Some stocks are deep in the red for me. Mostly consumer stocks, which to me seem that the sentiment is not that positive.
Anyways, what to do with these stocks?
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64🔹 Revenue: $2.4B (Est. $2.36B) 🟢; UP +7% YoY (or +8% on cc)
🔹 EPS: $2.60 (Est. $2.58) 🟢
🔹 Comparable Sales: UP +1%
FY Guidance
🔹 Revenue: $11.15B–$11.3B (Est. $11.24B) 🔴
🔹 EPS: $14.58–$14.78 (Est. $14.94) 🔴
🔸 Full-year revenue growth expected +5% to +7%, or +7% to +8% excluding 53rd week effect
🔸 Guidance excludes any impact from future share repurchases
🔸 Forecasts based on management’s expectations; excludes macro and tariff uncertainties
Q2 Guidance
🔹 Revenue: $2.535B–$2.56B (Est. $2.57B) 🔴
🔹 EPS: $2.85–$2.90 (Est. $3.32) 🔴
🔸 Assumes ~30% tax rate
🔸 Revenue Growth Outlook: +7% to +8% YoY
Q1 Geographic Performance
🔹 Americas Revenue: UP +3% YoY (or +4% cc)
🔹 International Revenue: UP +19% YoY (or +20% cc)
🔹 Americas Comparable Sales: DOWN -2% (or -1% cc)
🔹 International Comparable Sales: UP +6% (or +7% cc)
Other Key Q1 Metrics:
🔹 Gross Profit: $1.4B; UP +8% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 58.3% (UP +60 bps YoY)
🔹 Operating Income: $438.6M; UP +1% YoY
🔹 Operating Margin: 18.5% (DOWN -110 bps YoY)
🔹 Effective Tax Rate: 30.2% (vs. 29.5% YoY)
🔹 Shares Repurchased: 1.4M shares for $430.4M
🔹 Cash & Cash Equivalents: $1.3B
🔹 Total Stores: 770 (Net +3 stores in Q1)
🔹 Inventory: $1.7B; UP +23% YoY (UP +16% on unit basis)
CEO & CFO Commentary
🔸 CEO Calvin McDonald:
“In the first quarter, we achieved growth across channels, categories, and markets, including the U.S., reflecting the continued strength and agility of our business model. We’re leveraging our financial strength to play offense, even in a dynamic macroenvironment.”
🔸 CFO Meghan Frank:
“We delivered revenue at the high end of our Q1 guidance and are pleased with how Q2 has started. We're operating with discipline and remain focused on long-term strategy.”
When I‘m screening markets for my investable universe I look for high-quality compounders with:
In detail I’m screening for:
Here are my current holdings:
Today I‘m sharing with you my main portfolio. This doesn’t include any ETF investments and crypto currencies / gold etc. since I want to focus my presence on getquin on stock-picking.
Read my 3-part portfolio strategy posts to get the full picture - here are just the main pillars of what I‘m doing:
I like to divide my holdings into „core holdings“ (forever stocks) and „trend picks“ (2030 stocks) as follows:
Core Holdings (“Forever Stocks”):
Growth Picks (“2030 Stocks”):
I use the 7 Powers framework from the book “7 Powers: The Foundations of Business Strategy” by Hamilton Helmer. It’s a killer framework for understanding why some businesses create lasting value and compound returns over time.
Each “Power” is a sustainable strategic advantage that lets a company generate outsized returns for a long time. I ask the 7 questions for each stock I am considering to buy.
1. Counter-Positioning
2. Scale Economies
3. Switching Costs
4. Network Effects
5. Branding
6. Cornered Resource
7. Process Power
If I had to chose one, Network effects would be the most important one for me.
Here are my current holdings:
Here are my current holdings:
I added a new stock to my portfolio: $LULU (+1,53%)
Why I Own $LULU
Lululemon fits my strategy as a high-quality, premium consumer compounder with strong brand equity, pricing power, and a long runway for growth. I look for companies with exceptional return on capital employed, healthy margins and structural tailwinds. Lululemon checks all of those boxes.
The company has built a loyal, global customer base through community, innovation, and direct-to-consumer execution. Its gross margin is consistently above 55%. $LULU (+1,53%) isn’t just selling apparel, it’s selling a lifestyle.
This is a small initial position (1%) to establish exposure to a category-defining brand that aligns with my focus on durable growth, premium positioning, and strong capital efficiency. If execution continues, I may build this into a meaningful satellite in my long-term consumer allocation.
Hello my dears,
Today I visited lululemon for the first time.
YouTube videos and reports have only ever mentioned that it's all about sportswear. And probably mainly in the yoga area.
So I was all the more surprised to see today that they also have leisurewear and even business fashion.
Unfortunately, I didn't find it well attended, but it is Monday.
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