The sun is shining
Cell phone rings, broker calls
I'm long, brother
Let's do some trading
I'm coming over
Sitting in my trading setup
Think of Accenture times
From the "Market Bunker" boxes
$ACN (-2,36%) Long !!!!! Full throttle!!!
Messaggi
53The sun is shining
Cell phone rings, broker calls
I'm long, brother
Let's do some trading
I'm coming over
Sitting in my trading setup
Think of Accenture times
From the "Market Bunker" boxes
$ACN (-2,36%) Long !!!!! Full throttle!!!
Today there were fresh figures from Siemens $SIE (+0,41%) for the second quarter of 2025 and, as always, I'll try to make them as understandable as possible for you 📈
In this article you will find everything you need to know about the current status.
The information is based entirely on the Q2 report [1], the media presentation [2] and the earnings call [3].
Hier to the article from the last quarterly report.
📅 First of all, the context: Why Q2 at Siemens?
Siemens' fiscal year begins in October. That means:
Overall overview: Robust performance with a special effect
Siemens delivered a strong operating performance. Sales grew by 6 %, incoming orders by 9 %. An important driver was a special gain from the sale of a company in the Smart Infrastructure division, more on this later.
Key figures
👉 The profit includes a special effect from the sale of the Wiring Accessories business in the Smart Infrastructure division. This contributed around € 0.32 to EPS and 550 basis points to the margin.
("EPS before PPA" shows the operating earnings per share, excluding distortions due to acquisition-related special effects, which analysts consider to be the more realistic benchmark for measuring earnings)
(Why only the Industrial Sector is stated: Because the focus is on the Industrial Sector without Healthineers & Financial Services as the core business. This shows Siemens' true operating financial strength, without dividends from investments or financial transactions)
The Siemens Groups at a glance
Share of total sales:
*Difference to 100%: "Reconciliation to consolidated figures, see end of article
📊 Digital Industries (DI):
Siemens is global leader in industrial automation and software for factories. This involves robot control systems, production software and automation solutions for the automotive, pharmaceutical and electronics industries, for example.
Our productsSIMATIC, NX, Teamcenter, TIA Portal
📉 figures:
🔎 Regional trends:
What's going on at Digital Industries...
Digital Industries is Siemens' central division for industrial automation and software, i.e. actually the area that should offer the greatest leverage in AI, efficiency and scalability in the future, which makes the current decline of Sales: -5% & profit: -9%.
3 main reasons identified:
Destocking: destocking is dragging on
The problem was already visible in Q1, as in my article: customers (especially mechanical engineering & electronics manufacturers) ordered massively during the corona period, but now they don't need any new components for the time being because their warehouses are still full.
The consequenceLess call-offs, less sales at Siemens, although the demand remains in the medium term.
CFO Ralf Thomas:
"Distributor inventories in China are still above levels, even if declining."
Regional weaknesses, especially Europe & China
CEO Roland Busch:
"We need clarity on trade policy. Customers are holding back investments in key regions."
EDA software weakens, despite strong PLM
The software share is split in two:
EDA tools are primarily used by chip manufacturers, where investment restraint is currently particularly high following the boom of recent years.
What's next...
✅ The book-to-bill ratio is back at 1.0 - a first signal of stabilization
✅ Siemens expects improvement from H2 if inventories continue to fall and the economy stabilizes
✅ Software business remains profitable in the long term, also due to the integration of Altair
CFO Ralf Thomas:
"We see green shoots in PLM and some signs of stabilization in short-cycle factory automation."
Interim conclusion Digital Industries:
The decline in DI is not a structural problem, but a cyclical weakness combined with geopolitical uncertainty. Siemens itself is continuing to invest in AI & software and believes that the downturn will bottom out this year.
For investors this means: Be patient, DI remains the key to the future in my opinion, even if it is currently bumpy.
🏡 Smart Infrastructure (SI): The star in the quarta
This is about energy supply, building automation and infrastructure. Siemens helps companies to work more efficiently and sustainably, from smart buildings to energy grid feed-in
Known products/services:
figures:
Drivers:
🏷️ Wiring Accessories sales:
Sale of switches, sockets etc. -> no longer a strategic focus.
CFO Ralf Thomas:
"Concentrate on high-margin, digital and scalable solutions"
🚆 Mobility (MO): New orders, top margin
Siemens builds and maintains trains, rail infrastructure and signaling technology. The focus here is on fast, efficient and sustainable mobility systems.
Well-known products/services:
numbers:
Drivers:
CEO Roland Busch:
"Train business remains resistant to economic cycles and can be planned for the long term."
🧬 Siemens Healthineers $SHL (+0,45%) (SHS): Strong performance despite trading risks
Siemens is a leader in medical and diagnostic technology. The company supplies imaging systems, laboratory diagnostics and digital healthcare solutions.
Known products/services:
Numbers
💰 Siemens Financial Services (SFS)
Siemens offers leasing and financing services, e.g. for companies that want to modernize their infrastructure.
Known products/services:
Earnings before taxes: € +210 million (previous year: € 184 million)
Strategic highlights: AI, Altair & Innovation
📌 Altair takeover completed
Siemens strengthens its portfolio for industrial AI & simulation with the acquisition of Altair.
GoalComprehensive, AI-supported software offering across all industries.
CEO Roland Busch On the Altair deal:
"After a very stringent regulatory approval process, we closed the Altair acquisition earlier than planned. Customer feedback for the most complete AI-powered design and simulation portfolio has been excellent.
➡ Early closing of the Altair deal, integration and synergies start immediately Siemens is thus massively expanding its software portfolio.
📌 New acquisition: Dotmatics
📌 Xcelerator & Industrial Copilot: Siemens drives industrial AI forward
Together with partners such as Microsoft $MSFT (-0,43%) , NVIDIA
$NVDA (-0,2%) and Accenture
$ACN (-2,36%) are building an AI ecosystem for industry with the aim of revolutionizing manufacturing and development processes through artificial intelligence and digital twins.
Xcelerator is the open Siemens platform for industrial software, hardware and digital services.
Industrial Copilot is a new tool based on Foundation Models (comparable to GPT, but for industrial applications):
Siemens was honored with the Hermes Award 2025 for real business impact.
GoalIncrease efficiency, avoid errors and cushion the shortage of skilled workers with intelligent assistance systems.
Roland Busch:
About the Industrial Copilot & Xcelerator
"Our Siemens Industrial Copilot received the prestigious Hermes Award for business impact - it's the first real generative AI for the factory floor.
➡ Siemens emphasizes the lead in AI in industry with real customer impact, e.g. Audi .
Regions at a glance
Siemens & Siemens Energy $ENR (-2,84%): only a side note
Even though Siemens Energy has been an independent company since 2020, Siemens AG still holds a minority stake of less than 15% (as of Q2 2025).
The stake has been gradually reduced in recent years, with a large proportion going to the Siemens Pension Trust, for example.
In Q1 2024, this step resulted in a one-off gain of €500 million; this effect will be absent in 2025.
CFO Ralf Thomas (Q2 Call):
"We continue the divestment of the Siemens Energy stake - now below 15%."
Is this still relevant for investors?
No, Siemens Energy no longer plays an operational role for Siemens AG.
What remains, however, are risks at Siemens Energy (e.g. Gamesa, wind power problems, anti-dumping duties), which investors may still associate with Siemens. Even if at least emotionally.
However, Siemens itself emphasizes that Energy is no longer part of the strategic core.
In accounting terms, the investment is listed under "financial assets" and is to be further reduced.
Trade tariffs & geopolitics
USA imposes tariffs on products from Europe & China
Siemens Healthineers particularly affected: -€200-300 million profit risk
CEO Roland Busch:
"Tariff uncertainty is already having an impact on investment decisions."
Siemens is increasingly localizing production & supply chains ("local for local")
CFO Ralf Thomas on macroeconomic risks
"Looking ahead, further recovery of economic activity will depend heavily on clarity about the future tariff environment and on timely resolution of trade conflicts.
➡ Siemens identifies risks from trade conflicts, but remains optimistic
🔮 Outlook for 2025
Segment targets:
👉 Siemens expects continued volatility (trade tariffs, economy, China), but believes it is strategically well positioned.
Further insights from the call:
CEO Roland Busch:
On the current global situation and Siemens' role in it:
"The last few months demonstrated to all of us how fundamentally and how fast the world is transforming... In an environment of accelerating technological progress driven by data and AI, we have to fundamentally rebuild our products, processes, and the way we operate."
➡ ContextSiemens sees the current upheaval as an opportunity for fundamental transformation and wants to be a leader in AI & digitalization.
About the strategic vision "One Tech Company":
"Through our leadership in industrial AI, we enable our customers to combine the real and the digital worlds to improve competitiveness, resilience and sustainability and to achieve real impact."
➡ Siemens is positioning itself as a central enabler of industrial digitalization
CFO Ralf Thomas: On the financial strength in Q2:
"Our excellent profit of €3.2 billion in the Industrial Business clearly topped market expectations even without the divestment gain from Wiring Accessories."
➡ Siemens shows strong operating performance - the special effect was not decisive for the success .
On the strategic importance of China:
"When I was in China... we noted some encouraging signals for more cooperation and openness to drive high-tech and high-quality growth."
Siemens relies on localized development and production; 16 new products were launched locally.
Current share price movement:
Looks like a slight price correction, probably a technical reaction.
Valuation (no investment advice)
With a P/E RATIO of around 18 for a global industrial group with stable margins with stable margins, a growing share of software and high free cash flow is rather moderately valued in my opinion.
Especially compared to many highly valued growth or tech stocks, the valuation may even look rather attractive in the long term, especially when you consider that Siemens now generates around a third of its business with digital, software-based solutions and the trend is rising.
In combination with the strong Q2 figures, the confirmed outlook and a solid order backlog of 117 bn., Siemens is currently delivering a convincing mix of operational stability and structural growth potential.
For me, the share is therefore neither overvalued nor speculative, but appears fundamentally sound, strategically well positioned and interesting in the long term thanks to clear megatrends such as:
Conclusion
The order backlog of 117 bn € is simply insane and, together with the cash flow, provides a certain degree of security
CEO Roland Busch:
"Our backlog is high-quality, high-margin and provides planning security."
I see Siemens as future-proof in the long term, top position in Industry 4.0, electrification & health tech
Strong balance sheet & dividend
Short-term headwinds from the economy & tariffs don't bother me.
I am holding my position and will double the current value within the next few months, Siemens remains a stable core stock with tech ambitions for me!
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Thanks for reading! 🤝
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Sources:
[3] https://web.quartr.com/link/companies/3485/events/257252/transcript?targetTime=0.0
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*Difference in sales shares:
The ~5% difference is explained by:
Reconciliation consolidated financial statements
- Internal allocations, currency adjustments, cross-segment effects
Consolidation & other
- e.g. eliminated sales between the segments
These items are shown in the balance sheet under "Reconciliation to consolidated figures" in the balance sheet. In Q2, this reconciliation figure amounted to € 1.055 billion
The missing % of revenue is attributable to consolidation-related reconciliations and non-operationally allocated revenue, a completely normal figure for a diversified group such as Siemens.
I was thinking of adding new positions to my stock portfolio.
With the market down and the euro/dollar at 1.13 compared to its historical 1.06-1.08 it seems like a good opportunity at least better than a few months ago 🤷♂️
After reviewing the market a bit I have thought of 4 stocks that I have in mind:
A company that given its status will benefit directly from all the advances in artificial intelligence with great expectations of future growth a controlled debt and a good dividend (of around 2% and with a payout ratio below 50%).
Although the financials are not particularly good it is an investment in the brand returning to what it was, Nike's situation has gone from bad to worse, but just as it happens when companies that grow in profits are exaggerated and their price grows even more than profits and so continuously, well it is happening the same but the other way around 🙃 Profits fall but the price falls more than profits do and that makes it a buying opportunity
I am not a big fan of luxury but this company has a historical average of a Per of 25 times, after the fall of the last year I do not rule out that it can continue to fall however the situation may change, it has a good dividend with a payout ratio of less than 50% and a clear growth expectation
Although if you look at the average profits in the last 5 years the Per is much higher than now, I do not believe that profits tend to decrease, it is one of the leading technology companies and I have no doubt that it will eventually recover if not on its own merits by the thrust of the market in general.
Any more suggestions or anything important to keep in mind? Let me know 👇
$ACN (-2,36%)
$BAH (+1,91%)
$CACI (+0,39%)
$PLTR (-1,14%)
Pete Hegseth is cutting back on cloud services and IT consulting. Industry giants such as Accenture and Deloitte are affected. The money would be better invested with veterans, for example, said the minister.
San Francisco. Large IT consultancies such as Accenture and Deloitte are facing a significant drop in turnover in the USA: according to several US media outlets, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has ordered the termination of several IT service contracts with a total volume of 5.1 billion dollars.
In addition to Accenture and Deloitte, contracts with the consultancy Booz Allen Hamilton are also affected. This emerges from a Pentagon memo issued on Thursday evening. The Trump administration wants to save more than four billion dollars. Hegseth subsequently confirmed the process in a video published on the X platform.
"This is a great day. We are signing a memorandum that orders the termination of $5.1 billion worth of Department of Defense contracts. [...] For ancillary services such as consulting and other non-essential services," Hegseth said in the video message.
He plans to cut four IT-related contracts, all of which, according to the memorandum, "could be performed more efficiently by the highly skilled members of our Defense Department workforce with existing resources."
According to the document, one example is an Air Force contract with Accenture for the resale of third-party cloud services. According to Hegseth, the Department will save 1.4 billion dollars by terminating this contract.
In the memo, the Secretary also calls for the termination of eleven other contracts across the Pentagon that include consulting services that "support diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI), climate, Covid-19 response, and non-essential activities." The department wants to reallocate the freed-up funds to "revitalize the warrior ethos, rebuild the military and restore deterrence".
"By the way, we need that money to spend on better health care for our warfighters and their families instead of business litigation consultants that cost $500 an hour," Hegseth said in his video.
Elsewhere, the memo instructs the Pentagon's chief information officer (CIO), in "coordination" with Elon Musk's Doge savings initiative, to prepare a plan within 30 days to "in-source" IT consulting and management services for the department's civilian workforce - that is, to bring them back in-house at the Pentagon.
Also within 30 days, the CIO is to draw up a plan to negotiate "the most favorable terms" for cloud services and software so that the Pentagon "pays no more for IT services than any other company in America".
It was noticeable that the IT company Palantir, which has particularly good relations with the new Trump administration, was not mentioned. The Pentagon and several US intelligence agencies are among Palantir's most important customers. The company also works with Musk's Doge initiative.
Presentation / Analysis Accenture ($ACN (-2,36%) )
ACN is the world's largest direct seller of telecommunications, energy and other essential services to consumers and businesses. Founded in 1993 in the USA, ACN has since expanded to over 27 countries on four continents.
ACN's business model is based on direct sales, with independent contractors (UUs) offering products and services such as cellular, energy, broadband Internet, TV and security. These services are designed to meet the everyday needs of customers.
A key feature of ACN is the use of network marketing, whereby self-employed staff, known as "independent contractors" (UU), sell the products and services and are paid on a commission basis.
In addition to telecommunications and energy services, ACN also offers other services in some regions, including security solutions for homes and businesses.
Fundamental analysis
Strengths:
Valuation ratios (as of 2024-08-31):
P/E ratio 26.35 Above average
P/B ratio 6.83 Premium valuation
P/E ratio 3.00 Moderate
Chart analysis
Current status (31.03.2025):
Indicators:
Entry points:
Opportunities & risks
Opportunities:
Risks:
Regulatory context (regulatory & compliance expert)
Trading recommendation
Consolidated entry strategy:
Wait until:
Limit position size (due to high P/B ratio)
Stop loss: 5% below entry
Hope someone could help gladly open for suggestions and opinions. No investment advice
🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.82 (Est. $2.81) 🟢; UP +7% YoY
🔹 Revenue: $16.7B (Est. $16.63B) 🟢; UP +5% YoY
🔹 Operating Margin: 13.5% (+50 bps YoY)
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue Growth: +5% to +7% (Prev. +4% to +7%) 🟢
🔹 EPS: $12.55-$12.79 (Prev. $12.43-$12.79; Est. $12.72) 😑
🔹 Operating Margin: 15.6%-15.7% (+10-20 bps YoY)
Key Business Metrics
🔹 New Bookings: $20.9B (DOWN -3% YoY in USD; Flat in local currency)
🔹 Generative AI New Bookings: $1.4B (Milestone Quarter)
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $2.68B
Shareholder Returns
🔹 Quarterly Dividend: $1.48/share (UP +15% YoY)
🔹 Share Repurchases: 4M shares for $1.4B
Management Commentary
🔸 CEO Julie Sweet: "Our Q2 results showcase broad-based growth across markets and industries, with strong demand for reinvention. Generative AI continues to gain momentum, reflected in $1.4B in new bookings."
As every Sunday, the most important news of the last week, as well as the three most important dates of the coming week.
Also as a video:
https://youtube.com/shorts/uFwVbCNGMd4?si=R4ReCZQl2ud6wUW-
Monday:
$9868 (-1,47%) Xpeng and $VOW3 (+1,28%) VW deepen their partnership in China 🇨🇳. Among other things, they are opening up their fast-charging networks to each other. New charging stations are also to be built jointly. VW holds a 5% stake in Xpeng.
$BOSS (+1,16%) Hugo Boss wants to further strengthen the brand and has brought brand expert James Foster on board for this purpose. Foster was most recently head of marketing at Netflix in EMEA and worked at IKEA and Adidas.
https://www.absatzwirtschaft.de/neuer-globaler-marketingchef-bei-hugo-boss-265528/
Inflation is clearly above expectations and is therefore depressing sentiment for the time being. In December, inflation stood at 2.6% Economists had expected 2.4%. The inflation rate is also likely to remain well above the 2.0% target in January. This is due to higher CO2 prices and a more expensive ticket to Germany.
The USA 🇺🇸 puts Tencent on a list of companies that allegedly support the Chinese military. The share loses significantly.
Tuesday:
A cooperation between $NVDA (-0,2%) NVIDIA, $KGX (+3,54%) Kion and $ACN (-2,36%) Accenture to optimize supply chains causes Kion shares to rise significantly. Kion and Accenture are relying on AI from NVIDIA for optimization.
https://www.ariva.de/amp/ki-anwendungen-kion-arbeitet-mit-nvidia-zusammen-11493206
Wednesday:
$TMV (-0,66%) Teamviewer announces via ad hoc that it has exceeded its forecast for the year. Turnover increased by 9% in 2024. In total, it will probably be 671 million euros. The forecast was 662 - 668 million euros. This was mainly due to new billings and significant contracts signed with major customers.
Retail sales have been growing again for 2 years. In real terms, however, the level is still below that of 2021. Compared to the previous month, sales have fallen more sharply than expected. However, the overall consumer mood among Germans is on the rise. The GfK consumer barometer climbed by 1.8 points to -21.3 points.
Donald Trump is calling for more military spending and also wants to annex three countries - Canada, Panama and Greenland. This is not only highly dangerous rhetoric, but above all in the interests of Russia and China, who are planning to do the same with Ukraine and Taiwan. If Trump follows up his words with action, this would put the 'ambitions' of China and Russia into perspective
Thursday:
The Chinese fast clothing delivery service Shein probably wants to go public in the first half of the year. The IPO is planned for London. Shein is headquartered in Singapore.
Friday:
$1913 (+1,73%) Prada is probably planning to take over the Italian fashion house Versace. Versace is currently part of the Capri holding company. A sale of the entire holding company for 8.5 billion euros has failed. Individual brands such as Versace and Jimmy Choo are now up for sale.
The labor market report from the USA is significantly better than expected. This could lead to the Fed lowering interest rates more slowly than previously assumed. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, expected: 4.2%. A total of 256,000 new jobs were created, compared to an expected 155,000.
$NLM (+0,11%) Frosta exceeded the profit forecast. As expected, turnover amounted to 638.1 million euros. Profit rose to 42.1 million euros and was thus significantly higher than in the previous year (34.1 million euros). The profit margin was also above expectations at 6.6%.
https://www.4investors.de/nachrichten/amp/boerse.php?sektion=stock&ID=181168
These are the most important dates for the coming week:
🇺🇸
Tuesday: 14:30 Producer prices (USA)
Wednesday: 14:30 Inflation data (USA)
Friday: 15:15 Industrial production (USA)
Can you think of any other dates? Write it in the comments 👇
In addition to my World ETF core, I would like to invest in the following shares (partly via a savings plan) in the coming year.
How do you rate these shares?
Which of them would you also take or do you already have in your portfolio?
$CRWD (-3,55%) - Crowdstrike
$CRM (-1,18%) - Salesforce
$AVGO (-0,98%) - Broadcom
$ACN (-2,36%) - Accenture
$SOFI (+3,98%) - SoFi
$MELI (-3,52%) - Mercadolibre
$TSLA (+3,72%) - Tesla
$AXON (-6,28%) - Axon
$NU (-4,62%) - Nu Holdings (possibly)
I have now decided to reallocate the European stocks. The money is now flowing into Vertex Pharmaceutical $VRTX (+1,16%) and Cintas $CTAS (-0,05%) and my ETF $SPYI (+0,51%)
I migliori creatori della settimana