🌍 Macro & markets:

Stock markets rose significantly, supported by a fragile ceasefire between Israel & Iran as well as falling oil prices. Additional tailwind was provided by signals from the Fed, which raised hopes of a summer interest rate cut.

✅ S&P 500 $SPY: +1.11% to 6,092

✅ Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +1.53% to 22,190

✅ Dow Jones $DIA: +1.19% to 43,089

✅ Russell 2000 $IWM: +1.28% to 2,161

✅ 9 out of 11 sectors up - tech ($XLK +1.8%) ahead, energy ($XLE -1.3%) at the bottom

🚢 Consumer data & corporate news:

✅ Carnival $CCL (-1,28%)
: +6.91% - Strong figures with record sales, high ticket demand & record bookings for 2026. The forecast was raised, despite geopolitical risks the desire to travel remains unbroken.

⚠️ FedEx $FDX (-0,05%)
: After-hours -5%. Weak Asian demand forces 35% capacity cuts on transpacific routes. Full-year guidance lowered, shares down 17% YTD.

🤖 Developments in the robotaxi sector:

✅ Uber $UBER (-1,72%)
: +7.52% - launch of self-driving Waymo vehicles ($GOOG +1.04%) in Atlanta. Waymo with over 1 million autonomous miles & 150,000 paid rides/week.

✅ Lyft $LYFT (-1,25%)
: +6.09% - Analyst upgrade to "Buy", price target raised from $16 to $21.

📰 Other headlines:

⚠️ Fed officials dampen expectations:

• Bostic expects only one rate cut at the end of 2025, points to inflationary pressure from new tariffs.
• Barr confirms cautious stance, Powell signals "willingness to wait"

✅ OpenAI builds up competition from Microsoft & Google:

Own productivity suite announced directly in ChatGPT, including collaboration features.

✅ Anthropic achieves partial success:

AI training on copyrighted books classified as "fair use", piracy trial to follow in December.

✅ Broadcom $AVGO (+8,33%)
: New all-time high - optimism around AI chip pipeline, HSBC raises price target to $400.

✅ Nektar Therapeutics $NKTR (+11,65%)
: Share price doubles after convincing study on eczema drug, up to 90% symptom improvement.

🔎 Summary:

✅ Consumption & travel sector surprise positively

⚠️ Trade & logistics under pressure, especially Asian routes

✅ Robotaxi & AI with further momentum

⚠️ Fed remains cautious, next weeks in focus: tariffs & possible postponement of interest rate hikes

Nike exceeds forecasts despite declines + Fedex lowers business outlook + Micron Technology surprisingly optimistic about the third quarter + Xiaomi 2024 with record sales

Nike $NKE (-1,08%)exceeds forecasts despite declines

• The sporting goods giant Nike continues to struggle with declining sales even under a new boss.
• In the third quarter (to the end of February) of the 2024/25 financial year, revenue fell by nine percent year-on-year to 11.3 billion US dollars (10.4 billion euros).
• Nike thus slightly exceeded the expectations of analysts, who had expected an average of just over eleven billion dollars.
• On balance, the quarterly profit fell by 32 percent to 794 million dollars.
• However, Nike's earnings per share of 54 US cents clearly exceeded the analysts' forecast of 29 cents.
• In an initial reaction, the share price rose by more than three percent in US after-hours trading.
• One trigger for the decline in turnover was a slump in business in China.
• In October, former top manager Elliott Hill returned to Nike from retirement to take over the top job.
• Part of his predecessor John Donahoe's strategy was to focus more on direct sales.
• The downside, however, was that the shelf space given up by Nike in stores was filled by products from competitors.
• This made the rivals more visible to consumers.

Fedex $FDX (-0,05%)lowers business outlook

• Weak demand is making the US logistics group Fedex more cautious for the 2024/25 financial year, which runs until the end of May.
• According to a statement issued on Thursday evening, Group CEO Raj Subramaniam now expects stable to slightly declining sales, after previously assuming a roughly stable development.
• According to the manager, the revised outlook reflects the ongoing weakness and uncertainty in the US industry.
• Demand for shipping services among business customers is suffering as a result.
• Adjusted for special effects, earnings per share are expected to reach 18.00 to 18.60 US dollars instead of 19 to 20 dollars.
• The average analyst estimate is above the upper end of the new target - and the rival of DHL Group and UPS now intends to invest less money in the business than previously planned.
• In the third quarter of the past financial year, Fedex increased its turnover by a good two percent to 22.2 billion US dollars (20.4 billion euros).
• Adjusted earnings per share grew by 17 percent to 4.51 dollars.
• On average, analysts had expected slightly higher earnings per share.

Micron Technology $MU (+4,95%)is surprisingly optimistic about the third quarter

• The manufacturer of DRAM and NAND memory chips Micron Technology is more optimistic than expected about the current third financial quarter due to AI-driven demand from data center operators.
• The company is also confident about demand from consumer electronics manufacturers.
• Sales in the third financial quarter should therefore reach 8.80 billion US dollars plus/minus 200 million dollars, the company stated on Thursday evening after the US stock exchange closed.
• Adjusted for special effects, earnings per share are expected to reach 1.57 dollars - plus or minus 10 cents.
• The Micron share price rose by almost five percent in US after-hours trading.
• The outlook could signal an upturn in demand from smartphone and PC manufacturers, which has been rather sluggish across the industry for some time.
• During the coronavirus pandemic, these manufacturers had filled their warehouses as full as possible due to a shortage of parts, but were then left with excessively high inventories after the end of the pandemic, which first had to be reduced.
• This also affected manufacturers of semiconductor wafers such as the German Siltronic Group.
• The wafers are the starting product for computer chips.
• In the second quarter (ending February 27), Micron increased its turnover by 38 percent year-on-year to 8.05 billion dollars (7.4 billion euros).
• The bottom line profit doubled to just under 1.6 billion dollars.

Xiaomi $1810 (-0,6%)2024 with record turnover of RMB 365.9 billion

• Record year for Xiaomi
• Total sales in 2024 increased by 35 percent to RMB 365.9 billion
• Q4 over RMB 100 billion for the first time
• Adjusted net profit grows by 41.3 percent to RMB 27.2 billion.
• Strong growth in key areas: smartphone sales increase to RMB 191.8 billion (+21.8%)
• Electric vehicles and new initiatives generate RMB 32.8 billion in sales
• IoT and lifestyle products grow by 30% to RMB 104.1 billion
• Successful push into the ultra-premium segment: Xiaomi 15 Ultra and SU7 Ultra with strong sales figures, secured orders for SU7 Ultra exceed 10,000 units - annual target achieved ahead of schedule.
• Technological innovation and AI integration: R&D investments increase by 25.9% to RMB 24.1 billion, over 42,000 patents worldwide
• HyperOS 2 strengthens networking and AI applications in the "Human x Car x Home" ecosystem.

Friday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

• ex-dividend of individual stocks
• BB Biotech CHF 1.80
• Walmart 0.24 USD

• Quarterly figures / company dates Europe
• 07:00 Fuchs annual result
• 07:30 Salzgitter annual result
• 10:00 Fuchs | Salzgitter PK
• 11:00 Salzgitter Analysts' Conference
• 12:00 Fuchs Analyst Conference
• No time specified: BASF Annual Report

• Economic data

01:50 JP: Nationwide consumer prices February Forecast: n/a previous: +4.0% yoy Core consumer prices (ex food) Forecast: n/a previous: +3.2% yoy

08:45 FR: Business Climate Index March PROGNOSE: 97 previous: 97

10:00 EU: ECB, current account euro area January

16:00 EU: Eurozone Consumer Confidence Index (flash estimate) March FORECAST: -13.0 previous: -13.6

Untimed: BE: EU Summit, Brussels

The week of March 17, 2025 brings with it some of the most anticipated earnings releases.

Here are some highlights:

📅 Monday: SAIC $SAIC (-5,04%) ) and Getty Images publish their figures. Will the AI revolution continue to drive Getty's growth?

📅 TuesdayHealthEquity $HQY (-6,29%) Tencent Music ($TCEHY (+1,15%) ) are in focus. Particularly exciting: Can Tencent Music continue to benefit from the streaming boom?

📅 Wednesday: General Mills ($GIS (+1,19%) ) and Joyy ($YY (+0%) ) report. Will General Mills remain profitable despite inflation?

📅 Thursday: Big names like Nike ($NKE (-1,08%) ), FedEx ($FDX (-0,05%) ) and Micron ($MU (+4,95%) ) are on the agenda. FedEx in particular could surprise with its performance in the logistics sector.

📅 Friday: The Chinese electric car manufacturer NIO ($9866 (-3,48%) ) will publish its figures. Can NIO convince despite the competition with Tesla?

Which earnings are you following with particular interest? 📊💬

#Investing
#Aktien
#Earnings
#Nike
#NIO
#FedEx
#Micron
#GrowthStocks

$NKE (-1,08%)
$9866 (-3,48%)
$NIO (-3,42%)
$ACN (+0,02%)
$MU (+4,95%)
$FDX (-0,05%)

- Company portrait

- Express and logistics business

- Booming Internet trade

- Regular price increases

- Balance sheet

- Dividends

- Management

- Strategy 2030

- Sales growth

- Quarterly figures

- Forecast

Link: shorturl.at/UNOHs

#dhl
#deutschepost
#dax
#dax40
$DHL (-0,29%)
$DHLGY (-0,26%)
$UPS (+0,14%)
$FDX (-0,05%)
$AMZN (-1,95%)
#ups
#fedex
#logistics

Further reallocation to value stocks to position myself for a market recovery. Compared to the PEERs, especially $UPS (+0,14%) and $FDX (-0,05%) I see potential in DHL, even though its 50 percent sales growth by 2030 has already been revised.

Hello everyone,

At the end of last year, I published my "top picks list" here, in which I presented the stocks that I have put on my watchlist for 2024 and am also partially invested in (unfortunately not in all of them 😁).

At the time, I had compiled a list of stocks recommended by well-known analysts and put them through "my requirements profile". The original 100 stock ideas then became the list below. A year later, I'm looking back. This was the performance:

🟢 $TMUS (+0,09%) +1,63%

🟢 Sterling Infrastructure: +100.68%

🟢 $CRM (+1,97%) Salesforce: +28.14%

🟢 $RR. (-0,16%) Rolls-Royce: +92.56%

🟢 $MOD (-1,16%) Modine Manufacturing: +98.68%

🟠 $MHO (+1,4%) M/I Homes: -1.46%

🟢 $META (-0,3%) Meta: +68.52%

🟢 $MCD (-1,68%) McDonalds: +0.14%

🟢 $MA (-2,53%) Mastercard: +26.26%

🟢 $ISP (-1,39%) Intesa Sanpaolo: +45.44%

🟢 $ISRG (+2,65%) Intuitive Surgical: +59.62%

🟠 $GCT Gigacloud Technologies: -0.66%

🟢 $FDX (-0,05%) FedEx: +11.11%

🟠 $LPG (+1,26%) Dorian LPG: -47.70%

🟢 $COST (-0,29%) Costco: +43.34%

🟢 $US1011372067 Boston Scientific: +63.23%

🟢 $BKNG (-2,06%) Booking: +44.19%

🟠 $ABX Barrick Gold: -14.73%

🟢 $APP (-1,87%) Applovin: +753.81%

🟢 $GOOG (+0,47%) Alphabet: +39.28%

🟢 $AMZN (-1,95%) Amazon: +48,05%

🟢 $ANF (+1,86%) Abercrombie & Fitch: +69.99%

As you can see, my stock ideas have done quite well. $APP (-1,87%) with +753.81% was of course a big hit. $DORIAN With -47.70% it was a pipe-dropper.

🔥 I'm currently working on my top picks list for 2025. If you're interested, I'll be happy to share it again and put it up for discussion!

💬 What were your top picks in 2024? And what were the losers? I will reply to every comment and give you a brief assessment.

#stockanalysis
#watchlist

⬆️⬆️⬆️

- DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH raises the price target for NIKE from USD 82 to USD 84. Buy. $NKE (-1,08%)

- RBC raises the price target for ALPHABET A SHARE from USD 210 to USD 235. Outperform. $GOOGL (+0,59%)

- RBC raises the price target for AMAZON from USD 225 to USD 255. Outperform. $AMZN (-1,95%)

- RBC raises the price target for META from USD 630 to USD 700. Outperform. $META (-0,3%)

- ODDO BHF raises the target price for MUNICH RE from EUR 540 to EUR 555. Outperform. $MUV2 (-1,37%)

- ODDO BHF upgrades HERMES to Neutral. Target price EUR 2315. $RMS (+0,96%)

- ODDO BHF raises the target price for AIRBUS from EUR 168 to EUR 180. Outperform. $AIR (-1,53%)

- ODDO BHF raises the price target for FRAPORT from EUR 58 to EUR 61. Outperform. $FRA (+0,07%)

- JPMORGAN raises the target price for FEDEX from USD 366 to USD 370. Overweight. $FDX (-0,05%)

⬇️⬇️⬇️

- GOLDMAN lowers the price target for NIKE from USD 97 to USD 91. Buy. $NKE (-1,08%)

- BOFA lowers the price target for NIKE from USD 95 to USD 90. Buy. $NKE (-1,08%)

- ODDO BHF downgrades CARBIOS to Neutral. $ALCRB (-6,27%)

- KEPLER CHEUVREUX lowers the price target for LANXESS from EUR 31 to EUR 30. Buy. $LXS (-0,59%)

- HAUCK AUFHÄUSER IB lowers the target price for DEUTZ from EUR 8.50 to EUR 7. Buy. $DEZ (+1,27%)

- BARCLAYS lowers the price target for VERTEX from USD 509 to USD 418. Equal-Weight. $VRTX (-0,54%)

- GOLDMAN lowers the price target for BIRKENSTOCK from 59.10 USD to 57.90 USD. Neutral. $BIRK (-1,43%)

- GOLDMAN downgrades TEAMVIEWER from Buy to Neutral and lowers target price from EUR 17 to EUR 12. $TMV (+1,71%)