$AFRM (+0,55%) is well positioned to drive growth and penetrate the U.S. pay-later market and overall GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) market...
Affirm Holdings
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Source: CB Insights
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Affirm
$AFRM (+0,55%) secures the largest largest capital commitment in its history.
In a new partnership with the private credit firm Sixth Street the latter is investing in loans worth 4 billion US dollars over three years, reports CNBC.
Graphic: affirm.com
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK HIGHS at some point today
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Affirm $AFRM (+0,55%)
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Trade Desk $TTD (+1,15%)
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$AFRM (+0,55%) | Affirm Q1 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $698M (Est. $664M) 🟢; UP +41% YoY
🔹 EPS: -$0.31 (Est. -$0.45) 🟢
🔹 GMV: $7.6B; UP +35% YoY
🔹 RLTC: $285M; Maintains 3.8% margin relative to GMV
Guidance:
🔹 Q2 Revenue: $770M-$810M (Est. $785M) 🟢
🔹 FY25 Revenue: $3.04B (Est. $3.02B) 🟢
Key Operational Metrics:
🔹 Adj Operating Income: $130M; margin of 18.6%
🔹 Active Consumers: 19.5M; UP +21% YoY
🔹 Active Consumers: 19.5M; UP +21% YoY
🔹 Transactions per Active Consumer: 5.1 vs. 4.1 YoY
🔹 Active Merchants: 323,000; UP +21% YoY
🔹 Total Transactions: 27.2M vs. 18.8M in Q1 FY2024
Credit Performance:
🔹 Delinquency Rates: Slight increases in 30+, 60+, and 90+ day categories due to credit seasonality and expanded loan approvals
Strategic Highlights and Initiatives:
🔸 Affirm Card Growth: Over 1.4M active cardholders; GMV per user exceeding $3,000
🔸 Product Expansion: Launched in the UK, integrated with Apple Pay, and expanded partnerships with Shopify and WooCommerce
🔸 Funding Capacity: Increased to $16.8B; Authorized convertible debt repurchase of up to $500M for 2025
CEO Max Levchin’s Commentary:
🔸 "Shop Pay Installments, powered by Affirm, has surpassed $10B in cumulative GMV. We're excited to deepen our joint initiatives with Shopify, including off-Shopify Shop Pay."
Affirm Q3 2024 $AFRM (+0,55%)
Financial performance:
- Revenue: Affirm reported revenue of $698 million for the first quarter, an impressive 41% increase year-over-year. Revenue to GMV (total number of merchandise sales) ratio increased to 9.2% compared to 8.8% in Q1 2024, indicating improved pricing and efficiency in monetizing GMV.
- Net income (loss): Affirm posted a net loss of $100 million for the quarter, but this is an improvement of $72 million year-over-year. Despite the loss, the decrease in the deficit shows a trend towards greater financial stability.
- Adjusted operating income: Adjusted operating income increased by USD 70 million to USD 130 million, representing an adjusted operating margin of 19%, compared to 12% in the first quarter of 2024.
Balance sheet overview:
- Loans held for investment: Loans held for investment increased 39% year over year, a major contributor to the increase in interest income.
- Provision for losses: This amounted to USD 351 million, representing 5.7% of loans held, and shows that Affirm is adjusting its provision for loan losses in line with its growth strategy and market development.
Income details:
- Operating income (loss): Operating income improved by $77 million to a loss of $133 million, compared to a loss of $209 million in the prior year. This improvement reflects better cost efficiency and successful cost management.
- Revenue less transaction costs (RLTC): RLTC grew by 34% year-on-year to USD 285 million, representing 3.8% of GMV and indicating solid profitability of the operating businesses.
Cash flow overview:
No specific details on cash flow have been provided in these reports.
Key ratios and profitability metrics:
- Operating margin: Operating margin improved significantly to (19%) from (42%) in Q1 2024, indicating a significant reduction in operating losses.
- Adjusted operating margin: Adjusted operating margin increased to 19% from 12% in the prior year, reflecting improved operating efficiency.
Competitive position:
Affirm recorded competitive delinquency rates on loans over 30 days compared to other consumer lenders. This demonstrates a strong position in managing credit risk and supports confidence in Affirm's risk management practices.
Forecasts and management commentary:
- Outlook for FY2025: Affirm expects GMV to exceed $34 billion and expects an adjusted operating margin of at least 20%. Fourth quarter 2025 target includes achieving GAAP operating margin, underscoring profitability target.
- Profitability target: Affirm plans to be GAAP operating income positive by the fourth quarter of 2025, supporting its long-term profitability strategy.
Risks and opportunities:
- Risks: Risks include securing financing, managing credit risk, and the potential impact of macroeconomic conditions and interest rate fluctuations.
- Opportunities: Affirm sees opportunities in the expansion into new markets and product lines, although these are not expected to make a significant contribution to growth in the 2025 financial year.
Summary of results:
Positives:
Sales growth: Sales increased by 41% compared to the previous year, showing strong business expansion.
Improved operating profit: Operating profit improved by USD 77 million, highlighting efficiency in cost management.
Increased adjusted operating margin: Margin increased to 19%, providing Affirm with a healthier financial position.
Successful pricing strategy: Pricing initiatives resulted in higher interest income and improved monetization.
Competitive credit quality: Lower default rates positively differentiate Affirm from other lenders.
Negative aspects:
Net deficit: Despite improvements, Affirm remained in deficit with a net loss of $100 million.
High operating expenses: The cost of corporate guarantees and share-based payments weighed on the result.
Increased provisions: Provisions increased due to higher loan origination and timing of loan sales.
Low growth due to new initiatives: Product launches and market expansions are not expected to make a significant contribution to growth in the 2025 financial year.
Economic risks: Potential impact from economic uncertainties and interest rate changes could affect demand and profit margins.
Affirm
$AFRM (+0,55%) has announced its first international expansion and launched its "Buy Now, Pay Later" service in the United Kingdom 🇬🇧 - CNBC.
Photo: Yahoo
INITIAL MARKET REACTION TO TRUMP VICTORY:
- U.S. Stocks: Broadly higher across sectors
- $XLF: Big banks higher on expectations of regulatory relief, M&A growth
- Cannabis Stocks: $WEED (+1,87%), $MSOS, $TLRY (-0,81%) down as Florida votes against legalization
- $CVS (-0,4%), $UNH (-0,11%) : Health insurers rally on potential easing of Medicare Advantage pressures
- $XLE (-0,38%) , $XOM (-0,47%): Energy stocks higher, anticipating fossil fuel support and less regulation
- Solar/Renewables: Pressure on $FSLR (-0,16%), $SEDG (-0,4%), EV, hydrogen, and battery stocks as clean energy subsidies could be rolled back
- Crypto: Higher as Trump holds a favorable stance, $BTC (-0,96%) strong
- $TSLA (+0,55%): Higher after Trump Win as Musk was all-in on support
- Bonds: Weaker, with yields rising on fiscal concerns
- China Stocks: Weak as tariff pressures and anti-China policy concerns grow
- Peso/Mexican Equities: Weaker on aggressive trade policies and tariffs fear
- FinTech: Higher with $HOOD (+0,31%), $AFRM (+0,55%) , $SQ (+0,88%), $SOFI (+1,21%) responding positively
- Dollar: Stronger due to pro-business policies
- $META (+0,85%), $SNAP (-1,98%): Mixed as TikTok ban concerns ease
- Overall: Dollar, crypto, energy, banks, and U.S. stocks higher; bonds, renewables, and cannabis under pressure.
Earnings next week
$$BRK.A (-0,19%) (Saturday)
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