Pair of sizes $NOVO B (+5,32%) and a new position $HL (-6,67%) . We will see :)
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Walt Disney
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23006.02.2025
Walt Disney surprises positively thanks to streaming business + Siemens Healthineers increases profit + Trump's tariffs could cost US industry billions
Walt Disney $DIS (-1,33%)surprises positively thanks to 'Moana 2' and streaming business
- Thanks to a strong streaming business and the success of the animated film "Moana 2", the US media company Walt Disney has exceeded market expectations at the start of its new financial year.
- Sales and profits were higher than expected, according to the figures presented by Disney in Burbank on Wednesday.
- In other business areas, however, including the TV business and the operation of the theme parks, things were less rosy.
- The stock market also criticized the fact that the forecast was not raised.
- The share price fell in pre-market US trading. In the first quarter to the end of December, Disney's turnover rose by 5 percent to 24.7 billion US dollars (23.9 billion euros) compared to the same period in the previous year.
- Adjusted operating profit rose by almost a third to 5.1 billion dollars.
- The profit attributable to shareholders climbed even more strongly to just under 2.6 billion dollars.
- The quarter was a strong start to the financial year, said Disney CEO Bob Iger according to the press release.
- He remains confident about the growth strategy.
Siemens Healthineers $SHL (+0,45%)American demand and restructuring
- The medical technology group Siemens Healthineers has made a surprisingly good start to the new fiscal year.
- In the three months to the end of December, total sales climbed by almost six percent to just under 5.5 billion euros, as the Siemens subsidiary announced in Erlangen on Thursday.
- Excluding currency and portfolio effects, the increase amounted to 5.7 percent.
- Business in the Americas and in the Asia, Pacific, Japan region grew in particular.
- In China, however, revenue fell by a mid-single-digit percentage due to the ongoing delays in the awarding of orders.
- Adjusted for special effects, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) increased by eleven percent to 822 million euros, mainly due to cost savings in connection with restructuring in the Diagnostics division.
- Sales and operating profit thus exceeded analysts' expectations.
- The bottom line for Siemens Healthineers shareholders was a profit of 474 million euros after 431 million in the previous year.
- Group CEO Bernd Montag maintained the targets for the fiscal year.
Trump's tariffs could cost the US industry billions
- Ford$F (-0,67%) -Ford CEO Jim Farley has warned the White House that long-term punitive tariffs of 25 percent on deliveries from Mexico and Canada would hit the US car industry hard.
- This would cost American manufacturers billions of dollars in profits and have serious consequences for jobs in the USA, Farley said after presenting quarterly figures.
- US car giants such as Ford and General Motors $GM (-2,75%)had expanded production in neighboring countries in recent years.
- US President Donald Trump recently imposed additional tariffs of 25 percent on goods from Mexico and Canada - but then quickly postponed them for 30 days.
Thursday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures
- ex-dividend of individual stocks
- Ascencio SCA EUR 4.30
- Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia
- 12:30 Honeywell quarterly figures
- 13:00 Philip Morris | Conocophillips Quarterly figures
- 22:00 Expedia Group quarterly figures
- 22:05 Amazon | Verisign quarterly figures
- No time specified: Yum! Brands | Hershey | Air Products and Chemicals | Eli Lilly | Bristol Myers Squibb | Intercontinental Exchange | KKR & Co | Sonos | Warner Music quarterly figures
- Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
- 06:30 Societe Generale annual results
- 07:00 Aurubis | Siemens Healthineers | Rational | Arcelormittal | ING Groep | Volvo Car Annual results
- 07:30 Hannover Re Renewals 2025 | Siemens Healthineers PK
- 08:00 Astrazeneca | A.P. Moeller-Maersk Annual Results
- 08:30 Siemens Healthineers Analyst Conference
- 09:00 Hannover Re PK
- 10:00 Qiagen annual results press conference
- 12:00 Linde quarterly figures
- 15:00 Kion Pre-Close-Call | Linde PK
- 16:00 Qiagen Analyst Conference
- 17:45 Vinci annual results
- 18:00 LOreal annual results
Economic data
- 08:00 DE: New orders December seasonally adjusted FORECAST: +2.0% yoy previous: -5.4% yoy
- 11:00 EU: December Eurozone Retail Sales PROGNOSE: -0.1% yoy previous: +0.1% yoy
- 13:00 UK: BoE, outcome and minutes of the Monetary Policy Council meeting and Monetary Policy Report Bank Rate FORECAST: 4.50% previously: 4.75%
- 14:30 US: Initial jobless claims (week) FORECAST: 214,000 previously: 207,000
- 14:30 US: Productivity ex Agriculture (1st release) 4Q annualized PROGNOSE: +1.4% yoy Q3: +2.2% yoy Unit labor costs PROGNOSE: +3.3% yoy Q3: +0.8% yoy
- 20:30 US: Fed Governor Waller, speech at the Atlantic Council at 'Navigating the Future of Payments' event
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Walt Disney beats market expectations, but share price falls
Walt Disney (NYSE: $DIS (-1,33%)) has been buoyed by a strong streaming business and the success of the animated film Moana 2 at the start of the new financial year exceeded market expectations. As the figures from the Burbank-based company show, both sales and profits rose significantly more than expected in the first quarter of the year. Nevertheless, there was criticism on the stock market that Disney had not adjusted its forecasts, which led to a fall in the share price in pre-market trading.
In the period up to the end of December, Disney's turnover rose by 5 percent to 24.7 billion US dollars (approx. 23.9 billion euros) compared to the same period in the previous year. Adjusted operating profit increased by almost a third and reached 5.1 billion dollars. The profit was particularly positive for shareholders: At just under 2.6 billion dollars, it fell even more sharply than the operating profit.
Disney CEO Bob Iger was satisfied with the results and described the quarter as a "strong start" to the new financial year. The success of the streaming business, which continues to act as a growth driver, was particularly emphasized. The animated film Moana 2which enjoyed great success in cinemas, also made a significant contribution to the good figures.
However, other business areas, such as the TV business and theme park operations, performed less well. These sectors, which were among Disney's major revenue drivers in the past, were not quite able to keep pace with expectations and slowed down the company's overall performance somewhat.
Despite the positive quarterly figures, the company's forecast remained unchanged, which raised concerns among investors and analysts. They had hoped for an increase in the outlook, particularly in view of the continued strong growth in the streaming segment. As a result, Disney's shares fell in pre-market trading, reflecting the initial disappointment.
Despite this short-term reaction, Bob Iger remains confident about the company's long-term growth strategy. Disney will continue to focus on strengthening its existing businesses and expanding in the streaming market to continue its growth in the coming quarters.
Disney Q1'25 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: $24.69B (Est. $24.62B) 🟢; UP +5% YoY
🔹 Adjusted EPS: $1.76 (Est. $1.45) 🟢; UP +44% YoY
🔹 Total Disney+ subscribers: 124.6M; DOWN -0.7M QoQ
Q2'25 Outlook:
🔹 Modest decline in Disney+ subscribers expected
🔹 Sports: $100M hit from college sports & NFL, $50M from Venu Sports JV exit
🔹 Disney Cruise Line pre-opening expense of ~$40M
FY25 Outlook:
🔹 Adjusted EPS Growth: High-single digits
🔹 Cash from Operations: ~$15B
🔹 Entertainment: Double-digit segment operating income growth
🔹 Sports: 13% segment operating income growth
🔹 Experiences: 6-8% segment operating income growth
🔹 Disney Cruise Line pre-opening expense: ~$200M
Key DTC Metrics:
🔸 Total Disney+ subscribers: 124.6M (Est. 141.74M) 🔴; DOWN -0.7M QoQ
🔸 Domestic Disney+ subscribers: 56.8M (Est. 55.67M) 🟢
🔸 International Disney+ subscribers: 67.8M (Est. 63.77M) 🟢
🔸 Total Hulu subscribers: 53.6M (Est. 52.34M) 🟢
🔸 Hulu SVOD Only Subscribers: 49M (Est. 47.26M) 🟢
🔸 Hulu Live TV + SVOD subscribers: 4.6M (Est. 4.63M) 🟡
🔸 Hulu SVOD Only ARPU: $12.52 (Est. $12.84) 🔴
🔸 Hulu Live TV + SVOD ARPU: $99.22 (Est. $97.98) 🟢
Q1 SEGMENTS:
Experiences (Parks, Cruises & Consumer Products)
🔹 Revenue: $9.42B (Est. $9.32B) 🟢; UP +3% YoY
🔹 Segment Operating Income: $3.11B (Est. $3.03B) 🟢; Flat YoY
Domestic Parks & Experiences:
🔹 Operating Income: $1.98B; DOWN -5% YoY
🔹 Impacted by Hurricanes Milton & Helene ($120M impact) and Disney Treasure pre-opening expenses ($75M impact)
International Parks & Experiences:
🔹 Operating Income: $420M; UP +28% YoY
Consumer Products:
🔹 Revenue: $1.34B (Est. $1.38B) 🟡; DOWN -2% YoY
🔹 Operating Income: $708M; UP +1% YoY
Entertainment
🔹 Revenue: $10.87B (Est. $11.07B) 🔴; UP +9% YoY
🔹 Segment Operating Income: $1.70B (Est. $1.11B) 🟢; UP +95% YoY
Linear Networks:
🔹 Revenue: $2.62B (Est. $2.60B) 🟡; DOWN -7% YoY
🔹 Operating Income: $1.10B; DOWN -11% YoY
Disney (DIS) Q4 CY2024 Highlights:
- $DIS (-1,33%)
Revenue: $24.69 billion vs. analyst estimates of $24.63 billion (4.8% year-on-year growth, in line with expectations)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.76 vs. analyst estimates of $1.43 (22.9 % exceeded)
- Disney+ subscribers: 1% decline, warns of further "modest decline" in subscribers next quarter
- Adjusted EBITDA: $6.24 billion vs. analyst estimates of $4.96 billion (25.3% margin, 25.9% beat)
- Operating margin: 20.5 %, compared to 13.2 % in the same quarter last year
- Free cash flow margin: 3 %, similar to the same quarter last year
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Reinvesting
Sold some shares of $UMG (-0,89%) (+17%), last shares of $DIS (-1,33%) (+29%) and some more. My biggest mistake is never taking profits just cuttting losses so its time to change it. Couldnt resist reinvesting it into $NVDA (-3,63%) but most went into ETFs.
Netflix - Subscriber growth 🚀
Netflix has gained more new subscribers than in any other quarter in its history.
Netflix subscribers over time.
$DIS (-1,33%) , $AMZN (-2,39%) , $WBD (-2,83%) , $PARA (+0,27%) , $FUBO
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Netflix earnings highlights for the fourth quarter of 2024
- Sales: USD 10.25 billion (estimated USD 10.11 billion); increase of +16 % compared to the previous year
- Earnings per share: USD 4.27 (estimated USD 4.18); increase of +102 % compared to the previous year
- Paid streaming net admissions: +18.91 million (estimated +9.18 million) ; increase of +44% compared to the previous year
- Total number of paid streaming memberships: 301.63 million (estimated 290.93 million); increase of 16% compared to the previous year
- Operating income: USD 2.27 billion (estimated USD 2B); increase of 52% compared to the previous year
- Operating margin: 22.2 % (estimated 21.9 %)
- Free cash flow: USD 1.38 billion (estimated USD 1.06 billion); decrease of -13% compared to the previous year
Segment performance:
United States and Canada (UCAN):
- Sales: USD 4.52 billion; increase of 15 % compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +4.82 million (estimated +1.75 million); increase of +72% compared to the previous year
- Average revenue per membership (ARM): $17.26; increase of 4% compared to the previous year
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA):
- Revenue: USD 3.29 billion; increase of 18 % compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +5 million (estimated +3.09 million); decrease of -1% compared to the previous year
- ARM: $11.11; increase of 3% compared to the previous year
Latin America (LATAM):
- Sales: $1.23 billion; decrease of 7% compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +4.15 million (estimated +1.5 million); increase of +77% compared to the previous year
- ARM: $8.00; decrease of -7% compared to the previous year
Asia-Pacific (APAC):
- Sales: USD 1.21 billion; increase of 26% compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +4.94 million (estimated +2.70 million); increase of +70% compared to the previous year
- ARM: $7.34; unchanged compared to the previous year
Content performance:
- "Squid Game" Season 2 and "Carry-On" have reached significant milestones and "Squid Game" is well on its way to becoming one of the most-watched original series.
- With the fight between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson, Netflix delivered the most-streamed sporting event of all time.
- Record-breaking NFL viewing figures on Christmas Day.
Forecast for the first quarter of 2025:
- Revenue: USD 10.42 billion (estimate: USD 10.48 billion)
- Earnings per share: USD 5.58 (estimate: USD 6.01)
- Operating income: USD 2.94 billion (estimate: USD 3.13 billion)
- Operating margin: 28.2% (estimate: 29.8%)
Forecast for the full year 2025:
- Sales: USD 43.5-44.5 bn (estimate: USD 43.59 bn); increase of 12-14% compared to the previous year
- Operating profit margin: 29% (previously: 28%)
- Free cash flow: approx. USD 8 billion (estimated: USD 8.51 billion)
CEO's comment:
- "2024 marked a renewed acceleration in growth with a 16% increase in sales compared to the previous year. We are entering 2025 with strong momentum and are preparing for the return of hit series such as 'Squid Game', 'Wednesday' and 'Stranger Things'. Our live programs and ad-financed plans are the main drivers of this growth."
Strategic updates:
- Focus on ad-supported plans. 55% of new sign-ups in ad-supported regions opt for ads.
- Investment in live event programming, including exclusive rights to the FIFA Women's World Cup (2027 and 2031).
- Enhanced ad tech platform to be launched in Canada and rolled out in the US in April 2025.
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Netflix earnings highlights for the fourth quarter of 2024
- Sales: USD 10.25 billion (estimated USD 10.11 billion); increase of +16 % compared to the previous year
- Earnings per share: USD 4.27 (estimated USD 4.18); increase of +102 % compared to the previous year
- Paid streaming net admissions: +18.91 million (estimated +9.18 million) ; increase of +44% compared to the previous year
- Total number of paid streaming memberships: 301.63 million (estimated 290.93 million); increase of 16% compared to the previous year
- Operating income: USD 2.27 billion (estimated USD 2B); increase of 52% compared to the previous year
- Operating margin: 22.2 % (estimated 21.9 %)
- Free cash flow: USD 1.38 billion (estimated USD 1.06 billion); decrease of -13% compared to the previous year
Segment performance:
United States and Canada (UCAN):
- Sales: USD 4.52 billion; increase of 15 % compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +4.82 million (estimated +1.75 million); increase of +72% compared to the previous year
- Average revenue per membership (ARM): $17.26; increase of 4% compared to the previous year
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA):
- Revenue: USD 3.29 billion; increase of 18 % compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +5 million (estimated +3.09 million); decrease of -1% compared to the previous year
- ARM: $11.11; increase of 3% compared to the previous year
Latin America (LATAM):
- Sales: $1.23 billion; decrease of 7% compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +4.15 million (estimated +1.5 million); increase of +77% compared to the previous year
- ARM: $8.00; decrease of -7% compared to the previous year
Asia-Pacific (APAC):
- Sales: USD 1.21 billion; increase of 26% compared to the previous year
- Paid net additions: +4.94 million (estimated +2.70 million); increase of +70% compared to the previous year
- ARM: $7.34; unchanged compared to the previous year
Content performance:
- "Squid Game" Season 2 and "Carry-On" have reached significant milestones and "Squid Game" is well on its way to becoming one of the most-watched original series.
- With the fight between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson, Netflix delivered the most-streamed sporting event of all time.
- Record-breaking NFL viewing figures on Christmas Day.
Forecast for the first quarter of 2025:
- Revenue: USD 10.42 billion (estimate: USD 10.48 billion)
- Earnings per share: USD 5.58 (estimate: USD 6.01)
- Operating income: USD 2.94 billion (estimate: USD 3.13 billion)
- Operating margin: 28.2% (estimate: 29.8%)
Forecast for the full year 2025:
- Sales: USD 43.5-44.5 bn (estimate: USD 43.59 bn); increase of 12-14% compared to the previous year
- Operating profit margin: 29% (previously: 28%)
- Free cash flow: approx. USD 8 billion (estimated: USD 8.51 billion)
CEO's comment:
- "2024 marked a renewed acceleration in growth with a 16% increase in sales compared to the previous year. We are entering 2025 with strong momentum and are preparing for the return of hit series such as 'Squid Game', 'Wednesday' and 'Stranger Things'. Our live programs and ad-financed plans are the main drivers of this growth."
Strategic updates:
- Focus on ad-supported plans. 55% of new sign-ups in ad-supported regions opt for ads.
- Investment in live event programming, including exclusive rights to the FIFA Women's World Cup (2027 and 2031).
- Enhanced ad tech platform to be launched in Canada and rolled out in the US in April 2025.
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The story of Disney (Disney Brothers)
In 1936, the Disney brothers began with a dream and a mouse.
Decades later, Walt and Roy Disney built an empire that set the standard for family entertainment.
Here is the story of how visionary leadership turned Disney into a 200 billion dollar company:
Walt Disney was a storyteller and Roy Disney was a businessman.
Together they combined creativity and strategy.
Their first big idea? A cartoon mouse called Mickey.
But Walt didn't just want cartoons; he wanted animated stories that appealed to the emotions.
The release of "Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs" in 1937 was a groundbreaking moment - it was the world's first feature-length animated film.
Critics said the strategy would fail.
Instead, it became a cultural phenomenon and grossed 8 million dollars during the Great Depression.
Walt's genius lay in his ability to see the big picture.
He envisioned Disneyland, a place where stories come to life and families create memories.
Roy made sure the finances worked and bet everything on Walt's dream.
In 1955, Disneyland opened its doors.
Despite initial setbacks, it developed into the gold standard for theme parks worldwide.
The Disney brothers faced major challenges, from the financial burdens of the Second World War to internal conflicts.
But their leadership was based on trust.
Walt inspired the creative vision and Roy ensured that the business remained stable.
When Walt died in 1966, Roy ensured that Walt Disney World opened in 1971, honoring his brother's dream.
The Disney empire expanded into television, merchandise and live-action films.
In the 1980s, the company was in trouble, but the family legacy paved the way for a new direction.
Acquisitions such as Pixar, Marvel and Lucasfilm underlined the power of visionary leadership based on bold decisions.
Today, Disney is synonymous with magic, entertainment and innovation.
What started with one mouse has become a 200 billion dollar empire that influences generations around the world.
But at its core, the Disney story is about family - a partnership between two brothers who shared a dream and pursued it with passion.
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+ 6
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Disney $DIS (-1,33%) announced its Board approved a cash dividend of $1.00 per share, a 33% increase from last year’s $0.75 per share.
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