GE Vernova ($GEV (-2,01%) ) recently held its first conference at the 42nd Barclays Industrial Select since the spin-off. The year 2024 served as a foundation to go on the offensive after the spin-off on April 2. The company has a strong balance sheet with over USD 8 billion in cash at the end of the year. This supported the first capital allocation program with a dividend and a share buyback program of USD 6 billion. In addition, the company's long-term profitability was strengthened, as evidenced by a $6 billion increase in backlog margins over previous years.

The individual divisions were then discussed:

Gas: At least 20 gigawatts of new orders per year are expected to be received. In the first quarter, this is expected to be at least 5 gigawatts. There is a healthy demand cycle for services. In North America and the Middle East, the volume has even doubled, which is due to increased investment in the installed gas base.

Wind: The end market remains weak and low order intake for new onshore wind turbines is expected in the short term. However, there are opportunities in repowering and some international markets may offset the weakness in North America. There is progress in the maintenance of the installed wind turbine base. The number of crews and cranes for maintenance has more than doubled compared to the previous year. In addition, the quality of the rotor blades is being improved by subjecting every rotor blade coming out of the factory to a crawler inspection with visual inspections and AI.

Electrification: The fastest growing segment, which has increased its order backlog from USD 6 billion to USD 20 billion in the last two years. Annual backlog growth in 2025 is expected to be similar to the average of 2023 and 2024. Significant growth can be achieved through lean methods and more efficient factory management. For example, an enclosure plant in Pennsylvania will increase its sales by almost 1 billion US dollars from 2024 to 2026, with an investment of only 20 million US dollars. The company is sticking to the forecast it made in December and is looking ahead to 2025 and beyond with confidence.

Less than 5% of material purchases come from China, Mexico and Canada and are imported into the US. The company is building its capabilities to manage its supply chain through a period of volatility. Currently, there is mid-range load growth, at least in the US, from data centers. Of the orders in 2024, 25 were for HA gas turbines (high-efficiency baseload gas turbines), 20 were for F-class gas turbines (choice for peaking applications) and about 45 were for aeroderivative units. The need for F-class and derivatives is due to the more vulnerable system caused by intermittent energy sources. The company sees this as just the beginning and expects further growth from its customer base.

GE Vernova has set itself medium to high margin targets in the low double-digit range for the Power and Electrification segments for 2028. The company is confident of increasing its margins over time.

The company also currently has $8 billion of cash on hand. The company will conduct a share buyback of USD 6 billion over several years. Organic growth is a priority, but acquisitions to increase the resilience of the supply chain are being considered.

Semiconductor stocks and electricity shares are falling today because of the Deepseek panic. This panic is probably exaggerated. We'll talk about it in tonight's podcast. So be sure to subscribe to the podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/3SHlvxmpYWkpiWnykajNPa

Semiconductors:

-12% Broadcom $AVGO (-2,22%)

-12% TSMC $2330
$TSM (-2,01%)

-11% Nvidia $NVDA (-1,81%)

-11% BE Semiconductor $SMH (-1,22%)

-11% ARM Holdings $ARM (-2,56%)

-11% ASML $ASML (-1,07%)

-9% Dell $DELL
$DELL (-2,59%)

-9% Micron $MU (-1,93%)

-6% AMD $AMD (-1,74%)

-5% KLA $KLAC (-1,91%)

Power stocks:

-20% Siemens Energy $ENR (-1,43%)

-15% Bloom Energy $BE (-0,79%)

-14% GE Vernova $GEV (-2,01%)

-13% Vistra $VST (-2,5%)

-11% Schneider Electric $SCHNEIDER

#deepseek
#openai
#ai
#ki
#china
#podcast
#spotify
$SPOT (-1,5%)
#semiconductor
#halbleiter

All of these shares reached new ALL-TIME HIGHS at some point today ⤵️

Nvidia $NVDA (-1,81%)

Amazon $AMZN (-1,55%)

Netflix $NFLX (-1%)

Walmart $WMT (-0,95%)

JPMorgan $JPM (-1,04%)

Goldman Sachs $GOS0

Palantir $PLTR (-2,33%)

Blackrock $BLK

American Express $AXP (-1,46%)

Arista $ANET

Apollo $APO PR A

Blackstone $BX (-1,48%)

Booking $BKNG (-1,75%)

Instacart $INSTA (-1,22%)

Caterpillar $CAT (-1,98%)

Capital One $COF (-1,59%)

Discover Financial $DFS (-1,51%)

Electronic Arts $EA (-1,35%)

GE Vernova $GEV (-2,01%)

Hilton $HLT (-1,17%)

Howmet $HWM (-1,38%)

Interactive Brokers $IBKR (-1,52%)

$KKR (-1,06%)

Cheniere $LNG (-0,51%)

Morgan Stanley $MS (-1,8%)

Marriot $MAR (-1,99%)

Nasdaq $NDAQ (-0,26%)

News Corp $NWSA (-1,28%)

Oracle $ORCL (-1,75%)

Palo Alto $PANW (-1,21%)

ServiceNow $NOW (-1,42%)

Steel Dynamics $STLD (-1,68%)

Stryker $SYK (-0,81%)

Royal Caribbean $RCL (-0,89%)

Reddit $RDDT (+0%)

Trade Desk $TTD (-1,23%)

Visa $V (-0,92%)

Wells Fargo $WFC (-0,95%)

Earnings next week 🗓️

$SAP (-2,54%)

$NUE (-1,16%)

$VZ (-0,17%)

$GM (-1,65%)

$MMM (-1,76%)

$RTX (+0,58%)

$GE (-0,7%)

$ENPH (-0,74%)

$TXN (+0,58%)

$VRT (-1,65%)

$BA (-1,67%)

$T (-0,6%)

$KO (-0,25%)

$NEE (-0,66%)

$GEV (-2,01%)

$TMO (-0,28%)

$TSLA (-2,52%)

$LRCX (-1,51%)

$IBM (-3,24%)

$NOW (-1,42%)

$TMUS (+0,32%)

$AAL (-1,2%)

$UPS (-0,26%)

$LUV (-0,58%)

Week in review 28.09.

New all-time highs for DAX, Dow Jones, S&P 500, Gold, GE Vernova, Meta, Netflix, SAP, Vistra Corp, Walmart 👑🥇 $LYY7 (-0,56%)
$CSPX (-1,15%)
$ABX (+0,82%)
$GEV (-2,01%)
$META (-1,75%)
$NFLX (-1%)
$SAP (-2,54%)
$VST (-2,5%)
$WMT (-0,95%)

New 52-week highs for 3M, Air Products, Alibaba, Arista Networks, Barrick Gold, Bank of Nova Scotia, BlackRock, Caterpillar, Constellation Energy, DuPont, HSBC, Infosys, Live Nation, McDonald's, Palantir, PayPal, Public Storage, Royal Bank of Canada, Royal Caribbean, Sea Ltd, Spotify, Tangier 💵📈 $PLTR (-2,33%)
$9988 (-1,68%)
$BABA (-2,18%)
$BLK
$CAT (-1,98%)
$BNS (-0,71%)
$STZ (-1,03%)
$DD (-1,97%)
$HSBA (-2,65%)
$HSBC (-2,32%)
$INFY
$LYV (-1,14%)
$MCD (-0,79%)$PUB
$PUB
$RCL (-0,89%)
$SEA (+0%)
$SKT (-1,15%)

Bitcoin with new 1-month high, +22% in three weeks since the low on 07.09. from 52k$ to 66k$, +150% in 12 months📉📈 $BTC (-1,69%)

PayPal's own stablecoin PYUSD (crypto) is growing strongly and is now one of the top 100 cryptos by market capitalization at 95th place 💰 $PYPL (-1,53%)

Palantir with inclusion in the S&P 500 on Monday #PLTRgang 🤜🤛👊✊ $PLTR (-2,33%)

Uber is working with Google's Waymo (Alphabet) and wants to offer robotaxis for a surcharge 🚗🤖 $UBER (-1,33%)
$GOOGL (-1,37%)
$GOOG (-1,61%)

After the ECB and FED, China has also turned on the money printer *brrr brrr*, plus a big economic stimulus program, China stocks therefore have their best week in 10 years, car and luxury stocks with Chinese business are therefore rising 🖨🇨🇳 $MC (-1,48%)
$P911 (-2,48%)
$BMW (-2,03%)
$MBG (-1,73%)

AMD CEO and Nvidia CEO confirm continued high demand for AI chips 🧠🤖, Nvidia CEO does not want to sell any more of his own shares for the time being. $AMD (-1,74%)
$NVDA (-1,81%)

Upcoming Playstation 6 with AMD chip again, but AMD will leave the high-end graphics card market for PC gamers and try to scale more strongly in the mid and lower segments. Nvidia would then have a monopoly 🎮 $SONY (-1,8%)
$6758 (-1,58%)

Super Micro suspected of accounting fraud. US justice is apparently already investigating according to an insider, -62% share price in three months 🔍👮 $SMCI

AI needs a lot of electricity and nuclear power plants are being reactivated in the USA. In Germany, it's the other way around due to the world's stupidest energy policy. US electricity provider shares, uranium mines - shares and ETFs are rising. ⚛️⚡️ (see podcast episode 57 "Buy High. Sell Low." pinned to my profile at the top) $URNM
$URA (-0,44%)
$UEC (-0,87%)

Micron with good quarterly figures and +13% share price, semiconductor stocks rally 💻📈 $MU (-1,93%)

Costco - quarterly figures mixed, EPS exceeds estimates but sales worse than expected, share price falls slightly 🛒 $COST (-0,84%)

McDonald's increases quarterly dividend by 6% to 1.77$. Since the first dividend payment in 1976, the payout has been increased 48 years in a row. 🍟🍔 $MCD (-0,79%)

Investigation initiated against Visa 💳 and SAP 💻 in the USA for illegal price fixing $V (-0,92%)
$SAP (-2,54%)

Oil price falls again, Shell & Co. on the way to 1-year low 🛢⛽️ $SHEL (-0,66%)
$GB00B03MM408
$RDS.A

Meta releases VR glasses Quest 3s for €330 from 15.10.24 📱👓

Intel launches AI accelerator "Gaudi 3" as an alternative to Nvidia's H100. IBM, Google & Dell as first customers. 🧠 $INTC (-1,63%)

US debt level climbs above 35 trillion dollars for the first time 🖨💵

Ubisoft share price collapses due to postponement of "Assassin's Creed: Shadows", -70% 1-year performance 🎮📉 $UBI (-0,78%)

DHL raises outlook / growth forecast until 2030 and increases letter postage by 10.5% in Germany from 2025 📦✉️📯 $DHL (-0,51%)

BASF struggles with high energy prices and weak demand, threat of plant closure and dividend cut 🇩🇪📉 $BAS (-0,89%)

Adidas (+28%) significantly better than Nike (-18%) since the beginning of the year ⚽️🏀👟 $ADS (-0,98%)
$NKE (-1,33%)

Takeover poker at Commerzbank by Ital. Unicredit continues 🏦🇮🇹🇩🇪 $CBK (-1,4%)
$UCG (+0,56%)

Jefferies issued a buy recommendation for BioNTech and sees the antibody BNT327 against cancer as a potential massive sales driver. 👨‍⚕️⚕️💊 $DE000A0V9BC4

Mutares -14% because shortseller Gotham City raises serious allegations against the SDAX member: Ponzi scheme, false accounting and circular business model 🔍👮 $MUX (+2,13%)

>> If you want to read a review like this every week, leave a like & subscribe. What important news have I forgotten? 👍❤️

$GEV (-2,01%) There are also value stocks that shine with excellent share price performance and dividends.

After quarterly figures +8.7% intraday....

See https://www.gevernova.com/news/articles/ge-vernova-releases-first-quarter-2024-results

Sale 1 of 4 due to error limit instead of stop.

So after about 7 years I am parting with General Electric.

What made me buy in 2016/17? Share price performance and high dividend yield.

What was the result, pension provisions and mismanagement halved the share price again, dividend was canceled.

$GE (-0,7%) Restructuring case.

After 7 years, 2 with dividends, I have now reached my entry price again. There were also spin-off shares $GEV (-2,01%) and $GEHC (-1,03%) I hold them for less than 5,000 euros.

What have I learned? Despite blue stocks, US and dividend stocks, even aristocrats at the time, things never go as expected.