Tops

Still at the top 🥇Sprouts Farmers$SFM (-0,14%) which are stable 📈 followed by 🥈Netflix $NFLX (-0,3%) which has fought its way up to second place despite all the market turbulence.

Walmart $WMT (-0,43%) who have always been in the top 3 since I started covering the position.

Unlike the country 🇩🇪 where it feels 📉. Things are looking surprisingly good on the stock market for 🇩🇪 shares $DB1 (-1,78%) & $MUV2 (-0,29%) in the top 10 💪😊

Surprisingly, there is no sign of Magnificent 7 far and wide 😂 although $TSLA (-3,18%) is no longer represented in the "ETF".

Flops

Although Adobe$ADBE (-0,59%) actually has good figures, the position has not really gotten off the ground since I started holding it, worse still, so far it has brought me the most losses, although it does not pay a dividend 😂

Of course the savings plans are still running this month, but not all positions.

The winners are still running, some of the losers have been paused for the time being and only the flops are still running. $QCOM (-1,22%)
$AMAT (-1,93%) continue.

Alphabet $GOOGL (-1,51%)

Infosys $INFY

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing $TSM (-1,84%)

ASML $ASML (-0,98%)

Microsoft $MSFT (-0,99%)

Applied Materials $AMAT (-1,93%) (rather speculative)

In fact, the technology sector has been the most difficult for me so far, probably also because it is a very dynamic and rapidly developing sector.

I would therefore be interested: Which companies do you see as particularly promising for a long-term investment?

To the computer scientists and tech insiders among you: Do companies like Microsoft, SAP or Adobe now tend to be established players that may have lost their innovative strength or do you still see them as being well positioned for the future?

Donald Trump wants to overturn US Chips Act + Lufthansa profits slump + DHL expects little earnings growth in 2025 + Merck aims for further profitable growth in 2024 after uprising + Kontron share price jumps to record high after order

Donald Trump wants to overturn US Chips Act

• Should the US government actually stop payments or cut commitments, this would affect many US companies: Although reporting is dominated by Intel $INTC (-1,98%), Micron $MU (-2,4%), Samsung $005930and TSMC $2330, which will receive up to 8.49 billion US dollars. But also Texas Instruments $TXN (-0,98%), Applied Materials $AMAT (-1,93%)and the University of Arizona will also receive money.
• In addition, a number of small companies are to receive between 200,000 and 300,000 US dollars. All projects can be found in a list maintained by Nist. In the case of Intel, the loss of subsidy commitments could exacerbate the current crisis.

Lufthansa $LHA (+1,9%)Profit collapses

• Strikes, higher costs and lower ticket prices caused Lufthansa's profits to plummet last year.
• The core brand Lufthansa Airlines was even in the red in its day-to-day business, as the MDax-listed company announced in Frankfurt on Thursday.
• Group-wide operating profit before special items therefore slumped by over one billion to around 1.65 billion euros.
• For the current year, CEO Carsten Spohr is aiming for a "significant" improvement.
• The already announced restructuring program should contribute to this.
• Last year, Group airlines such as Lufthansa, Swiss, Austrian and Eurowings carried 131 million passengers, seven percent more than in the previous year.
• Turnover increased by six percent to 37.6 billion euros.
• Unlike the passenger division, the cargo subsidiary Lufthansa Cargo and the maintenance division Lufthansa Technik were also able to increase their operating profit.
• The bottom line was a Group-wide surplus of just under 1.4 billion euros, 18 percent less than in the previous year.
• Nevertheless, shareholders are to receive an unchanged dividend of 30 cents per share.

DHL $DHL (+0,47%)expects only little earnings growth in 2025

• The logistics group DHL is implementing a cost-cutting program to combat sluggish global trade and the uncertain geopolitical situation.
• This is accompanied by the reduction of 8,000 jobs in the German mail and parcel business, as the company announced in Bonn on Thursday.
• CEO Tobias Meyer sees "both shadow and light" for the Group in the US customs policy.
• Meanwhile, the Bonn-based DAX-listed company expects only a sluggish improvement in earnings in 2025, after 2024 performed somewhat better than analysts had feared.
• "We continue to expect an operating result (EBIT) of over 7 billion euros in the medium term," Group CEO Tobias Meyer told the financial news agency dpa-AFX.
• He had previously targeted earnings before interest and taxes of more than EUR 7 billion for 2026.
• Similar to Brexit, the number of shipments is expected to decline on the one hand, while on the other hand DHL is likely to gain in added value, for example because more shipments will have to be cleared through customs.
• On this basis, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are expected to increase slightly to at least EUR 6 billion in 2025.
• However, analysts surveyed by the company had estimated a median of 6.3 billion euros.
• At the same time, free cash flow is expected to remain stable at EUR 3.0 billion and thus be slightly better than expected, as in 2024.
• In 2024, the DAX-listed company earned EUR 5.9 billion in day-to-day business, a good 7 percent less than in the previous year.
• However, the operating result did not fall quite as sharply as analysts had feared.
• At 3.0 billion euros, the free cash flow was also better than experts had expected.
• DHL therefore met the targets it had set itself.
• At EUR 3.3 billion, the bottom line for shareholders in 2024 was a good 9 percent less profit than in 2023.
• The Board of Management intends to propose a stable dividend of EUR 1.85 per share at the Annual General Meeting.
• The share buyback program is to be increased by EUR 2 billion to EUR 6 billion and extended until 2026.

Merck $MRK (+0,61%)aims to continue to grow profitably after the upswing in 2024

• After a weak previous year, day-to-day business at the pharmaceutical and technology group Merck KGaA has picked up again in 2024.
• The final quarter was above average.
• CEO Belen Garijo now wants to build on the upswing in the current year.
• "Merck is back on course for growth with all three businesses," said the manager in a statement on Thursday.
• "In 2025, we will once again grow profitably across the entire company."
• Shareholders are to receive a stable dividend of 2.20 euros for the past year.
• According to the statement, Merck is targeting sales of EUR 21.5 to 22.9 billion in the current year, which corresponds to organic growth of three to six percent.
• Adjusted for special effects, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (adjusted EBITDA) are expected to increase organically by three to eight percent to EUR 6.1 to 6.6 billion.
• Last year, Group revenue climbed by 0.8 percent year-on-year to EUR 21.16 billion, supported by good business with medicines and semiconductor materials for artificial intelligence (AI).
• Since the second half of the year, there have also been signs of an upturn in the laboratory division, after the division had suffered from weak demand for a long time following the coronavirus boom.
• The Group also kept its costs in check.
• Adjusted for special effects, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (adjusted EBITDA) increased by 3.3% to almost EUR 6.1 billion.
• Merck's sales and operating result were thus in line with its own targets and also more or less in line with analysts' expectations.
• Due to higher taxes, however, the Darmstadt-based company earned just under EUR 2.79 billion, around two percent less than in the previous year.

Kontron $KTN (+1,1%)share price jumps to record high after order

• Following an order, Kontron shares reached a record high of EUR 23.34 on Wednesday.
• Most recently, the share price rose by 12.9 percent to EUR 23.18 and was one of the top positions in the small cap index SDax.
• The Austrian technology group announced a further order from the automotive industry worth 40 million euros.
• This involves the delivery of highly developed sensor technologies.
• This should at least benefit the perception of the share, commented a trader.
• On February 20, Kontron had announced an order with a total volume of 250 million US dollars over several years from a "leading supplier to the automotive industry".

Thursday: Stock market dates, economic data, quarterly figures

• ex-dividend of individual stocks
• Qualcomm USD 0.85
• BHP Group AUD 0.80

• Quarterly figures / company dates USA / Asia
• 22:00 Broadcom quarterly figures
• 22:05 Hewlett Packard Enterprise quarterly figures
• No time specified: Costco Wholesale | Universal Music Quarterly figures

• Quarterly figures / Company dates Europe
• 07:00 Lufthansa | DHL Group | Merck KGaA | Siltronic | Ströer | Zalando | Aareal Annual results
• 07:30 Compugroup Medical | Prosiebensat1 | Dürr | GFT Technologies | Air France-KLM | Bouygues Annual results
• 08:00 Deutsche Beteiligungs AG | Reckitt Benckise Annual Results
• 09:00 DHL Group Analyst Conference | Aareal Bank | Zalando BI-PK | Ströer Analyst and Press Conference
• 09:30 Lufthansa BI-PK
• 10:00 Merck KGaA PK | Siltronic Analyst Conference | Dürr BI-PK
• 10:45 Zalando Analyst Conference
• 11:00 DHL Group BI-PK
• 11:30 Prosiebensat1 BI-PK
• 12:30 Lufthansa Analyst Conference
• 14:00 Merck KGaA Analyst Conference | Dürr Analyst Conference
• 18:00 Vivendi Annual Results
• No time specified: Andritz | Solvay Annual figures

• Economic data

08:00 DE: Services turnover December

11:00 EU: Retail Sales January Eurozone FORECAST: +0.1% yoy previous: -0.2% yoy

12:00 TR: Turkish Central Bank, outcome of the Monetary Policy Council meeting Key interest rate FORECAST: n/a previously: 45.00%

14:15 EU: ECB, outcome of the Governing Council meeting and staff projection for growth and inflation in the eurozone Deposit rate FORECAST: 2.50% previously: 2.75%

14:30 US: Initial jobless claims (week) FORECAST: 235,000 previously: 242,000

14:30 US: Trade Balance January FORECAST: -128.7 bn USD previously: -98.4 bn USD

14:30 US: Productivity ex Agriculture (2nd release) 4Q annualized PROGNOSE: +1.2% yoy 1st release: +1.2% yoy 3rd quarter: +2.3% yoy Unit labor costs PROGNOSE: +3.0% yoy Preliminary: 1st release: +3.0% yoy Previously: 3rd quarter: +0.5% yoy

Just bought at a price of just under € 140/share.

$AMAT (-1,93%) is essential for semiconductor production and has been massively punished in recent weeks. After being priced at €220/share a good six months ago, I'm now happy to take the 40% discount.

Facts:

• Forward P/E ratio currently at 18.5 and forward EV/EBIT even only at 13.5
• Net debt free
• Dividend growth at just under 15% CAGR in the last 10 years
• Current dividend yield at 1.1%

I will continue to buy here if the value falls.

What do you think about the strong negative curve of $VST (-3,3%) and $AMAT (-1,93%)

do you think it is going up again?

Hello everyone,

For about 2 weeks I have lost about 1400€ on the stock market, and the downward trend does not seem to be abating.

At the moment I have heavy losses in $AMD (-2,14%) , $AMAT (-1,93%) , $ANET (-2,52%) and $BBAI (-6,09%) .

I have decided to suspend my savings plan for March and make additional purchases in the above-mentioned shares in order to push the price down.

I have around €1000 available for this.

I am also considering investing in $HIMS (-3,19%) to invest.

Do you think this is a good idea, or should I perhaps wait a little longer?

As I've been actively investing for a little over half a year, I'm looking forward to your expertise.

Enclosed is my current portfolio.

$AMAT (-1,93%)

It was kicked out of my portfolio today with a minimal plus - the forecasts are too gloomy for me to continue holding it.

I have about 2.5k in free capital - I'll park on the sidelines for now.

Applied Materials Inc reported adjusted earnings of 2.38 dollars per share for the quarter ended January 31, up from 2.13 dollars per share in the same quarter last year.

The average expectation of twenty-five analysts for the quarter was earnings of 2.29 dollars per share.

Wall Street was expecting earnings of between 2.19 and 2.34 dollars per share.

• Sales rose by 6.8 percent year-on-year to 7.17 billion dollars; analysts had expected 7.14 billion dollars.
• The EPS reported by Applied Materials Inc. for the quarter amounted to 1.45 dollars.
• The company reported a quarterly net profit of 1.19 billion dollars.

Applied Materials on Thursday forecast second quarter sales below market estimates.

The company expects escalating geopolitical tensions and weak demand for memory chips for consumer electronics to hurt sales of its chipmaking equipment.

Shares of the company - the largest US semiconductor manufacturer - fell almost 5% in extended trading.

Sales in China, Applied's biggest market in the first quarter, are at risk from tighter U.S. restrictions on chipmaking technology exports.

The US government said in December that new controls will be imposed on the export of semiconductor manufacturing equipment ((link)) needed to make advanced-node chips to China, affecting Applied Materials.

Applied Materials forecast second-quarter revenue of about $7.1 billion, plus or minus $400 million, compared with analysts' average estimate of $7.21 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

In the current quarter, the company will "factor in export control-related headwinds," Chief Financial Officer Brice Hill said in a statement.

Sales to China accounted for about 31 percent of Applied Materials' total sales in the first quarter, down from about 45 percent of total sales in the year-ago period.

On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump tasked his economic team with developing a plan to impose reciprocal tariffs (link) on all countries that impose tariffs on U.S. imports, targeting China, Japan and South Korea - some of Applied Materials' largest markets.

Weakness in the market for memory chips used in smartphones and PCs has also offset the positive impact of rising demand for advanced chips capable of processing the vast amounts of data used by generative AI.

Memory chip maker SK Hynix told analysts last month that its capital expenditure for 2025 (link) will increase only slightly year-on-year.

Applied expects second-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.30 per share, plus or minus 18 cents, in line with estimates of $2.30 per share.

For the quarter ended Jan. 26, Applied Materials reported revenue of $7.17 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $7.14 billion. Adjusted earnings of 2.38 dollars per share were also above estimates of 2.29 dollars.

Next week won't be boring either 🫡

There's something for everyone 😁

What numbers are you looking forward to? 🧐

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