded chips

1.TSMC, 2.Intel, 3.Samsung Electronics are my top 3 in this sector

4. computing & control unit ("brain")

$NVDA (+0,52%) Nvidia (US) - GPUs, AI chips

$INTC (+0,08%) Intel (US) - CPUs, FPGAs

$AMD (+0,09%) AMD (US) - CPUs, GPUs

$MRVL (+3,56%) Marvell (US) - Network Chips

$MU (+0,2%) Micron (US) - Memory

$DELL (-2,95%) Dell Technologies (US) - Edge & Infrastructure

Graphcore (UK) - AI chips (IPU) - not a listed company

Cerebras (US) - Wafer-scale engine - not a listed company

SiPearl (FR) - European HPC chip - not a listed company

1.Nvidia, 2.Marvell, 3.Micron are my top 3 in this sector

5. sensors ("senses")

$6758 (+3,58%) Sony (JP) - image sensors

$6861 (-2,5%) Keyence (JP) - Industrial sensors

$STM (-1,31%) STMicroelectronics (FR/IT) - Sensors, MCUs

$TDY Teledyne (US) - optical/infrared sensors

$CGNX (-1,16%) Cognex (US) - Machine Vision

$HON (-0,36%) Honeywell (US) - sensor technology, security

ANYbotics (CH) - autonomous sensor fusion - not a listed company

$AMBA (+1,36%) Ambarella (US) - video & computer vision SoCs for real-time image recognition

$OUST
Velodyne Lidar (US) - Lidar sensors - acquisition by Ouster

$AMS (-0,1%)
-OSRAM (AT/DE) - optical sensors

1.Teledyne, 2.Keyence, 3.Ouster are my top 3 in this sector

6. actuators & power electronics ("muscles")

$IFX (+0,46%) Infineon (DE) - Power Electronics

$ON (-0,69%) onsemi (US) - Power & Sensors

$TXN (-1,22%) Texas Instruments (US) - Mixed-Signal Chips

$ADI (+0,33%) Analog Devices (US) - Signal Processing

$PH Parker-Hannifin (US) - Hydraulics/Pneumatics

$MP (-0,74%) MP Materials (US) - Magnets

$APH (-0,92%) Amphenol (US) - Connectors

$6481 (-0,43%) THK (JP) - Linear guides & actuators

$6324 (+4,98%)
Harmonic Drive (JP) - Precision gears & servo drives for robotics

$6594 (-2,82%)
Nidec (JP) - Electric motors

$6506 (+1,8%)
Yaskawa (JP) - Drives & Robotics

$SU (+2,91%)
Schneider Electric (FR) - Energy & control solutions

$ZIL2 (-0,8%)
ElringKlinger (DE) - Battery & fuel cell technology, lightweight construction

1.Parker-Hannifin, 2.MP Materials, 3.Infinion are my top 3 in this sector

7. communication & networking ("nerves")

$QCOM (-0,19%) Qualcomm (US) - mobile communications, edge AI

$ANET (-1,83%) Arista Networks (US) - Networks

$CSCO (-0,22%) Cisco (US) - Networks, Security

$EQIX (-1,51%) Equinix (US) - Data centers

NTT Docomo (JP) - 5G/6G carrier - not a listed company

$VZ Verizon (US) - Telecommunications

$SFTBY SoftBank (JP) - Carrier + Robotics

$ERIC B (-2,4%)
Ericsson (SE) - 5G/IoT infrastructure

$NOKIA (+0,05%)
Nokia (FI) - 5G/6G for industry

$HPE (-0,38%)
Juniper Networks (US) - Network technology - acquisition by HP

1.Arista Networks, 2.SoftBank, 3.Cisco are my top 3 in this sector

8. energy supply

$3750 (-1,16%) CATL (CN) - Batteries

$6752 (+0,2%) Panasonic (JP) - Batteries

$373220 LG Energy (KR) - Batteries

$ALB (+0,48%) Albemarle (US) - Lithium

$LYC (+4,15%) Lynas (AU) - Rare earths

$UMICY (-1,25%) Umicore (BE) - Recycling

WiTricity (US) - inductive charging - not a listed company

$ABBN (+1,3%) Charging (CH) - charging infrastructure

$SLDP
Solid Power (US) - Solid state batteries

Northvolt (SE) - European batteries - not a listed company

$PLUG
Plug Power (US) - fuel cells

1.Albemarle, 2.CATL, 3.Panasonic are my top 3 in this sector

9. cloud & infrastructure

$AMZN (+1,22%) Amazon AWS (US) - Cloud, AI

$MSFT (+0,49%) Microsoft Azure (US) - Cloud, AI

$GOOG (-0,62%) Alphabet Google Cloud (US) - Cloud, ML

$VRT
Vertiv Holdings (US) - Data center infrastructure (UPS, cooling, edge)

$ORCL (+2,71%)
Oracle Cloud (US) - ERP + Cloud

$IBM (+2,72%)
IBM Cloud (US) - Hybrid cloud + AI

$OVH (-1,69%)
OVHcloud (FR) - European cloud

1.Alphabet, 2.Microsoft, 3.Oracle are my top 3 in this sector

10. software & data platforms

$PLTR (+1,94%) Palantir (US) - Data integration

$DDOG (+0,22%) Datadog (US) - Monitoring

$SNOW (+0,32%) Snowflake (US) - Data Cloud

$ORCL (+2,71%) Oracle (US) - Databases, ERP

$SAP (-0,1%) SAP (DE) - ERP systems

$SPGI S&P Global (US) - financial/market data

ROS2 Foundation - robotics middleware - not listed on the stock exchange

$NVDA (+0,52%) NVIDIA Isaac (US) - robotics development - part of Nvidia

$INOD (+8,52%) Innodata (US) - data annotation & AI training data

$PATH (+2,98%)
UiPath (RO/US) - Robotic process automation

$AI (+0,57%)
C3.ai (US) - AI platform

$ESTC (+5,97%)
(NL/US) - Search & data analysis

1.S&P Global, 2.Palantir, 3.Datadog are my top 3 in this sector

11. end applications / robots

$ABB ABB (CH/SE) - Industrial Robots

$6954 (+1,4%) Fanuc (JP) - Industrial robots

$TSLA (-1,73%) Tesla Optimus (US) - humanoid robot

$9618 (+2,45%) JD.com (CN) - logistics robot

$AAPL (-1,23%) Apple (US) - Platform & UX

$700 (+2,38%) Tencent (CN) - Platform & AI

$9988 (+6,58%) Alibaba (CN) - logistics & platform

PAL Robotics (ES) - humanoid robots - not a listed company

Neura Robotics (DE) - cognitive humanoid robots - not a listed company

$TER (-0,99%) Universal Robots (DK) - cobots - belongs to the Teradyne Corporation

Engineered Arts (UK) - humanoid robots - not a listed company

$ISRG (+0,31%) Intuitive Surgical (US) - surgical robotics

$GMED (-2,42%)
Globus Medical (US) - surgical robotics (ExcelsiusGPS platform)

$7012 (+2,18%) Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - industrial robots, automation

$CPNG (+7,77%) Coupang (KR) - Logistics end user

$IRBT (+1,99%)
iRobot (US) - consumer robotics (e.g. Roomba), non-humanoid, but navigation/sensor fusion

Boston Dynamics (US) - humanoid & mobile robots-no listed company

Hanson Robotics (HK) - humanoid robots (Sophia) - not a listed company

Agility Robotics (US) - humanoid robot "Digit" - not a listed company

1.Apple, 2.Tencent, 3.Alibaba are my top 3 in this sector

🛠 2. cross enablers (shovel manufacturers) - with hidden champions

Raw materials & battery materials

Albemarle - Lynas - Umicore

$SQM
SQM (CL) - Lithium

$ILU (+2,37%)
Iluka Resources (AU) - Rare earths

$ARR (-3,37%)
American Rare Earths (US/AU) - New supply chains

my number 1 in the sector is Albemarle

manufacturing technology

ASML - Applied Materials - Tokyo Electron

$LRCX (+2,1%)
Lam Research (US) - Plasma/etching processes

$ASM (+1,34%)
ASM International (NL) - ALD equipment

$MKSI (+3,91%)
MKS Instruments (US) - Plasma/vacuum technology

my number 1 in the sector is ASML

Quality assurance

Keysight - Advantest - Teradyne

$EMR (-0,35%)
National Instruments (US) - Measurement technology - from Emerson Electric adopted

$300567
ATE Test Systems (CN) - test systems

$FORM (+0,4%)
FormFactor (US) - Wafer probing

my number 1 in the sector is Keysight

Motion & Drive

Parker-Hannifin

Festo (DE) - Pneumatics, Soft Robotics - not a listed company

Bosch Rexroth (DE) - Drives, Controls - not a listed company

$6481 (-0,43%)
THK (JP) - Linear guides

my number 1 in the sector is Parker-Hannifin

Sensors/Imaging

$TDY Teledyne

$BSL (-0,77%) Basler (DE) - Industrial cameras

FLIR (US) - Thermal imaging sensors - acquisition by Teledyne

ISRA Vision (DE) - Machine Vision - not a listed company

my number 1 in the sector is Teledyne

Magnets & Materials

MP Materials

$6501 (+1,62%)
Hitachi Metals (JP) - Magnetic materials

VacuumSchmelze (DE) - Magnetic materials - not a listed company

$4063 (-0,08%)
Shin-Etsu Chemical (JP) - Specialty materials

my number 1 in the sector is MP Materials

Chip Design & Simulation

Synopsys - Cadence - ARM

$SIE (+1,81%)
Siemens EDA (DE/US)-Mentor Graphics-strategic business unit of Siemens AG

Imagination Tech (UK) - GPU-IP - not a listed company

$CEVA (+1,55%)
CEVA (IL) - Signal Processor IP

my number 1 in the sector is Synopsys

Engineering & Lifecycle

PTC - Dassault - Siemens

Altair (US) - Simulation - no longer a listed company

$HXGBY (+0,25%)
Hexagon (SE) - Metrology

$SNPS (+1,85%)
ANSYS (US) - Simulation - takeover by Synopsys

my number 1 in the sector is Siemens

Networks & Data Centers

Arista - Cisco - Equinix

$HPE (-0,38%)
Juniper (US) - Networks - Acquisition of HPE

$DTE (-3,85%)
T-Systems (DE) - Industry cloud

$OVH (-1,69%)
OVHcloud (FR) - European cloud

my number 1 in the sector is Arista

Cloud infrastructure

AWS - Azure - Google Cloud

$ORCL (+2,71%)
Oracle Cloud (US) - ERP & databases

$IBM (+2,72%)
IBM Cloud (US) - Hybrid Cloud

$9988 (+6,58%)
Alibaba Cloud (CN) - Asian Cloud

$VRT
Vertiv Holdings (US) - Cloud/Infra

my number 1 in the sector is Alphabet (Google)

finance/information infra

S&P Global

$MCO
Moody's (US) - Ratings

$MSCI (+3,05%)
MSCI (US) - Indices

$MORN
Morningstar (US) - Investment Research

my number 1 in the sector is S&P Global

Creative/Experience Infra

Adobe

$ADSK (+0,09%)
Autodesk (US) - CAD & Design

$U
Unity (US) - 3D/AR simulation

Epic Games (US) - Unreal Engine - not a listed company

my number 1 in the sector is Adobe

Platform & Ecosystem

Apple - Tencent - Alibaba

$META (-0,1%)
Meta (US) - AR/VR, Social Robotics

ByteDance (CN) - AI & platforms - not a listed company

$9888 (+6,04%)
Baidu (CN) - AI & Cloud

my number 1 in the sector is Tencent

Infrastructure/Edge

Dell

$HPE (-0,38%)
HPE (US) - Edge Computing

$SMCI
Supermicro (US) - AI servers

$6702 (+2,11%)
Fujitsu (JP) - Edge & HPC

my number 1 in the sector is Dell

storage solutions

Micron

$000660
SK Hynix (KR) - Memory

$285A (+3,39%)
Kioxia (JP) - NAND

$WDC
Western Digital (US) - Storage solutions

my number 1 in the sector is Micron

🏛 3. secondary key sectors with hidden champions

Financing & Capital

$GS (-0,07%) Goldman Sachs (US) - investment bank; ECM/DCM, M&A, growth financing

$MS Morgan Stanley (US) - investment bank; tech banking, capital markets

$BLK (+0,06%) BlackRock (US) - asset manager; capital allocation, ETFs/index funds

$9984 (-1,03%) SoftBank Vision Fund (JP) - mega VC; growth equity in robotics/AI

Sequoia Capital (US) - venture capital; early/growth in AI/robotics - this is a classic venture capital fund

DARPA (US) - government R&D funding (robotics/defense) - independent research and development agency

EU Horizon (EU) - research funding/grants for DeepTech - Innovative Europe pillar

China State Funds (CN) - state industry/technology fund

Lux Capital (US) - VC for DeepTech - Uptake (US) - AI-based predictive maintenance

DCVC (US) - Robotics & AI focus - investing exclusively via VC fund investments

Speedinvest (AT) - EU VC for robotics - access to investment only via fund investments

my number 1 in the sector is Softbank

Maintenance & Service

$SIE (+1,81%) Siemens (DE) - Industrial Service, Lifecycle & Retrofit

$ABBN (+1,3%) ABB (CH/SE) - Robotics Service, Spare Parts, Field Support

$GEHC (+3,2%) GE Healthcare (US) - Medtech service incl. robotic systems

Uptake (US) - AI-based predictive maintenance - not a listed company

Augury (US/IL) - condition monitoring, condition diagnostics - not a listed company

$KU2 KUKA Service (DE) - Robotics maintenance

$6954 (+1,4%) Fanuc Service (JP) - global service network

Boston Dynamics AI Institute (US) - Robotics longevity - funded by Hyundai Motor Group

my number 1 in the sector is Siemens

Marketing & Advertising

$WPP (+0,22%) WPP (UK) - global advertising group; branding/communications

$OMC Omnicom (US) - marketing/PR network

$PUB (+0,42%) Publicis (FR) - communications/advertising group

$META (-0,1%) Meta (US) - Digital Ads (Facebook/Instagram)

$GOOG (-0,62%) Google Ads (US) - search & display advertising

TikTok / ByteDance (CN) - social ads & distribution - not a listed company

$AAPL (-1,23%) Apple (US) - Branding/UX; Acceptance & Platform Marketing

$WPP (+0,22%)
AKQA (UK/US) - Tech branding - Since 2012 majority owned by the WPP Groupbut continues to operate as an autonomous operating unit

R/GA (US) - Innovation marketing - not a listed company

Serviceplan (DE) - largest independent EU agency - not a listed company

my number 1 in the sector is Meta

Law, Regulation & Ethics

ISO (CH) - international standards, robotics standards

TÜV (DE) - certification & safety tests

UL (US) - safety/conformity testing

EU AI Act (EU) - legal framework for AI & robotics

UNESCO AI Ethics (UN) - global ethics guidelines

Fraunhofer IPA (DE) - Robotics safety standards

ANSI (US) - standards

IEC (CH) - Electrical engineering standards

Training & Talent

MIT (US) - Robotics/AI Research & Education

ETH Zurich (CH) - autonomous systems & robotics

Stanford (US) - AI/Robotics labs & spin-offs

Tsinghua University (CN) - Robotics/AI in Asia

CMU (US) - Robotics Institute

EPFL (CH) - Robotics research

TU Munich (DE) - humanoid robot "Roboy"

🌍 Top 25 companies for humanoid robotics

These companies are central to the development & production of humanoid robotsbecause without them, crucial parts of the chain would be missing:

Chips & computing power (brain of the robots)

$NVDA (+0,52%) Nvidia (US) - AI GPUs & Isaac platform, foundation for robotic AI

$2330 TSMC (TW) - world's most important foundry, produces the AI chips

$ASML (+1,46%) ASML (NL) - EUV lithography, indispensable for chip production

$005930 Samsung Electronics (KR) - memory, logic, foundry

$000660 SK Hynix (KR) - DRAM & NAND memory for AI

$MU (+0,2%) Micron (US) - Memory solutions for AI workloads

my number 1 in the sector is ASML

Sensors & perception (senses of robots)

$SONY Sony (JP) - image sensors, market leader

$6861 (-2,5%) Keyence (JP) - Industrial sensors & vision systems

$CGNX (-1,16%) Cognex (US) - Machine Vision, precise image processing

my number 1 in the sector is Keyence

Actuators & motion (muscles of robots)

$IFX (+0,46%) Infineon (DE) - power electronics, motor control

$6594 (-2,82%) Nidec (JP) - World market leader for electric motors

$PH Parker-Hannifin (US) - hydraulics/pneumatics, motion technology

$6481 (-0,43%) THK (JP) - Linear guides & actuators

my number 1 in the sector is Parker-Hannifin

Communication, cloud & infrastructure (nerves & data flow)

$QCOM (-0,19%) Qualcomm (US) - Mobile & Edge Chips

$AMZN (+1,22%) Amazon AWS (US) - Cloud & AI infrastructure

$MSFT (+0,49%) Microsoft Azure (US) - Cloud, AI services

$CSCO (-0,22%) Cisco (US) - Networks & Security

$VRT Vertiv Holdings (US) - Data Center Infrastructure

my number 1 in the sector is Microsoft

End Applications & Platforms (robots themselves)

$TSLA (-1,73%) Tesla (US) - humanoid robot Optimus

$ABBN (+1,3%) ABB (CH/SE) - Robotics & Automation

$6954 (+1,4%) Fanuc (JP) - industrial robots & CNC systems

$7012 (+2,18%) Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - industrial robots

PAL Robotics (ES) - humanoid robots (TALOS, ARI, TIAGo) - not a listed company

Neura Robotics (DE) - cognitive humanoid robots - not a listed company

Universal Robots (DK) - cobots

my number 1 in the sector is Tesla

🇪🇺 Top 10 European key companies for humanoid robotics

$ASML (+1,46%)
ASML (NL)

World market leader in EUV lithography - no modern chips for AI & robotics without ASML.

$IFX (+0,46%) Infineon (DE)

Leading in power electronics & motor control - crucial for actuators of humanoid robots.

$STM (-1,31%)
STMicroelectronics (FR/IT)

Sensors, microcontrollers & power chips - the basis for control & perception.

$SAP (-0,1%)
SAP (DE)

ERP & data platforms, important for integrating humanoid robots into industrial processes.

$SIE (+1,81%)
Siemens (DE)

Industrial software, automation, digital twin - key for engineering & lifecycle management.

$KU2 KUKA (EN)

Robotics pioneer, industrial robots & automation - know-how for humanoid motion mechanics.

PAL Robotics (ES) - not a listed company

Specialist for humanoid robots (TALOS, ARI, TIAGo), internationally used in research & service.

Neura Robotics (DE) - Not a listed company

Young high-tech company, develops cognitive humanoid robots with advanced AI (4NE-1).

Universal Robots (DK) - Not a listed company

Market leader for cobots - platform for safe human-robot collaboration.

Engineered Arts (UK) - not a listed company

Develops humanoid robots such as Amecaknown for realistic facial expressions & gestures - important for HRI (Human-Robot Interaction)

🌏 Top 10 Asian key companies for humanoid robotics

$2330
TSMC (Taiwan)

World's largest semiconductor foundry, produces high-end chips (e.g. Nvidia, AMD, Apple) - no AI hardware without TSMC.

$005930
Samsung Electronics (South Korea)

Foundry, memory, logic chips, image sensors - extremely broadly positioned in robotics components.

$000660
SK Hynix (KR) - Memory

$SONY
Sony (Japan)

Market leader in CMOS image sensors, essential for robotic vision & perception.

$6861 (-2,5%)
Keyence (Japan)

Sensor technology & machine vision for industrial automation, widely used in robotics.

$6954 (+1,4%)
Fanuc (Japan)

Industrial robots & CNC systems, one of the most important manufacturers of robotics hardware worldwide.

$6506 (+1,8%)
Yaskawa Electric (Japan)

Drives, motion control & robot arms - relevant for humanoid motion control.

$6594 (-2,82%)
Nidec (Japan)

World market leader for electric motors (from mini motors to high-performance drives).

$7012 (+2,18%)
Kawasaki Heavy Industries (JP) - Industrial robots

$9618 (+2,45%)
JD.com (China)

Driver for robotics in e-commerce & logistics, invests in humanoid robotics applications

The hype is all about humanoid robots, but the constant winners are in the background.

I have divided the analysis into two perspectives. 1. the complete value chain of humanoid robots, which shows all the players from the chip to the finished robot, and 2. the blade manufacturers in the background, who always earn money as enablers, regardless of which manufacturer wins the race.

ASML, Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron dominate in manufacturing technology. Quality assurance comes from Keysight, Advantest and Teradyne. Chip design is supported by Synopsys, Cadence and ARM. Data streams are secured by Arista Networks, Cisco and Equinix. The computing basis is created in the cloud by Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet. Albemarle, Lynas and Umicore play a central role in raw materials and battery materials. These companies monetize their customers' investment waves, have high barriers to entry, service revenues and pricing power, but remain cyclical with risks from export rules, capex cuts and currency movements.

🌐 Value chain of humanoid robots Sector overview

1. research & chip design (IP / EDA)

$ARM (+0,34%)
ARM Holdings (ARM, UK/USA) - CPU architectures

$SNPS (+1,85%)
Synopsys (SNPS, USA) - Chip design software

$CDNS (+3,13%)
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS, USA) - EDA & Simulation

2. manufacturing technology & equipment

$ASML (+1,46%)
ASML (ASML, NL) - EUV lithography, key monopoly

$AMAT (-0,74%)
Applied Materials (AMAT, USA) - Process equipment

$8035 (+4,08%)
Tokyo Electron (8035.T, JP) - Wafer equipment

$KEYS (+0,29%)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS, USA) - Test & RF measurement technology

$6857 (+11,24%)
Advantest (6857.T, JP) - Semiconductor test systems

$TER (-0,99%)
Teradyne (TER, USA) - Test systems + robotics (Universal Robots)

3. chip production (Foundries)

$TSM (+2,17%)
TSMC (TSM, TW) - Largest contract manufacturer

$005930
Samsung Electronics (005930.KQ, KR) - Memory + Foundry

$GFS (-1,32%)
GlobalFoundries (GFS, USA) - Specialized production

4. computing & control unit ("brain")

$NVDA (+0,52%)
Nvidia (NVDA, USA) - GPUs, AI accelerators

$INTC (+0,08%)
Intel (INTC, USA) - CPUs, FPGAs

$AMD (+0,09%)
AMD (AMD, USA) - CPUs/GPUs

$MRVL (+3,56%)
Marvell Technology (MRVL, USA) - Network/data center chips

5. sensors ("senses")

$6758 (+3,58%)
Sony (6758.T, JP) - CMOS image sensors

$6861 (-2,5%)
Keyence (6861.T, JP) - Vision systems, sensors

$STM (-1,31%)
STMicroelectronics (STM, CH/FR) - MEMS sensors

6. actuators & power electronics ("muscles")

$IFX (+0,46%)
Infineon (IFX, DE) - Power semiconductors, SiC

$ON (-0,69%)
N Semiconductor (ON, USA) - SiC/Power Chips

$STM (-1,31%)
STMicroelectronics (STM, CH/FR) - Motor control & power

$TXN (-1,22%)
Texas Instruments (TXN, USA) - Motor control, power ICs

$ADI (+0,33%)
Analog Devices (ADI, USA) - Energy & BMS chips

7. communication & networking ("nerves")

$QCOM (-0,19%)
Qualcomm (QCOM, USA) - 5G/SoCs

$AVGO (+3,78%)
Broadcom (AVGO, USA) - Network & radio chips

$SWKS (+0,13%)
Skyworks Solutions (SWKS, USA) - RF components

8. energy supply

$300750
CATL (300750.SZ, CN) - Batteries

$6752 (+0,2%)
Panasonic (6752.T, JP) - Batteries for automotive/robotics

$373220
LG Energy Solution (373220.KQ, KR) - Batteries

9. cloud & infrastructure

$AMZN (+1,22%)
Amazon (AMZN, USA) - AWS

$MSFT (+0,49%)
Microsoft (MSFT, USA) - Azure

$GOOG (-0,62%)
Alphabet (GOOGL, USA) - Google Cloud

$EQIX (-1,51%)
Equinix (EQIX, USA) - Data center operator

$ANET (-1,83%)
Arista Networks (ANET, USA) - Network infrastructure

$CSCO (-0,22%)
Cisco Systems (CSCO, USA) - Edge & Data Center Networks

10. software & data platforms

$PLTR (+1,94%)
Palantir (PLTR, USA) - Data integration, decision software

$DDOG (+0,22%)
Datadog (DDOG, USA) - Cloud monitoring / observability

$SNOW (+0,32%)
Snowflake (SNOW, USA) - Cloud-native data platform

$ORCL (+2,71%)
Oracle (ORCL, USA) - Databases, ERP

$SAP (-0,1%)
SAP (SAP, DE) - ERP/cloud systems

$PATH (+2,98%)
UiPath (PATH, USA) - Automation software (RPA)

$AI (+0,57%)
C3.ai (AI, USA) - Enterprise AI platform

11. end applications / robots

$ABB
ABB (ABB, CH) - Industrial robots

$6954 (+1,4%)
Fanuc (6954.T, JP) - Industrial robots, CNC

$TSLA (-1,73%)
Tesla (TSLA, USA) - Optimus" humanoid robot

$9618 (+2,45%)
JD.com (JD, CN) - E-commerce & automated logistics

🛠️ Shovel manufacturer for humanoid robots

🔹 Hardtech (physical "shovels")

These companies provide the material basis: manufacturing machines, raw materials, semiconductor base.

Semiconductor Equipment & Manufacturing

$ASML (+1,46%)
ASML (ASML, NL) - EUV lithography (monopoly).

$AMAT (-0,74%)
Applied Materials (AMAT, USA) - Wafer equipment.

$8035 (+4,08%)
Tokyo Electron (8035.T, JP) - Process equipment.

Test systems (hardware-side)

$6857 (+11,24%)
Advantest (6857.T, JP) - Semiconductor test.

$TER (-0,99%)
Teradyne (TER, USA) - Test systems + industrial robots.

Materials & raw materials

$ALB (+0,48%)
Albemarle (ALB, USA) - Lithium (batteries).

$LYC (+4,15%)
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX, AUS) - Rare earths for magnets.

$UMICY (-1,25%)
Umicore (UMI.BR, BE) - Cathode materials, recycling.

🔹 Soft/infra (digital "shovels")

These companies supply the infrastructure & toolswithout which development, training and operation would be impossible.

Design Software & IP

$SNPS (+1,85%)
Synopsys (SNPS, USA) - EDA software.

$CDNS (+3,13%)
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS, USA) - Chip design & simulation.

$ARM (+0,34%)
ARM Holdings (ARM, UK/USA) - CPU architectures (license model).

Test & Measurement (software/signal level)

$KEYS (+0,29%)
Keysight Technologies (KEYS, USA) - Electronics & RF test systems.

Network & data center backbone

$ANET (-1,83%)
Arista Networks (ANET, USA) - High-speed networks.

$CSCO (-0,22%)
Cisco Systems (CSCO, USA) - Data center/edge networks.

$EQIX (-1,51%)
Equinix (EQIX, USA) - Data centers (colocation).

Cloud infrastructure

$AMZN (+1,22%)
Amazon (AMZN, USA) - AWS (cloud, AI training).

$MSFT (+0,49%)
Microsoft (MSFT, USA) - Azure.

$GOOG (-0,62%)
Alphabet (GOOGL, USA) - Google Cloud.

Takeaway: Investing in the infrastructure stack allows you to participate in the robotics trend regardless of the subsequent product winner and reduces the individual product risk, but you have to live with cycles. In your opinion, which stage of the chain offers the best risk/return combination and fits into a disciplined portfolio?

Source: Own analysis based on publicly available company information and IR materials of the companies mentioned.

Image material: Techa Tungateja/iStockphoto

Advertising platform provider The Trade Desk joins the S&P 500. Smartphone broker Robinhood comes away empty-handed again.

$TTD (-0,33%) will be included in the S&P 500 before the start of trading next Friday, replacing the shares of the software company $ANSS that is about to be taken over by $SNPS (+1,85%) is about to be taken over by This was announced by the index provider S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Shares in The Trade Desk rose by 14.68% to USD 86.50 in after-hours trading in response to the news.

Robinhood remains on the sidelines

The shares of the smartphone broker $HOOD (+15,43%) was passed over for inclusion in the S&P 500 index for the third time in just a few weeks. At the beginning of June, Robinhood shares were not included in the index as part of a regular index review, although the company met all the criteria and many market participants had expected it to be included. At the beginning of July, Robinhood shares were also not included in the S&P 500 in an irregular index adjustment due to the takeover of Juniper Networks by Hewlett Packard Enterprise, but Datadog shares were.

Even now, there would have been many arguments in favor of Robinhood's inclusion in the S&P 500. The fintech meets the profitability and liquidity criteria for inclusion in the S&P 500 and, at USD 88 billion, has a market capitalization more than twice as high as The Trade Desk at around USD 37 billion. Robinhood is therefore also one of the largest companies not yet represented in the index. In recent months, Robinhood has recorded exceptionally strong share price momentum: since the beginning of the year, the share price has risen by 168%, while The Trade Desk has lost more than 35% in the same period. Robinhood's growing importance in the retail brokerage sector and the high level of trading activity in the share could also have been arguments in favor of Robinhood's inclusion in the index.

Although the composition of the S&P 500 is based on the market capitalization of companies in addition to formal criteria such as trading volume and profitability, the index committee has leeway when including new shares in this important index. Reasons for Robinhood's non-inclusion could be that the share has recently been very volatile and the company has been in the headlines several times due to regulatory violations and disputes with the US financial regulator FINRA.

With the inclusion of The Trade Desk in the S&P 500, a stock that has been weakening since the beginning of the year has received a tailwind, while Robinhood was once again overlooked despite its significantly higher market capitalization.

Background

In January 2024, Synopsys announced $SNPS (+1,85%) announced that it would acquire Ansys $ANSS for 35 billion US dollars. The deal means that each Ansys shareholder will receive 197 US dollars and 0.345 Synopsys shares for each Ansys share held. After I became aware of this acquisition, I wrote a post on April 29, 2025 in which I pointed out the percentage difference between the then current price of Ansys stock and the sum of the price of 0.345 shares of Synopsys and the $197. That was about a 10% difference at the time. I joined Ansys as an experiment.

Today it was announced that the Chinese market regulator has granted the decisive approval for the acquisition under certain conditions. According to Reuters Synopsys and Ansys plan to finalize the acquisition on Thursday.

finance.yahoo.com please click on image for full view

Since the end of April, Ansys shares (blue) have significantly outperformed the MSCI World (purple).

What I have learned:

• I didn't have the expertise to assess whether the takeover would take place as planned.

• Not a simple, safe trade: The Ansys and Synopsys share price was very volatile.

• I underestimated the US-China risk in relation to the crucial approval of the Chinese competition authority.

• Timing is crucial: If I had entered in January, I would not have made any profits.

Disclaimer

This is not investment advice. These are personal assessments that cannot replace professional advice. You can find the detailed and complete stock analysis on my free substack (link in profile).

Conclusion

To summarize, I had more luck than sense. The composition of the deal was also relatively opaque and complicated. Personally, I will refrain from such short-term trades from now on.

$SNPS (+1,85%)
$CDNS (+3,13%)

https://de.marketscreener.com/kurs/aktie/SYNOPSYS-INC-4908/news/Trump-fordert-US-Chipdesigner-auf-Verkauf-nach-China-einzustellen-berichtet-die-Financial-Times-50093259/

$SNPS (+1,85%) Synopsys announced in January 2024 $ANSS to acquire Ansys for 35 billion. Under the terms of the deal, each Ansys shareholder will receive $197 and 0.345 Synopsys shares per share. The current share price of Ansys is $302.74 and of Synopsys $413.32.

At the current price, this would mean: $197 + 0.345*$413.32 = $339.6 per Ansys share.

However, the current Ansys share price is $302.74. That is about 12% difference. The European and British competition authorities have already approved the deal. The takeover is planned for the first half of 2025.

How certain is it that the takeover will take place and that Synopsys will not pull out? Wouldn't it be smart to trade it? What do you think?

Drawdowns from the 52-week high:

Nvidia: -20% $NVDA (+0,52%)

Fair Isaac: -23% $FICO (-0,08%)

Synopsys: -26% $SNPS (+1,85%)

Axon Enterprise: -27% $AXON (+1,26%)

ASML: -33% $ASML (+1,46%)

Novo Nordisk: -38% $NOVO B (-1,84%)

Tesla: -42% $TSLA (-1,73%)

Coinbase: -42% $COIN (+0,63%)

Trade Desk: -50% $TTD (-0,33%)

AMD: -54% $AMD (+0,09%)

Have the companies already reached interesting levels for you to enter / buy or are they still too expensive despite the drawdown?

These shares reached new 52-week lows at the beginning of this week:

AMD $AMD (+0,09%)

Intuit $INTU (-0,57%)

Synopsys $SNPS (+1,85%)

Are you a buyer? Or are these companies not on your list of priorities?