$LMT (+0,28%)

The Pentagon has ordered 296 of the F-35 Lightning II from Lockheed Martin. The fighter jets, with a total value of 24.8 billion dollars, are intended for the three branches of the US armed forces and for export customers. The first jets are to be delivered as early as next year, according to the manufacturer.

Hello my dears,

as I was shocked to discover while watching today's "Presseclub". The EU, and Germany in particular, is very poorly positioned when it comes to critical infrastructure, cyber attacks and drone defense. The plan here is to improve security at all costs.

Dear all, which companies do you think should benefit from this?

@EpsEra
@Multibagger

$DRO (-1,92%)
$AVAV (+9,8%)
$ESLT (+0,76%)
$EOS
$YSN (-0,79%)
$LMT (+0,28%)
$RTX (+0,04%)

$HAG (-2,57%)
$AXON (-0,28%)
$FLT (+19,35%)
$FQT (+9,07%)
$RHM (-1,16%)

Following airspace violations in Denmark and Eastern Europe, the European Union is pushing ahead with the construction of a "drone wall". What is known about the project so far.

Following several mysterious drone overflights in Denmark and repeated airspace violations by Russian drones in Eastern European countries, the EU wants to better protect its eastern flank. At the heart of the plans is a so-called "drone wall" - a defense system designed to detect, track and intercept unmanned aerial vehicles. What exactly the EU is planning, who is involved and how quickly the wall could be built: the most important questions and answers.

Who is building the drone wall?

The plans for the drone wall were presented at a video conference of EU defense ministers. The conference was mainly attended by Eastern European EU states, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania, as well as Finland. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas, several representatives of the NATO defense alliance and the current Danish EU Council Presidency also took part. Conspicuously absent from the meeting was Germany - although security experts in this country have long warned of serious gaps in drone defense.

The EU wants to use its own financing instruments to fund this. EU Defense Industry Commissioner Kubilius spoke of a "protective shield for the eastern flank that will benefit the whole of Europe". At the same time, national defence budgets and the European defence industry are to be mobilized.

When will the drone wall be in place?

EU Defense Industry Commissioner Kubilius said in an interview with the news website Euractiv that the drone wall could be built within a year. However, EU officials do not expect the development of a comprehensive sensor network to improve airspace surveillance to be completed until the end of 2026. The development of an interception system is likely to take even longer. In the short term, additional sensors are to be installed first.

With material from the news agencies dpa and AFP

https://www.zeit.de/politik/2025-09/drohnenwall-eu-russland-drohnen-abwehrsystem-ostgrenze#wer-baut-den-drohnenwall

Dobrindt announces drone defense center

Following numerous drone sightings in Europe, the German government wants to introduce countermeasures. Interior Minister Dobrindt classifies the threat as "high" and is planning a drone defense center.

The German government wants to set up a drone defense center. This is Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt's response to the numerous sightings of missiles of unknown origin. The CSU politician said that there was a threat that could definitely be classified as "high".

Detecting, intercepting and shooting down drones are the basis for drone defense. Repositioning is an urgent project, explained Dobrindt.

Pooling expertise

According to him, the drone defense center should bundle the competencies of the federal police, the Federal Criminal Police Office and the police authorities of the federal states. Dobrindt said he wanted to bring together expertise and initiate new research projects.

New technology for fighting drone against drone

Fighting drones with nets or by so-called "jamming" (interrupting radio signals) has limited effect, according to Dobrindt. The Minister of the Interior is focusing on developing new technologies for drone-on-drone combat: "We can't wait for others to make this available".

According to the Interior Minister, the new drone defense center is the first part of a two-pillar strategy. As the second pillar, Dobrindt announced a new version of the Aviation Security Act in order to regulate the legal basis for defense measures.

DroneVation in Vienna - Austria discusses drones & drone defense. $RHM (-1,16%)

Appropriate systems are needed for defense. The Austrian head of armaments was accordingly proud to announce that he was the first customer for Rheinmetall's Skyranger system. He was in Zurich just last week and was able to see the progress of the procurement. "I can tell you that the 3.5 cm cannon systems will arrive on time and on schedule."

Painful for the German Bundeswehr - it will have to wait longer than planned for its new Skyrangers. Austria will receive its 36 air defense turrets earlier. The German Armed Forces have selected the Pandur Evo from GDELS as the carrier platform, as the vehicle is also available in other functions in the troops.

https://defence-network.com/1-dronevation-oesterreich-diskutiert-drohnen/

$AVAV (+9,8%)

AeroVironment: Step by step towards becoming a defense tech group

One of the biggest beneficiaries of the drone trend has traditionally been the US company AeroVironment from Arlington in the US state of Virginia. Founded in 1971, the company once made a name for itself with aircraft innovations and has been taking off as a drone supplier since the 2000s. AeroVironment primarily manufactures small and medium-sized reconnaissance drones and unmanned ground vehicles. Until 2025, AeroVironment was mainly known as a drone specialist, but in May the company bought defense technology provider BlueHalo for USD 4.1 billion as part of a share swap. Thanks to this acquisition, the company is now a diversified defense company with capabilities in space, drone defense, cyber, laser weapons and satellite technology. At the end of the third quarter of the 2025 financial year, the order backlog reached a record high of USD 764 million.

https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/der_boersen_tag/Milliardendeal-Kampfdrohnen-Konzern-uebernimmt-Produzenten-von-Drohnenabwehr-article25372828.html

$FLT (+19,35%)

While AeroVironment is valued at around USD 10 billion on the stock exchange, the Canadian drone specialist Volatus Aerospace, which has also been active for many years, only has a valuation of around EUR 200 million. Despite the significant difference in valuation, Volatus has also already proven that it is compatible with NATO standards. In 2025, Volatus landed NATO contracts in the areas of education and training as well as for the delivery of reconnaissance drones. Analyst Rob Goff from Ventum Capital sees these successes as indications of further potential for NATO contracts. Media reports repeatedly refer to Volatus' bulging order pipeline.

In addition to the military sector, Volatus also offers civilian solutions, for example for monitoring infrastructure such as bridges or pipelines, through to the Condor XL transport drone, with which the company intends to carry out test flights from the end of the year to test its use in the areas of logistics and forestry. Military use of such transport drones is also conceivable in principle.

$ESLT (+0,76%)

Airborne lasers - the next generation of drone defense

While the ground-based laser weapon developed in Israel has already proven its effectiveness against drones, efforts to develop an airborne system have been intensified. The airborne laser program is being led by the Israeli company Elbit Systems. Meanwhile, the lasers developed as a defensive weapon are also being considered for offensive use.

https://defence-network.com/luftgestuetzte-laser-drohnenabwehr/

Israeli drone defense for German warships?

https://marineforum.online/israelische-drohnenabwehr-fuer-deutsche-kriegsschiffe/

Drone defense: Bundeswehr receives first interceptor drones from Argus Interception

https://www.hartpunkt.de/drohnenabwehr-bundeswehr-erhaelt-erste-fangdrohnen-von-argus-interception/

https://argus-interception.com/de/

$FQT (+9,07%) Frequentis

https://getqu.in/j9ucf2/

$AXON (-0,28%) (my dears, perhaps the Kassel-based company has a good chance)

US group Axon buys Kassel-based company Dedrone

The company Dedrone discovered a gap in the market for itself with the defense against approaching drones. With great success. Now it is being taken over by an American security company. The company site in Kassel is also set to benefit from this.

https://de.dedrone.com/

https://www.hessenschau.de/wirtschaft/us-konzern-axon-kauft-kasseler-unternehmen-dedrone-v1,dedrone-verkauft-100.html

$EOS

https://esut.de/2025/08/meldungen/62305/eos-liefert-100-kw-laser-drohnenabwehr/

https://getqu.in/dd0DoN/

Echodyne launches the EchoShield Rapid Deployment Kit on the market

With the proliferation of drones in the airspace, the need to quickly deploy situational awareness zones that detect, track, identify and contain threats is increasing. The RDK is designed for quick and easy deployment of four radars for robust, high-precision hemispheric coverage. The addition of the RDK to the EchoShield portfolio creates leading positions in all areas - from fixed sites to mobile deployments (OTM) to rapidly deployable temporary missions.

About Echodyne. $NOC (-0,56%)

Echodyne, the radar platform company, is a U.S. designer and manufacturer of advanced commercial radar systems for defense, government and commercial market applications. The company combines the patented Metamaterials Electronically Scanned Array (MESA®) architecture with powerful software and machine learning to deliver highly accurate situational awareness data that locates airborne and ground-based activity with unmatched speed, accuracy and precision. Echodyne's products are proven and trusted by military, government, integrators and critical infrastructure around the world. They set a new standard for radar quality. The privately held company is headquartered in Kirkland (WA, USA) and is backed by Bill Gates, NEA, Madrona Venture Group, Baillie Gifford, Northrop Grumman and Supernal, among others. See Radar in action at Echodyne.com.

Rohde & Schwarz presents new multi-band jammer for drone defense.

(Rohde & Schwarz GmbH & Co. KG is a privately held company and therefore has no shares,)

https://www.hartpunkt.de/ardronis-effect-rohde-schwarz-praesentiert-neuen-multiband-stoersender-fuer-die-drohnenabwehr/

$KULR (+7,32%)

@All-in-or-nothing what I have found here and hope I may expand your contribution a little ✌️

$KULR (+7,32%) develops thermal management and safety solutions for batteries.

NASA, the US military and major electric vehicle companies are already using their technology.

As electric vehicles become more widespread, battery safety will become even more important and $KULR (+7,32%) is in a position to take a leading role in this area.

Expected sales growth until 2027:

List of customers and partners:

( NASA, SpaceX and $LMT (+0,28%) )

The K1-S battery:

Aluminum intercoolers and flame arrestors prevent thermal runaway and keep the cells cool and safe. Together with the state-of-the-art battery management system, it is the ultimate power play.

Roadmap- Pioneering electric drive and energy storage with cutting-edge thermal solutions that improve battery performance and safety.

Seems like an interesting company with a lot of growth potential, now you've made me curious @All-in-or-nothing 😂.

@Multibagger
@Tenbagger2024 We need to take a closer look, but I think the customer base is really exciting and can be expanded. Q2 might not have been good though. I'll have to see what else I can find, I'll add it to my watchlist. 🤔

$LMT (+0,28%)

As the company announced on Wednesday, the US Army has awarded Lockheed Martin a contract worth USD 9.8 billion for Patriot missiles as demand for the missile defense system from the US military and foreign forces continues.

It will be the largest Patriot missile order to date.

Lockheed manufactures the latest version of the interceptors that arm the Patriot, known as the PAC-3 MSE, which cost about $4 million each, according to Army budget documents.

The Patriot system is among the sophisticated air defense systems the West is providing to Ukraine in the fight against the Russian invasion.

It could also be used in US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome missile defense shield.

The highly flexible Patriot Advanced Capability-3 Missile Segment Enhancement (PAC-3 MSE) interceptors produced under the contract are to go to the US Army and a handful of US allies.

The Navy plans to integrate (link) the Lockheed Martin-manufactured missiles into the ships' air defenses.

The contract covers 1,970 PAC-3 MSE missiles and associated hardware.

With my KI-gestützten DCF-Prompt I have analyzed several stocks from my portfolio that are currently trading well below their all-time highs.

The results are not binding buy or sell signals, but merely an additional building block in the decision-making process. All information is of course provided without guarantee.

🤖 All analyses were carried out with Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Research created.

On average, each analysis researched 223 websites.

As the full reports are very extensive, the appendix contains only

• the fair values for bull, base and bear cases
• a compact summary of the most important findings

📍Lockheed Martin $LMT (+0,28%)

Current share price August 4, 2025: $421

Fair value

Bull: $570.80

Base: $495.50

Bear: $425.20

Lockheed Martin is at a critical juncture. The share price reflects deep concerns over repeated multi-billion dollar write-downs on risky fixed-price development programs, which peaked in the second quarter of 2025. Our analysis yields a fair value of USD 495.50, well above the current price, and a range of USD 425 to USD 571 in our scenarios.

The key value drivers are the record high order backlog of over USD 166bn, the strong demand for tactical missiles (MFC) and the stability of the space business (Space), which form a solid base.

The greatest leverage lies in management's ability to stabilize operational execution in the Aeronautics segment and normalize margins.

The main risks remain further unforeseen losses on classified programs, the high focus on the F-35 program and the volatility of US defense budgets. The current valuation provides a significant margin of safety for investors who believe in a stabilization of operational performance and the long-term strategic importance of the company.

📍Chevron $CVX (-0,32%)

Current price August 4, 2025: $151

Fair value

Bull: $203.80

Base: $178.50

Bear: $155.20

The comprehensive DCF analysis results in a fair value of USD 178.50 per share for Chevron, which implies a significant undervaluation compared to the current share price. The valuation range from the scenarios (USD 155.20 - 203.80) and the Monte Carlo simulation supports this assessment and shows a limited downside risk even in the bear scenario.

The key value drivers are the transformative Hess acquisition, which heralds a new era of high-margin growth, and the impressive capital and cost discipline, which manifests itself in rising free cash flow. These factors position Chevron robustly to benefit disproportionately from a stable or rising energy price environment.

The main risks remain the exogenous volatility of the commodity markets and the operational execution of the integration of Hess and the ramp-up of major projects. Overall, the opportunities resulting from the strategic realignment and the attractive valuation clearly outweigh the inherent risks in the sector.

📍Occidental $OXY (+1,14%)

Current share price August 4, 2025: $43

Fair value

Bull: $79.8

Base: $64.1

Bear: $51.5

The comprehensive DCF analysis results in a fair value of $64.1 per share for Occidental Petroleum, which corresponds to a considerable upside potential compared to the current price of $43.41. The valuation range resulting from the scenarios and simulations is between $51.5 and $79.8.

The key drivers for this value are the robust free cash flow from the scaled and highly efficient Permian Basin business and the disciplined capital allocation, which prioritizes debt reduction and thus increases shareholder value. The main risks remain the inherent volatility of commodity prices and the significant execution and political risks associated with the ambitious but as yet unproven low carbon ventures strategy.

Based on the significant discrepancy between the calculated fair value and the current market price, a buy recommendation is issued for Occidental Petroleum shares. Investors should closely monitor the development of commodity prices, the progress in deleveraging and the operational and commercial milestones of the LCV division, in particular the STRATOS project.

📍Intel $INTC (+7,94%)

Current share price August 4, 2025: $19

Fair value

Bull: $36.10

Base: $25.20

Bear: $15.50

Based on a detailed discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis using the sum-of-the-parts method (SOTP), Intel Corporation has a fair value of $25.20 per share in the base scenario. This implies an upside potential of 27.3% compared to the reference price of $19.80. The valuation range derived from the bull and bear scenarios ranges from $15.50 to $36.10 per share. The Monte Carlo simulation, which takes a probabilistic view of the uncertainties of the central assumptions, yields a median value of $24.50 and indicates that the share is trading below its fair value with a probability of around 68%.

The investment thesis for Intel is a high-risk turnaround bet that is inextricably linked to the success of the "IDM 2.0" strategy and in particular the development of the Intel Foundry (IF) business. The primary value drivers are management's ability to win one or more "significant" external foundry customers, the stabilization of market share in the core Client Computing (CCG) and Data Center & AI (DCAI) businesses and the realization of the announced cost reductions.

The main risks lie in the enormous challenge of mastering the turnaround in the established segments and at the same time building up a world-class foundry business from a position of being behind. Persistent operating losses and cash outflows from the foundry business, further loss of market share to agile competitors such as AMD and Nvidia and the failure to regain technological leadership in process technologies by 2025 represent existential risks that could turn the massive capital investments into value-destroying stranded assets.

📍Nutria $NTR (-3,33%)

Current share price August 4, 2025: $58

Fair value

Bull: $90

Base: $68.2

Bear: $45

This analysis provides a detailed fundamental valuation of Nutrien Ltd (Nutrien) based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model. The base case scenario yields a fair value of USD 68.2 per share (equivalent to CAD 93.8). The valuation range determined by scenario analyses and a Monte Carlo simulation indicates a balanced risk-return profile.

The central investment argument is based on Nutrien's position as an integrated global market leader in an industry with positive long-term fundamentals. The valuation suggests that the stock is currently fairly valued but offers potential from an expected recovery in fertilizer prices and margins from their cyclical lows.

Key value drivers include operational efficiency reinforced by the integrated business model (production and retail), disciplined capital allocation with a focus on shareholder returns and the underlying strength of global agricultural markets supported by low grain inventories.

The main risks lie in the inherent volatility of commodity prices, exposure to the cost of key inputs such as natural gas in the nitrogen segment and geopolitical uncertainties that may impact global supply chains. A key uncertainty factor for the short-term forecast is the strong dependence on a significant increase in earnings in the second half of 2025 in order to achieve the company's forecast after a weak first quarter.

All purchases for August are already done, as I will be in the USA for the next 3 weeks from Monday to Friday at $LMT (+0,28%) and of course I'm not allowed to have a cell phone or laptop with me🫠

$NOW (-1,05%) is a very interesting microcap with partnerships with Azure, Google Cloud, AWS, Snowflake.

If you would like to learn more about it, I recommend the excellent podcast "Hidden Returns". (But please don't go into it blindly because of a podcast or my purchase, it's a fucking microcap)

Hello dear getquin community, I have 2400€ free again and have thought about 1400€ $LMT (+0,28%) Lockheed Martin and the rest in Defense Tech $SHLD ETF. How would you take advantage of the current situation? Looking forward to your feedback

$LMT (+0,28%)

The US group fell short of expectations with its results for the past quarter and recorded significant charges for various programs. The management is becoming more cautious for the year as a whole. On the stock market, the shares fall noticeably.

The aerospace company performed worse than expected in the past quarter. In the three months, Lockheed Martin achieved a turnover of around 18.15 billion dollars, an increase of only 0.2 percent compared to the same quarter last year. On average, analysts had expected at least an increase to 18.5 billion dollars.

In addition, this time there was significantly less left over than a year ago: operating profit shrank by around 65 percent to 748 million dollars. At the bottom line, net profit slumped from 1.6 billion dollars to 342 million dollars this time.

Burdened by expenses

This was primarily due to expenses of 1.6 billion dollars that the Group incurred for various of its programs. "Our ongoing program review process has identified new developments that have led us to reassess the financial position of a number of key existing programs. As a result, we are taking a number of actions this quarter to address these newly identified risks," explained Group CEO Tim Taiclet.

The largest part of this related to a program in the Aeronautics division. This includes, for example, the C-130 transport aircraft and the F-35 stealth jet. Primarily due to "design, integration and testing challenges" as well as updated time and cost estimates, Lockheed reported additional pre-tax losses of 950 million dollars in the past quarter.

Additional charges were incurred on programs in the Sikorsky division, which manufactures helicopters and drones. In addition to the expenses for programs, there were also 169 million dollars in other charges.

Annual targets lowered

At the bottom line, these factors were reflected in the figures: earnings per share fell from 6.85 dollars in the previous year to 1.46 dollars. In addition, free cash flow was negative this time. The order backlog amounted to 166.5 billion dollars at the end of June.

The recent performance is now also having an impact on planning for the year as a whole: However, the management is sticking to its sales targets; after 71 billion in the past year, it is still aiming for 73.75 to 74.75 billion dollars. However, the management is now more skeptical about the operating result and net profit. The latter is now expected to be between 21.70 and 22.00 dollars per share, whereas previously Lockheed was confident of up to 27.30 dollars per share.

Share price flies lower

The figures and outlook put the stock market in a bad mood. The shares lost more than seven percent. The strong performance of many defense stocks has also passed the shares by in recent months: since the beginning of the year, the share price has fallen by around 15 percent. Apart from a breakout around a year ago, the shares have largely moved sideways for more than three years.

The fact that a competitor, Northrop Grumman, has today raised its profit targets for the year is also unlikely to cause much enthusiasm among Lockheed shareholders.

$LMT (+0,28%)

The company reports for (Q2)2025:

• Net income decreased to USD 342 million, compared to USD 1.64 billion in the previous year (approx. 80 % decrease) .
• Earnings per share (EPS): USD 1.46, compared to USD 6.85 in the same quarter of the previous year .
• Adjusted EPS (excluding one-off effects): USD 7.29, above the consensus of around USD 6.49 .
• Revenue was around USD 18.16 billion, below analysts' expectations of around USD 18.57 billion

One-off effects:

• USD 1.6 billion in non-recurring pre-tax losses, including:
• USD 950 million for a classified aeronautics program,
• USD 570 million for chaotic international helicopter projects (e.g. Canada, Turkey),
• a further USD 169 million for the US Air Force's NGAD program, for example

⛷️

• These items led to a decline in EPS of USD 5.83

• Full-year EPS guidance lowered to USD 21.70-22.00, previously guidance was between USD 27-27.30

• Performance: Despite good adjusted earnings, Lockheed suffers considerably from the high one-off effects.
• Valuation & share price: The market reacted negatively - the share price fell between 7.4 % and 8.6 %

• Background: Problems, particularly in the aeronautics sector (classified programs) and in helicopter development, have led to massive burdens.

$LMT (+0,28%)
#rüstung