3J·

NVIDIA could sell twice as much as the company can supply

$NVDA (+0,31 %) Statements from the earnings call:


First annual forecast in the company’s history: approximately 70% revenue growth in fiscal year 2028. Customer forecasts indicate a doubling —the 70% figure represents the maximum the supply chain can handle. The bottleneck is expected to persist at least until the end of fiscal year 2028.


Revenue per gigawatt increases with each generation: $18 billion with Hopper, $25 billion with Grace Blackwell, $40 billion with Vera Rubin. Vera Rubin is expected to account for about 20% of data center revenue in the third quarter and to be the fastest product ramp-up in the company’s history.


Half of the business comes from outside the hyperscalers: The ACIE segment generated $40 billion, up 138% compared to the previous year. Neocloud partners are expected to close the year with 8 GW of installed capacity, up from approximately 3 GW at the end of 2025.


$AMZN (-0,47 %) is expanding the partnership: an additional 2 million GPUs starting this quarter through the second quarter of fiscal year 2029. The five largest hyperscalers are expected to reach just under $800 billion in 2026, and around $1.3 trillion.


Memory prices are squeezing margins: from 75% to 74% in the third quarter; the low point is expected to be 71–72% in the fourth quarter. Kress (CFO) describes the price trend as extreme and well above the company’s own expectations—citing the AI expansion itself as the cause.


Kress (CFO) on circle financing: just under $50 billion has been invested in Frontier Labs, in addition to financing platforms involving six investors totaling more than $500 billion in third-party capital. “We do not issue loans.” These labs are expected to generate account for about a quarter of total revenue.


China is left out: Less than 1% of data center revenue came from China in the second quarter; the outlook projects zero revenue from China.


$NBIS (-1,28 %)$CRWV (-1,37 %)$IREN (-0,21 %)

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2 Commentaires

Amazon is buying 2 million GPUs.

Jesus.
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@asset_sage_smmad You really have to let that sink in.
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