• $MELI (-4,31%) MercadoLibre (MELI) reported sales of USD 6.06 billion for the quarter ended December 2024, an increase of 42.2% year-on-year.

• Earnings per share (EPS) of USD 12.61 for the same period compares to USD 3.25 in the previous year.

• The reported revenue is above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.84 billion, which is a surprise of +3.71%.

• The company delivered an EPS surprise of +73.69%, where the consensus EPS estimate was $7.26.

• Gross merchandise volume was $14.55 billion compared to the average estimate of $14.71 billion based on four analysts.

• Total payment volume amounted to USD 58.91 billion compared to the average estimate of USD 59.80 billion based on two analysts.

• Geographic revenue - Argentina: $1.31 billion compared to the average estimate of $941.23 million based on two analysts.

Greetings.

I'm currently somewhat liquid again and looking around for opportunities.

The FOMO has really hit me hard and is making me very unhappy. But I'm sure a few more opportunities will come up.

Why?

I've been on the stock market since 04/2024 (very short-term) and have had a few companies on my radar since then. On the one hand $HIMS (-26,15%) which I was advised against by some analyses (price at around €13)

Then it was $1810 (+2,88%) Xiaomi at €2.80

I bought a cell phone from Xiaomi 3 years ago and was more than impressed. But I didn't buy it because I read that it was stupid to invest in Chinese companies.

At $PLTR (-3,33%) I waited for a correction at €17 and then unfortunately missed the train completely and lost sight of it.

The last one was $RKT RocketLab, which I took a look at at €10. I assumed that they had no future here, as Space X would take over the market as a more than major competitor.

$MC (+0,4%) I actually missed out on this too, as the share price rose faster than I would have liked.

I was on the verge of investing in all 5 and blocked myself from doing so. That's why it really hurts to see other people's returns and not have done it. (I wish everyone here all the best) That's what the community is for.

The pain will remain, but I am currently looking to the future.

My current watchlist consists of:

$AMD (-2,29%) I am still waiting for a bottom to form here. But I don't think it will fall significantly. With the new Playstation and the huge demand that Nvidia cannot meet on its own and the decreasing competition from Intel, I think it is very interesting.

Target price to buy/tranche at €105 or €115, depending on how it develops.

$GRAB (+1,66%) I wanted to get in here a few days ago and suddenly the +15% came.

In my opinion, it has a lot of potential and is very well known in certain regions. Competition is also limited and Uber is not interested in the market.

Target price to buy/tranche at 5€

$RKLB (-6,21%) will hopefully come back to €20. That's where I would get in. I see a lot of opportunities for Space in the long term, as it could be a future trend.

$MELI (-4,31%) If it corrects again and at $NU (-11,11%) I am currently waiting again.

Also exciting is $SUNN (-2,87%) or $BABA (+5,86%)

What is your opinion? And what is on your watchlist and when would you buy? I find what you have on your radar pretty exciting at the moment.

Sea Limited ($SE (-2,53%) ) is a versatile company from Singapore that has developed a super app has built a strong ecosystem of e-commerce, gaming and FinTech. After explosive growth in recent years and a subsequent fall in the share price, many investors are asking themselves: Does Sea Ltd still have potential for a turnaround?

Overview: What does Sea Limited do?

Sea Limited is active in three core areas:

✅ Shopee (e-commerce): One of the largest e-commerce platforms in Southeast Asia, Taiwan and Brazil. Competition for Alibaba (Lazada), Tokopedia and MercadoLibre.

✅ Garena (Gaming): Developer of the globally successful mobile game Free Fire. Formerly the engine of growth, now weakening.

✅ SeaMoney (FinTech): Digital financial services, including lending and payment processing, strongly integrated into Shopee.

Sea Limited pursues a vertical business model where the different divisions reinforce each other - Shopee drives SeaMoney, while Garena used to deliver high profits to fund expansions.

Competition: Who are the competitors?

🔸 Alibaba $BABA (+5,86%)
(Lazada.) & Tokopedia - Strong e-commerce competition in Southeast Asia.

🔸 Amazon
$AMZN (-2,39%) - A growing threat, especially in markets such as Brazil

🔸 MercadoLibre $MELI (-4,31%) - The market leader in Latin America and a direct opponent in Brazil.

🔸 Tencent $TCEHY (+2,81%)
& NetEase
$NTES (+2,07%) - Strong competition in the gaming segment, especially in China.

🔸 Revolut, Grab $GRAB (+1,66%)
& Ant Group - FinTech competitors that offer similar services.

Opportunities: Why could Sea Limited be a comeback story?

✅ E-commerce remains strong: Shopee remains the market leader in several Asian countries. Despite economic uncertainties, online retail is growing in the long term.

✅ SeaMoney as a silent winner: The FinTech segment is growing steadily and can become a new source of income for Sea Ltd through digital payment services and loans.

✅ Profitability focus: After years of aggressive growth with high losses, the company is now focusing more on cost reductions and profitability - a sign that Sea Ltd wants to operate more sustainably.

✅ Expansion in Latin America: Shopee has grown particularly strongly in Brazil. If the company can establish itself there permanently, that would be a big plus.

✅ Gaming as untapped potential: If Free Fire stabilizes or Sea Ltd develops new successful games, Garena could become a growth driver again.

Risks: What could continue to weigh on Sea Limited?

⚠️ Declining gaming sales:
Free Fire was once the biggest profit generator, but user numbers are falling. Without a new hit, Garena could continue to weaken.

⚠️ Competitive pressure in e-commerce: Alibaba, Tokopedia and Amazon are putting massive pressure on Sea Ltd in Asia and Latin America. Defending market share will be expensive.

⚠️ Regulatory risks: In Asia in particular, there are always new regulations for FinTechs and online retailers that could slow down Sea Ltd's growth.

⚠️ Macroeconomic uncertainties: Rising interest rates and weak consumer behavior could have a negative impact on business - both in e-commerce and in the lending business.

⚠️ Cost cutting vs. growth: Sea Ltd is trying to become more profitable while expanding into new markets. The balancing act between growth and cost control is not easy.

Conclusion: turnaround opportunity or value trap?

Sea Limited is still one of the most exciting technology companies in Asia. The focus on profitability is positive, but success depends heavily on whether the company can stabilize its gaming division and defend Shopee against the competition.

Those who believe in the long-term potential of the Southeast Asian market and are prepared to accept short-term volatility could find a promising turnaround in Sea Ltd could be a promising turnaround opportunity.

What do you think? Is Sea Limited on its way to a comeback or is it still a risky bet?🚀

I think half of the GQ community (including me) will probably be particularly interested in $NU (-11,11%) but there are still other exciting companies like

$ANET (-3,99%)
$CDNS (-4,03%)
$SQ (-12,06%)
$BKNG (-5,35%)
$INOD (+3,73%)
$MELI (-4,31%)
$WMT (-2,31%) who will present their figures 😬

THE BIG QUESTION NEXT WEEK IS STILL

UP📈 or DOWN📉 for $NU (-11,11%) ?

Hello,

I currently have 5000€ that I would like to invest in individual stocks. I am following a core satellite strategy and as I am still young and in training, I am a bit more risk-averse (hence the relatively small core of 50%).

I would like to invest in stable growth stocks on the one hand, but also take a little more risk on the other.

My current plan would look something like this:

500€ $NU (-11,11%) (came across Nu through the community)

700€ $NOVO B (+5,32%) (upgrade to 1000€)

1000€ $GOOGL (-2,28%) (stable outperformance of the market)

1000€ $ASML (-0,72%) (monopoly position and good future prospects)

1000€ $CRWD (-6,19%) /$PLTR (-3,33%) / $SNOW (-3,37%) (some of the stocks have done very well, so I'm a little unsure exactly which ones and whether I'm still waiting for a correction in the respective stock. But I find cybersecurity, cloud and big data very interesting with a lot of future potential)

I am also watching, for example: $SOFI (-4,68%) , $SHOP (-5,86%) , $MELI (-4,31%) , $ENR (-4,27%) .

If you have any suggestions for improvement or ideas as to which companies could benefit my strategy, I am open to them. Perhaps also expand other existing positions

Thank you very much#

Aloha,

Which is best USA ETF for core satellite strategy.

Here are my various considerations:

MSCI World e.g. $IWDA (-1,03%) or $HMWO (-1,05%) :

With these ETFs, around 70% is invested in the USA and the rest in industrialized countries. The allocation should adjust automatically based on the market capitalization and thus always run towards the optimum. (unfortunately China not yet included)

S&P 500 e.g. $VUSA (-1,13%) :

Here you are invested in the 500 most successful or largest companies in the USA. The good thing is that the largest companies generate most of their sales globally (including in China).

As an alternative to the S&P 500, there is also the MSCI USA:

I have the feeling that this index is very unknown, but it performs slightly better than the S&P 500 and there are favorable ETS on it and also many factor games, if desired.

Nasdaq100 for example. $EQQQ (-1,48%) :

The largest companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Contrary to what many believe but do not know, these are predominantly US companies, but not exclusively. For example, companies such as $ASML (-0,72%)
$MELI (-4,31%)
$AZN (+1,03%) and others are also listed on the Nasdaq B. and are part of the QQQ Index. This index is a little more attractive but beats the S & P 500 in the long term.

Now I have a headache. Which one should I buy for my USA Core?

Hello everyone,

I'm currently looking at which stocks could develop wonderfully over the next few years and have enormous growth potential.

As I personally and many others have an investment horizon of over 40 years, I find these stocks quite exciting.

Ideas would be:

$SOFI (-4,68%) SoFi Tech

$TOST (-5,58%) Toast

$MELI (-4,31%) Mercadolibre

$HOOD (-7,16%) Robin Hood

$NU (-11,11%) Nu Holdings

$1810 (+2,88%) Xiaomi

$9868 (+5,58%) XPeng

$3690 (+0,8%) Meituan

$ALB (-1,12%) Albermale

$RKLB (-6,21%) RocketLab

$GRAB (+1,66%) Grab Holdings

What do you think about this topic? And what would be your favorites here?

Hey guys,

Today I want to introduce you to a company that might not be on your radar yet, but definitely has the potential to change your attention (and maybe your portfolio): Mercado Libre ($MELI (-4,31%)).

Meli is Latin America's largest company by market capitalization with a valuation of around 100 billion dollars. But it's much more than just an online marketplace.

Why is Meli so special?

• An ecosystemthat connects everything: Meli has built an impressive ecosystem that includes e-commerce, logistics, payment processing, lending and even advertising. It is not just a marketplace, but a complete "operating system" for commerce in Latin America.
• Strong competitive advantagesThe company has gained a strong competitive advantage through its extensive logistics network, established brand and huge user base.
• Mercado Pago is not only a payment processor, but also offers credit solutions, digital wallets and even investment accounts. What makes Mercado Pago special is that it operates independently of traditional banks, which allows Meli to keep a bigger slice of the pie. In the third quarter of 2024, this segment accounted for 41% of total revenue.
• Meli has its own logistics division Mercado Envios which covers everything from storage to delivery. This is crucial for meeting the needs of customers in Latin America and reducing delivery times.
• Growth potential: Latin America is a region with a young, growing population and increasing internet penetration. The e-commerce market in Latin America is expected to grow from 151 billion dollars in 2024 to 232 billion dollars in 2028.

The business segments in detail:

• Marketplace: the heart of the business, bringing sellers and buyers together.
• Mercado Pago: A comprehensive fintech offering that includes payments, loans and more.
• Mercado Crédito: Loans for consumers and small businesses that are often overlooked by traditional banks.
• Mercado Envios: The logistics division that ensures fast and reliable deliveries.
• Mercado Ads: A growing advertising platform with high margins.
• Mercado Shops: Enables merchants to create their own online stores.

Competition and challenges:

Meli is not without competition. Amazon, Shopee and AliExpress are also active in Latin America. However, Meli has a head start due to its deep understanding of the Latin American market and its customized solutions. Nevertheless, there are risks, such as economic volatility in the region and price pressure in e-commerce.

Financial performance:

Meli has a remarkable track record. The company has been consistently cash flow positive since 2007 and has achieved sales growth of 36x over the last ten years.

What does this mean for investors?

Meli is a company that is in a fast-growing market and has a solid business model. The company is very well positioned to benefit from the increasing digitalization in Latin America.

• Long-term growth potential: The combination of e-commerce, fintech and logistics makes Meli a promising long-term investment.
• Innovation driver: Meli is constantly striving to develop new services and improve its existing offerings.
• Strong leadership: The management has proven that it is able to overcome challenges and lead the company successfully.

Conclusion

Mercado Libre is more than just an online marketplace - it is a driving force of digital transformation in Latin America. If you are looking for a company with real growth potential, you should definitely keep an eye on Meli.

Are you already following the company? What do you think of the Latin American market in general?